Connect with us

Economy

Meristem Analysts Value Transcorp Power at N2.3trn

Published

on

transcorp power Plc

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

Analysts at Meristem Research have put the value of Transcorp Power Plc at about N2.3 trillion (precisely N2.290 trillion), higher than its current value of N1.8 trillion.

The power-generating firm joins the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited today, Monday, March 4, 2024, by introduction. It will be the second GenCo (Generating Company) to list its shares on the domestic stock exchange. The first was Geregu Power Plc owned by Mr Femi Otedola, which joined in October 2022.

Transcorp Power, a subsidiary of Transcorp Plc, a firm controlled by Mr Tony Elumelu, listed today on the bourse about 7,500,000,000 ordinary shares at N240.00 per unit.

In an analysis of the company, Meristem Research said Transcorp Power is undervalued as its fair value should be N2.3 trillion based on some parameters it stated.

The investment firm said its valuation process considered GenCo’s growth prospects, inherent risks, and both positive and negative factors influencing its outlook

On how it arrived at the valuation, Meristem said, “We utilised a blended Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation model (Equity Discounted Cash Flow Model, Enterprise Discounted Cash Flow Model, Dividend and Economic Profit Model) and the Relative Valuation Approach.”

A brief look at the financials of the organisation showed a steady growth in its revenue for three years.

In the 2020 fiscal year, it generated N65.12 billion and this grew to N74.33 billion in 2021, N90.35 billion in 2022, and N137.38 billion in 2023.

Meristem projected that the earnings could rise to N302.15 billion in 2024, N407.49 billion in 2025 and N976.94 billion in 2028.

As for its post-tax profit, it was N11.46 billion in 2020, N19.54 billion in 2021, N17.28 billion in 2022, and N33.27 billion in 2023. It is projected to hit N75.53 billion in 2024, N106.21 billion in 2025, and N253.70 billion in 2028.

Analysts see Transcorp Power as a profitable business because of the export drive of the organisation, which started in 2020, when the energy firm supplied power to the Benin Republic, empowering it to tap into diverse revenue streams and capitalise on opportunities beyond the confines of the domestic market.

“We anticipate a sustained expansion in revenue, driven by a combination of existing capabilities and emerging opportunities that the company is well-positioned to capitalise on.

“The recent completion of the overhaul of one of its major turbines, which had been out of operation since 2019, is expected to significantly enhance the company’s capacity utilization and power generation in the near term.

“Furthermore, the company’s bilateral agreements with downstream distribution companies, especially those with high collection rates from users (Discos), will facilitate direct interactions without intermediaries.

“This is poised to result in shorter payment periods and increased transparency, thereby mitigating power losses and improving overall accountability.

“In summary, we reaffirm our expectation that the company is strategically positioned to maintain its robust revenue performance,” the firm said in a note obtained by Business Post.

Economy

Nigeria’s Inflation Eases for Eighth Straight Month to 14.45% in November

Published

on

Nigeria's Inflation

By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigeria’s headline inflation rate eased for the eighth consecutive month in November as it printed 14.45 per cent relative to the October 2025 headline inflation rate of 16.05 per cent.

According to the data released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) on Monday, on a month-on-month basis, the headline inflation rate in November 2025 was 1.22 per cent, which was 0.29 per cent higher than the 0.93 per cent recorded in October 2025.

Consumer inflation peaked at 34 per cent last December before dropping after the stats office revised its base year from 2009 to 2024 and adjusted the weight of items in its price basket.

On a month-on-month basis, the food inflation rate in November 2025 was 1.13 per cent, up by 1.5 per cent from the -0.37 per cent achieved in the preceding month. The increase can be attributed to the rate of increase in the average prices of tomatoes (dried), cassava tuber, periwinkle (shelled), grounded pepper, eggs, crayfish, melon (egusi) unshelled, oxtail, and onions (fresh), among others.

The average annual rate of food inflation for the 12 months ending November 2025 over the previous 12 months’ average was 19.68 per cent, which was 18.99 per cent points lower than the average annual rate of change recorded in November 2024 at 38.67 per cent.

For the urban inflation rate, it stood at 13.61 per cent versus 23.49 per cent in the previous month and compared with the 37.10 per cent recorded in November 2024.

On a month-on-month basis, the urban inflation rate was 0.95 per cent in the review month, down by 0.18 per cent from the 1.14 per cent in October 2025. The corresponding 12-month average for the urban inflation rate was 20.80 per cent in November 2025, which was 14.27 per cent lower than the 35.07 per cent reported in November 2024.

The rural inflation rate in November 2025 was 15.15 per cent on a year-on-year basis, standing 17.12 per cent lower than the 32.27 per cent recorded in November 2024. On a month-on-month basis, the rural inflation rate in November 2025 was 1.88 per cent, up by 1.43 per cent when compared with the 0.45 per cent achieved in October 2025. The corresponding 12-month average for the rural inflation rate in November 2025 was 19.46 per cent. This was 11.24 per cent lower than the 30.71 per cent recorded in November 2024.

