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Economy

Meristem Analysts Value Transcorp Power at N2.3trn

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transcorp power Plc

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

Analysts at Meristem Research have put the value of Transcorp Power Plc at about N2.3 trillion (precisely N2.290 trillion), higher than its current value of N1.8 trillion.

The power-generating firm joins the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited today, Monday, March 4, 2024, by introduction. It will be the second GenCo (Generating Company) to list its shares on the domestic stock exchange. The first was Geregu Power Plc owned by Mr Femi Otedola, which joined in October 2022.

Transcorp Power, a subsidiary of Transcorp Plc, a firm controlled by Mr Tony Elumelu, listed today on the bourse about 7,500,000,000 ordinary shares at N240.00 per unit.

In an analysis of the company, Meristem Research said Transcorp Power is undervalued as its fair value should be N2.3 trillion based on some parameters it stated.

The investment firm said its valuation process considered GenCo’s growth prospects, inherent risks, and both positive and negative factors influencing its outlook

On how it arrived at the valuation, Meristem said, “We utilised a blended Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation model (Equity Discounted Cash Flow Model, Enterprise Discounted Cash Flow Model, Dividend and Economic Profit Model) and the Relative Valuation Approach.”

A brief look at the financials of the organisation showed a steady growth in its revenue for three years.

In the 2020 fiscal year, it generated N65.12 billion and this grew to N74.33 billion in 2021, N90.35 billion in 2022, and N137.38 billion in 2023.

Meristem projected that the earnings could rise to N302.15 billion in 2024, N407.49 billion in 2025 and N976.94 billion in 2028.

As for its post-tax profit, it was N11.46 billion in 2020, N19.54 billion in 2021, N17.28 billion in 2022, and N33.27 billion in 2023. It is projected to hit N75.53 billion in 2024, N106.21 billion in 2025, and N253.70 billion in 2028.

Analysts see Transcorp Power as a profitable business because of the export drive of the organisation, which started in 2020, when the energy firm supplied power to the Benin Republic, empowering it to tap into diverse revenue streams and capitalise on opportunities beyond the confines of the domestic market.

“We anticipate a sustained expansion in revenue, driven by a combination of existing capabilities and emerging opportunities that the company is well-positioned to capitalise on.

“The recent completion of the overhaul of one of its major turbines, which had been out of operation since 2019, is expected to significantly enhance the company’s capacity utilization and power generation in the near term.

“Furthermore, the company’s bilateral agreements with downstream distribution companies, especially those with high collection rates from users (Discos), will facilitate direct interactions without intermediaries.

“This is poised to result in shorter payment periods and increased transparency, thereby mitigating power losses and improving overall accountability.

“In summary, we reaffirm our expectation that the company is strategically positioned to maintain its robust revenue performance,” the firm said in a note obtained by Business Post.

Economy

Tinubu Presents N58.47trn Budget for 2026 to National Assembly

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2026 budget tinubu

By Adedapo Adesanya

President Bola Tinubu on Friday presented a budget proposal of N58.47 trillion for the 2026 fiscal year titled Budget of Consolidation, Renewed Resilience and Shared Prosperity to a joint session of the National Assembly, with capital recurrent (non‑debt) expenditure standing at 15.25 trillion, and the capital expenditure at N26.08 trillion, while the crude oil benchmark was pegged at $64.85 per barrel.

Business Post reports that the Brent crude grade currently trades around $60 per barrel. It is also expected to trade at that level or lower next year over worries about oil glut.

At the budget presentation today, Mr Tinubu said the expected total revenue for the year is N34.33 trillion, and the proposal is anchored on a crude oil production of 1.84 million barrels per day, and an exchange rate of N1,400 to the US Dollar.

In terms of sectoral allocation, defence and security took the lion’s share with N5.41 trillion, followed by infrastructure at N3.56 trillion, education received N3.52 trillion, while health received N2.48 trillion.

Addressing the lawmakers, the President described the budget proposal as not “just accounting lines”.

“They are a statement of national priorities,” the president told the gathering. “We remain firmly committed to fiscal sustainability, debt transparency, and value‑for‑money spending.”

