Economy
GCR Upgrades NEM Insurance Rating to A(NG)
By Dipo Olowookere
Global Credit Ratings has upgraded the national scale claims paying ability rating of NEM Insurance Plc to A(NG) from A-(NG), with the outlook accorded as Stable.
A statement issued by GCR explained that the rating, which remains valid until June 2019, was accorded based on the fact that NEM’s risk adjusted capitalisation is considered to be strong, supported by a sizeable capital base catering for the quantum of insurance and market risk exposures.
In this regard, the ratio of shareholders’ funds to net earned premium (NEP) rose to a review period high of 99.5 percent at FY17.
Sound internal capital generation and relatively well contained dividend distributions are likely to maintain risk adjusted capital adequacy within a strong range over the rating horizon.
Key liquidity metrics remained at strong levels, with cash coverage of technical provisions registering at 1x (FY16: 0.9x), while the average monthly claims cash cover ratio equated to 44 months at FY17 (FY16: 24 months).
GCR said it expects liquidity metrics to remain within a strong range going forward, supported by robust operating cash flow generation and conservative asset allocation.
Sound competitive positioning is supported by the insurer’s entrenched position in the market, with NEM holding an estimated 5.5 percent of total short term industry premiums in FY17.
Strong brand visibility, coupled with established broker relations is expected to provide continued premium generative capacity, with the insurer likely to defend its current market position, the rating firm explained.
It added that earnings capacity has been supported by consistent realised investment returns, although large fluctuations in underwriting results and fair value movements have induced a degree of margin volatility across the review period.
“While note is taken of the stabilisation in underwriting margins over the past two years (FY17: 16 percent; FY16: 13 percent), earnings capacity might remain volatile over the medium term, underpinned by variable claims patterns and fair value movements.
“The reinsurance programme reflects a moderately high level of counterparty strength, while maximum net retention per risk and event equated to a moderate 3.1 percent of FY17 capital (using the 2017 closing exchange rate).
“Upward rating movement could follow strengthening of the insurer’s business profile supported by strong credit protection metrics. However, the rating will be sensitive to a sustained deterioration in key credit protection metrics and/or sustained weakness in operating performance,” GCR said.
Economy
Shettima Blames CBN’s FX Intervention for Naira Depreciation
By Adedapo Adesanya
Vice President Kashim Shettima has attributed the Naira’s recent depreciation to the intervention of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) in the foreign exchange (FX) market, stating that the currency could have strengthened to around N1,000 per Dollar within weeks if the apex bank had allowed market forces to prevail.
The local currency has dropped over N8.37 on the Dollar in the last week, as it closed at N1,355.37/$1 on Tuesday at the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEM), after it went on a spree late last month and into the early weeks of February.
However, speaking on Tuesday at the Progressive Governors’ Forum (PGF), Renewed Hope Ambassadors Strategic Summit in Abuja, the Nigerian VP said the intervention was to ensure stability.
“In fact, if not for the interventions by the Central Bank of Nigeria yesterday, the 1,000 Naira to a Dollar we are going to attain in weeks, not in months. But for the purpose of market stability, the CBN generously intervened yesterday.
“So, for some of my friends, especially one of our party leaders who takes delight in stockpiling dollars, it is a wake-up call,” the vice president said.
He was alluding to CBN buying US Dollars from the market to slow down the rapid rise of the Naira.
Latest information showed that last week, the apex bank bought about $189.80 million to reduce excess Dollar supply and control how fast the Naira was gaining value.
The move was aimed at preventing foreign portfolio investors from exiting Nigeria’s fixed-income market, as large-scale sell-offs could heighten demand for US Dollars, intensify capital flight, and exert further pressure on the exchange rate.
Amid this, speaking after the 304th meeting of the monetary policy committee (MPC) of the CBN on Tuesday, Governor of the central bank, Mr Yemi Cardoso, said Nigeria’s gross external reserves have risen to $50.45 billion, the highest level in 13 years.
This strengthens the country’s foreign exchange buffers, enhances the apex bank’s capacity to defend the Naira when needed, and boosts investor confidence in the stability of the Nigerian FX market.
Economy
Dangote Refinery Exports 20 million Litres Surplus of PMS
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
Up to 20 million litres in surplus of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), otherwise known as petrol, is being exported daily by the Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals after supplying about 65 million litres to the domestic market.
Nigeria’s average daily petrol consumption stands at between 50 and 60 million litres, indicating that the refinery’s output exceeds current domestic requirements, marking a decisive break from decades of fuel import dependence and recurrent scarcity.
