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GCR Downgrades Mecure Industries Ratings With Negative Outlook

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mecure industries limited

By Dipo Olowookere

The outlook of a company listed on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited, MeCure Industries Plc, has been lowered to negative from positive by GCR Ratings.

The rating firm also downgraded the Mecure Industries’ national scale long-term and short-term issuer ratings to BBB(NG) and A3(NG) from BBB+(NG) and A2(NG), respectively.

In the same vein, the long-term issue rating of Mecure Industries Funding SPV’s N3 billion Series 1 Senior Secured Bond has been demoted to BBB(NG)(EL) from BBB+(NG)(EL).

In a statement sighted by Business Post, GCR explained that the negative outlook on Mecure Industries “reflects our expectation that the ratings could face further downward pressure if operating cash flows (OCF) remains negative from intense working capital absorption, and liquidity coverage stays below 1x due to increased reliance on short-term debt funding, especially if the proposed equity raise does not materialise or meet expectations.”

It was noted that the use of high short-term debt to finance expanded working capital requirements has weakened the liquidity profile of the company, with rising finance costs and the elevated operational needs.

GCR said it adjusted Mecure Industries’ liquidity profile to reflect the persistently weak coverage resulting from elevated working capital financing, with short-term debt rising to N28.3 billion against a low cash balance of N1.5 billion as of the first quarter of 2025.

Despite factoring in projected improvements in OCF of about N5.8 billion, a portion of inventory holdings (haircut at 40 per cent), and committed revolving credit facilities amounting to N8.9 billion as of May 2025, the uses versus sources liquidity metric remained below 1.0x over a nine to 21 months period.

However, it was noted that capital investment is expected to remain modest over the medium term considering the recent completion of production plant renovations and expansion.

It was stated that plans by the healthcare firm to raise N30 billion from an initial public offering in 2026, aimed at improving the capital structure, should cut down the high near-maturing debt and support working capital funding.

The company’s business profile remains a positive rating factor because of its diversified portfolio of over 140 product offerings across nine therapeutic classes, with a strategic focus on the margin-enhancing ethical medicine segment.

Its competitive position is further underpinned by its nationwide network of about 100 distributors, as well as long-standing relationships with suppliers and foreign technical partners, which facilitates supply chain security, product development, and modern manufacturing practices.

Bolstered by expanding scale, Mecure Industries aims to increase market penetration through new product introductions, competitive pricing strategy, contract manufacturing arrangements, and growing export activity, which are expected to strengthen its competitive stance over the review period.

In the 2024 fiscal year, Mecure Industries grew its earnings by 44.9 per cent to N46.0 billion due to volume growth, inflation-driven price adjustments, the introduction of new formulations, and expanded production capacity.

This was sustained into the first quarter of this year and GCR projects that the firm could improve its revenue by 40 per cent due to increased capacity utilisation, rising sales volumes, and incremental contributions from export sales and new contract manufacturing arrangements.

Further, the EBITDA margin is projected to remain strong at around 27 per cent over the next 21 months, supported by increased contributions of margin-safe ethical medicines, sustained cost management, improved scale efficiency and cost savings from removal of VAT and import duties on drugs.

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Economy

Naira Crashes to N1,464/$1 at Official Market, N1,485/$1 at Black Market

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Official FX Market

By Adedapo Adesanya

It was not a good day for the Nigerian Naira at the two major foreign exchange (FX) market on Friday as it suffered a heavy loss against the United States Dollar at the close of transactions.

In the black market segment, the Naira weakened against its American counterpart yesterday by N10 to quote at N1,485/$1, in contrast to the N1,475/$1 it was traded a day earlier, and at the GTBank forex counter, it depreciated by N2 to settle at N1,467/$1 versus Thursday’s closing price of N1,465/$1.

In the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) window, which is also the official market, the nation’s legal tender crashed against the greenback by N6.65 or 0.46 per cent to close at N1,464.49/$1 compared with the preceding session’s rate of N1,457.84/$1.

In the same vein, the local currency tumbled against the Euro in the spot market by N2.25 to sell for N1,714.63/€1 compared with the previous day’s N1,712.38/€1, but appreciated against the Pound Sterling by 73 Kobo to finish at N1,957.30/£1 compared with the N1,958.03/£1 it was traded in the preceding session.

The market continues to face seasonal pressure even as the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) is still conducting FX intervention sales, which have significantly reduced but not remove pressure from the Naira. Also, there seems to be reduced supply from exporters, foreign portfolio investors and non-bank corporate inflows.

President Bola Tinubu on Friday presented the government’s N58.47 trillion budget plan aimed at consolidating economic reforms and boosting growth.

The budget is based on a projected crude oil price of $64.85 a barrel and includes a target oil output of 1.84 million barrels a day. It also projects an exchange rate of N1,400 to the Dollar.

President Tinubu said inflation had plunged to an annual rate of 14.45 per cent in November from 24.23 per cent in March, while foreign reserves had surged to a seven-year high of $47 billion.

Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market was dominated by the bulls but it continues to face increased pressure after million in liquidations in previous session over accelerating declines, with Dogecoin (DOGE) recovering 4.2 per cent to trade at $0.1309.

Further, Ripple (XRP) appreciated by 3.9 per cent to $1.90, Cardano (ADA) rose by 3.5 per cent to $0.3728, Solana (SOL) jumped by 3.4 per cent to $126.23, Ethereum (ETH) climbed by 2.9 per cent to $2,982.42, Binance Coin (BNB) gained 2.0 per cent to sell for $853.06, Bitcoin (BTC) improved by 1.7 per cent to $88,281.21, and Litecoin (LTC) soared by 1.2 per cent to $76.50, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) traded flat at $1.00 each.

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Economy

Crude Oil Prices Climb as US Blocks Venezuelan Tankers

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By Adedapo Adesanya

Crude oil prices edged up on possible disruptions from a US blockade of Venezuelan tankers as the market waits for news about a possible Russia-Ukraine peace deal.

Brent futures rose 65 cents or 1.1 per cent to $60.47 per barrel while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures expanded by 51 cents or 0.9 per cent to $56.66 per barrel. Both Brent and WTI were down about 1 per cent this week after both crude benchmarks fell about 4 per cent last week.

US President Donald Trump said he was leaving the possibility of war with Venezuela on the table, noting that there would be additional seizures of oil tankers near Venezuelan waters after the US seized a sanctioned oil tanker off the coast of Venezuela last week.

The American President this week ordered a “blockade” of all sanctioned oil tankers entering and leaving Venezuela, in the US’ latest move to increase pressure on Nicolas Maduro’s government, targeting its main source of income. The pressure campaign on President Maduro has included a ramped-up military presence in the region and more than two dozen military strikes on vessels in the Pacific Ocean and Caribbean Sea near Venezuela, which have killed at least 90 people.

President Trump has also previously said that US land strikes on the South American country will soon start.

Meanwhile, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio on Friday said that the US is not concerned about an escalation with Russia when it comes to Venezuela, as the Trump administration builds up military forces in the Caribbean.

This development comes as President Trump seeks an end to the unending war between Ukraine and Russia that is heading towards its fourth year.

European Union leaders decided on Friday to borrow cash to loan 90 billion Euros to Ukraine to fund its defense against Russia for the next two years as Russian President Vladimir Putin offered no compromise on Friday on his terms for ending the war in Ukraine and accused the European Union of attempting “daylight robbery” of Russian assets.

Ukraine, meanwhile, struck a Russian “shadow fleet” oil tanker in the Mediterranean Sea with aerial drones for the first time.

Earlier this week, the US and Ukraine both signaled progress in negotiations about a peace agreement during talks in German capital city of Berlin. The US is now reportedly offering Ukraine security guarantees modeled on NATO’s Article 5 mutual defense pledge.

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Economy

Tinubu Presents N58.47trn Budget for 2026 to National Assembly

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2026 budget tinubu

By Adedapo Adesanya

President Bola Tinubu on Friday presented a budget proposal of N58.47 trillion for the 2026 fiscal year titled Budget of Consolidation, Renewed Resilience and Shared Prosperity to a joint session of the National Assembly, with capital recurrent (non‑debt) expenditure standing at 15.25 trillion, and the capital expenditure at N26.08 trillion, while the crude oil benchmark was pegged at $64.85 per barrel.

Business Post reports that the Brent crude grade currently trades around $60 per barrel. It is also expected to trade at that level or lower next year over worries about oil glut.

At the budget presentation today, Mr Tinubu said the expected total revenue for the year is N34.33 trillion, and the proposal is anchored on a crude oil production of 1.84 million barrels per day, and an exchange rate of N1,400 to the US Dollar.

In terms of sectoral allocation, defence and security took the lion’s share with N5.41 trillion, followed by infrastructure at N3.56 trillion, education received N3.52 trillion, while health received N2.48 trillion.

Addressing the lawmakers, the President described the budget proposal as not “just accounting lines”.

“They are a statement of national priorities,” the president told the gathering. “We remain firmly committed to fiscal sustainability, debt transparency, and value‑for‑money spending.”

The presentation came at a time of heightened insecurity in parts of the country, with mass abductions and other crimes making headlines.

Outlining his government’s plan to address the challenge, President Tinubu reminded the gathering that security “remains the foundation of development”.

He said some of the measures in place to tame insecurity include the modernisation of the Armed Forces, intelligence‑driven policing and joint operations, border security, and technology‑enabled surveillance and community‑based peacebuilding and conflict prevention.

“We will invest in security with clear accountability for outcomes—because security spending must deliver security results,” the president said.

“To secure our country, our priority will remain on increasing the fighting capability of our armed forces and other security agencies by boosting personnel and procuring cutting-edge platforms and other hardware,” he added.

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