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Economy

Naira Trades N1,418/$1 at Official Market, N1,470/$1 at Black Market

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sellers of Naira

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Naira extended its positive run against the US Dollar on Wednesday, January 7, in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) as its value firmed up by 81 Kobo or 0.06 per cent to N1,418.26/$1, in contrast to the preceding session’s N1,419.07/$1.

It was not a different story for the domestic currency against the Pound Sterling in the official market as it improved by N3.63 to trade at N1,913.66/£1 compared with the previous day’s N1,917.20/£1 and chalked up N3.09 on the Euro to close at N1,657.52/€1 versus Tuesday’s N1,660.31/€1.

At the GTBank forex desk, the Nigerian Naira gained N10 against the greenback yesterday to settle at N1,425/$1 versus the previous day’s N1,435/$1 and closed flat at the black market at N1,470/$1.

The Nigerian currency has continued to perform better at the spot market amid more supportive environment, though analysts have cautioned that global oil market weakness and rising domestic insecurity could hamper the trajectory.

Recent reforms in Nigeria’s foreign exchange market are beginning to yield results with CardinalStone pointing to improved price discovery, better transparency, and stronger FX liquidity as factors that are helping to stabilize the currency.

“We expect Naira to appreciate to a range of N1,350.00/$ – N1,450.00/$ in 2026, supported by improving fundamentals,” according to CardinalStone in a January forecast.

On his part, the Senior Economist at Africa Export-Import Bank (Afreximbank), Mr Yemi Kale, pointed out that the Naira could trade between N1,313/$1 to a worst level of N1,650/$1 reflecting varying assumptions around oil prices, foreign-exchange (FX) inflows, inflation trends, and policy consistency.

He warned policymakers against weak oil prices or production disruptions reducing FX inflows, deepening FX liquidity crisis and forced currency devaluation.

“We expect the Naira to continue trading in line with prevailing market demand and supply conditions, supported by improving external reserves position,” Anchoria Securities Limited said in a note.

Meanwhile, foreign reserves climbed to $45.623 billion following fresh inflows from investors that participated at the OMO bills auction organised by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) on Tuesday.

In the cryptocurrency market, there was cooling in the early-January crypto rebound even as broader risk backdrop stayed supportive with a rally in global government bonds and growing bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts, with Ripple (XRP) further down by 6.4 per cent to $2.11.

Further, Ethereum (ETH) slipped by 4.2 per cent to trade at $3,111.31, Cardano (ADA) shrank by 4.1 per cent to $0.3935, Binance Coin (BNB) depreciated by 3.6 per cent to $881.38, and Dogecoin (DOGE) depleted by 3.1 per cent to finish at $0.1432.

In addition, Bitcoin (BTC) went down by 2.8 per cent to finish at $90,015.06, Litecoin (LTC) decreased by 2.7 per cent to close at $80.72, and Solana (SOL) lost 2.6 per cent to sell $135.12, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 each.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

Senate Targets March 31 Passage of 2026 Budget

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By Adedapo Adesanya

The Senate President, Mr Godswill Akpabio, has announced that the upper chamber will pass the 2026 Appropriation Bill on March 31, following a brief adjournment for the Sallah break.

Speaking before the Senate adjourned plenary, Mr Akpabio said standing committees would continue working during the recess, particularly on ongoing budget defence sessions and coordination with the Senate Committee on Appropriations.

“I hope the Leader will put pressure on the Committee on Appropriations to harmonise the report of the 2026 Appropriation Bill by that date.

“This is so that when we resume, we can try our best to pass the budget without requiring further concurrence or harmonisation.

“Leadership must work together to ensure everything is in order. The House of Representatives has already adjourned to conclude budget processes and will also reconvene on March 31.

“On that day, we hope to pass the national budget in tandem with the Senate.”

Earlier, the Senate Committee on Appropriations had tentatively fixed Tuesday, March 17, for the final consideration and passage of the N58.47 trillion 2026 Appropriation Bill.

To meet the timeline, the committee, at a special session held in January, approved February 2 to 13 for budget defence by Ministries, Departments and Agencies (MDAs) at the committee level.

As part of efforts to ensure an inclusive and transparent process, the committee also scheduled February 9, 2026, for a public hearing on the budget proposal.

President Bola Ahmed Tinubu, in December, presented the N58.47 trillion 2026 budget proposal to a joint session of the National Assembly, outlining the government’s priorities anchored on economic stability, infrastructure expansion, security and social investment.