Continue Reading

Economy

Domestic Stock Market Witnesses Shortfall in Weekly Activity Level

Published

on

stock market outlook

By Dipo Olowookere

The level of activity at the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) shrank last week after a turnover of 4.373 billion shares worth N97.783 billion in 110,736 deals compared with the 6.617 billion shares worth N113.224 billion executed in 109,590 deals in the preceding week.

It was observed that the financial services industry led the activity chart by volume with 2.252 billion units sold for N47.204 billion in 44,808 deals, contributing 51.49 per cent and 48.27 per cent to the total trading volume and value, respectively.

The ICT sector traded 1.118 billion equities worth N13.148 billion in 10,413 deals, and the energy segment exchanged 233.891 million stocks valued at N4.726 billion in 7,515 deals.

eTranzact, Access Holdings, and FCMB accounted for 1.921 billion shares worth N22.218 billion in 9,558 deals, contributing 43.93 per cent and 22.72 per cent to the total trading volume and value apiece.

The best-performing equity was Morison Industries with a price appreciation of 32.49 per cent to sell for N4.69, Mecure Industries expanded by 27.35 per cent to N37.95, Japaul gained 26.27 per cent to finish at N2.66, Sovereign Trust Insurance improved by 17.24 per cent to N3.40, and PZ Cussons chalked up 16.19 per cent to settle at N47.00.

On the flip side, Eterna lost 14.93 per cent to quote at N30.20, UAC Nigeria declined by 14.26 per cent to N83.00, eTranzact shed 10.00 per cent to end at N12.60, Transcorp Hotels depreciated by 9.95 per cent to N155.60, and Chellarams crumbled by 9.90 per cent to N13.20.

In the five-day trading week, 49 equities appreciated versus 55 equities a week earlier, 41 shares depreciated versus 29 share in the previous week, and 57 stocks closed flat versus 63 stocks in the preceding week.

At the close of business for the week last Friday, the All-Share Index (ASI) was up by 1.63 per cent to 149,433.26 points and the market capitalisation rose by 1.64 per cent to N95.264 trillion.

In the same vein, all other indices finished higher apart from the banking, AFR Div. Yield, MERI Growth, MERI Value, energy, sovereign bond, and commodity indices, which depreciated by 0.12 per cent, 0.75 per cent, 1.07 per cent, 0.27 per cent, 0.13 per cent, 2.02 per cent, and 0.49 per cent, respectively.

Continue Reading

Economy

Nigeria’s Tax Sovereignty Not Affected by Deal With France—FIRS

Published

on

firs and france mou

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Federal Inland Revenue Service (FIRS) has issued a statement providing further clarifications following comments and reports on the recent memorandum of understanding between Nigeria and France on taxation.

The MoU, signed on December 10, 2025, at the French Embassy in Abuja by the chairman of FIRS, Mr Zacch Adedeji and French Ambassador, Mr Marc Fonbaustier, on behalf of France’s Direction Générale des Finances Publiques (DGFiP), focuses on key areas, including digital transformation, workforce development, information exchange, transfer pricing, and tackling base erosion and profit shifting.

However, the MoU has been met with resistance from opposition coalition party African Democratic Congress (ADC) as well as Northern elders, which both raised serious questions about transparency, national sovereignty and the safety of Nigerian consumers’ data.

In response, the tax authority, which will become known as Nigerian Revenue Service (NRS) from next year, emphasised that the deal does not grant France access to Nigerian taxpayer data, digital systems, or any element of the country’s operational infrastructure.

“All existing Nigerian laws on data protection, cybersecurity, and sovereignty remain fully applicable and strictly enforced. The NRS, like its predecessor, FIRS, places the highest premium on national security and maintains rigorous standards for the protection of all taxpayer information.”

It said similar MoUs are signed by tax administrations around the world to promote collaboration, knowledge sharing, and the adoption of global best practices.

“The DGFIP is among the world’s most advanced tax authorities, with over a century of institutional experience and deep expertise in digital transformation, taxpayer services, governance, and public finance.

“This partnership simply enables Nigeria to learn from that experience. It is advisory, non-intrusive, and entirely under Nigeria’s control.

“Contrary to misconceptions, the MoU does not displace local technology providers, FIRS and the emerging Nigeria Revenue Service (NRS) continue to work closely with Nigerian innovators such as NIBSS, Interswitch, Paystack, and Flutterwave. The MoU does not include the provision of technical services; it is limited to knowledge sharing, institutional strengthening, workforce development, policy support, and best-practice guidance.

“We welcome robust public engagement on tax reforms, but such conversations must reflect the actual content and purpose of the agreement. Rather than undermining Nigeria’s sovereignty, this MoU strengthens it by helping to build a modern, capable, globally competitive tax administration one firmly in command of its systems, data, and strategic direction.

“FIRS remains committed to transparency, professionalism and partnership that advance Nigeria’s long-term economic development,” it said in a statement.

Continue Reading

Trending