Economy
IMF Says Nigeria’s GDP to Shrink 5.4% in 2020
By Adedapo Adesanya
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) in its latest forecast has downgraded expectations for the Nigerian economy for the 2020 fiscal year.
The Bretton Wood institution said in its reports that it expects Nigeria’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) to shrink by 5.4 percent this year.
According to the global lender, this expected economic contraction is in light of recent challenges brought about by the coronavirus pandemic.
The fund had in April projected a 3.4 percent decline in Nigeria’s GDP, but an assessment of economic trends associated with the pandemic compelled it to review its earlier position.
The global financial institution said the economy will experience a recovery of 2.6 percent in 2021, a slight improvement compared to the 2.4 percent April projection for 2021.
In its presentation on Wednesday, following the release of the June 2020 World Economic Outlook, the IMF further disclosed that the global economy in 2020 and 2021 would further contract by 4.9 percent and 3 percent respectively.
The forecast represents a downgrade from its April projection of 3 percent contraction in 2020 and a recovery of 2.2 percent in 2021, adding that it will bring about a cumulative loss of total output for the global economy this year and next year to around $12 trillion.
It said, “Compared to our April World Economic Outlook forecast, we are now projecting a deeper recession in 2020 and a slower recovery in 2021.
“We are projecting a synchronised deep downturn in 2020 for both advanced economies and emerging markets and developing economies.
“The COVID-19 pandemic has had a more negative impact on activity in the first half of 2020 than anticipated, and the recovery is projected to be more gradual than previously forecast.”
The pandemic has had more negative impact on activities in the first half of 2020 than anticipated and recovery is projected to be slower than previously forecast, the IMF said in the June 2020 Outlook.
“We are definitely not out of the woods,” Chief Economist and director of IMF’s research department, Ms Gita Gopinath said. “This is a crisis like no other and will have a recovery like no other.”
The IMF warned that the adverse impact on low-income households is particularly acute, setting back the significant progress made in reducing extreme poverty in the world since the 1990s.
The world is facing the worst downturn since the Great Depression, but the depth and duration of the economic collapse are not expected to be as severe, given the strength of the economy going into the crisis and the relative stability of the financial system.
However, as with earlier projections, there is a higher-than-usual degree of uncertainty around this forecast, the IMF said.
Across the world, countries are experiencing surges in new cases, complicating plans to reopen their economies. Even with some businesses resuming, voluntary social distancing and workplace safety standards are weighing on economic activity, the fund notes.
The global lender explained that any improvement moving forward will largely depend on the development of a vaccine or cure for the coronavirus disease or whether future waves create the need for additional lockdowns.
Economy
NASD Reiterates Commitment to Strategic Direction, Strong Governance
By Adedapo Adesanya
NASD Plc, which operates Nigeria’s Over-the-Counter (OTC) securities exchange, has reaffirmed its commitment to reinforcing its long-term strategic direction and governance framework.
The exchange recently convened its major shareholders, board members, and executive management at a high-level stakeholder retreat in Lagos.
NASD said, “The retreat held in Lagos brought together key institutional stakeholders for in-depth discussions on NASD’s evolving role within Nigeria’s capital market ecosystem.
“The engagement provided a structured platform for shareholders and management to align on strategic priorities necessary to deepen institutional strength, enhance market relevance, and support sustainable growth.”
The company noted that deliberations focused on the importance of strong shareholder collaboration, disciplined strategy execution, and equitable governance practices to further strengthen investor confidence and long-term value creation.
The statement added that participants exchanged views on navigating market complexity, adapting to regulatory and economic changes, and ensuring that the Exchange continues to operate in line with global best practices while addressing the specific needs of Nigeria’s over-the-counter market.
NASD emphasised that the retreat highlighted the critical role of close alignment among shareholders, the Board, and executive leadership in shaping the Exchange’s next phase of development. By encouraging open dialogue and shared strategic intent, the engagement reaffirmed NASD’s commitment to transparency, institutional resilience, and leadership within the capital market.
The session concluded with a group engagement reflecting the depth of experience, governance oversight, and collective responsibility guiding NASD’s strategic outlook as it continues to enhance its contribution to Nigeria’s financial market architecture.
NASD posted a standout performance in 2025, with its market diversification strategy delivering a surge in listings, deeper market activity, and a sharp expansion in market value across its alternative trading platforms.
Last year, the market capitalisation on the exchange more than doubled to N2.12 trillion, representing a 106 per cent increase from N1.03 trillion in 2024. The number of admitted securities also rose marginally to 47, up from 45 in the prior year, reflecting a 4 per cent growth.
The NASD Securities Index (NSI) rose by 18 per cent to 3,543.74 points, compared with 3,002.68 points in 2024. Similarly, the NASD Pension Index advanced by 21 per cent to 1,032.88 points, up from 954.33 points.
Trading volumes surged significantly during the year. Total volume traded climbed to 14.03 billion units, marking a 377 per cent increase from 2.98 billion units in 2024. However, this sharp rise in volume contrasted with a decline in transaction value, which fell by 43 per cent to N59.29 billion, down from N103.96 billion in 2024.
The total number of deals executed on the platform dropped to 6,456, representing a 26 per cent decline from 8,724 deals recorded the previous year, indicating fewer but larger or more strategic transactions.
