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Economy

NBS Says Inflation in Nigeria Hit 20.77% in September 2022

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By Aduragbemi Omiyale

In September 2022, inflation in Nigeria increased by 20.77 per cent from 20.52 per cent in August 2022 and 16.63 per cent in September 2021.

In a report released on Monday, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said the jump in the consumer price index (CPI) was triggered by an increase in food inflation due to higher prices paid by Nigerians to purchase bread and cereals, potatoes, yam, oil, and fat.

It was stated that the food inflation rate in September 2022 was 23.34 per cent compared with the 19.57 per cent recorded in September 2021 and 23.12 per cent in August 2022.

It is believed that inflation will continue to remain high this year as a result of the flood in some states, which has destroyed crops and farmlands.

In the report released today, the NBS said the percentage change in the average CPI for the 12-month period ending September 2022 over the average of the CPI for the previous 12-month period was 17.43 per cent, showing a 0.60% increase compared with the 16.83 per cent recorded in September 2021.

It was observed that urban inflation, on a year-on-year basis, stood at 21.25 per cent last month compared with 17.19 per cent in the same period of last year.

On a month-on-month basis, the urban inflation rate was 1.46 per cent in September 2022, lower than the 1.76 per cent reported in August 2022. The corresponding 12-month average for the urban inflation rate was 17.94 per cent, higher than the 17.41 per cent in September 2021.

As for the rural inflation rate, it was 20.32 per cent in September 2022 compared with 16.08 per cent in September 2021. On a month-on-month basis, it stood at 1.27 per cent, lower than 1.75 per cent a month earlier and for the 12-month average, the rate was 16.94 per cent in contrast to 16.26 per cent a year earlier.

The stats office said all items inflation rate on a year-on-year basis was highest in Kogi State at 23.82 per cent, Rivers State at 23.49 per cent, Benue State at 22.78 per cent, while Abuja at 17.87 per cent, Borno at 18.12 per cent, and Adamawa at 18.42 per cent recorded the slowest rise in headline year-on-year inflation.

On a month-on-month basis, however, September 2022 recorded the highest increases in Jigawa at 2.58 per cent, Yobe at 2.22 per cent, Benue at 2.05 per cent, while Abuja at -0.72 per cent, Sokoto at -0.19 per cent and Adamawa at 0.25 per cent recorded the slowest rise on month-on-month inflation.

In September 2022, food inflation on a year-on-year basis was highest in Kwara at 33.09 per cent, Kogi at 28.46 per cent, and Ebonyi at 27.41 per cent, while Kaduna at 18.84 per cent, Jigawa at 19.20 per cent and Sokoto at 19.44 per cent recorded the slowest rise on year-on-year food inflation.

On a month-on-month basis, however, September 2022 food inflation was highest in Enugu at 2.61 per cent, Ogun at 2.50 per cent, and Oyo at 2.43 per cent, while Sokoto at -0.88 per cent, Ondo at 0.38 per cent and Niger at 0.62 per cent recorded the slowest rise on month-on-month inflation.

Economy

Crude Deliveries Double to Dangote Refinery in Mix of Naira, Dollar Supply

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By Adedapo Adesanya

Crude oil deliveries from the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited to the Dangote Petroleum Refinery doubled in March, boosting prospects for improved fuel availability.

This was revealed by the chief executive of Dangote Industries Limited, Mr Aliko Dangote, on Tuesday, when he received the Deputy Secretary-General of the United Nations, Mrs Amina Mohammed, at the industrial complex in Ibeju-Lekki, Lagos.

While speaking on feedstock supply, Mr Dangote commended the NNPC for increasing crude deliveries to the refinery in March, noting that volumes rose to 10 cargoes—six supplied in Naira and four in Dollars—to support domestic fuel availability, according to a statement by the Refinery.

“Last month, they gave us six cargoes for Naira and four cargoes for Dollars,” he said.

Despite the improvement, Mr Dangote noted that the supply remains below the 19 cargoes required for optimal operations, with the refinery continuing to bridge the gap through imports from the United States and other African producers.

