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Economy

Naira Trades N1,418/$1 at Official Market, N1,470/$1 at Black Market

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sellers of Naira

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Naira extended its positive run against the US Dollar on Wednesday, January 7, in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) as its value firmed up by 81 Kobo or 0.06 per cent to N1,418.26/$1, in contrast to the preceding session’s N1,419.07/$1.

It was not a different story for the domestic currency against the Pound Sterling in the official market as it improved by N3.63 to trade at N1,913.66/£1 compared with the previous day’s N1,917.20/£1 and chalked up N3.09 on the Euro to close at N1,657.52/€1 versus Tuesday’s N1,660.31/€1.

At the GTBank forex desk, the Nigerian Naira gained N10 against the greenback yesterday to settle at N1,425/$1 versus the previous day’s N1,435/$1 and closed flat at the black market at N1,470/$1.

The Nigerian currency has continued to perform better at the spot market amid more supportive environment, though analysts have cautioned that global oil market weakness and rising domestic insecurity could hamper the trajectory.

Recent reforms in Nigeria’s foreign exchange market are beginning to yield results with CardinalStone pointing to improved price discovery, better transparency, and stronger FX liquidity as factors that are helping to stabilize the currency.

“We expect Naira to appreciate to a range of N1,350.00/$ – N1,450.00/$ in 2026, supported by improving fundamentals,” according to CardinalStone in a January forecast.

On his part, the Senior Economist at Africa Export-Import Bank (Afreximbank), Mr Yemi Kale, pointed out that the Naira could trade between N1,313/$1 to a worst level of N1,650/$1 reflecting varying assumptions around oil prices, foreign-exchange (FX) inflows, inflation trends, and policy consistency.

He warned policymakers against weak oil prices or production disruptions reducing FX inflows, deepening FX liquidity crisis and forced currency devaluation.

“We expect the Naira to continue trading in line with prevailing market demand and supply conditions, supported by improving external reserves position,” Anchoria Securities Limited said in a note.

Meanwhile, foreign reserves climbed to $45.623 billion following fresh inflows from investors that participated at the OMO bills auction organised by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) on Tuesday.

In the cryptocurrency market, there was cooling in the early-January crypto rebound even as broader risk backdrop stayed supportive with a rally in global government bonds and growing bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts, with Ripple (XRP) further down by 6.4 per cent to $2.11.

Further, Ethereum (ETH) slipped by 4.2 per cent to trade at $3,111.31, Cardano (ADA) shrank by 4.1 per cent to $0.3935, Binance Coin (BNB) depreciated by 3.6 per cent to $881.38, and Dogecoin (DOGE) depleted by 3.1 per cent to finish at $0.1432.

In addition, Bitcoin (BTC) went down by 2.8 per cent to finish at $90,015.06, Litecoin (LTC) decreased by 2.7 per cent to close at $80.72, and Solana (SOL) lost 2.6 per cent to sell $135.12, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 each.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

Stock Market Indices Rebound 0.97% on Renewed Bargain-Hunting

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By Dipo Olowookere

Renewed bargain-hunting by investors halted the losing streaks on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited on Monday, though the bears still lurk around.

The local stock market performance indices closed higher by 0.97 per cent on yesterday, as market participants mopped up some large-cap banking equities like GTCO, First Holdco and others.

First Holdco gained 10.00 per cent to trade at N60.50, GTCO also appreciated by 10.00 per cent to N127.10, International Energy Insurance expanded by 9.88 per cent to N5.56, Zenith Bank grew by 7.09 per cent to N117.80, and NPF Microfinance Bank chalked up 5.12 per cent to settle at N5.20.

Conversely, Zichis shed 10.00 per cent to finish at N23.40, Consolidated Hallmark slumped by 9.94 per cent to N6.43, Eterna declined by 9.90 per cent to N27.75, Deap Capital crashed by 9.82 per cent to N4.41, and Austin Laz gave up 9.74 per cent to quote at N28.12.

Business Post reports that investor sentiment remained weak as Customs Street ended with 21 price gainers and 37 price losers, representing a negative market breadth index.

During the session, the insurance counter lost 1.43 per cent, the consumer goods decreased by 0.40 per cent, and the energy index tumbled by 0.06 per cent. But the banking space appreciated by 4.84 per cent, and the industrial goods sector improved by 0.04 per cent.

As a result, the All-Share Index (ASI) went up by 2,261.84 points to 238,203.11 points from 235,941.27 points, and the market capitalisation rose by N1.508 trillion to N152.835 trillion from N151.327 trillion.

