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Fitch Forecasts Brent Crude Price at $100 Per Barrel for 2022

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brent crude oil

By Adedapo Adesanya

Fitch Solutions Country Risk & Industry Research has put its latest Brent crude price forecasts for 2022 at $100 per barrel.

In a new report, Fitch Solutions outlined that it sees the Brent oil price, which Nigeria prices its benchmark crude against, averaging $100 per barrel this year, $90 per barrel in 2023, $85 per barrel in 2024, and $88 per barrel in both 2025 and 2026.

“This month, we are holding our annual average Brent front-month forecast at $100 per barrel for 2022 and $90 per barrel in 2023, despite the EU embargo on Russia oil and petroleum products agreed at the end of May 2022,” Fitch Solutions stated in the report.

“Our fundamental views remain intact, with our expectation that a ban on Russia oil imports was likely and as factored into our forecast, with the net loss of demand from continuing lockdown measures in China and slower global economic growth both weighing on oil consumption and muting the impact of lost Russian barrels,” the company added in the report.

“The most significant bullish factor currently impacting oil prices is the ongoing fallout from the Russia-Ukraine conflict,” Fitch Solutions continued.

The Bloomberg Consensus, which Fitch Solutions is a contributor to and which was also included in the report, sees Brent prices averaging $99.8 per barrel in 2022, $90 per barrel in 2023, $85 per barrel in 2024, $83 per barrel in 2025, and $81.5 per barrel in 2026.

The US Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) latest short-term energy outlook, which was released this week, projects that the Brent spot price will average $107.37 per barrel this year and $97.24 per barrel in 2023.

The EIA’s previous STEO, which was released in May, forecasted that the Brent spot price would average $103.35 per barrel in 2022 and $97.24 per barrel in 2023.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

NGX Index Advances by 0.50% as Ecobank, MTN, Others Gain

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NGX Index

By Dipo Olowookere

Buying interests in Ecobank, MTN Nigeria and others lifted the stock market by 0.50 per cent on Monday as investors are having confidence again in the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited after a wave of selling pressure caused by global uncertainties.

At the market yesterday, the All-Share Index (ASI) nudged closer to the 52,000 psychological points as it gained 344.12 points to settle at 51,962.85 points compared with the preceding session’s 51,618.73 points.

But the market capitalisation moved to the next level as it appreciated by N186 billion to close the first trading session of the week at N28.014 trillion versus last Friday’s N27.875 trillion.

Data from the exchange showed that the insurance space grew by 1.50 per cent, the banking index gained 0.51 per cent, the energy counter rose by 0.12 per cent, while the consumer goods sector lost 0.56 per cent, with the industrial goods space flat at the close of business.

The activity chart was in the green on Monday as the trading volume expanded by 70.75 per cent to 266.5 million shares from 223.3 million shares, the trading value increased by 41.82 per cent to N2.6 billion to N1.8 billion, while the number of trades improved by 17.12 per cent to 5,050 deals from 4,312 deals.

It was observed that Livingtrust Mortgage Bank emerged as the most traded stock with a turnover of 64.7 million units valued at N77.6 million, trailed by Transcorp with a turnover of 31.8 million units worth N39.7 million. Access Holdings exchanged 29.3 million shares for N275.2 million, Oando sold 27.7 million stocks worth N162.4 million, while UBA transacted 20.6 million equities valued at N152.8 million.

Business Post reports that the market breadth closed positive yesterday with 18 price gainers and 16 price losers, indicating a strong investor sentiment.

Ecobank chalked up 9.79 per cent as the highest price gainer to settle at N10.65, John Holt appreciated by 9.52 per cent to 69 kobo, Linkage Assurance improved by 9.43 per cent to 58 kobo, Okomu Oil jumped by 8.53 per cent to N210.00, while Cornerstone Insurance rose by 6.45 per cent to 66 kobo.

PZ Cussons closed the day as the biggest price decliner after it dropped 10.00 per cent to sell at N11.25, Eterna lost 9.33 per cent to finish at N6.80, RT Briscoe depreciated by 6.25 per cent to 45 kobo, Ardova fell by 5.09 per cent to N13.05, while Nigerian Breweries declined by 3.42 per cent to N57.95.

