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Guinness Nigeria Earnings Rebound Despite Weakening Margins

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Guinness Nigeria

By Modupe Gbadeyanka

A subsidiary of Diageo Plc of the United Kingdom, Guinness Nigeria, on Tuesday, released its Q2-17/18 results, showing an improvement from what was obtained in the first quarter results.

Specifically, the brewer’s net profit increased to N2.09 billion against the N2.44 billion loss recorded last year.

This was mainly buoyed by continued revenue growth, better margin, and lower opex and finance charges.

The net profit was equally higher compared to Q1-17/18’s N41.4 million, but below our N2.70 billion estimate and consensus expectation of N2.8 billion.

In addition, the company’s revenue grew by 11 percent year-on-year and 36 percent quarter-on-quarter, sustained by festive demand, strong marketing effort, and relatively higher prices.

In a statement issued recently, DIAGEO said the group enjoyed positive price in Nigeria, and that mainstream spirits and value beer (Dubic precisely) recorded faster growth during the period.

Sales volume was reported to have grown by about 17 percent y/y over H1-17/18. Value beer (23 percent y/y), Guinness (14 percent y/y), Malta Guinness (6 percent y/y), and main stream spirits (22 percent y/y) recorded net sales growth in the first half.

According to analysts at Cordros Research, “While gross margin remained higher relative to the last financial year (+601 bps y/y), we are quite surprised by the 118 bps decline compared to the first quarter.

“Compared to our estimate, gross margin was lower by c.650 bps, and has weakened consistently since reaching record 55 percent in Q3-16/17, reflecting, as we stated in the Q1 note, growing contribution of value beer and inflationary pressure on key raw material input prices (Sorghum in this case).”

On the positive, opex was lower by 12 percent y/y and was below the estimate by 25 percent. Admin and distribution expenses were lower by 25 percent y/y and 24 percent y/y respectively while marketing expenses increased (following focused campaigns on Guinness) by 20 percent y/y.

EBITDA margin of 15.4 percent was reported, significantly higher y/y, but lower by 96 bps q/q.

Cordros said also worth highlighting is the 65 percent y/y decrease in finance charges, comprising N583 million loss (N857 million in Q2-16/17) on foreign exchange transactions and N374 million (vs. N1.9 billion in Q2-16/17) related to interest expense on loans and borrowings and overdraft facilities.

Compared to Q1, FX loss and interest expenses were lower by 74 percent and 77 percent respectively.

Gross debt now stands at N12.5 billion post-Rights Issue, and the consequent reduced interest burden will remain supportive of earnings for the rest of 2018.

Cordros noted that continued growth in revenue and the savings on both operating and financing costs bode well for GUINNESS’ earnings in 2018.

However, continued weakening margins dampens earnings growth expectation from 2019, as the effect of low revenue and finance cost bases tapers.

The stock has gained 20 percent YtD, and positive reaction to the result is expected with estimates under review.

Dipo Olowookere is a journalist based in Nigeria that has passion for reporting business news stories. At his leisure time, he watches football and supports 3SC of Ibadan. Mr Olowookere can be reached via [email protected]

Economy

Chiemeka Highlights Role of Non-Interest Finance in Enhancing Market Inclusion

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Jude Chiemeka NGX CEO

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The chief executive of the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited, Mr Jude Chiemeka, has emphasised the importance of non-interest finance in the economy and the nation’s capital market.

Speaking at the 7th African International Conference on Islamic Finance (AICIF) in Lagos recently, he said non-interest finance drives sustainable economic transformation and enhances market inclusion.

According to him, this was why the stock exchange created a special board for the sub-market segment to attract ethical investors.

“At NGX, our Non-Interest Finance Board represents more than a platform, it embodies our commitment to unlocking ethical capital, diversifying investment opportunities, and driving sustainable development.

“By leveraging innovation and strategic partnerships, we are creating pathways for inclusive growth and positioning Nigeria at the forefront of Islamic finance in Africa,” Mr Chiemeka stated at the event organised by The Metropolitan Skills Limited in collaboration with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

Business Post reports that Nigeria’s non-interest capital market has recorded significant expansion in recent years, with sovereign Sukuk issuances at over N1.4 trillion for multiple projects nationwide.

