Economy
New Investments Will Give Africa Lead in Agri Development
At a time when the rest of the world is re-thinking its approach to commercial agriculture, Africa has a clear opportunity to refresh its approach to the sector and become an emerging force.
Big shifts are already happening in food production, land and water use, and the integration of agri-tech and product tracing.
If African firms take an early lead during this transition, they will be well placed to compete globally by building enduring assets and commercial advantages beyond primary production.
The financing of new investments in agriculture has always relied on a healthy financial eco-system: active banks, sound insurers and lively futures markets.
The next set of gains will come from new platforms that allow small and large firms to connect to each other and to their shared stakeholders. The reciprocal exchange of market data will make smaller, efficient players more visible to large buyers.
“Without continued advances in agricultural productivity, the whole project of African advancement is at risk,” according to Linda Manda, Sector Head Agribusiness, Corporate and Investment Banking at Standard Bank. “The stakes are high for all of us”, says Ms Manda, “because communities in Africa rely on the agriculture industry for much more than food: employment, investment and infrastructure development are all part of the deal.” Over half (52%) of all people in Sub-Saharan Africa are employed in agriculture (2019).
Three recent developments: Higher value incentives
Three recent development milestones suggest that African firms are ready to move beyond low-margin primary production while remaining active in agriculture.
According to Sola David-Borha, Chief Executive of Africa regions at Standard Bank, “‘higher-value economic activity is even more likely if finance, technology and trade move deeper into African agriculture. Larger and more open markets, strong supplier networks and technology investments will drive Africa’s growth.”
Trade data, and Standard Bank’s own long experience of trade finance, shows that Africa has been a net importer of food for almost two decades although the trade deficit has narrowed recently.
Despite the impressive export growth of certain key products, other food imports continue to rise. The COVID-induced disruption to imports is a reminder that regional resilience in the food supply is a practical imperative, not an intangible aspiration.
A larger, more open, internal market in SSA
First, the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) should create a much larger internal market that gives producers access to a larger and more open market. Local production can better compete with the current import-and-distribute model. Large-scale production will arise when the returns are not stifled by trade friction. As an African bank, Standard Bank’s role is to put our strong balance sheet to work, lending to the new crop of agri-entrepreneurs.
Multinationals are already active cross-border distributors, but we expect new African producers to be attracted to the intra-African produce-to-trade and value addition opportunity. Africa also needs to be ready for the next disruption in trade. Some global imports will always be required but it would be wise to ensure that key inputs can also be sourced regionally.
Fading distinctions between suppliers
Second, the contrived distinction between the produce of small-holder farmers and very large commercial producers is beginning to fade. The new financial platforms being offered by Standard Bank will confirm the extent which large and small farming operations can complement one another.
Out-grower programmes offered by large global firms allow smallholders to establish themselves as suppliers to the biggest and most profitable value chains.
Tobacco, sugar and sorghum are all good case studies. Our banking platform is a place where buyers can meet producers, surrounded by market data on inputs, crop prices, volumes, regulations, trade advice and currency movements.
From the top of a tall grain silo, the neat polygons of mono-crop plantations appear to be the only advanced outposts of progress. By contrast, small-holder farmland can seem rough and rudimentary remnants of a pre-industrial age. Our own experience is quite different.
Smallholder farmers that have access to the right platforms and better yields are also able to compete on quality and cost. Local knowledge of weather, grains, indigenous varieties, insects, and soil has accumulated over many years in Africa and is becoming a treasure of indigenous competence and resourcefulness. The huge expansion of biological patents attests to the large commercial value of small, local insights.
Adoption of technology and optimisation logistics
The third recent milestone is the broad acceptance across Africa that advances in technology are not peripheral to growth. Grudging acceptance has given way to enthusiastic adoption.
Healthy livestock, fertile plantations, productive greenhouses and efficient cold chains all require technology partnerships to keep them productive and profitable.
Two decades of smartphone penetration in rural communities has probably eased the transition from guesswork and speculation to data-driven decisions and GPS mapping.