The president of Dangote Group, Mr Aliko Dangote, speaking in Lagos, while confirming a structured offtake agreement with selected marketers to ensure nationwide distribution and eliminate supply instability, said the structured model was designed to eliminate supply bottlenecks and curb speculative practices that have historically triggered disruptions.
“We have agreed an offtake framework to supply up to 65 million litres daily for the domestic market. Any surplus, estimated at between 15 and 20 million litres, will be exported,” he said.
Under a revised distribution framework endorsed by the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority, the refinery will channel nationwide supply through major marketing companies, including MRS Oil Nigeria Plc, Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited Retail (NNPC), 11 plc (Mobil Producing Nigeria), TotalEnergies Marketing Nigeria Plc, Rainoil Limited, Northwest Petroleum & Gas Company Limited, Ardova Plc, Bovas & Company Limited, AA Rano Nigeria Limited, AYM Shafa Limited, Conoil and Masters Energy.
With local refining now exceeding national demand, the country stands to conserve billions of dollars annually in foreign exchange previously spent on petrol imports. Analysts say this would ease pressure on the naira, strengthen external reserves, and improve trade balance stability.
Economy
NECA, CPPE Laud CBN’s 0.50% Interest Rate Cut
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Nigeria Employers’ Consultative Association (NECA) and the Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise (CPPE) have separately commended the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) for reducing the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) from 27.0 per cent to 26.5 per cent at its 304th Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting.
In reaction, NECA Director-General, Mr Adewale-Smatt Oyerinde, praised the decision in a statement, noting that the 50 basis-point cut is “a cautious but noteworthy signal” that authorities were responding to sustained pressures on businesses.
He said the marginal reduction might not immediately lower lending rates, but reflected “a gradual shift toward supporting growth without undermining price stability”.
According to him, the overall stance remained tight, with the Cash Reserve Ratio retained at 45 per cent and the liquidity ratio at 30 per cent.
He added that the asymmetric corridor around the MPR was also maintained, reinforcing a cautious monetary approach.
“With a substantial portion of deposits still sterilised, banks’ capacity to expand credit to the real sector may remain constrained in the near term,” he said.
Mr Oyerinde described the move as “a careful balancing act” aimed at moderating inflation without worsening pressures on businesses.
He noted that firms continued to grapple with high operating costs, exchange rate volatility and weakened consumer demand.
“Inflation, particularly in food, energy and transportation, remains a significant challenge to employers and households,” he said.
He stressed that the modest easing must be supported by coordinated fiscal and structural reforms to address supply-side constraints.
Such reforms, he said, should improve infrastructure and enhance productivity across key sectors of the economy.
Mr Oyerinde urged financial institutions to ensure the MPR reduction was gradually reflected in lending conditions for manufacturers and SMEs.
He affirmed that although the MPC had not fully relaxed its tightening stance, the rate cut signalled cautious optimism.
“Sustained improvements in inflation, exchange rate stability and investor confidence will determine scope for further easing that supports growth and employment,” he said.
On its part, the CPPE said the decision reflected improving macroeconomic fundamentals and a cautious shift from aggressive tightening.
The organisation noted that sustained disinflation, stronger external reserves, an improved trade balance and relative exchange-rate stability had created room for monetary easing.
It said the rate cut could boost investor confidence and support private-sector growth, but cautioned that weak monetary transmission might limit its impact on lending rates.
The CPPE identified high cash reserve requirements, elevated lending rates, government borrowing and structural banking costs as major constraints to effective transmission.
The group also stressed the need for fiscal consolidation, citing high public debt, persistent deficits and rising debt-service obligations as risks to macroeconomic stability.
According to the chief executive of CPPE, Mr Muda Yusuf, effective policy coordination and stronger transmission mechanisms were critical to unlocking investment and sustaining growth, lauding the CBN for what he described as a measured and data-driven policy adjustment.
The CPPE boss noted that the easing reflected strengthening macroeconomic performance, declining inflation, growing reserves, improved trade balance and enhanced foreign exchange stability.
Mr Yusuf added that for the benefits of monetary easing to be fully realised, authorities must strengthen transmission to ensure lower lending rates for the real sector and advance credible fiscal consolidation to safeguard stability.
He said that if supported by structural reforms and disciplined fiscal management, the current policy direction could unlock a stronger investment cycle and more durable economic growth.
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