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Economy

FG Confirms Significant Shortfall in H1 2025 Oil Revenue

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oil revenue

By Adedapo Adesanya

The federal government has confirmed suffering a significant shortfall in Nigeria’s oil revenue in the first half of the year despite surpassing the gross receipts recorded in the corresponding period of 2024.

The Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Mr Wale Edun, made the disclosure in Abuja at a press briefing on Thursday.

Mr Edun stated that while oil price benchmark in the 2025 budget was $75 per barrel, average sales for the half year was $67 per barrel, revealing that average oil production per day was $1.67 million barrels against the budget projection of 2.06 million barrels per day.

Giving some updates on major sectors, the Minister said, “In the oil and gas sector, average production in the first half of 2025 was 1.67 million barrels per day.

“Significantly, that is below the 2.06 million barrels budgeted, and that is of note.

“The average crude price also in the budget was put at $75 per barrel; we’ve had an average price of $67 per barrel. We have maintained compliance with the OPEC quota, and as you can see from the figures I’ve given, there has been a revenue.”

He stated that in response to the shortfall, the federal government prioritised spending on sectors that directly impacted citizens and supported growth ambitions.

Mr Edun disclosed that despite the shortfall in oil revenue, gross revenue stood at 37.4 per cent in the first half of 2025, surpassing the performance recorded in the same period of 2024.

According to him, this signalled improved fiscal discipline and prudent resource management.

The finance minister explained that the states and the Federal Capital Territory (FCT) now operated in a more robust fiscal space due to increased allocations from the Federation Account and other releases due to them.

Mr Edun said the states and FCT combined fiscal balance grew from N2.8 trillion in 2023 to N7.1 trillion in 2025, helping them to support capital projects in education, health, and other infrastructure.

Giving further insight into what states had been receiving, he said, “I would call it a build-up of funds that were due that hadn’t been paid to them, and under the law, under the regulations, have been made available to the states. And this, as we have said, has increased their surpluses such that the states in the first half of this year enjoyed budget surpluses of 3.1 per cent of GDP, which was way up, almost double previously the situation that they had with about 1.8 per cent of GDP surplus.

“So, in a nutshell, the funding to the states from the Federation Account has increased, which is what you would expect from the major measures that were taken to restore fiscal viability by removing a range of subsidies that were costing five per cent of GDP.

“That now flows through to the Federation Account and is reflected into higher payments to the states. Not just that, but adhering to the rule of law and the sanctity of contracts, previously owed funds were now being systematically made available.”

Providing further details on the activities of government, Mr Edun stated that the macroeconomic ecosystem had been stable, attributing the improved fiscal outlook to bold reforms, including the standing out of the Ways and Means overdraft funding by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).

“There have been no debits to ways and means since early in this administration,” he said. “Following GDP rebasing, Nigeria’s debt-to-GDP ratio now stands at 38.8 per cent, down from 52.1 per cent, providing greater fiscal headroom,” he added.

Stating that the government was not in default of any obligation, he stated that over N2 trillion was recently paid to contractors to clear outstanding capital budget obligations from 2024, with no pending liabilities outside the formal payment process.

He said the focus was on the timely release of funds for 2025 capital projects, adding that part of the government’s inclusive growth strategy was to strengthen state finances.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

Pathway Asset Management’s Adekunle Alade Unveils Blueprint for Sustainable Wealth, Investment Opportunities

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Pathway Asset Management's Adekunle Alade

In this interview with Mr Adekunle Alade, Founder and Director of Pathway Asset Management Limited, he discusses the blueprint for sustainable wealth and investment opportunities. Excepts;

Could you please tell us about Pathway Asset Management?

Pathway Asset Management is registered and regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Nigeria as a fund and portfolio manager company with the main focus of helping individuals, retail, HNIs and institutions make smarter investment decisions and build long-term sustainable wealth. We understand how complex and unpredictable the Nigerian market can be because we operate in it every day. So, we’ve built a firm that is clear, disciplined, and driven by research, not guesswork.

Our offerings cut across Pathway Fixed Deposit Notes, Privately Managed Notes, Fixed Income Notes, Pathway Dollar Notes, Funds/Portfolio Management, Pathway Money Market Fund (coming soon), Pathway Dollar Funds (Coming Soon), and Investment Advisory services, all tailored to each client’s goal. But beyond the products, what really defines us is how we think: deep client understanding, strong governance, and a long-term mindset. That’s what guides every decision we make.

Can you walk us through Pathway Asset Management’s core investment philosophy and how it differentiates the firm in Nigeria’s asset management space?

