Economy
Nigeria Faces Quadrilemma of Recession, Inflation, Unemployment, Weak Currency—Rewane
By Adedapo Adesanya
Foremost Nigerian economist and think tank, Mr Bismarck Rewane, has said Nigeria now faces a quadrilemma, following the report of negative growth as announced by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) this morning.
Mr Rewane, who appeared on Channels TV on Monday, said that the latest pointer about the economy should push the country to start doing some things differently.
Speaking on the quadrilemma, Mr Rewane, who acts as an adviser to President Muhammadu Buhari through the Economic Advisory Council (ECA), said the country now faces a situation in which a choice must be made among four undesirable options.
“The first variable we are looking at is recession, negative growth,” he said. “The second variable is high inflation, which is almost 13 per cent.
“The third variable is high unemployment; even though the unemployment numbers are at 28 per cent, we think that it is much more than that. And finally, we have weaknesses in currency.
“So, we are having external weaknesses and vulnerabilities, slow growth, high unemployment, and, more than anything else, contraction in economic activity.
“Now we are going to move away from the monetary policy complement that we have, stimulate the economy with greater catalyst, and do some things differently,” he added.
This warning came on the outlook of the gross domestic report (GDP) which contracted by 6.1 per cent in the second quarter of the year.
Giving his view on the figures during the television programme, Mr Rewane said the decline was “surprising and concerning” but not “alarming at this point in time.”
“The truth is that the economy had its pre-existing conditions in Q1 and the lag between the slow down and the contraction was underestimated by all analysts,” he said.
Further, he noted that the federal government’s stimulus plan for the economy was inadequate to cover for the shortfall recorded by the bureau, saying “we have a N2.5 trillion equipment to fight a 12 trillion contraction,” adding that “so, the limitations and inadequacies and inappropriateness of the tools, compared to the problem we have, is stacked.
“We are saying that the move from a slowdown into a contraction was more than we expected. The tools that we have at our disposal are inadequate.
“The stimulus that is required to take us out of this equation is going to be much more than we expected. And we are going to have to take some measures,” he said further.
Economy
Customs Street Opens Week Bullish With 0.02% Growth
By Dipo Olowookere
The first trading session of the new week on the floor of the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited ended on a bullish note on Monday after a marginal 0.02 per cent growth.
This was influenced by bargain-hunting activities in the financial and industrial goods ecosystems.
According to data obtained from Customs Street, the insurance space grew by 2.12 per cent, the industrial goods sector appreciated by 0.17 per cent and the banking space expanded by 0.12 per cent.
However, due to profit-taking, the consumer goods index went down yesterday by 0.46 per cent and the energy counter decreased by 0.11 per cent.
When the bourse ended for the session, the bulls were in charge after dealing with the bears, leaving the All-Share Index (ASI) higher by 16.68 points to 102,370.36 points from 102,353.68 points and the market capitalisation increased by N10 billion to N62.861 trillion from N62.851 trillion.
Investor sentiment was strong during the session after the stock exchange finished with 32 price gainers and 26 price losers, indicating a positive market breadth index.
Caverton gained 10.00 per cent to close at N2.42, Coronation Insurance improved by 9.91 per cent to N2.44, SCOA Nigeria expanded by 9.68 per cent to N2.72, UPDC jumped by 9.52 per cent to N1.84, and Universal Insurance also rose by 9.52 per cent to 69 Kobo.
On the flip side, Eunisell declined by 9.99 per cent to N14.06, John Holt lost 9.63 per cent to trade at N9.20, Secure Electronic Technology shed 8.99 per cent to quote at 81 Kobo, Honeywell Flour dropped 7.58 per cent to settle at N9.15, and PZ Cussons weakened by 6.00 per cent to N23.50.
Yesterday, a total of 1.3 billion shares worth N17.7 billion exchanged hands in 13,891 deals compared with the 327.8 million shares valued at N11.8 billion traded in 11,905 deals last Friday, implying an increase in the trading volume, value, and number of deals by 304.48 per cent, 50.00 per cent, and 16.68 per cent, respectively.
