Economy
Impact of Nigeria-South Africa Trade on NGN and ZAR Exchange Rates
Nigeria and South Africa are two of the largest economies in Africa. Their trade interactions hold a significant influence on the continent’s economic landscape. Notably, their bilateral trade relationship greatly impacts their respective currencies, the Nigerian Naira (NGN) and the South African Rand (ZAR). In this article, we will explore the impact of the Nigeria-South Africa trade on the NGN and ZAR exchange rates. Let’s jump in.
A Brief Look at the Trade Relations Between Nigeria and South Africa
Trade between Nigeria and South Africa has evolved significantly over the past few decades. Historically, Nigeria’s economy has been heavily reliant on oil exports, which account for a substantial portion of its GDP and foreign exchange earnings. Understandably, Nigeria is one of South Africa’s key suppliers of crude oil. In contrast, South Africa’s economy is more diversified, with strong mining, manufacturing, and agricultural sectors. South Africa exports manufactured goods and fruits to Nigeria.
Historically, trade volume has been skewed in favour of South Africa due to the diversity of its exports. However, Nigeria’s oil exports are significant in value and the trade volume is turning in favour of Nigeria. In 2022, Nigeria exported $1.72 billion to South Africa, while South Africa only exported $447 million to Nigeria. Notably, this is one of the biggest factors that impacts the exchange rate between the Naira and the Rand. Let’s take a look at other exchange rate dynamics between the Naira and the Rand.
Exchange Rate Dynamics Between NGN and ZAR
Exchange rates are influenced by a variety of factors. For Nigeria and South Africa, bilateral trade plays a crucial role in influencing the exchange rates of NGN and ZAR. Here is a brief look at how this works.
Trade Balance and Currency Valuation
The trade balance is the difference between exports and imports. It directly impacts the demand and supply of currencies. A trade surplus, where exports exceed imports, leads to higher demand for the exporting country’s currency, thereby appreciating its value. Conversely, a trade deficit can depreciate the currency.
In the context of Nigeria-South Africa trade, Nigeria currently experiences a trade surplus due to its oil exports to South Africa. This surplus increases demand for the Naira, contributing to its appreciation. On the other hand, South Africa’s importation of Nigerian oil increases the supply of Rands in exchange for Naira. This potentially leads to a depreciation of the Rand.
Currency Valuation Policies
Monetary policies set by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) are critical in managing exchange rates. Their central banks intervene in the market to maintain some degree of control over currency fluctuations. Different monetary policies can influence currency values. For instance, if the CBN adopts a tighter monetary policy compared to the SARB, it could lead to higher interest rates in Nigeria. This can attract foreign capital and lead to an appreciation of the Naira.
Commodity Prices
Nigeria is a major oil exporter, and fluctuations in global oil prices can significantly impact its economy and currency. Higher oil prices tend to strengthen the Naira due to increased export revenues. On the other hand, South Africa is a major exporter of gold and other minerals. The prices of these commodities can influence the Rand. Higher gold prices usually strengthen the Rand.
Political and Economic Events
Political stability and significant economic events in Nigeria and South Africa have a direct bearing on their currencies. Elections, policy changes, and economic reforms can lead to fluctuations in the NGN and ZAR exchange rates. For example, political instability, corruption, and militant activities in oil-producing regions have historically affected investor confidence in Nigeria.
On the other hand, economic challenges, such as power shortages and high unemployment, also affect investor confidence in South Africa. Positive developments, such as successful economic reforms and political stability, can enhance the value of the Rand.
Beyond Bilateral Trade: External Factors
Several external factors can also influence the NGN and ZAR exchange rates beyond the Nigeria-South Africa trade. Here is a brief look at some of these factors:
- Speculative Trading – Currency markets are influenced by traders’ expectations about future movements in exchange rates. Both in Nigeria and South Africa, traders are always exchanging currencies and pushing their value. Notably, brokers with low ZAR minimum deposits and low NGN deposits are popular in these countries.
- Global Economic Conditions – A strong global economy can lead to increased demand for South African manufactured goods, boosting the Rand. Conversely, a global slowdown can have a negative impact.
