Economy
Moody’s Downgrades Dangote Cement National Scale Rating
By Dipo Olowookere
The national scale rating of Dangote Cement Plc has been downgraded from Aaa.ng to Aa2.ng. This action was taken by Moody’s Investors Service and it was to factor a weaker Nigerian government rating.
Last Wednesday, Moody’s announced a change in the sovereign outlook of Nigeria’s ratings to negative from stable. Consequently, the rating agency took actions on the ratings of Dangote Cement and two other companies operating in the country; IHS Netherlands Holdco B.V. (IHS) and Seplat Petroleum Development Company Plc (Seplat).
In a report released on Saturday, Moody’s said it believes that the credit quality of these companies is inevitably tied to the economic and political developments in Nigeria, with earnings and cash flows generated in Nigeria.
“The soft Nigerian economic growth has translated into limited expansionary activity in the wider consumer and business environments, leading to deteriorating corporate earnings and weak consumer spending. The rating agency expects low real GDP growth in Nigeria of 2.5 percent for 2020,” a statement from the firm said.
In the statement, Moody’s said it affirmed the B1 corporate family rating (CFR) of Dangote Cement and then changed the rating outlook to negative from stable.
Concerning the downgrading of the national scale rating to Aa2.ng, the agency said it considers the cement giant’s strong intrinsic credit quality balanced against the meaningful linkage and limited ability to withstand stress at the Nigerian sovereign or macroeconomic level.
It noted that the firm has a very strong credit profile, however, as Africa’s largest cement producer, it has material production concentration to Nigeria which generates around 69 percent of revenues.
“The B1 CFR is one notch above the sovereign rating because of the company’s strong credit metrics including debt/EBITDA of 1.0x, the track record of demonstrated financial support from a larger and more diversified parent, Dangote Industries Limited (DIL), and funding in local currency,” it stated.
“The cement industry is energy intensive and the mining and manufacturing process for cement production consumes large amounts of coal, electricity and water. Dangote’s production meets domestic emission standards and has implemented measures to increase energy efficiency.
“In terms of corporate governance, the company is 85.1 percent owned by Dangote Industries Limited, which is owned by its founder and chairman, Aliko Dangote. This does present key man risk in Moody’s view given that Mr Dangote continues to play a pivotal part in the fortunes of the company,” the report said.
Moody’s noted that given the negative outlook on the Nigerian sovereign and strong linkages to the Nigerian economy, an upgrade is unlikely in the near-term. It added that the outlook could be changed to stable if the Government of Nigeria’s rating outlook is changed to stable.
“Upward pressure on the ratings is constrained by the Government of Nigeria’s local currency issuer rating of B2 as we consider a strong interlinkage with Dangote Cement’s ratings due to the high revenue contribution from its domestic operations which constrains the company to be rated one rating level above the sovereign,” it said.
However, it warned that the ratings are likely to be downgraded in the case of a downgrade of the Government of Nigeria’s rating.
It said this could also occur if the government of Nigeria introduces special taxes, levies or other punitive measures in respect of Dangote’s profits or cashflow.
It stated that another government’s actions that could result in a downgrade could be if the operating margins falls below 20 percent on a sustained basis; if the adjusted debt to EBITDA trends above 4x or adjusted EBIT to interest expense trends below 2.5x and if liquidity becomes pressured.
If further said it could downgrade the rating if Dangote Cement moves away from its conservative financial policies, most notably matching of the currency of its underlying cash flow generation to that of debt commitments.
Economy
Insurance Firms Must Submit 2025 Assessment Returns by May 31—NAICOM
By Adedapo Adesanya
The National Insurance Commission has issued new guidelines for the collection, management, and administration of the Insurance Policyholders’ Protection Fund.
In a circular issued to all insurance institutions on Tuesday, the regulator also set May 31, 2026, as the deadline for insurers to submit their assessment returns for the 2025 financial year.
Recall that on August 5, 2025, President Bola Tinubu signed into law the Nigerian Insurance Industry Reform Act ( NIIRA 2025).
This landmark legislation repeals the Insurance Act 2003, and consolidates related provisions, ushering in a modern regulatory framework. It lays a strong foundation for sustainable growth and increased investment in the country’s insurance sector.
The commission said the guidelines were issued in exercise of its powers under the 2025 Act and other existing insurance laws and regulations to provide regulatory clarity, improve guidance, and ensure ease of compliance across the industry.