To make the most of this milestone, every hectare of land, every seedling and every bag of fertiliser must be used optimally. On-farm losses and unreliable methods are simply unaffordable during health pandemics and economic recessions.
Private investment in telecoms, machinery and pipelines will eventually work alongside publicly funded infrastructure: roads, rail and bulk water supplies.
Policy reforms need to support more public-private partnerships that have shown they can build and maintain high-quality infrastructure assets.
Consumer demand for less waste and more conservation will support investments in new systems that supply micro-nutrients to digitally-mapped crops and livestock. Food-insecure communities in Africa can cheer this development as much as time-starved households in wealthy countries: a regular surplus of well-priced food is the best guarantee of the social stability in which economic growth can best be cultivated.
By Adedapo Adesanya
President Bola Tinubu has reaffirmed plans to list the entire Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited.
The President made this known on Thursday while receiving a delegation of the NGX Group Plc at the State House, Abuja.
The team was led by the NGX Group chairman, Mr Umaru Kwairanga, and its chief executive, Mr Temi Popoola. The President was briefed on the capital market’s growth from about N30 trillion in 2023 to N160 trillion.
According to a statement by the Special Adviser to the President on Information and Strategy, Mr Bayo Onanuga, President Tinubu said the planned listing of NNPC would form a key part of his administration’s ongoing economic reforms.
He described the move as part of broader reforms aimed at expanding investment opportunities for Nigerians and deepening the country’s capital market.
“One day, not just the arms and legs, the totality of it will be listed on the Nigerian Exchange,” he said.
The President also reaffirmed that his administration’s target of building a $1 trillion economy remained achievable, citing Nigeria’s population and human capital as major advantages.
“I can see the excitement in the room. All I can do is to celebrate you all today. When we took over, it was very challenging. I had to talk to myself and define my background to accept the assets and liabilities of my predecessor. I asked for the job, and I have to do it,” President Tinubu said.
Reflecting on the administration’s monetary reforms, the President praised the Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Mr Yemi Cardoso’s role in restoring confidence in the financial system.
“My capable partner in one of the thinking and reasoning days was Yemi Cardoso, whom I put at CBN. We were in the negative with monetary policy and the reserve. We had N30 trillion printed, and there were liabilities. I thank you very much, Yemi Cardoso,” he said.
President Tinubu said the performance of the stock market reflected broader improvements in the Nigerian economy.
“If the stock market is doing well, then we are doing well. We can teach this in classrooms to our undergraduates. If they can be in the classroom without the harrowing feeling of how to pay and what to pay, then we can build a nation of success and prosperity. My assurance to you is that I won’t stop reading, thinking and supporting you,” he said.
The President also reiterated his belief in private sector-led investments, recalling his longstanding support for the Dangote Refinery project.
“If we can push the private sector to invest in the economy wisely, then we will grow. It is one reason why I backed Aliko Dangote even before I became President. God bless the soul of Muhammadu Buhari. We discussed how we can support the private sector to go into the refinery business,” he added.
On his part, NGX Group CEO Temi Popoola told the President that the total value of listed equities had increased from nearly N30 trillion when the administration assumed office in 2023 to about N160 trillion, with projections to reach N230 trillion before the end of the year.
“The picture today is that when you took office in 2023, the total value of stocks listed in Nigeria was just shy of N30 trillion. Today, Mr President, that figure is N160 trillion. By the end of this year, with the listings we are seeing in our market, we expect that figure to rise to N230 trillion,” Popoola said.
He added that the Nigerian All-Share Index had risen from 52,000 points to 244,000 points, while the reforms had created an estimated 500,000 to 900,000 new millionaires, attributing the market’s performance to the administration’s reforms and expressing confidence that Nigeria could attain a $1 trillion economy before 2030.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange surged by 2.05 per cent on Thursday, August 6, amid fresh buying interest after a lukewarm preceding session.
