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FG Expects Nigeria’s Economy to Bounce Back in Q1 2021

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Nigeria’s Economy to Bounce Back

By Modupe Gbadeyanka

The federal government has expressed optimism that all things being equal, the economy of Nigeria should get back on its feet from the first quarter of next year.

Minister of Finance, Budget and National Planning, Mrs Zainab Ahmed, said this when she received officials of the Federal Inland Revenue Service (FIRS) led by its Executive Chairman, Mr Mohammed Nami.

She said the various policies of the government are capable of injecting life into the economy, which contracted in the second quarter of 2020 by 6.1 per cent, according to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), which also said yesterday that inflation in August 2020 rose by 13.22 per cent.

Nigeria was faced with twin shocks this year and they came from a decline in the prices of crude oil and the global health pandemic of COVID-19, which forced a shutdown of the economy in Q2 2020.

The gross domestic product (GDP) is anticipated to decline again in the current third quarter despite the gradual reopening of economic activities in the country.

If the GDP records another negative growth in Q3 2020, Nigeria will officially fall into a recession like South Africa. It would be the second economic slip under the present administration of President Muhammadu Buhari.

Though the Buhari-led government wants to avoid this disaster, it is looking inevitable because of the effect of COVID-19 on the economy and Nigeria is not alone in this.

Speaking with her guests during the courtesy visit to her office in Abuja, the Finance Minister said, “We are expecting by the first quarter of 2021, we shall be okay.”

She charged the tax agency to do more in terms of generating revenue for the nation, reminding FIRS that there are other government obligations and debt servicing which requires revenue to fund “and we can see that the capacity to do more is there and we expect you to do more.”

“I also want your team working on the Finance Act to double their efforts. I want to remind you that we are an enabler for you. So, feel free and update us so that we can deal with your challenges,” she implored the team.

Mrs Ahmed commended the tax body for its revenue performance despite the decline in oil revenue, saying it has remained resolute as both Value Added Tax (VAT) and stamp duty have helped in boosting earnings.

According to her, the efforts at diversifying revenue sources have been a blessing, noting that the pandemic has not impacted much, especially in Nigeria because of the proactive measures taken by the government especially in the health sector.

In his remarks, the FIRS chief, Mr Mohammed Nami, thanked the Minister for her support for the agency, assuring her that they would do all their best “to provide food for FAAC (Federation Account Allocation Committee allocation) through revenue generation.”

Mr Nami said the FIRS has been contributing up to 70 per cent of the FAAC allocation in the last three to five months, thanking the Minister for keeping the economy buoyant, despite the challenges.

Modupe Gbadeyanka is a fast-rising journalist with Business Post Nigeria. Her passion for journalism is amazing. She is willing to learn more with a view to becoming one of the best pen-pushers in Nigeria. Her role models are the duo of CNN's Richard Quest and Christiane Amanpour.

Economy

Insurance Firms Must Submit 2025 Assessment Returns by May 31—NAICOM

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NAICOM Conplaint Management Portal

By Adedapo Adesanya

The National Insurance Commission has issued new guidelines for the collection, management, and administration of the Insurance Policyholders’ Protection Fund.

In a circular issued to all insurance institutions on Tuesday, the regulator also set May 31, 2026, as the deadline for insurers to submit their assessment returns for the 2025 financial year.

Recall that on August
 5, 2025, 
President Bola Tinubu signed
 into 
law
 the 
Nigerian 
Insurance 
Industry Reform 
Act (
NIIRA
2025).


This 
landmark legislation 
repeals 
the 
Insurance 
Act 
2003, 
and
 consolidates 
related 
provisions, 
ushering 
in 
a 
modern regulatory framework. It lays a strong foundation for sustainable growth and increased investment in the country’s insurance sector.

The commission said the guidelines were issued in exercise of its powers under the 2025 Act and other existing insurance laws and regulations to provide regulatory clarity, improve guidance, and ensure ease of compliance across the industry.

According to NAICOM, the guidelines establish a comprehensive structure for the operation of the IPPF, which serves as a statutory safety net to protect insurance policyholders in the event of distress or insolvency of a licensed insurer or reinsurer. The framework also provides direction on the reimbursement of loans by insurers and reinsurers.

