Connect with us

Economy

Goldman Sachs Sees True Value of Naira at N750/$1, Says Tinubu’s Policy Changes Impactful

Published

on

Tinubu's policy changes

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

A notable global investment company, Goldman Sachs, has expressed surprise at the positive impact of the policy changes of President Bola Tinubu on the Nigerian economy.

Mr Tinubu was sworn in as President on May 29, 2023, and during his first speech, he announced an end to fuel subsidy, his intention to unify all exchange rate regimes and clean up the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) for sound monetary policies.

This week, precisely on Wednesday, the CBN officially floated the Naira and collapsed all other foreign exchange (FX) segments into the Investors and Exporters (I&E) window.

Reacting to this development, Goldman Sachs said while it welcomes the exchange rate convergence, the apex bank needs to give clarity on how the new system will work.

However, the firm praised the current administration for renewing the confidence of investors in the economy.

“More broadly, we have been positively surprised by the pace of policy changes announced by the Tinubu administration in the last two weeks since the President’s inauguration, which in our view, are supportive of sovereign credit.

“While the end-game for monetary/FX policy still remains quite uncertain, we nonetheless interpret the incremental developments as positive,” the financial institution said.

It pointed out that the government was yet to give guidance on the “policy preferences with respect to the FX regime.”

“Additionally, following the suspension of former CBN Governor Emefiele, the new administration has not yet made an appointment for a new governor.

“Thus, it remains uncertain whether the CBN will re-peg the currency at a new (weaker) level or might move in the direction of introducing some currency flexibility (in the extreme, a free-float),” it stated.

But the company noted that based on its analysis and the current prices of crude oil, “The Naira adjustment needed to rebalance the current account into a sustainable surplus would entail a devaluation to around N750 to a Dollar.”

3 Comments

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Economy

Nigeria Accesses $1.5bn from UAE Lender’s $5bn Swap Deal

Published

on

First Abu Dhabi Bank

By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigeria has received the first tranche of its $5 billion derivatives financing arrangement with the First Abu Dhabi Bank (FAB), the United Arab Emirates’ largest lender.

According to a Bloomberg report published on Friday, the federal government drew about $1.5 billion over the past two weeks through a Total Return Swap (TRS) transaction with the lender.

The report stated that Nigeria will provide naira-denominated securities valued at 133.3 per cent of the loan amount as collateral for the transaction, while international financial institutions continue to express concerns about the risks associated with such derivative-based financing structures.

The financing is expected to support the government’s debt management strategy by replacing more expensive borrowings while helping finance the country’s fiscal deficit.

The first tranche is priced at 395 basis points above the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR), rising to SOFR plus 400 basis points thereafter.

The transaction further expands Nigeria’s financial relationship with First Abu Dhabi Bank, which had earlier provided about $1.2 billion to support the construction of a section of the ongoing Lagos-Calabar Coastal Highway.

The swap deal has come with much scrutiny from critics and international organisations. Recall that the International Monetary Fund (IMF), after a consultation visit, warned Nigeria against the deal, noting that such transactions are ‌often opaque and complex.

“Our view is that the transactions in these types of structures carry risks. Usually they are opaque, so the terms are not always ⁠very transparent when we reviewed these instruments across countries,” according to the IMF’s mission chief in Nigeria, Mr Christian Ebeke.

Mr Ebeke said Nigeria could instead issue eurobonds to finance its deficits or other means to raise funding, including on concessional terms.

The Senate in April gave its approval to the agreement put forward by President Bola Tinubu, who said his administration intends to use proceeds from the total return swap to refinance expensive debt and pay for infrastructure.

Continue Reading

Economy

Nigeria Needs More Taxpayers, Not Higher Taxes—Oyedele

Published

on

FIRS taxes

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Mr Taiwo Oyedele, yesterday clarified that the federal government is not increasing taxes but making efforts to raise the tax net.

Mr Oyedele made this remark on Thursday while receiving a delegation from the Chartered Institute of Taxation of Nigeria (CITN) at his office in Abuja.

He hailed the institute for introducing a National Tax Awareness Day and for supporting the current tax reforms of the federal government.

The minister charged the institute to double its effort in public enlightenment, stressing that many Nigerians still view taxation as a means for the government to take money from citizens.

He reiterated that the priority of the government is not to increase tax rates but to broaden the tax base by ensuring that all eligible taxpayers meet their obligations.

“We are still not getting enough revenue from taxes.

“It is not about increasing taxes but making sure that those who are supposed to pay taxes. We want to promote fairness in tax administration,” he said.

Nigeria is challenged by the inability to generate adequate revenue from taxation despite ongoing reforms, stressing that a significant number of eligible taxpayers have yet to fulfil their civic obligations.

He said the challenge facing the country was not necessarily about raising tax rates but ensuring that individuals and businesses that ought to pay taxes do so in a fair and transparent system.

The minister also commended the institute for supporting the federal government’s tax reform agenda and promoting public understanding of taxation, but urged it to intensify its advocacy efforts, noting that many Nigerians still harbour misconceptions about taxation.

According to him, many citizens continue to view taxation merely as a tool for the government to take money from the people rather than as a critical instrument for national development.

“We are still not getting enough revenue from taxes. It is not about increasing taxes, but making sure that those who are supposed to pay taxes. We want to promote fairness in tax administration,” he added.

Mr Oyedele stressed that if Nigeria succeeds in building an efficient and equitable tax system, the impact on infrastructure, public services and economic development would be transformative, challenging the institute to introduce annual awards for the country’s most tax-compliant individuals and organisations as a means of encouraging voluntary compliance and recognising responsible taxpayers.

Continue Reading

Economy

Akara, Kulikuli, Roasted Corn Business Not Capital Intensive—Remi Tinubu

Published

on

remi tinubu

​By Modupe Gbadeyanka

Nigeria’s First Lady, Mrs Oluremi Tinubu, has given Nigerians business advice that may not involve a lot of money to start.

Speaking with newsmen recently, the wife of President Bola Tinubu said businesses like akara (fried bean cake), kulikuli (a crunchy snack from roasted peanuts or groundnuts) and roasted corn can be set up without breaking the bank.

She disclosed that to support her husband’s Renewed Hope agenda, she has provided funding packages to traders and others to the tune of N3.5 billion.

“To start akara business doesn’t take a lot of money. To start roasting corn and kuli-kuli doesn’t take much. We didn’t give them a loan; we gave it to them as a grant,” she stated.

She further said, “We’ve encouraged Nigerians as best as we could, what is within our hands, I have given, and I keep giving. Those are the things we’ve done.”

“I remember giving for TB (tuberculosis) when I heard of many TB cases; I gave N2 billion, to breast cancer, I gave N1 billion, and to [tackle] malnutrition, I gave N500 million.

“These are the things we’ve been doing to assist the government. So, we’ve had impact in agriculture, social investment, education (as scholarship and ICT training) and others. We are still open to doing more,” she disclosed.

Continue Reading

Trending