Economy
Naira May Fall as Dollar Rallies Amid US-Venezuela Tensions, US Data Focus
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Naira is poised to weaken this week as the US Dollar rallies as investors ignore US-Venezuela tension and instead focused on a slate of US macroeconomic indicators due this week that could be crucial in steering Federal Reserve policy.
The indication of a weaker outcome for the Nigerian currency is seen as the American currency gained against a basket of currencies.
The greenback hit two-week highs against the Yen, Swiss Franc, and Canadian Dollar in the first full trading week of 2026.
The United States at the weekend, raided Venezuela and captured President Nicolas Maduro. US special operations forces seized the Venezuelan President and his wife, Cilia Flores, in a nighttime operation to bring him to the US to face a 2020 narco-terrorism indictment.
As of press time, the Dollar advanced 0.3 per cent to $1.1682 per Euro, after earlier touching its strongest level since December 10 at $1.1672.
It climbed as high as 157.295 on the Yen, 0.7951 on the Swiss Franc, and C$1.37771, all of which were the highest levels since December 22.
The American currency advanced 0.1 per cent to $1.3425 per British Pound, and added 0.3 per cent to $0.6670 versus the Aussie Dollar.
Traders currently expect two US rate cuts this year, according to calculations by LSEG based on futures.
Investors are also awaiting US President Donald Trump’s choice for the next Federal Reserve chair, as Jerome Powell’s term is set to end in May. US President Donald Trump has expressed his displeasure against Mr Powell and will be looking to replace him with a candidate that aligns with his policies.
President Trump has said he will announce his pick this month, and has said Powell’s successor will be “someone who believes in lower interest rates, by a lot.”
Meanwhile, the Naira last Friday closed the first session of 2026 positive against the US Dollar in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) as it gained N4.91 or 0.34 per cent to trade at N1,430.85/$1 compared to the previous rate of N1,435.76/$1.
Preliminary outlook shows that the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) reforms may help enhance efficiency and transparency in the FX market which will narrow the premium between the NAFEM and unofficial rates, and sustain exchange rate stability. In addition, improved domestic oil refining capacity is expected to reduce foreign exchange demand for fuel imports.
Economy
NGX Crossing N100trn Reflects Renewed Investor Confidence—Popoola, Chiemeka
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The chief executive of the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Group Plc, Mr Temi Popoola, and his counterpart at the NGX Limited, Mr Jude Chiemeka, have expressed delight over the value of the bourse breaking the N100 trillion ceiling on Monday.
Yesterday, the domestic stock exchange gained 1.74 per cent, with the market capitalisation rising by N1.869 trillion to N101.807 trillion ($71.15 billion) from N99.938 trillion ($69.61 billion) and the All-Share Index (ASI) growing by 2,725.86 points to 159,218.22 points from last Friday’s 156,492.36 points.
The growth was buoyed by renewed investor demand and broad-based gains across listed stocks, resulting in a year-to-date returns of 2.32 per cent.
It was observed that the rally was driven by strong buying interest in stocks such as Cadbury Nigeria, Fidson Healthcare, and Champion Breweries, reflecting the traditional “January Effect” that often characterises early-year market activity.
Investor sentiment strengthened markedly, with market breadth improving to 9.13x as 73 equities recorded gains against eight decliners, signalling widespread participation in the rally.
“The equities market capitalisation crossing the N100 trillion mark is a defining milestone for Nigeria’s capital market and a clear signal of renewed investor confidence as the year begins.
“It reflects the market’s growing depth, resilience, and ability to respond positively to improving macroeconomic conditions and structural reforms,” Mr Popoola stated, adding that sustained collaboration between market stakeholders and regulators has played a key role in strengthening market credibility.
“Over the past two years, closer alignment between market operators, policymakers, and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has enhanced transparency, liquidity, and investor protection, reinforcing the Exchange’s role in mobilising long-term capital for economic growth,” he said.
On his part, Mr Chiemeka said, “The breadth of the market tells a positive story. We are seeing strong participation across banking, industrial, and consumer stocks, alongside rising trading volumes, which suggest growing investor confidence and a more active market at the start of the year.”