The exchange also recorded notable listings in 2025, with Infrastructure Credit Guarantee Company PLC (InfraCredit), Paintcom Investment Nigeria PLC (Paintcom), and MRS PLC admitted to trading.
Economy
Customs Area 1 Command Generates N288.8bn to Beat 2025 Target by 33%
By Bon Peters
The Area 1 Command of the Nigeria Customs Service (NCS) in Port Harcourt, Rivers State, surpassed its 2025 revenue target by generating about N288.8 billion.
In the preceding financial year, the command generated N200.8 billion as revenue, indicating a year-on-year growth of 43.83 per cent.
Addressing journalists in Port Harcourt, the Customs Area 1 Controller, Comptroller Salamatu Atuluku, disclosed that the target for the command last year was N216.9 billion, indicating that this was surpassed by N71.8 billion or 33.1 per cent.
She attributed this achievement to the effectiveness of improved compliance monitoring, enhanced cargo examination processes, automation-driven controls, and sustained stakeholder sensitization.
According to her, the monthly revenue performance remained consistently strong throughout the year, with the highest collection recorded in October 2025 at N33.7 billion.
On export trade facilitation, she hinted that in line with the federal government’s economic diversification agenda, the command intensified efforts toward facilitating legitimate export trade, adding that within the year under review, it processed a total export volume of over a million metric tons, comprising both oil and non-oil commodities with a Free on Board (FOB) value of $463.6 million, which she said contributed meaningfully to Nigeria’s foreign exchange earnings.
In addition, Ms Atuluku stated that N838.02 million was paid as Nigeria Export Supervision Scheme (NESS) charges for both oil and non-oil exports during the year, noting that this reflected an increased exporter participation, improved documentation compliance, and the command’s deliberate efforts to streamline export procedures while ensuring adherence to extant regulations.
On anti-smuggling and enforcement activities, it was disclosed that the command sustained vigorous enforcement operations throughout 2025, deploying intelligence-led interventions, risk profiling, and routine cargo examinations to curb smuggling and protect national interests, resulting in the interception of undeclared pharmaceutical products at the NACHO shed.
The items intercepted included Progesterone 100mg/2ml, and Isifrane IP 250ml among others, discovered in three packages without the mandatory NAFDAC regulatory certification, contrary to import guidelines governing pharmaceutical products, the Controller stated.
In the year under review, the personnel of the command benefitted from periodic training programs, sensitization sessions, operational briefings, and system-focused engagements, particularly in areas of customs automation, risk management, enforcement procedures, and trade facilitation.
On infrastructural development, the command renovated the Quarter Guard, thereby enhancing access control, security coordination, and command presence at the main entry point, including the Command Staff Clinic which was renovated and upgraded to improve healthcare delivery and working conditions for medical personnel, and beneficiaries.
Also, the command executed a Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) intervention on December 11, 2025, at the Model Primary School I and II, Orominike, D-Line, Port Harcourt, with the donation of customs-branded notebooks, school bags, and school uniforms, aimed at supporting basic education and easing the burden on pupils and parents within the host community.
Economy
FrieslandCampina, Okitipupa Trigger 0.64% Loss at NASD OTC Bourse
By Adedapo Adesanya
Five securities caused the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange to experience a setback of 0.64 per cent on Monday, February 2.
During the first trading session of February 2026, FrieslandCampinaWamco Nigeria Plc shrank by N4.46 to end at N63.54 per unit versus the previous session’s N68.00 per unit, as Okitipupa Plc depreciated by N3.83 to close at N230.77 per share versus last Friday’s N234.60 per share.
Further, Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) dropped 50 Kobo to sell at N40.00 per unit compared with the previous closing price of N40.50 per unit, UBN Property Plc dipped by 21 Kobo to N1.99 per share from N2.20 per share, and Acorn Petroleum Plc lost 3 Kobo to end at N1.35 per unit versus N1.38 per unit.
As a result, the market capitalisation went down by N13.98 billion to settle at N2.158 trillion, in contrast to the previous value of N2.171 trillion, and the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) contracted by 23.35 points to settle at 3,606.76 points compared with last Friday’s closing value of 3,630.11 points.
Amid the loss, Geo-Fluids Plc managed to finish green after it chalked up 9 Kobo to sell at N6.84 per share versus the N5.75 per share it ended in the last trading day.
Yesterday, the volume of securities traded by investors surged by 1,238.5 per cent to 3.9 million units from 287,618 units, the value of securities increased by 1,075.2 per cent to N36.0 million from N3.1 million, and the number of deals soared by 90.5 per cent to 40 deals from 21 deals.
At the close of trades, CSCS Plc remained the most traded stock by value (year-to-date) with 15.4 million units valued at N623.9 million, followed by FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc with 1.7 million units worth N110.2 million, and Geo-Fluids Plc with 10.6 million units sold for N69.9 million.
CSCS Plc was also the most active stock by volume (year-to-date) with 15.4 million units traded for N623.9 million, trailed by Geo-Fluids Plc with 10.6 million units worth N69.9 million, and Mass Telecom Innovation Plc with 10.1 million units transacted for N4.1 million.
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