Our philosophy is simple and profound. We are partners in our clients’ financial success. We create value, but never at the expense of disciplined risk management. Every investment is carefully assessed to ensure the returns justify the risk, helping clients move from speculation to structured, sustainable wealth building.

What sets us apart is our advisory DNA. We don’t just offer investment products; we bring an investment banker’s eye to asset management, combining strategic advice with precise execution.

We combine diversification, deep sector insight, and strong risk discipline to solve wealth preservation challenges, while prioritising transparency, client experience, and long-term outcomes.

Your portfolio includes Fixed Deposit Notes, Privately Managed Notes, and Portfolio Management services. How do these products cater to varying investor risk appetites?

We’ve designed our products to meet clients exactly where they are. For more conservative investors, our Fixed Deposit and Money Market offerings are focused on capital preservation, liquidity, and stable income. For clients looking for higher returns, our Privately Managed Notes, across fixed income, hybrid, equity and dollar structures, offer more optimised yield with a bit more structure. 

For more sophisticated or institutional clients, our portfolio management services provide a fully tailored approach. Some clients prefer us to take full discretion, while others want to stay involved. Essentially, we have a vehicle specifically engineered for different investors’ financial goals.

What’s next for Pathway Asset Management? Where are you focusing growth?

With the recent unveiling of our Board of Directors, we’ve strengthened our governance and strategic direction, which is important for where we’re going.

Over the next few months, our focus is on deepening client relationships, expanding our product offerings, especially mutual funds like our upcoming Pathway Money Market Fund and positioning the firm to take advantage of emerging opportunities. For us, growth is not just about scale; it’s about scaling responsibly while maintaining the discipline and trust we’ve built.

What gap in the market is the upcoming Pathway Money Market Fund designed to fill?

For a long time, the Nigerian investment space has had a gap. You either had low-yield savings accounts or high-entry institutional investments. The Pathway Money Market fund is designed to bridge that gap.

With rising inflation, many people are losing value just by keeping money in traditional bank accounts. What we’re doing is opening access, giving everyday investors a simple, regulated way to benefit from high-quality government and corporate instruments with as low as N5,000 to start investing. We want someone with relatively small capital to still participate in opportunities that were previously out of reach. Our focus isn’t just on returns; it’s about providing a liquid, SEC-regulated vehicle where a small saver can get a big-market yield and still have capital preserved.

As a firm regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission, how do you ensure compliance while maintaining operational efficiency?

At Pathway Asset Management Limited, we view compliance as a competitive advantage, built into how we operate every day. To maintain efficiency while meeting and compliance, we have adopted a ‘Compliance-by-Design’ approach from onboarding clients to tech-enabled reporting and risk management without over-leveraging our resources.

We’ve put in place strong internal controls, invested in the right people, have clear processes, and a culture of accountability across the firm. At the same time, we leverage technology and experienced professionals to ensure compliance is seamless, not a bottleneck.

So, for us, it’s about getting it right from the start; operating efficiently while staying fully aligned with regulatory standards.

How do you assess the impact of Nigeria’s current monetary policy direction on investment portfolios?

We’re in a transition phase, from aggressive tightening to a more stable environment.

For us, that creates opportunity. In fixed income, we’re locking in high yields now, knowing that rates may compress as inflation moderates.

At the same time, improving stability in exchange rates and interest rates creates a better environment for businesses, which supports selective equity exposure.

So, rather than reacting, we’re positioning clients to benefit from both sides: strong yields today and potential upside as the macro environment improves.

What safeguards are in place to protect investor capital across your managed portfolios?

At Pathway Asset Management, the security of investor capital is built into our operations through a multi-layered ‘Triple-Lock’ framework. We operate strictly under the license and oversight of the Securities and Exchange Commission, Nigeria. This means our operations are subject to periodic review, stringent reporting requirements, and minimum capital adequacy standards. 

We don’t just follow the rules; we embrace them as a baseline for trust. But beyond that, one key safeguard is that we don’t hold client funds directly; assets (cash and securities) are held by independent SEC-approved custodians. That separation is critical for transparency and protection. We also apply disciplined investment policies. We don’t chase returns at the expense of safety. Every investment goes through a rigorous assessment process.

How does Pathway Asset Management manage downside risks, particularly in a volatile macroeconomic environment marked by inflation and FX instability?

In a market like Nigeria, volatility isn’t an anomaly; it’s a constant. Our approach to managing downside risk is built on dynamic asset allocation and financial discipline. We also hedge against currency risk by giving clients access to dollar-denominated investments, which helps preserve value.

On inflation, we focus on assets that can reprice or deliver returns above inflation over time. Our focus is not just on returns, but on protecting value and delivering consistency.

What is your outlook for Nigeria’s asset management industry over the next five years?

