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FG Must Reduce Debt Burden Ratio Below 20%—FSDH

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By Modupe Gbadeyanka

Federal Government has been advised to development ways to reduce its debt burden ratio below 20 percent, at least in the main time.

FSDH Research, in its latest report titled ‘Nigerian Public Debt: A Comparative Analysis,’ said the fact that interest payment is such a significant part of government revenue limits the revenue left for the government to undertake other developmental projects in the short-term.

“We expect this position to improve as government revenue increases as a result of the ongoing economic measures in the country to raise the level of revenue.

“We are of the opinion that government should develop strategies to reduce the ratio of interest payment to revenue below 20 percent in the medium-term,” the firm suggested.

It said further that although the debt stock in Nigeria has increased substantially, it believes this is sustainable in the short-to-medium term given the economic growth potential of the country.

In the short-to-medium-term, government will need to borrow both from external and domestic sources in order to augment the low revenue facing the country as a result of the current economic challenges.

The FGN needs to improve critical infrastructure in the country to increase the competitiveness of the economy to attract investments. This requires more money than current government revenue. The FGN is also working to diversify its revenue base through the issuance of the FGN Savings Bond, Diaspora Bond, and Sukuk.

The efforts of the FGN coupled with the improvement in the macroeconomic environment should help to lower interest rate, it noted.

“We will also continue to encourage the government to partner with the private sector in the provision of critical infrastructure. In addition, government should ensure that any debt contracted is judiciously utilised on projects that promote economic growth and development,” FSDH Research said.

The firm said it observed that the public debt (total of both external and domestic debt) in Nigeria has been increasing over the last five years and the issue of the sustainability of the debt level has generated a lot of debate.

A comparative analysis of the debt-to-Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of a number of countries shows that the ratio of debt-to-GDP is very low in Nigeria.

“Amongst the countries we monitored, Japan recorded the highest debt-to-GDP of 250.40%. This was followed by the United States of America (U.S) with 104.17%; France 96%, United Kingdom (UK) 89.30%; and Germany 68.30%. India and China have a debt-to-GDP of 69.50% and 42.90% respectively. South Africa and Venezuela have debt-to-GDP of 50.10% and 49.80% respectively,” it said.

Available data from the Debt Management Office (DMO) shows that Nigeria’s total debt stock as at March 2017 stood at N19.16trn, representing an increase of 10.37% from the December 2016 figure of N17.36trn.

This also represents growth of 153.63% from N7.55trn in 2012. A breakdown of the debt stock shows that external debt accounted for 22.08% (N4.23trn), while domestic debt stock accounted for 77.92% (N14.93trn).

The increase in the total debt is attributable to the following factors: the need to fund infrastructure and to supplement the declining government revenue. Many analysts have argued that the increase in government’s appetite for borrowing has crowded out the private sector.

The proportion of domestic debt to total public debt dropped consistently between 2013 and Q1

2017.

On the average, the proportion of domestic debt to total debt was 85% between 2012 and 2015; but reduced to 78% between 2016 and Q1 2017.

The increase in external borrowing and the impact of exchange rate depreciation were the main reasons for the reduction in the proportion of the domestic debt stock. The FGN has set what it believes to be an optimal domestic debt to external debt ratio at 60:40. At the current (external to domestic debt) level of 78:22, it appears that there is still room to increase the external debt component of the total debt stock.

The debt-to-GDP in Nigeria as at December 2016 stood at 17.11%. This is far below the critical limit of 40% the FGN has set for the Nigerian economy.

This means that, by this metric alone, there is substantial room for the government to increase its borrowing.

However, the debt-to-GDP ratio is not the only issue. The major stress point is the rising level of interest payment relative to government revenue. The ratio of interest payment-to-government-revenue increased from 24.48% in 2012 to an estimated 35.32% in 2016.

The FGN expects that this ratio will moderate slightly to 33.67% in 2017.

Modupe Gbadeyanka is a fast-rising journalist with Business Post Nigeria. Her passion for journalism is amazing. She is willing to learn more with a view to becoming one of the best pen-pushers in Nigeria. Her role models are the duo of CNN's Richard Quest and Christiane Amanpour.

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Economy

Trump’s Tariff: Alake Woos Investors to Nigeria’s Solid Minerals Sector

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solid minerals production

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Minister of Solid Minerals Development, Mr Dele Alake, has called on foreign investors to consider Nigeria amid prevailing barrage of tariffs imposed by the United States, which he says may be a blessing in disguise for African countries.

Speaking during the Fireside Chat session on Foreign Direct Investment in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, the Minister called on African countries to adopt an introspective approach by looking inward and adjusting their domestic policies to focus more on intra-African trade, with less dependence on external forces.

In a statement by his Special Assistant on Media, Mr Segun Tomori, on Sunday in Abuja, it was stated that the Minister’s remarks were part of his contribution to the discourse on the impact of the tariffs on Africa’s economic climate.

“The barrage of tariffs imposed carries wide-ranging implications for the global economy, U.S. trade relationships, and developing nations, including those in Africa,” he said.

He stressed the need need for African countries to organise economic imperatives to ensure a balance of trade and strengthen intra African trade among countries.

Mr Alake highlighted the persistent challenge faced by African countries, where rare mineral resources were exported without any value addition, noting that the old ‘pit-to-port’ model, where resources are extracted and sent out of the continent can no longer be allowed to continue.

“Interested investors, who wish to come into Africa are welcome to set up their factories in the continent, add value to our mineral resources and create jobs here, rather than just shipping our wealth out of our shores”, he stated.