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Economy

Unlisted Securities Investors Gain N10bn in One Week 

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NASD Unlisted Securities Index

By Adedapo Adesanya

The 25th week of trading at the National Association of Securities Dealers (NASD) Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange ended on a positive note last Friday.

In the five-day trading week, investors saw an expansion in their investment portfolios by 0.5 per cent or N10 billion as the market capitalisation closed at N1.011 trillion compared with the preceding week’s N1.010 trillion as the NASD Unlisted Securities Index (NSI) increased by 3.86 points to 768.27 points from 764.41 points.

Business Post reports that three stocks on the bourse contributed to the gains reported by unlisted securities investors last week as they overpowered the losses printed by two equities.

Niger Delta Exploration and Production Plc appreciated in the week by 10 per cent to close at N198.00 per share in contrast to the preceding week’s N180 per share, Citi Trust Plc grew by 9.6 per cent to N6.85 per unit from N6.25 per unit, while Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc appreciated by 2.5 per cent to N14.80 per share from N14.44 per share.

Conversely, NASD Plc lost 8.7 per cent to settle at N13.68 per unit compared with the previous N15.00 per unit, while Nipco Plc depreciated by 5.2 per cent to N58.85 per share from N62.10 per share.

There was a 352.8 per cent increase in the total value of transactions in the week to N324.4 million from N69.9 million, while the volume of trades went down by 57.0 per cent to 6.0 million units from 2.6 million units just as the number of deals decreased by 8.1 per cent to 57 trades from 62 trades of the previous week.

At the close of the week, VFD Group Plc was the most traded security by volume with 1.2 million units, CSCS Plc traded 703,377 units, NASD Plc exchanged 350,935 units, CitiTrust Holdings Plc traded 214,800 units, while NDEP Plc sold 65,300 units.

In terms of the value of trades in the week, VFD Group Plc also topped with N293.5 million, NDEP Plc recorded N12.5 million, CSCS Plc traded N10.4 million, NASD Plc posted N5.3 million, while CSCS Plc had N1.5 million.

On a year-to-date basis, investors have transacted 3.2 billion units worth N21.3 billion in 1,428 deals, with the year-to-date gain at 3.4 per cent.

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Economy

Trading in Greif Nigeria Shares Halted for Smooth Winding up Process

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Greif Nigeria

By Dipo Olowookere

Holders of Greif Nigeria Plc shares have been prevented from trading the security on the floor of the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited for now.

The embargo on the trading of the company’s stocks was placed on Monday, June 20, 2022, to ensure the process of winding up the organisation goes seamlessly.

Greif Nigeria, formerly known as Van Leer Containers Nigeria Plc, is in the business of making steel drums in the country. It also manufactures plastic containers and sheet metal products.

The company, which is a subsidiary of Greif International Holding BV, also offers services for steel punching and aluminium welding.

But lately, things have not been going on smoothly and it is in the process of winding up.

At its Annual General Meeting (AGM) held on January 31, 2022, the shareholders of the firm authorised the board to begin the voluntary winding up of the company.

In accordance with Section 622 of the Companies and Allied Matters Act (CAMA) 2020 which states that a voluntary winding-up shall be deemed to commence at the time of the passing of the resolution for voluntary winding-up, the NGX Regulation (NGX RegCo) Limited, has notified “all trading license holders and the investing public that it has suspended trading in the shares of Greif Nigeria Plc effective on Monday, June 20, 2022, to ensure a smooth winding-up process.”

In a notice filed last week, the agency explained that this action was also in line with Section 624 of CAMA 2020 which provides that a transfer of shares, not being a transfer made to or with the sanction of the liquidator, and any alteration in the status of the members of the company, made after the commencement of a voluntary winding-up, shall be void.

Business Post reports that Greif Nigeria, which uses the ticker Vanleer on the NGX trading platform, has shares outstanding of 42.640 million units and a market capitalisation of N232.4 million as it last traded at N5.45 per unit.

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