- Foreign Investment Flows – Foreign investments in Nigeria’s oil sector can strengthen the NGN. Similarly, foreign direct investment (FDI) in South Africa can influence the Rand’s value.
- Market Sentiment – Sentiment about economic prospects in Nigeria and South Africa affects investor behaviour. Positive sentiment, driven by factors such as economic reforms or favourable economic data, can attract investment and strengthen currencies. Conversely, negative sentiment can lead to capital flight and currency depreciation.
Conclusion
Nigeria-South Africa trade presents a multifaceted relationship impacting their exchange rates. For Nigeria, oil exports remain a dominant force influencing the Naira, while South Africa’s diversified economy provides a broader base for the Rand. While the trade structure creates a demand-driven influence, external factors and policy interventions play a crucial role. Nigeria and South Africa will continue to strengthen their trade ties and each will navigate the complexities of the global economy. Either way, their exchange rates will remain sensitive to a multitude of factors.
By Adedapo Adesanya
Pathway Advisors Limited has launched a N25 billion Series 3 Commercial Paper (CP) issuance for Zeenab Foods Limited, with proceeds expected to strengthen the agro-processing company’s working capital and support its short-term funding needs.
The offer, which is being issued under Zeenab Foods’ N50 billion Commercial Paper Programme, opened for subscription on August 4 and will close on August 10, 2026. Issue and settlement are scheduled for August 11, while the commercial paper will mature on August 10, 2027.
Acting as the lead arranger and issuing house, Pathway Advisors structured the 364-day instrument at a discount rate of 19.69 per cent, translating to an effective yield of 24.50 per cent. The offer has a minimum subscription of N5 million, with additional investments accepted in multiples of N1,000.
Founded in 2011, Zeenab Foods operates across rice milling, the export of processed agricultural commodities, and the supply of food products to international donor organisations, including the United Nations World Food Programme (UN-WFP). The company runs processing facilities in Abuja and Kano, while maintaining export liaison offices in Changsha, Guangzhou and Shanghai in China, as well as Dubai in the United Arab Emirates.
The company has received strong investment-grade ratings from leading credit rating agencies. Agusto & Co. assigned it a short-term rating of A1 and a long-term rating of A-, while DataPro Limited rated it A1 for the short term and A+ for the long term.
According to the transaction details, Zeenab Foods has maintained a strong repayment record under both its previous N20 billion Commercial Paper Programme and the current N50 billion programme. Since 2024, the company has redeemed multiple commercial paper series ahead of maturity, reinforcing investor confidence in its financial position.
The firm has also continued to expand its production capacity to meet growing demand. Its rice milling facility now has an installed capacity of 180 metric tonnes per day following a 50 per cent expansion completed in 2025, with average capacity utilisation standing at about 85 per cent.
Zeenab Foods has also positioned itself to benefit from policy changes in Nigeria’s agricultural sector. Following the federal government’s ban on raw shea nut exports in August 2025, the company leased a shea butter processing facility in Ogun State with an initial capacity of 100 metric tonnes per day. It plans to expand the facility to 300 metric tonnes daily while diversifying into soya oil processing, edible oil refining and cocoa butter production.
The organisation also expects continued growth from its long-standing relationship with the UN-WFP, supported by sustained humanitarian food demand across the Sahel region.
Pathway Advisors Limited, a Securities and Exchange Commission-regulated issuing house and financial advisory firm, said it remains focused on facilitating access to capital for businesses and supporting sustainable economic growth across key sectors of the Nigerian economy through its capital-raising and advisory services.
As MSMEs across the South-East seek opportunities for growth, market expansion and cross-border trade, Stanbic IBTC, in partnership with the Anambra State Government, convened the Nigeria Business Summit Regional Tour in Onitsha to equip businesses with practical solutions for sustainable growth.
The summit, organised in collaboration with the Anambra State Ministry of Commerce, Industry and Trade, brought together government officials, business leaders, trade associations, development partners and entrepreneurs to explore practical pathways for economic growth, business sustainability and increased participation in local and international trade.