Nigeria’s asset management industry is entering a defining transition period, and the SEC’s recapitalisation directive is the central catalyst. Over the next five years, the industry will move from a fragmented, lightly capitalised landscape to a more consolidated, institutional, and competitive ecosystem. 

Many smaller or undercapitalised firms will be unable to comply independently, leading to mergers, acquisitions, or outright exits. Within the first two to three years, the number of asset managers is likely to shrink significantly, leaving behind a smaller group of well-capitalised firms alongside a handful of specialised niche players.

In terms of growth, the outlook is structurally positive but cyclical. Assets under management (AUM) are expected to expand at a solid pace, supported by high domestic interest rates, increased financial savings, and improved macroeconomic reforms. 

However, this growth will remain sensitive to macro conditions, particularly FX stability and interest rate cycles. Because a large portion of capital inflows into Nigeria is still short-term and yield-driven, the industry should expect periods of volatility rather than smooth, linear expansion.

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Economy

Otedola Acquires Additional N43bn FirstHoldCo Shares

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First Bank Otedola

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Chairman of First HoldCo Plc, Mr Femi Otedola, maintained his grip on the company, acquiring additional shares valued at approximately N43.41 billion.

The transaction was disclosed in a regulatory filing submitted to the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited and signed by the company secretary, Mrs Abiola Baruwa.

The acquisition, executed on the stock exchange on May 13, 2026, involved the purchase of 549,535,653 shares at an average price of N79 per share.

Following the latest purchase, Mr Otedola’s stake in First HoldCo Plc has climbed from 8,055,314,486 units reported in the FY 2025 audited accounts to 8,604,850,139.

The Nigerian billionaire’s total stake has now climbed to 19.36 per cent in his biggest single purchase since becoming chairman in January 2024.

On September 25, 2025, he increased his interest in First HoldCo with the purchase of 64.87 million shares valued at N2.01 billion.

Of this amount, 39.3 million shares were acquired directly on September 23 for about N1.2 billion, while an additional 25.6 million shares worth N793.6 million were bought indirectly through Calvados Global Services Limited on the same day.

Those earlier transactions raised his shareholding to 16.1 per cent, from the 13.15 per cent stake recorded in September 2024.

Apart from First Holdco, the business mogul also has interests in the power sector through Geregu Power, another firm listed on the domestic stock exchange.

He sold his stake in Ardova Plc to invest in the power-generating company.

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Economy

NASD Investors Lose N7.51bn After Index Sheds 0.30%

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NASD Investors' Portfolios

By Adedapo Adesanya

The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange fell by 0.30 per cent on Wednesday, May 13, extending the presence of the bourse in red.

During the session, the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) depreciated by 12.55 points to close at 4,143.97 points compared with the previous day’s 4,156.52 points, and the market capitalisation dropped N7.51 billion to settle at N2.479 trillion versus Tuesday’s closing value of N2.486 trillion.

The loss recorded yesterday occurred as the platform ended with four price gainers and four price losers.

Nipco Plc lost N34.40 to sell at N309.60 per share versus N344.00 per share, Central Securities and Clearing System (CSCS) Plc declined by N4.00 to N72.00 per unit from N76.00 per unit, NASD Plc tumbled by N2.36 to N35.00 per share from N37.36 per share, and Food Concepts Plc dipped by 24 Kobo to quote at N2.26 per unit compared with the preceding session’s N2.50 per unit.

Conversely, FrieslandCampina Wamco Plc rose by N12.74 to N146.34 per share from N133.60 per share, IPWA Plc soared by 73 Kobo to N8.03 per unit from N7.30 per unit, First Trust Mortgage Bank Plc added 20 Kobo to finish at N2.52 per share versus its previous value of N2.32 per share, and Light House Financial Service Plc gained 8 Kobo to close at 94 Kobo per unit versus 86 Kobo per unit.

Yesterday, the volume of securities slumped by 48.3 per cent to 1.4 million units from 2.7 million units, the value of securities dropped 43.6 per cent to N36.8 million from N65.2 million, and the number of deals stumbled by 16.1 per cent to 36 deals from 31 deals.

Great Nigeria Insurance (GNI) Plc remained the most active stock by value on a year-to-date basis with 3.4 billion units traded for N8.4 billion, followed by CSCS Plc with 60.6 million units exchanged for N4.1 billion, and Okitipupa Plc with 27.8 million units transacted for N1.9 billion.

GNI Plc also ended the day as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 3.4 billion units worth N8.4 billion, followed by Resourcery Plc with 1.1 billion units valued at N415.7 million, and Infrastructure Guarantee Credit Plc with 400 million units sold for N1.2 billion.

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