NAICOM stated, “The guidelines ensure regulatory clarity, guidance and ease of compliance, as it provides a comprehensive regulatory framework for the collection, management, and administration of the Fund, which serves as a statutory safety net designed to protect insurance policyholders against distress and insolvency of a licensed insurer or reinsurer, including guidance for the reimbursement of loans by an insurer or reinsurer.

“Please be informed that the IPPF Assessment Returns in respect of the year 2025 shall be submitted to the Commission not later than 31st May 2026, while subsequent submissions shall be in line with Section 4.3 of the Guideline on Insurance Policyholders Protection Fund.”

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Economy

Dangote Refinery Sells Petrol at N1,200/L as Global Oil Prices Slump

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Dangote refinery import petrol

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Dangote Refinery on Wednesday returned the petrol price to N1,200 per litre, less than 24 hours after it increased it by 5 per cent.

The private refinery had raised the ex-depot price by N75 on Tuesday, citing pressure from volatile global oil markets, but quickly brought it back to N1,200 per litre from N1,275 per litre.

The swift downward review is directly linked to a sharp drop in international crude prices. Brent crude has plunged to $95.05 per barrel, after a 13 per cent decline, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude closed at $97.18, recording nearly a 14 per cent drop.

This development comes after US President Donald Trump announced a conditional two-week ceasefire with Iran, which eased fears of immediate supply disruptions in the global oil market.

“This will be a double-sided CEASEFIRE!” Trump said on social media, marking a sharp reversal from his earlier warning that “a whole civilisation will die tonight” if Iran failed to comply with US demands.

Iran’s Foreign Minister, Mr Abbas Araqchi, confirmed that the country would halt attacks provided strikes against Iran cease and transit through the Strait of Hormuz is coordinated by Iranian forces.

Despite the breakthrough, tensions remain elevated across the region, with several Gulf states reporting missile launches, drone activity, or issuing civil defence warnings.

While oil prices have fallen back below $100, they remain significantly elevated after surging by a record amount in March. Market analysts noted that regardless of how successful the ceasefire is, geopolitical risk related to the Strait of Hormuz is likely to remain elevated for the foreseeable future under the control of Iran.

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Economy

Crude Deliveries Double to Dangote Refinery in Mix of Naira, Dollar Supply

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Dangote refinery petrol

By Adedapo Adesanya

Crude oil deliveries from the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited to the Dangote Petroleum Refinery doubled in March, boosting prospects for improved fuel availability.

This was revealed by the chief executive of Dangote Industries Limited, Mr Aliko Dangote, on Tuesday, when he received the Deputy Secretary-General of the United Nations, Mrs Amina Mohammed, at the industrial complex in Ibeju-Lekki, Lagos.

While speaking on feedstock supply, Mr Dangote commended the NNPC for increasing crude deliveries to the refinery in March, noting that volumes rose to 10 cargoes—six supplied in Naira and four in Dollars—to support domestic fuel availability, according to a statement by the Refinery.

“Last month, they gave us six cargoes for Naira and four cargoes for Dollars,” he said.

Despite the improvement, Mr Dangote noted that the supply remains below the 19 cargoes required for optimal operations, with the refinery continuing to bridge the gap through imports from the United States and other African producers.

He also expressed concern over the unwillingness of international oil companies operating in Nigeria to sell to the refinery, stating that their preference for selling crude to traders forces it to repurchase at higher costs, with broader implications for the economy.

Mr Dangote added that the refinery is seeking increased access to domestically priced crude under local currency arrangements as part of efforts to moderate fuel costs and enhance long-term energy and food security across the continent.

On her part, Mrs Mohammed underscored the strategic importance of Dangote Industries Limited -particularly Dangote Fertiliser Limited—in addressing Africa’s mounting food security challenges, while calling for stronger global partnerships to scale its impact.

Mrs Mohammed said the United Nations would prioritise amplifying scalable solutions capable of mitigating the continent’s food crisis, describing Dangote’s integrated industrial model as a critical pathway.

“I think the UN’s job here is to amplify and to put visibility on the possibilities of mitigating a food security crisis, and this is one of them,” she said. “I hope that when we go back, we can continue to engage partners and countries that should collaborate with Dangote Industries.”

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