The budget was hinged on assumptions including oil production of 1.84 million barrels per day, an oil price benchmark of $64.85 per barrel, and an exchange rate assumption of ₦1,400 to the Dollar.

Following the presentation, the Senate passed the appropriation bill for first and second readings, paving the way for detailed consideration by relevant committees.

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Economy

Cardoso Eases Naira Devaluation Fears

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Yemi Cardoso Coordinated Digital Payment Reforms

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria, Mr Yemi Cardoso, has eased fears of any devaluation of the Naira anytime soon, saying the country’s ongoing monetary and foreign exchange reforms have restored confidence in the currency and strengthened the financial system.

Speaking while delivering a keynote address at the Annual Distinguished Alumni Lecture held in celebration of Founders’ Day of the St. Gregory’s College Old Boys Association in Lagos, the apex bank governor said, “These reforms have restored pride in our currency and strengthened confidence in our financial system.”

Mr Cardoso explained that the CBN remains focused on restoring price stability and bringing inflation down to single digits, noting that although the objective will take time to achieve, it remains central to the apex bank’s policy direction.

“Our goal remains to bring inflation down to single digits. This cannot happen overnight. External shocks will continue to occur, and global developments will always have some impact. But inflation is effectively a tax, and it disproportionately affects the most vulnerable members of society,” he said.

“That is why restoring price stability remains a central objective.”

He noted that the bank’s commitment to transparency and well-governed markets is evident in the reforms carried out in the foreign exchange market, including the elimination of the multiple exchange rate system that previously benefited only a few.

According to him, although some critics argue that the exchange rate appears higher today than it was before the reforms, the key difference lies in accessibility and transparency.

“Some critics argue that the exchange rate today appears higher than it was before the reforms. My response is simple: when the official rate was lower, how many people could actually access foreign exchange at that rate? The answer, in most cases, was very few,” he said.

“Today, the situation is fundamentally different. Foreign exchange is accessible through formal channels, and the system is far more transparent.”

He explained that many Nigerians travelling abroad can now use their naira cards directly instead of searching for foreign currency through informal channels, a development he said represents a major improvement compared to previous years when travellers struggled to access foreign exchange.

Mr Cardoso further revealed that the premium between the official and parallel markets has narrowed sharply from around 50 per cent in 2022 to less than 2 per cent on average in 2025, reflecting improved liquidity and efficiency in the FX market.

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Economy

Four Stocks Drag Unlisted Securities Market Down by 0.56%

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unlisted securities index

By Adedapo Adesanya

Four stocks weakened the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange by 0.56 per cent on Thursday, March 12, making it the third consecutive loss this week.

The price losers were led by FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc, which crumbled by N4.71 to N128.07 per share from N132.78 per share. Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc lost N1.98 to close at N78.02 per unit versus the previous day’s N80.00 per unit, First Trust Mortgage Bank Plc declined by 15 Kobo to N1.75 per share from N1.90 per share, and MRS Oil Plc crashed by 10 Kobo to settle at N210.00 per unit compared with the preceding session’s N210.10 per unit.

Consequently, the market capitalisation went down by N14.13 billion to N2.519 trillion from N2.533 trillion, and the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) dipped by 23.61 points to 4,210.30 points from 4,233.91 points.

There were three price gainers yesterday, led by Okitipupa Plc, which gained N10.00 to N240.00 per share from N230.00 per share, IPWA Plc increased by 45 Kobo to N5.01 per unit from N4.56 per unit, and Afriland Properties Plc appreciated by 35 Kobo to N17.95 per share from N17.60 per share.

During the session, the value of securities surged by 197.4 per cent to N95.0 million from N31.9 million, the volume of securities grew by 185.8 per cent to 3.7 million units from 1.3 million units, and the number of deals improved by 44.4 per cent to 52 deals from 36 deals.

The most active stock by value (year-to-date) was CSCS Plc with 38.4 million units worth N2.4 billion, followed by Okitipupa Plc with 6.4 million units valued at N1.1 billion, and FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc with 6.2 million units sold for N566.8 million.

The most traded stock by volume (year-to-date) was Resourcery Plc with 1.05 billion units traded for N408.7 million, trailed by Geo-Fluids Plc with 130.6 million units transacted for N503.8 million, and CSCS Plc with 38.4 million units worth N2.4 billion.

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