Speaking at the event, which took place on Wednesday, 29 July 2026, Honourable Nonso Chukwuma Ebonwu, Commissioner for Commerce and Industry, Anambra State, highlighted the importance of stronger partnerships between government, financial institutions and the private sector in creating an environment where businesses can thrive and contribute meaningfully to economic growth.
“Sustainable economic development requires strong partnerships between the public and private sectors. Financial institutions such as Stanbic IBTC have an important role to play by providing not only access to finance but also business advisory services, capacity building and the knowledge that enables businesses to grow sustainably,” he said.
Given Onitsha’s strategic position as a commercial hub, discussions centred on access to finance, enterprise development, business sustainability and opportunities for expansion into new markets. Stanbic IBTC’s Trade Team also provided practical insights into trade and export opportunities available to businesses operating within the South-East’s manufacturing and distribution value chains, highlighting strategies that can help enterprises improve competitiveness and unlock new growth opportunities.
Commenting on Stanbic IBTC’s commitment to supporting Nigerian businesses, Chuma Nwokocha, Chief Executive, Stanbic IBTC Holdings, said:
“We recognise the critical role businesses play in driving economic growth, creating jobs and fostering innovation. Supporting their growth remains central to our purpose of driving Africa’s growth, and we will continue to provide the solutions, partnerships and platforms they need to thrive.”
Also commenting on Stanbic IBTC’s support for Nigerian businesses, Remy Osuagwu, Executive Director, Business and Commercial Banking, Stanbic IBTC Bank, said:
“Our commitment to supporting businesses is unrelenting. Through strategic partnerships and platforms such as the Nigeria Business Summit Regional Tour, we are connecting entrepreneurs to the knowledge, networks and financial solutions needed to scale their businesses and compete more effectively in today’s evolving marketplace.”
The summit also highlighted Stanbic IBTC’s focus on providing businesses with access to the capital, insights and connections needed to achieve sustainable growth. This commitment aligns with the strategic direction of the bank’s Enterprise Banking business, led by Olajumoke Bello, as Stanbic IBTC continues to deepen engagement with MSMEs and growth-focused businesses across Nigeria.
The Onitsha engagement builds on successful editions of the Nigeria Business Summit Regional Tour previously held in Katsina, Aba and Ibadan. Through the initiative, Stanbic IBTC continues to work with public and private sector stakeholders to equip entrepreneurs with practical insights, strategic partnerships and business solutions that support sustainable growth.
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The board of Presco Plc has proposed the payment of an interim dividend of N10 per share to shareholders of the organisation for the first six months of this year.
This information was conveyed in the unaudited financial statements of the company released to the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited.
In the results for the half-year ended June 30, 2026, the fully integrated agro-industrial firm said the cash reward reinforces its commitment to delivering consistent shareholder returns.
It further assured that looking ahead, it remains focused on disciplined capital allocation, operational efficiency and long-term value creation while navigating evolving market conditions.
A look at the key financial highlights of the results showed that revenue was relatively stable at about N199.0 billion in the first half of 2026 and the same period of 2025 amid a high-cost operating environment and softer crude palm oil prices.
However, the pre-tax profit rose by 9.3 per cent to N122.2 billion from N119.9 billion as result of a 31.9 per cent reduction in financing costs.
Further, the Edo State-based company posted an EBITDA of N123.1 billion, which yielded a margin of 61.9 per cent, as the organisation strengthened its balance sheet, reducing total liabilities by 42.5 per cent to N277.8 billion, while equity grew 13.8 per cent to N503.6 billion, with a current ratio of 345.6 per cent, which underscores robust liquidity.
“Our H1 2026 performance underscores the strength of our operational model in a challenging environment. The 9.3 per cent growth in profit before tax, driven largely by a 31.9 per cent reduction in financing costs, reflects our deliberate focus on cost optimisation and balance sheet discipline.
“With equity up 13.8 per cent and liabilities down by 42.5 per cent, we have further fortified our financial foundation.
“The proposed interim dividend of N10 per share signals our confidence in the business’s trajectory and our commitment to rewarding shareholders,” the chief executive of Presco, Mr Reji George, stated.