It was gathered that the two-day AICIF attracted policymakers, regulators, development partners, and market participants, who explored policy reforms, product innovation, and strategies to unlock liquidity across Africa’s Islamic finance markets.

Also speaking, the chairman of NGX Group Plc, Mr Umaru Kwairanga, said NGX’s Non-Interest Finance Board has become a central platform for expanding access to Sharia-compliant financial instruments and attracting investors seeking transparency, inclusivity, and sustainability.

“Through the Non-Interest Finance Board, NGX is building a dedicated platform for Sukuk, Islamic collective investment schemes, and non-interest exchange-traded funds. Our goal is to broaden market participation while channelling capital towards productive sectors of the economy,” he said.

On his part, the Vice President of Nigeria, Mr Kashim Shettima, represented by the Special Adviser to the President on Economic Matters, Mr Tope Fasua, described Islamic finance as a credible mechanism for fostering equitable prosperity and sustainable development, urging broader adoption across African economies.

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Economy

NECA Backs Tinubu’s 15% Fuel Import Levy

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NECA Adewale Smatt-Oyerinde

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Nigeria Employers’ Consultative Association (NECA) has backed the proposed 15 per cent fuel import tariff introduced by the President Bola Tinubu-led government.

According to NECA Director General, Mr Wale Smatt Oyerinde, the move will enhance local production of the commodity.

“We support the policy of a 15 per cent tariff on imported petroleum products — not on locally produced ones.

“If the 15 per cent tariff is the ‘punishment’ we must bear collectively for our recklessness in allowing our four refineries to collapse, then so be it,” he said when he was interviewed on Channels Television on Friday.

“Even developed nations like the US are introducing protectionist policies to protect their local industries. We don’t have much excuse not to do the same,” the NECA boss said.

Recall that President Tinubu had approved the 15 percent tariff increase in a letter sent to the Federal Inland Revenue Service (FIRS) and the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority, mandating its enforcement.

Critics have faulted the move, arguing it will lead to an increase in the landing cost of the product, with petrol and diesel expected to see further increment.

However, support for the programme has come from many quarters including energy businessman, Mr Femi Otedola, who backed move recently.

The NECA chief also believes the policy is a step in the right direction, adding that a similar actions should be extended to other areas.

“The president gave approval about two weeks ago, and the OPS has done its analysis. We’re also looking beyond petrol and diesel.

“To ramp up production in the manufacturing and real sectors, this kind of policy should extend there too. Why do we import things we can produce locally? It affects forex and other aspects of the economy,” Mr Oyerinde said.

“We’ve said that everything we can produce locally should attract import duties, provided we have made sufficient arrangements for local production to meet our needs. If we have to give businesses a one- or two-year moratorium to integrate backward, then fine, but let’s reduce the tendency to import,” he added.

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Economy

Shell Gives Nigerian Offshore Gas Deal to Halliburton

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Shell UK stock

By Adedapo Adesanya

Shell Nigeria Exploration and Production Company has given US-based Halliburton an integrated drilling contract to work on the oil major’s $2 billion shallow-water HI offshore gas project in Nigeria.

According to reports, the financial terms of the deal, awarded by Shell, were not disclosed.

Halliburton, based in Houston, said it will deploy remote operations and automated technologies for the work.

In October, Shell announced HI, located in Nigeria’s Oil Mining Licence (OML) 144. The UK major operates the HI project with a 40 per cent working interest alongside its local partner, Sunlink Energies and Resources, which owns a 60 per cent stake.

The project, when completed, will supply 350 million standard cubic feet (approximately 60 thousand barrels of oil equivalent) of gas per day at peak production to Nigeria LNG (NLNG; Shell interest 25.6 per cent), which produces and exports liquefied natural gas (LNG) to global markets.

According to a statement, production is expected to begin before the end of this decade.

At the time of the announcement, Mr Peter Costello, Shell’s Upstream President, said that “This Upstream project will help Shell grow our leading Integrated Gas portfolio, while supporting Nigeria’s plans to become a more significant player in the global LNG market.”

The gas will be sent to the delayed Train 7 of the Nigeria Liquefied Natural Gas (NLNG) plant, currently being built by a Saipem-led consortium.

The increase in feedstock to NLNG, via the Train 7 project that aims to expand the Bonny Island terminal’s production capacity, is in line with Shell’s plans to grow its global LNG volumes by an average of 4-5 per cent per year until 2030.

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