Economy
Guinness Nigeria to Maintain Strong Market Position Amid Cost Pressures
By Dipo Olowookere
One of the leading brewery companies in the country, Guinness Nigeria Plc, has been tipped to maintain its strong market position despite the various challenges it is facing at the moment.
Share price of the company at the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) has plummeted lately and at the close of market on Monday, it was down by 30 kobo to sell at N18 per share.
Last week, a local rating agency, Global Credit Ratings (GCR), assigned national scale issuer ratings of A+(NG) and A1(NG) in the long term and short term respectively to Guinness Nigeria Plc, with the outlook stable.
In a statement obtained by Business Post, GCR said Guinness Nigeria, which controls about 22 percent of the market share in the country, should remain relevant in the space as a result of its “well-diversified portfolio of strong brands spanning lager, stout, spirits and non-alcoholic beverages.”
However, it warned that heightened competitive pressure, coupled with the tough operating environment will continue to affect the organisation.
Guinness Nigeria is a subsidiary of Diageo Plc, a global brewing company with operations in more than 180 countries.
With Nigeria being one of its major markets, Diageo is committed to providing technical, strategic and funding support to the firm, which experienced growth in revenue supported by an increase in sales volume and addition of some new local products to its portfolio.
“Like other industry players, Guinness Nigeria has experienced rising margin pressure, triggered by the depreciation of the Naira, which has impacted the prices of imported raw materials and other locally sourced inputs.
“Cost pressures are expected to worsen in the medium term given the uncertainties in the Nigerian foreign exchange market, coupled with inability to fully pass on additional costs to consumers.
“This notwithstanding, management is confident that earnings margins will stabilise due to the efficiency initiatives, centred on cost rigour and high margin products, rather than volumes,” GCR said.
It said the spike in debt at FY16 and FY17 saw net gearing rise above 80 percent and net debt to EBITDA over 190 percent, from a low of 31.4 percent and 56.4 percent at FY15.
However, gross debt has reduced substantially since FY18, following the conversions of intergroup loans to equity and part settlement of outstanding bank facilities. Thus, net debt to EBITDA moderated to 86.1 percent at end-March 2020 (3Q FY20), while net debt to equity registered below 18 percent, comparing favourably to its major peers,’ the rating firm said, adding that interest coverage has improved to exceed 4x in FY19.
Later in the year, Guinness Nigeria plans to establish a commercial paper issuance programme to refinance its maturing short-term borrowings, as well as diversify sources of funding. Even when gross debt has been fairly elevated, Guinness has reported moderate gearing metrics.
“Guinness evidences a favourable cash conversion cycle that facilitates strong cash generation and liquidity. Nevertheless, the uncertainties in the currency market has forced the company to increase inventory holding to ensure sufficient raw materials are readily available.
“Access to liquidity remains strong with over N16 billion in unutilised bank debt and $23.1 million of intercompany loans available,” the statement said.
GCR noted that it considers the brewing sector to evidence lower cyclicality, the COVID-19 crisis has elevated downside risks for the sector, given its reliance on hospitality and entertainment to drive volumes, saying it “expects Guinness Nigeria to maintain its strong market position due to its entrenched brands.”
“An upward rating movement is contingent on a sustained growth in revenue and firmer margins that translates into more stable profitability and cash flows.
“Conversely, a worse than anticipated disruption to demand from COVID-19 and/or severe weakness in the consumer market, could see earnings fall substantially.
“Furthermore, excessive debt utilisation would see credit protection deteriorate, leading to a rating downgrade,” it said.
Economy
Customs Street Chalks up 1.08% on Renewed Buying Pressure
By Dipo Olowookere
A 1.08 per cent growth was further printed by the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited on Friday on improved appetite for Nigerian stocks.
Data showed that the insurance sector lost 0.61 per cent yesterday due to profit-taking as the energy space gave up 0.08 per cent, while the commodity counter closed flat.
However, the industrial goods landscape appreciated by 2.06 per cent, the banking index improved by 1.31 per cent, and the consumer goods sector expanded by 0.83 per cent.
At the close of business on Customs Street, the All-Share Index (ASI) increased by 1,563.92 points to 147,040.07 points from 145,476.15 points and the market capitalisation went up by N996 billion to N93.722 trillion from N92.726 trillion.
UAC Nigeria led the advancers’ log yesterday after it grew by 10.00 per cent to N96.80, Transcorp Hotels jumped by 9.71 per cent to N172.80, Royal Exchange appreciated by 8.89 per cent to N1.96, Ikeja Hotel soared by 8.74 per cent to N31.10, and Veritas Kapital leapt by 8.07 per cent to N1.74.
On the flip side, Union Dicon declined by 10.00 per cent to N6.30, ABC Transport slipped by 9.88 per cent to N3.10, AXA Mansard depreciated by 7.19 per cent to N12.90, FTN Cocoa lost 4.62 per cent to trade at N4.75, and Guinea Insurance dropped 3.36 per cent to finish at N1.15.