The busiest stock was Wema Bank with a turnover of 980.0 million units worth N9.8 billion, Universal Insurance sold 31.3 million units for N21.2 million, AIICO Insurance traded 22.2 million units valued at N36.9 million, Oando transacted 19.8 million units for N1.5 billion, and Zenith Bank exchanged 19.7 million units worth N926.0 million.
Economy
Nigeria Makes Maiden AfCFTA Shipment to Kenya
By Adedapo Adesanya
Nigeria’s maiden shipment under the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) has successfully arrived at the Mombasa Port in Kenya.
According to the Nigeria AfCFTA Coordination Office in a statement, the development marks a historic moment for Africa’s trade landscape.
The Senior Trade Expert at the Nigeria AfCFTA Coordination Office, Mr Olusegun Olutayo, said in line with its mandate under the leadership of the National Coordinator, Mr Olusegun Awolowo, the office had coordinated the landmark event.
He said the achievement marked a significant milestone for Nigeria in realising the vision of increased intra-African trade and economic integration championed by the agreement in line with the decision of the AU Assembly at the 31st Ordinary Session of the Assembly.
“In times of escalating geopolitical tension and looming geo-economic fragmentation, AfCFTA presents a perfect opportunity for Africa to leverage trade as a strategic instrument for enhanced market access among state parties.
“This is a historic moment, a realisation of the vision of our continent’s founding fathers and mothers.”
He also said the first consignment which was a synthetic filaments product of Nigeria’s Lucky Fibres Limited (Lush), a subsidiary of the Tolaram Group, was exported under AfCFTA preferential terms.
Mr Olutayo lauded the bold economic reforms of President Bola Tinubu, emphasising their catalytic role in enabling the country’s active participation in AfCFTA, fostering continental economic integration and industrialisation goals.
He also commended the seamless cooperation and commitment from Kenyan authorities, which exemplifies the true spirit of AfCFTA.
He acknowledged the pivotal leadership role of the AfCFTA Secretariat in fostering the success and emphasised the collaborative efforts of the Kenya AfCFTA Implementation Committee and the Kenya Revenue Authority (Customs).
According to him, the shipment, exported under AfCFTA preferential trade terms, underscores partnership, shared vision, the agreement’s potential to transform Africa’s economic landscape and pave the way for a new era of trade-driven prosperity.
The AfCFTA seeks to create a single market across Africa by reducing barriers to trade, investment, and labour.
The agreement’s goal is to increase socioeconomic development, reduce poverty, and make Africa more competitive globally.
On March 21, 2018, the AfCFTA agreement was adopted and opened for signature in Kigali, Rwanda. The agreement entered into force on May 30, 2019 and officially commenced on January 2021
Former President Muhammadu Buhari established the National Action Committee on AfCFTA (NAC) in December 2019.
Economy
Capital Market Operators Get January 31 Deadline for Licence Renewal
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Nigerian Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has fixed January 31 as deadline for all Capital Market Operators (CMOs) to renew their operating licence.
In a circular to the operators on Sunday, the apex regulatory agency in the country’s capital market said the annual registration renewal would last between January 1 and 31, 2025.
SEC said the annual registration renewal enforcement for CMOs was aimed at ensuring that only “fit and proper” persons operate in the capital market, warning that CMOs without valid registration will be penalised and may be excluded from capital market activities.
”This is to inform all CMOs and the general public that the annual renewal of registration of CMOs for the year 2025 will commence from January 01.
“All CMOs applying for renewal are required to include their 2025 annual subscription receipt from their respective trade groups as part of their application.
“In line with the commission’s Rules & Regulations, all CMOs are to complete the process of renewal of registration for 2025 on or before January 31 via registration renewal portal at www.eportal.sec.gov.ng,” it said.
The commission added that CMOs desiring to make enquiries or get support to complete the process should contact [email protected].
The regulator said it had in 2021 re-introduced periodic registration renewal by CMOs to create a reliable active operators’ data bank in the country’s capital market.
It said the renewal arrangement aimed at updating operators information on capital market for official use by local and foreign investors, other regulatory agencies and the public.
The agency added that the renewals would drastically reduce incidences of unethical practices by CMOs which may affect investors’ confidence and impact the capital market negatively, noting that the exercise will strengthen supervision and monitoring of CMOs by the commission.
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