According to NAICOM, the guidelines establish a comprehensive structure for the operation of the IPPF, which serves as a statutory safety net to protect insurance policyholders in the event of distress or insolvency of a licensed insurer or reinsurer. The framework also provides direction on the reimbursement of loans by insurers and reinsurers.
NAICOM stated, “The guidelines ensure regulatory clarity, guidance and ease of compliance, as it provides a comprehensive regulatory framework for the collection, management, and administration of the Fund, which serves as a statutory safety net designed to protect insurance policyholders against distress and insolvency of a licensed insurer or reinsurer, including guidance for the reimbursement of loans by an insurer or reinsurer.
“Please be informed that the IPPF Assessment Returns in respect of the year 2025 shall be submitted to the Commission not later than 31st May 2026, while subsequent submissions shall be in line with Section 4.3 of the Guideline on Insurance Policyholders Protection Fund.”
Economy
Dangote Refinery Sells Petrol at N1,200/L as Global Oil Prices Slump
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Dangote Refinery on Wednesday returned the petrol price to N1,200 per litre, less than 24 hours after it increased it by 5 per cent.
The private refinery had raised the ex-depot price by N75 on Tuesday, citing pressure from volatile global oil markets, but quickly brought it back to N1,200 per litre from N1,275 per litre.
The swift downward review is directly linked to a sharp drop in international crude prices. Brent crude has plunged to $95.05 per barrel, after a 13 per cent decline, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude closed at $97.18, recording nearly a 14 per cent drop.
This development comes after US President Donald Trump announced a conditional two-week ceasefire with Iran, which eased fears of immediate supply disruptions in the global oil market.
“This will be a double-sided CEASEFIRE!” Trump said on social media, marking a sharp reversal from his earlier warning that “a whole civilisation will die tonight” if Iran failed to comply with US demands.
Iran’s Foreign Minister, Mr Abbas Araqchi, confirmed that the country would halt attacks provided strikes against Iran cease and transit through the Strait of Hormuz is coordinated by Iranian forces.
Despite the breakthrough, tensions remain elevated across the region, with several Gulf states reporting missile launches, drone activity, or issuing civil defence warnings.
While oil prices have fallen back below $100, they remain significantly elevated after surging by a record amount in March. Market analysts noted that regardless of how successful the ceasefire is, geopolitical risk related to the Strait of Hormuz is likely to remain elevated for the foreseeable future under the control of Iran.
Economy
Crude Deliveries Double to Dangote Refinery in Mix of Naira, Dollar Supply
By Adedapo Adesanya
Crude oil deliveries from the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited to the Dangote Petroleum Refinery doubled in March, boosting prospects for improved fuel availability.
This was revealed by the chief executive of Dangote Industries Limited, Mr Aliko Dangote, on Tuesday, when he received the Deputy Secretary-General of the United Nations, Mrs Amina Mohammed, at the industrial complex in Ibeju-Lekki, Lagos.
While speaking on feedstock supply, Mr Dangote commended the NNPC for increasing crude deliveries to the refinery in March, noting that volumes rose to 10 cargoes—six supplied in Naira and four in Dollars—to support domestic fuel availability, according to a statement by the Refinery.
“Last month, they gave us six cargoes for Naira and four cargoes for Dollars,” he said.
Despite the improvement, Mr Dangote noted that the supply remains below the 19 cargoes required for optimal operations, with the refinery continuing to bridge the gap through imports from the United States and other African producers.
He also expressed concern over the unwillingness of international oil companies operating in Nigeria to sell to the refinery, stating that their preference for selling crude to traders forces it to repurchase at higher costs, with broader implications for the economy.
Mr Dangote added that the refinery is seeking increased access to domestically priced crude under local currency arrangements as part of efforts to moderate fuel costs and enhance long-term energy and food security across the continent.
On her part, Mrs Mohammed underscored the strategic importance of Dangote Industries Limited -particularly Dangote Fertiliser Limited—in addressing Africa’s mounting food security challenges, while calling for stronger global partnerships to scale its impact.
Mrs Mohammed said the United Nations would prioritise amplifying scalable solutions capable of mitigating the continent’s food crisis, describing Dangote’s integrated industrial model as a critical pathway.
“I think the UN’s job here is to amplify and to put visibility on the possibilities of mitigating a food security crisis, and this is one of them,” she said. “I hope that when we go back, we can continue to engage partners and countries that should collaborate with Dangote Industries.”
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