Economy
Fresh Hopes of US Stimulus, Weaker Dollar Favour Crude Oil
By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil prices closed higher on Tuesday as the market hopped on a weaker Dollar and hopes of a better economic stimulus in the United States.
During the session, the Brent gained 30 cents or 0.54 per cent to sell at $56.20 per barrel, while the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude made a 0.45 per cent or 24 cents growth to trade at $53.22 per barrel.
The US Dollar slipped from close to its highest in nearly a month, dropping 0.3 per cent and this strengthened the position of other currency holders as a weaker greenback increased their stance on the commodity.
The market also received a boost as the United States Treasury secretary, Janet Yellen, used her confirmation hearing to bolster the case for additional fiscal stimulus.
The move, if successful, would help to mend the economic damage inflicted by the coronavirus pandemic on the world’s largest economy.
President-elect Joe Biden had last week rolled out a $1.9 trillion coronavirus relief plan that includes cash payments to Americans and money for distributing COVID-19 vaccines.
Analysts noted that strong (stimulus) package would psychologically lift the mood of the investor and a good many consumers are going to go out and spend.
These factors outweighed other stronger ones especially in terms of demand as the International Energy Agency (IEA) cut its forecast for 2021 crude demand.
The IEA on Tuesday cut its forecast for demand in 2021 by 280,000 barrels a day to 5.5 million barrels a day. The bleaker outlook focused mainly on the start of the year, with a 600,000 barrels per day cut to its forecasts for the first quarter and a 300,000 barrels per day cut to its forecasts for the second quarter.
The drop in the first quarter demand is due to a combination of surging case counts across the US and Europe, as well as calls within China to limit travel for the Lunar New Year, a period that sees more people travel than any other single event in the most populous counter in the world.
The Paris-based group, which advises the world’s largest economies on energy-related matters, expects higher demand to allow world oil supply rise by 1.2 million barrels per day this year, following a record decline of 6.6 million barrels per day in 2020.
The IEA expects global oil stocks to fall by 1.1 million barrels per day in the first quarter of 2021, assuming the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, OPEC+, is fully compliant with the latest agreement of increasing production by only 500,000 barrels a day.
Despite the mood on Tuesday, there are also fears among investors due to President-elect Joe Biden’s inauguration on Wednesday, fearing more far-right mob violence.
Weekly data on US petroleum supplies from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) will be released on Thursday, a day later than usual because of Monday’s Martin Luther King, Jr. holiday in America.
Economy
Crude Oil Slumps Amid Hopes of Strait of Hormuz Reopening
By Adedapo Adesanya
Crude oil plummeted on Wednesday on hopes of the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz after US President Donald Trump agreed to a two-week ceasefire with Iran.
Brent crude futures moderated to $94.75 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude eased to $94.41 a barrel.
President Trump said on Wednesday that the US will work closely with Iran and will be talking about tariff and sanctions relief with Iran.
However, analysts cautioned that the ceasefire is a temporary two-week reprieve rather than a permanent resolution, and the global energy system remains fragile due to structural damage to regional infrastructure.
Reuters reported that Iran could open the strait in a limited and controlled way on Thursday or Friday ahead of a meeting between U.S. and Iranian officials in Pakistan.
Agence France-Presse (AFP) reported that two ships appeared to have transited the Strait of Hormuz since the US-Iran ceasefire deal. A Greek-owned bulk carrier and a Liberia-flagged vessel both transited the waterway early on Wednesday.
Meanwhile, Israel carried out its heaviest strikes on Lebanon since the conflict with Hezbollah broke out last month, even as the Iran-aligned group paused attacks on northern Israel and Israeli troops in Lebanon under the ceasefire.
Also, Saudi Arabia’s East-West Pipeline, a critical artery bypassing the Strait of Hormuz, was reportedly hit in an Iranian drone attack. Prior to the attack, the pipeline was pumping at its emergency capacity of 7 million barrels per day to bypass the shuttered strait.
The strikes occurred just hours after a US-Iran ceasefire announcement, which has so far failed to halt regional hostilities. Other facilities in the kingdom were also targeted in the wave of strikes, which the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) claimed included oil facilities owned by American companies in Yanbu.
US crude stocks rose by 3.1 million barrels to 464.7 million barrels during the week ended April 3, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) said.
Economy
Insurance Firms Must Submit 2025 Assessment Returns by May 31—NAICOM
By Adedapo Adesanya
The National Insurance Commission has issued new guidelines for the collection, management, and administration of the Insurance Policyholders’ Protection Fund.
In a circular issued to all insurance institutions on Tuesday, the regulator also set May 31, 2026, as the deadline for insurers to submit their assessment returns for the 2025 financial year.
Recall that on August 5, 2025, President Bola Tinubu signed into law the Nigerian Insurance Industry Reform Act ( NIIRA 2025).
This landmark legislation repeals the Insurance Act 2003, and consolidates related provisions, ushering in a modern regulatory framework. It lays a strong foundation for sustainable growth and increased investment in the country’s insurance sector.
The commission said the guidelines were issued in exercise of its powers under the 2025 Act and other existing insurance laws and regulations to provide regulatory clarity, improve guidance, and ensure ease of compliance across the industry.
According to NAICOM, the guidelines establish a comprehensive structure for the operation of the IPPF, which serves as a statutory safety net to protect insurance policyholders in the event of distress or insolvency of a licensed insurer or reinsurer. The framework also provides direction on the reimbursement of loans by insurers and reinsurers.
NAICOM stated, “The guidelines ensure regulatory clarity, guidance and ease of compliance, as it provides a comprehensive regulatory framework for the collection, management, and administration of the Fund, which serves as a statutory safety net designed to protect insurance policyholders against distress and insolvency of a licensed insurer or reinsurer, including guidance for the reimbursement of loans by an insurer or reinsurer.
“Please be informed that the IPPF Assessment Returns in respect of the year 2025 shall be submitted to the Commission not later than 31st May 2026, while subsequent submissions shall be in line with Section 4.3 of the Guideline on Insurance Policyholders Protection Fund.”
Economy
Dangote Refinery Sells Petrol at N1,200/L as Global Oil Prices Slump
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Dangote Refinery on Wednesday returned the petrol price to N1,200 per litre, less than 24 hours after it increased it by 5 per cent.
The private refinery had raised the ex-depot price by N75 on Tuesday, citing pressure from volatile global oil markets, but quickly brought it back to N1,200 per litre from N1,275 per litre.
The swift downward review is directly linked to a sharp drop in international crude prices. Brent crude has plunged to $95.05 per barrel, after a 13 per cent decline, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude closed at $97.18, recording nearly a 14 per cent drop.
This development comes after US President Donald Trump announced a conditional two-week ceasefire with Iran, which eased fears of immediate supply disruptions in the global oil market.
“This will be a double-sided CEASEFIRE!” Trump said on social media, marking a sharp reversal from his earlier warning that “a whole civilisation will die tonight” if Iran failed to comply with US demands.
Iran’s Foreign Minister, Mr Abbas Araqchi, confirmed that the country would halt attacks provided strikes against Iran cease and transit through the Strait of Hormuz is coordinated by Iranian forces.
Despite the breakthrough, tensions remain elevated across the region, with several Gulf states reporting missile launches, drone activity, or issuing civil defence warnings.
While oil prices have fallen back below $100, they remain significantly elevated after surging by a record amount in March. Market analysts noted that regardless of how successful the ceasefire is, geopolitical risk related to the Strait of Hormuz is likely to remain elevated for the foreseeable future under the control of Iran.
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