He also expressed concern over the unwillingness of international oil companies operating in Nigeria to sell to the refinery, stating that their preference for selling crude to traders forces it to repurchase at higher costs, with broader implications for the economy.

Mr Dangote added that the refinery is seeking increased access to domestically priced crude under local currency arrangements as part of efforts to moderate fuel costs and enhance long-term energy and food security across the continent.

On her part, Mrs Mohammed underscored the strategic importance of Dangote Industries Limited -particularly Dangote Fertiliser Limited—in addressing Africa’s mounting food security challenges, while calling for stronger global partnerships to scale its impact.

Mrs Mohammed said the United Nations would prioritise amplifying scalable solutions capable of mitigating the continent’s food crisis, describing Dangote’s integrated industrial model as a critical pathway.

“I think the UN’s job here is to amplify and to put visibility on the possibilities of mitigating a food security crisis, and this is one of them,” she said. “I hope that when we go back, we can continue to engage partners and countries that should collaborate with Dangote Industries.”

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Economy

SEC Okays 50% Hike in X-Alert Fee for Capital Market Transactions

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By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has approved a 50 per cent hike in the X-Alert service fee per transaction in the Nigerian capital market.

The X-Alert fee is a flat rate charged for sending real-time SMS/email notifications for transactions to investors from both buy and sell sides.

It was introduced by the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) to replace percentage-based charges, aimed at increasing transparency and reducing total transaction costs for investors.

Investors were earlier charged N4 per SMS, but the country’s apex capital market regulator has approved a 50 per cent increase in X-Alert service fee, meaning the new rate is N6 per SMS.

Business Post gathered from one of the players in the ecosystem that the effective date for the new price was Thursday, March 26, 2026.

“We wish to inform you of a revision to the X-Alert (SMS) service fee applicable to transactions executed on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX).

“Following approval by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the X-Alert fee has been reviewed upward from N4.00 to N6.00 per transaction,” the notice sighted by this newspaper read.

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Economy

World Bank Projects 4.2% Growth for Nigeria Amid Risks

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By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigeria’s economy is projected to remain resilient in the face of mounting global uncertainties, with the World Bank forecasting a 4.2 per cent growth rate in 2026.

However, the global lender has warned that rising fuel costs and persistent inflation, worsened by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, could undermine household incomes and slow poverty reduction.

Speaking in Abuja, the bank’s lead economist for Nigeria, Mr Fiseha Haile, noted that while the ongoing US-Israel-Iran conflict has pushed up prices, overall economic activity has remained largely intact.

“Overall business activity has been expanding over the past few ​months, suggesting the impact on growth has been relatively contained. But the shock is still ⁠being felt through higher inflation,” Mr Haile said.

According to him, business activity has continued to expand in recent months, indicating that the broader impact on growth has been “relatively contained,” even as inflationary pressures intensify.

Nigeria’s inflation rate, though significantly reduced from around 33 per cent in December 2024 to 15.06 per cent in February 2026, remains elevated compared to regional peers.

“Inflation is still elevated and under ‌increasing ⁠pressure, and that poses risks to incomes and poverty reduction,” Mr Haile said.

The renewed surge in fuel prices, reportedly rising by over 50 per cent during the Iran conflict, has had a ripple effect on transportation, food, and production costs, amplifying the cost-of-living crisis.

The World Bank urged Nigerian authorities to adopt prudent macroeconomic measures, including tightening monetary policy, avoiding blanket subsidies, and saving windfalls from higher oil prices to strengthen fiscal buffers.

It also recommended reconsidering restrictions on fuel imports as a potential tool to ease inflationary pressures.

The economic reforms under President Bola Tinubu — including the removal of fuel subsidies, exchange rate unification, and tax restructuring — were acknowledged as ambitious steps aimed at stabilising the economy.

These reforms have contributed to improved external buffers, with rising foreign exchange reserves and reduced volatility.

Additionally, Nigeria’s fiscal deficit stood at 3.1 per cent of GDP in 2025, while the debt-to-GDP ratio declined for the first time in a decade.

Yet, the World Bank cautioned that tighter global financial conditions could still pose risks to capital inflows, borrowing costs, and remittances.

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