Economy
Naira May Fall as Dollar Rallies Amid US-Venezuela Tensions, US Data Focus
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Naira is poised to weaken this week as the US Dollar rallies as investors ignore US-Venezuela tension and instead focused on a slate of US macroeconomic indicators due this week that could be crucial in steering Federal Reserve policy.
The indication of a weaker outcome for the Nigerian currency is seen as the American currency gained against a basket of currencies.
The greenback hit two-week highs against the Yen, Swiss Franc, and Canadian Dollar in the first full trading week of 2026.
The United States at the weekend, raided Venezuela and captured President Nicolas Maduro. US special operations forces seized the Venezuelan President and his wife, Cilia Flores, in a nighttime operation to bring him to the US to face a 2020 narco-terrorism indictment.
As of press time, the Dollar advanced 0.3 per cent to $1.1682 per Euro, after earlier touching its strongest level since December 10 at $1.1672.
It climbed as high as 157.295 on the Yen, 0.7951 on the Swiss Franc, and C$1.37771, all of which were the highest levels since December 22.
The American currency advanced 0.1 per cent to $1.3425 per British Pound, and added 0.3 per cent to $0.6670 versus the Aussie Dollar.
Traders currently expect two US rate cuts this year, according to calculations by LSEG based on futures.
Investors are also awaiting US President Donald Trump’s choice for the next Federal Reserve chair, as Jerome Powell’s term is set to end in May. US President Donald Trump has expressed his displeasure against Mr Powell and will be looking to replace him with a candidate that aligns with his policies.
President Trump has said he will announce his pick this month, and has said Powell’s successor will be “someone who believes in lower interest rates, by a lot.”
Meanwhile, the Naira last Friday closed the first session of 2026 positive against the US Dollar in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) as it gained N4.91 or 0.34 per cent to trade at N1,430.85/$1 compared to the previous rate of N1,435.76/$1.
Preliminary outlook shows that the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) reforms may help enhance efficiency and transparency in the FX market which will narrow the premium between the NAFEM and unofficial rates, and sustain exchange rate stability. In addition, improved domestic oil refining capacity is expected to reduce foreign exchange demand for fuel imports.
Economy
Champion Breweries Meets NGX 20% Free Float Requirement
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The 20 per cent free float requirement of the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited for listed companies on its platform has been finally met by Champion Breweries Plc ahead of the October 2026 deadline.
The exchange requires publicly-quoted firms on its platform to have at least 20 per cent of their stocks available to members of the public for market liquidity.
Before now, the brewery company fell short of this, forcing Customs Street to add the suffix, BLS, to the organisation.
BLS means Below Listing Standard. It informs investors that stocks with this status have not met the 20 per cent free-float requirement.
However, after increasing the free float above 20 per cent after the recently concluded public offer and rights issue, the NGX Regulation (NGX RegCo) Limited, the regulatory arm of NGX Group Plc, has removed the BLS status indicator previously displayed beside the company’s name across the NGX platforms.
The completed capital raises, successfully approved by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), are currently in the final stages of the Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) account crediting.
All applicants under the rights issue have now been credited with their new shares, while crediting for applicants under the public offer is ongoing.
This milestone transaction, having achieved the primary objective of the acquisition of the Bullet portfolio, has achieved the additional benefit of achieving full compliance with the bourse’s liquidity and free float requirements.
The board and management of Champion Breweries thanked the investing community for their continued support of the organisation’s long-term vision and extended special appreciation to NGX RegCo for its guidance as the firm works with the registrars and the CSCS to complete the share crediting process.
Economy
FG Says Agricultural Reforms Driving 50% Drop in Food Prices
By Adedapo Adesanya
The federal government has said its agricultural reforms were beginning to yield results, with prices of essential food commodities dropping by as much as 50 per cent nationwide.
The Minister of Agriculture and Food Security, Mr Abubakar Kyari, disclosed this during a quarterly citizens’ engagement session in Abuja on Friday, claiming that the President Bola Tinubu-led administration has made food security a key pillar of national stability and economic growth.
“Since assuming office, this administration has made food security a top priority, acknowledging the critical role it plays in maintaining national stability and sovereignty,” Mr Kyari said.
“To achieve this, we are focusing on boosting local production and reducing reliance on imports, with the ultimate goal of making affordable, nutritious food accessible to all Nigerians.” He said government interventions were beginning to reflect in market prices. “Our efforts are starting to pay off, with a notable impact on food prices.
“In fact, prices of essential food commodities have dropped by 50 per cent nationwide,” the Minister said.
Nigeria has in recent years faced a severe cost-of-living crisis, largely triggered by economic reforms introduced by the Tinubu administration, particularly the removal of petrol subsidies and the floating of the Naira. The policies significantly increased the cost of living, with food prices more than doubling in many parts of the country compared with levels before Tinubu assumed office. Food inflation rose sharply before moderating slightly following the rebasing of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) by the National Bureau of Statistics last year.
Mr Kyari also said the government has introduced several programmes aimed at boosting agricultural production and supporting farmers.
He disclosed that more than 1.9 million bags of fertiliser have been distributed to nearly one million farmers in the past two years, alongside strengthened regulations to curb the circulation of fake fertilisers.
According to him, the government has also established a National Reference Laboratory and upgraded the National Fertiliser Management Platform to improve quality control and transparency in the fertiliser supply chain.
Economy
OPL 245 Dispute Resolution to Unlock Zabazaba–Etan Deepwater Project—Ojulari
By Adedapo Adesanya
The chief executive of the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited, Mr Bayo Ojulari, has said the resolution of the dispute surrounding oil prospecting lease (OPL) 245 would enable the development of the Zabazaba–Etan deepwater project.
In a statement issued on Saturday, Mr Ojulari noted that advancing the project could increase Nigeria’s crude oil output by about 150,000 barrels per day (bpd).
On March 5, the presidency announced that a settlement agreement had been successfully concluded among the federal government, Eni, and Nigerian Agip Exploration Limited (NAEL).
It was stated that the agreement ended the protracted dispute over OPL 245 and created the opportunity to move forward with the development of one of Nigeria’s most important deepwater resources.
Commenting on the development, Mr Ojulari described the resolution as a major milestone for both the country and NNPC as efforts continue to promote the responsible development of Nigeria’s strategic energy assets.
“We are honoured that President Bola Ahmed Tinubu GCFR entrusted NNPC Limited with the responsibility of supporting the resolution of the long-standing OPL 245 dispute involving the Federal Government of Nigeria, ENI, and Nigerian Agip Exploration Limited (NAEL),” the NNPC chief said.
“As noted by the President, this resolution clears the path for the development of one of Nigeria’s most strategic deepwater assets — the Zabazaba–Etan project.
“Progressing this development could add approximately 150,000 barrels per day to Nigeria’s oil production, representing a significant step toward strengthening our national energy security and economic resilience,” he added.
Mr Ojulari further said the achievement demonstrates the value of collaboration, persistence, and a shared determination to utilise Nigeria’s vast energy resources for the country’s benefit.
The end of the long-standing dispute over Oil Prospecting Licence (OPL) 245 paves the way for the development of one of Nigeria’s most significant deepwater resources. The agreement, signed in Abuja, marked the resolution of a dispute spanning more than 15 years and restores clarity and stability to an asset widely recognised as one of Nigeria’s most commercially promising deepwater blocks.
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