The presentation came at a time of heightened insecurity in parts of the country, with mass abductions and other crimes making headlines.

Outlining his government’s plan to address the challenge, President Tinubu reminded the gathering that security “remains the foundation of development”.

He said some of the measures in place to tame insecurity include the modernisation of the Armed Forces, intelligence‑driven policing and joint operations, border security, and technology‑enabled surveillance and community‑based peacebuilding and conflict prevention.

“We will invest in security with clear accountability for outcomes—because security spending must deliver security results,” the president said.

“To secure our country, our priority will remain on increasing the fighting capability of our armed forces and other security agencies by boosting personnel and procuring cutting-edge platforms and other hardware,” he added.

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Economy

PenCom Extends Deadline for Pension Recapitalisation to June 2027

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Pension Recapitalisation

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The deadline for the recapitalisation of the Nigerian pension industry has been extended by six months to June 2027 from December 2026.

This extension was approved by the National Pension Commission (PenCom), the agency, which regulates the sector in the country.

Addressing newsmen on Thursday in Lagos, the Director-General of PenCom, Ms Omolola Oloworaran, explained that the shift in deadline was to give operators more time to boost the capital base, dismissing speculations that the exercise had been suspended.

“The recapitalisation has not been suspended. We have communicated the requirements to the Pension Fund Administrators (PFAs), and we expect every operator to be compliant by June 2027. Anyone who is not compliant by then will lose their licence,” Ms Oloworaran told journalists.

She added that, “From a regulatory standpoint, our major challenge is ensuring compliance. We are working with ICPC, labour and the TUC to ensure employers remit pension contributions for their employees.”

The DG noted that engagements with industry operators indicated broad acceptance of the policy, with many PFAs already taking steps to raise additional capital or explore mergers and acquisitions.

“You may see some mergers and acquisitions in the industry, but what is clear is that the recapitalisation exercise is on track and the industry agrees with us,” she stated.

PenCom wants the PFAs to increase their capital base and has created three categories, with the first consists operators with Assets Under Management of N500 billion and above. They are expected to have a minimum capital of N20 billion and one per cent of AUM above N500 billion.

The second category has PFAs with AUM below N500 billion, which must have at least N20 billion as capital base.

The last segment comprises special-purpose PFAs such as NPF Pensions Limited, whose minimum capital was pegged at N30 billion, and the Nigerian University Pension Management Company Limited, whose minimum capital was fixed at N20 billion.

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Economy

Three Securities Sink NASD Exchange by 0.68%

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NASD securities exchange

By Adedapo Adesanya

Three securities weakened the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange by 0.68 per cent on Thursday, December 18.

According to data, Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc led the losers’ group after it slipped by N2.87 to N36.78 per share from N39.65 per share, Golden Capital Plc depreciated by 77 Kobo to end at N6.98 per unit versus the previous day’s N7.77 per unit, and FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc dropped 19 Kobo to sell at N60.00 per share versus Wednesday’s closing price of N60.19 per share.

At the close of business, the market capitalisation lost N16.81 billion to finish at N2.147 billion compared with the preceding session’s N2.164 trillion, and the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) declined by 24.76 points to 3,589.88 points from 3,614.64 points.

Yesterday, the volume of securities bought and sold increased by 49.3 per cent to 30.5 million units from 20.4 million units, the value of securities surged by 211.8 per cent to N225.1 million from N72.2 million, and the number of deals jumped by 33.3 per cent to 28 deals from 21 deals.

Infrastructure Credit Guarantee Company (InfraCredit) Plc remained the most traded stock by value with a year-to-date sale of 5.8 billion units valued at N16.4 billion, followed by Okitipupa Plc with 178.9 million units transacted for N9.5 billion, and MRS Oil Plc with 36.1 million units worth N4.9 billion.

Similarly, InfraCredit Plc ended as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 5.8 billion units traded for N16.4 billion, trailed by Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc with 1.2 billion units sold for N420.7 million, and Impresit Bakolori Plc with 536.9 million units exchanged for N524.9 million.

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