The minister said that his stance on protecting Africa’s mineral wealth has been adopted by many African countries, particularly mineral-producing nations, where he served as the pioneering chairman of the African Minerals Strategic Group (AMSG).

He reaffirmed that Nigeria’s policy on mineral sector development remained strictly focused on value addition and boosting the local economy through job creation.

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Economy

Arnergy Raises $18m to Boost Solar Energy Access in Nigeria

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Arnergy

By Adedapo Adesanya

Arnergy, a cleantech startup, has raised a $15 million Series B extension, on top of a $3 million B1 round last year, bringing its total for the round to $18 million to boost solar energy access in Nigeria.

According to TechCrunch, the new funding round was led by Nigerian private equity firm CardinalStone Capital Advisers (CCA) and saw participation from Breakthrough Energy Ventures as well as British International Investment, Norfund, EDFI MC, and All On.

Launched in 2013, Arnergy was established to provide solar systems to homes and businesses across sectors like hospitality, education, finance, agriculture, and healthcare.

The firm raised a $9 million Series A in 2019 backed by Bill Gates’s Breakthrough Energy Ventures.

The Lagos-based cleantech is in talks to raise additional local debt from banks and development financial institutions (DFIs) to support some of its projects including energy-as-a-service (EaaS) solutions for multinationals.

The cleantech is planning to install more than 12,000 systems by 2029 to help boost access to solar energy, which Nigerians have began to adopt increasingly following policy shifts, particularly the removal of fuel subsidies, that led to rise in energy costs.

Arnergy has so far deployed over 1,800 systems across 35 Nigerian states, totaling 9MWp of solar and 23MWh of battery storage.

Over the next four years, it will be targeting a 567 per cent increase to the set 12,000 systems goal.

According to the founder, Mr Femi Adeyemo, there has been increased adaptation of solar energy and this presents the perfect opportunity.

Its lease-to-own product, Z Lite, has gained more traction as customers pay fixed monthly fees over 5 to 10 years before owning the system while outright purchases comprised 60 per cent to 70 per cent of revenue in 2023, accounting for just 25 per cent of sales last year, as per TechCrunch.

“Imagine paying N200,000 (~$125) every month for power. With our product, that drops to N96,000 (~$60). Over five years, it’s a no-brainer what you’ll save,” Mr Adeyemo told the tech publication.

Recall that the federal government has also announced plans to ban importation of solar panels as part of efforts to boost local capacity. This has been projected to see a substantial increase in prices.

Speaking on this, Mr Adeyemo said, “We’re advocates for local manufacturing. But let’s build capacity before shutting the door on imports. Otherwise, we risk doing more harm than good, both to the industry and to the millions of Nigerians who now rely on solar as their primary energy source.”

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Economy

Value of NASD OTC Exchange Rises 0.40% to N1.919trn in Week 15 of 2025

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NASD below 700 basis points

By Adedapo Adesanya

The total value of stocks at the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange increased by 0.40 per cent or N9.21 billion to N1.919 trillion in the 15th trading week of 2025 from the N1.911 trillion it ended in Week 14.

The growth was mainly influenced by the inclusion of new shares of Infrastructure Credit Guarantee Company Plc (InfraCredit) to the trading platform in the week.

InfraCredit joined the alternative stock market on March 6 and last week, it brought addition 11.166 million equities, which increased its total securities at the NASD OTC exchange to 26.421 million units.

However, the NASD Unlisted Securities Index (NSI) went down by 0.20 per cent or 31.89 points to 3,277.57 points from the 3,309.46 points it ended a week earlier.

In the week, the total value of trades ballooned by 29,234.5 per cent to N4.79 billion from the N16.3 million recorded in the previous week, and the total volume of transactions increased by 1,485.1 per cent to 171.4 million units from 10.8 million units.

The bourse recorded seven price losers led by Nipco Plc, which depreciated by 20.2 per cent to close at N199.00 per share versus N220.00 per share, Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc lost 2.5 per cent to finish at N22.70 per unit versus N25.21 per unit, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc shed 1.3 per cent to sell for N35.55 per share against the former value of N36.80 per share, and Afriland Properties Plc went down by 0.6 per cent to N17.80 per unit from N18.42 per unit.

Further, Geo-Fluids Plc slipped by 0.5 per cent to N2.00 per share from N2.48 per share, Acorn Petroleum Plc slid by 0.2 per cent to N1.17 per unit from N1.30 per unit, and InfraCredit Plc declined by 0.09 per cent to N2.34 per share from N2.43 per share.

On the flip side, Mixta Real Estate Plc improved by 0.4 per cent to N4.55 per unit from N4.14 per unit, Lagos Building Investment Company (LBIC) Plc expanded by 0.2 per cent to N2.63 per share from N2.80 per share, First Trust Microfinance Bank Plc appreciated by 0.04 to 62 Kobo per unit from 58 Kobo per unit, and Paintcom Investment Plc gained 0.02 per cent to end at N10.74 per share compared with the preceding week’s N10.72 per share.

The most active stock in the week by value was Okitipupa Plc with N4.6 billion, Paintcom Investment Plc recorded N190.9 million, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc traded N28.0 million, Nipco Plc transacted N3.5 million, and 11 Plc recorded N1.7 million.

Okitipupa Plc was also the most traded stock by volume with 152.1 million units, Paintcom Investment Plc transacted 17.8 million units, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc recorded 0.751 million, Geo-Fluids Plc traded 0.356 million units, and Food Concepts Plc exchanged 0.180 million units.

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