A total of 475.8 million stocks worth N36.5 billion exchanged hands in 63,567 deals on Monday versus the 440.4 million stocks valued at N24.7 billion transacted in 50,273 deals last Friday, implying a jump in the trading volume, value, and number of deals by 8.04 per cent, 47.77 per cent, and 6.55 per cent, respectively.

Fidelity Bank was the busiest equity, with a turnover of 48.7 million units sold for N894.2 million, UBA exchanged 42.3 million units worth N1.7 billion, Access Holdings traded 39.3 million units valued at N886.1 million, Zenith Bank transacted 30.0 million units worth N3.5 billion, and MTN Nigeria sold 20.8 million units valued at N16.6 billion.

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Economy

Oil Prices Tumble Over 3% as US Signals Progress with Iran

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oil prices fall

By Adedapo Adesanya

Oil prices settled lower by more than 3 per cent on Monday as supply concerns eased after US Vice President ​JD Vance said progress has been made in talks with Iran and the Strait of Hormuz was open.

Brent crude ‌dropped $2.67 or 3.31 per cent to trade at $77.90 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures settled at $74.82 a barrel after shedding $1.78 or 2.32 per cent.

Prices had climbed after threats by US President Donald Trump to restart the Iran war, while Iran announced that it had again closed the Strait of Hormuz.

High-ranking American and Iranian officials wrapped up their first round of talks in Switzerland ​on Monday, continuing the discussions that began on Sunday under the terms of a memorandum of understanding reached ⁠last week to extend a tenuous ceasefire from April for at least another 60 days.

The US authorised Iranian oil sales on Monday. ​The general license, announced by the Treasury Department, allows the sale of crude oil, petrochemical and petroleum products of Iranian origin through August ​21.

At least three supertankers, carrying a total of 6 million barrels of Iranian crude, moved to transit the Strait of Hormuz heading to Singapore early on Monday.

Amid lingering concerns over the Strait of Hormuz, Iran is rapidly pushing out crude supplies that accumulated after failing to circumvent US restrictions in recent months.

Reuters reported that Iran did not negotiate on its nuclear programme and did not accept any new commitments in Sunday’s talks with the US in Switzerland, citing an Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson.

More Middle East producers began to lift more oil, with the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Kuwait and Iraq offering more oil to customers in the past week.

In other producers like Saudi Arabia, crude oil exports ​from Saudi Arabia fell for a second ​straight month in April and ⁠hit a record low of 3.99 million barrels per day, compared with 4.974 million barrels per day in March.

Another producer under the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), Iraq, plans to restore crude production gradually to between 4.2 million ​barrels per day and 4.3 million barrels per day.

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Economy

NGX Weekly Trading Volume Drops 38% Amid Panic Sell-Offs

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NGX 30 Index

By Dipo Olowookere

The week-on-week trading volume on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited contracted by 38 per cent amid profit-taking by investors as a result of cautious trading.

Data from Customs Street showed that in the five-day trading week, market participants transacted 3.075 billion shares worth N254.614 billion in 287,157 deals, in contrast to the 4.964 billion shares valued at N207.521 billion traded in 235,966 deals in the preceding week.

Analysis showed that financial equities led the activity chart, with 2.074 billion units sold for N64.490 billion in 121,981 deals, contributing 67.44 per cent and 25.33 per cent to the total trading volume and value, respectively.

Services stocks recorded a turnover of 175.743 million units worth N2.759 billion in 19,590 deals, while consumer goods shares exchanged 133.375 million units valued at N12.680 billion in 30,730 deals.

Access Holdings, Sterling Holdings, and Jaiz Bank accounted for 819.234 million shares worth N12.247 billion in 21,809 deals, contributing 26.64 per cent and 4.81 per cent to the total trading volume and value, respectively.

In the week, 11 equities gained weight versus 40 equities a week earlier, 78 shares lost weight versus 53 shares in the previous week, and 57 stocks closed flat versus 53 stocks of the preceding week.

Cornerstone Insurance chalked up 11.01 per cent to sell for N6.05, Academy Press rose by 8.72 per cent to N8.10, Conoil improved by 8.25 per cent to N210.00, Neimeth expanded by 4.68 per cent to N8.95, and Ikeja Hotel grew by 3.36 per cent to N44.60.

On the flip side, International Energy Insurance shed 28.83 per cent to trade at N5.06, First Holdco lost 20.29 per cent to finish at N55.00, John Holt slipped by 17.65 per cent to N11.20, NAHCO depreciated by 17.27 per cent to N148.50, and Zichis dropped 16.13 per cent to settle at N26.00.

Business Post reports that the All-Share Index (ASI) and the market capitalisation depreciated by 3.59 per cent to close the week at 235,941.27 points and N151.327 trillion, respectively. Also, all other indices finished lower except the sovereign bond index, which remained unchanged.

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