The market capitalisation gained N56.21 billion to close at N2,795 trillion compared with the previous session’s N2.739 trillion, while the NASD Security Index (NSI) rose by 93.63 points to end at 4,657.59 points against Wednesday’s 4,563.96 points.
During the trading day, there were five price gainers and two price losers, led by Okitipupa Plc, which depreciated by N28.00 to settle at N252.00 per share compared with the previous day’s N280.00 per share, and Acorn Petroleum Plc, which fell by 5 Kobo to close at N1.25 per unit versus midweek’s N1.30 per unit.
On the flip side, 11 Plc gained N22.5o to sell at N247.50 per share versus N225.00 per share, MRS Oil Plc grew by N12.00 to N132.00 per unit from N120.00 per unit, Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc added N9.94 to end at N129.74 per share versus N119.00 per share, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc improved by N4.09 to N148.09 per unit from N144.00 per unit, and Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc expanded by 5 Kobo to 55 Kobo per share from 50 Kobo per share.
The volume of securities skyrocketed by 360,690.4 per cent to 2.9 million units from 802 units on Wednesday, the value of securities surged by 47,518.0 per cent to N99.2 million from N208,240, and the number of deals increased by 300 per cent to 62 deals from two deals a day earlier.
Great Nigeria Insurance (GNI) Plc ended the day as the most traded stock by value on a year-to-date basis, with 3.4 billion units transacted for N8.4 billion, followed by Infrastructure Credit Guarantee (Infracredit) Plc with 2.3 billion units traded for N6.5 billion, and CSCS Plc with 77.0 million units sold for N5.5 billion.
GNI Plc also ended as the most traded stock by on a volume year-to-date basis, with 3.4 billion units exchanged for N8.4 billion, followed by Infracredit Plc with 2.3 billion units valued at N6.5 billion, and Resourcery Plc with 1.1 billion units worth N415.7 million.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Naira further slipped against the United States Dollar by N2.33 or 0.17 per cent to N1,364.88/$1 from N1,362.55/$1 in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Thursday, August 6.
In the same vein, the domestic currency weakened against the Pound Sterling in the official FX market by 71 Kobo yesterday to trade at N1,838.09/£1, in contrast to Wednesday’s value of N1,837.38/£1, but against the Euro, it gained 45 Kobo to close at N1,574.80/€1 compared with the previous day’s N1,575.25/€1.
At the GTBank FX desk, the Naira improved its value against the US Dollar by N4 on Thursday to quote at N1,369/$1 versus midweek”s rate of N1,373/$1, but at the parallel market, it remained unchanged at N1,400/$1.
The NAFEM interbank FX turnover jumped to $98.804 million on Thursday, up by more than 31 per cent from $75.357 million the previous day.
Similarly, the number of deals at the NFEM interbank increased to 106 from 82, confirming higher US Dollar flows at the official FX market.
Traders expect the Naira to hold steady, buoyed by dollar sales by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), whose presence in the market will help ease demand pressure.
In the cryptocurrency market, major cryptocurrencies were mostly down as the Senate delayed a vote on the Crypto Clarity Act until at least September.
The bill, which would set out which U.S. regulator oversees which digital assets, needs 60 votes to pass, and it is unclear whether it currently has 50. Several Republican senators have said publicly they oppose it, and Democrats want stricter rules preventing President Donald Trump from profiting from crypto while in office.
Ripple (XRP) shrank by 2.5 per cent to $1.02, Solana (SOL) depleted by 1.5 per cent to $72.86, Binance Coin (BNB) fell by 1.4 per cent to $587.41, Dogecoin (DOGE) tumbled by 0.9 per cent to $0.0692, Bitcoin (BTC) decreased by 0.6 per cent to $64,344.69, and Ethereum (ETH) tumbled by 0.3 per cent to $1,902.03.
However, Cardano (ADA) appreciated by 7.7 per cent to $0.2025, and TRON (TRX) rose by 0.3 per cent to $0.3267, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) traded flat at $1.00 apiece.