A total of 38 stocks ended on the gainers’ table and 17 stocks finished on the losers’ table, representing a positive market breadth index and strong investor sentiment.
Traders transacted 361.6 million equities for N14.8 billion in 21,051 deals yesterday versus the 1.9 billion equities worth N19.2 billion traded in 23,369 deals a day earlier, showing a decline in the trading volume, value, and number of deals by 80.97 per cent, 22.92 per cent, and 14.20 per cent, respectively.
The busiest stock for the session was Zenith Bank with 59.5 million units worth N3.6 billion, Access Holdings traded 46.1 million units valued at N973.0 million, Fidelity Bank exchanged 29.4 million units for N560.4 million, FCMB transacted 27.9 million units worth N293.9 million, and Tantalizers sold 13.0 million units valued at N29.8 million.
Economy
Nipco, 11 Plc Crash OTC Securities Exchange by 4.76%
By Adedapo Adesanya
Energy stocks influenced the 4.76 per cent loss recorded by the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange on Friday, December 5.
The culprits were the duo of 11 Plc and Nipco Plc,with the former shedding N32.17 to end at N291.83 per share compared with the previous day’s N324.00 per share, and the latter down by N21.00 to sell at N195.00 per unit versus the previous session’s N216.00 per unit.
Consequently, the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) slumped by 170.16 points to 3,401.37 points from 3,571.53 points and the market capitalisation lost N101.81 billion to close at N2.035 billion from the N2.136 trillion quoted in the preceding session.
The OTC securities exchange suffered the decline yesterday despite the share prices of three companies closing green.
Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc was up by N1.80 to close at N39.80 per share compared with Thursday’s price of N38.00 per share, Air Liquide Plc appreciated by N1.09 to N11.99 per unit from N10.90 per unit, and FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc grew by 78 Kobo to N56.57 per share from N55.79 per share.
During the session, the volume of transactions rose by 6,885.3 per cent to 18.2 million units from 4.3 million units, the value of transactions ballooned by 10,301.7 per cent to N389.7 million from N347.2 million, but the number of deals declined by 29.7 per cent to 26 deals from 37 deals.
Infrastructure Credit Guarantee Company (InfraCredit) Plc ended the day as the most traded stock by value on a year-to-date basis with 5.8 billion units worth N16.4 billion, followed by Okitipupa Plc with 170.4 million units valued at N8.0 billion, and Air Liquide Plc with 507.5 million units worth N4.2 billion.
InfraCredit Plc also finished the day as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 5.8 billion units transacted for N16.4 billion, followed by Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc with 1.2 billion units sold for N420.2 million, and Impresit Bakolori Plc with 536.9 million units worth N524.9 million.
Economy
Naira Depreciates to N1,450/$1 at Official Forex Market
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Naira depreciated further against the US Dollar in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Friday, December 5, as FX demand pressure mounts.
The Nigerian currency lost N2.60 or 0.18 per cent against the greenback to close at N1,450.43/$1 compared with the previous day’s N1,447.83/$1.
Equally, the domestic currency declined against the Pound Sterling in the official forex market during the session by N4.48 to trade at N1,935.45/£1, in contrast to Thursday’s closing price of N1,930.97/£1 and shrank against the Euro by 43 Kobo to end at N1,689.17/€1 versus the preceding session’s rate of N1,688.74/€1.
Similarly, the local currency performed badly against the US Dollar at the GTBank FX counter by N2 to close at N1,455/$1 versus Thursday’s N1,453/$1 but traded flat at the parallel market at N14.65/$1.
As the country gets into the festive period, pressure mounted on the local currency reflecting higher foreign payments and lower FX inflows.
However, there are expectations that the Nigerian currency will be stable, supported by interventions by to the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) in the face of steady dollar Demand and inflows from Detty December festivities that will give the Naira a boost after it depreciated mildly last month.
Traders cited by Reuters expect that the Naira will trade within a band of N1,443-N1,450/$1 next week, buoyed by improved FX interventions by the apex bank.
As for the crypto market, it was down yesterday due to profit-taking associated with year-end trading. However, the December 1-Year Consumer Inflation Expectation by the University of Michigan fell to 4.1 per cent from 4.5 per cent previously and 4.5 per cent expected. The 5-Year Consumer Inflation Expectation fell to 3.2 per cent from 3.4 per cent previously and 3.4 per cent expected.
With the dearth of official economic data of late, these private surveys have taken on a new level of significance and the market banks of them to make decisions.
Cardano (ADA) depreciated by 5.7 per cent to $0.4142, Dogecoin (DOGE) slid by 5.1 per cent to $0.1394, Ethereum (ETH) dropped by 3.9 per cent to $3,039.75, Solana (SOL) declined by 3.8 per cent to $133.24, and Litecoin (LTC) fell by 3.7 per cent to $80.59.
Further, Bitcoin (BTC) went down by 2.6 per cent to sell at $89,683.72, Binance Coin (BNB) slumped by 2.2 per cent to $883.59, and Ripple (XRP) shrank by 2.1 per cent to $2.04, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 each.
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