Economy
2026: NASD Exchange Eyes Inclusive Economic Growth, National Transformation
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Managing Director of the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange, Mr Eguarekhide Longe, has said the bourse in 2026 would play its role in expanding the economic space and anchoring enduring socio-political transformation and inclusive growth in the country.
Speaking as part of his new year message, the NASD helmsman noted that the steady gains recorded in the nation’s macro-economy will translate to further gains in 2026.
“In this regard, we are optimistic about the further structural reforms and gains that will attend the implementation of the Nation’s new tax law.
“We know that there are development gaps to be covered in improving hard and soft infrastructure, as well as supporting genuine entrepreneurs across the length and breadth of the country, providing justification for scaling up projects and businesses via the instrumentality of structured capital market platforms,” he said.
He also said the flagship OTC market performed moderately with new admissions and a consolidation of the staple performers in the trading year 2025.
“2025 has turned out, in many respects, to be a year of reasonably positive performance, financially, but more a year of tangible results from the diversification of the activities on NASD,” Mr Longe said.
Business Post analysis of the bourse’s 2025 Trading Summary showed that the exchange recorded a strong expansion in market capitalisation in 2025, even as overall trading activity by deal count declined compared with 2024.
Market capitalisation on the exchange more than doubled to N2.12 trillion in 2025, representing a 106 per cent increase from N1.03 trillion in 2024. The number of admitted securities also rose marginally to 47, up from 45 in the prior year, reflecting a 4 per cent growth.
The NASD Securities Index (NSI) rose by 18 per cent to 3,543.74 points, compared with 3,002.68 points in 2024. Similarly, the NASD Pension Index advanced by 21 per cent to 1,032.88 points, up from 954.33 points.
Trading volumes surged significantly during the year. Total volume traded climbed to 14.03 billion units, marking a 377 per cent increase from 2.98 billion units in 2024. However, this sharp rise in volume contrasted with a decline in transaction value, which fell by 43 per cent to N59.29 billion, down from N103.96 billion in 2024.
The total number of deals executed on the platform dropped to 6,456, representing a 26 per cent decline from 8,724 deals recorded the previous year, indicating fewer but larger or more strategic transactions.
The exchange also recorded notable listings in 2025, with Infrastructure Credit Guarantee Company PLC (InfraCredit), Paintcom Investment Nigeria PLC (Paintcom), and MRS PLC admitted to trading. In addition, the listing of the Access Bank PLC Rights Issue contributed to market growth. Combined, new listings on the NASD in 2025 were valued at approximately N1.121 trillion.
Commercial Paper admissions unto the NASD platform exceeded N34.32 billion in the trading year and maiden offer on the NASD Digital Securities platform of a tokenised Commercial Paper stood at N5 billion.
Economy
NASD OTC Bourse Soars 0.60%
By Adedapo Adesanya
The trading compass at the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange pointed north on Monday, January 5 after the market closed higher by 0.60 per cent.
The NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) added 21.49 points to close at 3,575.33 points compared to the previous session’s 3,553.84 points just as the market capitalisation inflated by N12.86 billion to finish at N2.139 trillion, in contrast to last Friday’s value of N2.126 trillion.
The growth recorded by the NASD OTC bourse yesterday was influenced by three securities led by FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc, which gained N4.70 to close at N51.70 per share compared with the previous N47.00 per share.
Further, Geo-Fluids Plc appreciated by 43 Kobo to settle at N6.94 per unit versus N6.51 per unit, and Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc appreciated by 37 Kobo to N36.00 per share from N35.63 per share.
Data from the alternative stock exchange showed a drop in investor appetite as the volume of trades declined by 94.7 per cent to 193,973 units from 3.6 million units, while the value of transactions decreased by 68.2 per cent to N4.5 million from N14.1 billion, with the number of deals sliding by 34.8 per cent to 15 deals compared to 23 deals.
At the close of business, CSCS Plc was the most traded stock by value on a year-to-date basis with 341,080 units sold for N12.2 million, followed by Geo-Fluids Plc with 535,970 units valued at N3.5 million, and Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc with 2.9 million units exchanged for N1.9 million.
However, IGI Plc was the most active stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 2.9 million units traded for N1.9 million. trailed by Geo-Fluids Plc with 535,970 units worth N3.5 million, and CSCS Plc with 341,080 units valued at N12.2 million.
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