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Economy

Nigeria Posts 2.74% GDP Growth in 2023

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0.51% GDP Growth

By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigeria’s economy grew by 2.74 per cent in 2023, lower than the 3.1 per cent posted in 2022.

This was disclosed by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) in its latest Nigeria Gross Domestic Product Q4 2023 Report released on Thursday.

While the country’s economic growth was lower than the preceding year, it grew by 3.46 per cent (year-on-year) in real terms in the fourth quarter of 2023. This growth rate is lower than the 3.52 per cent recorded in the fourth quarter of 2022 and higher than the third quarter of 2023 growth of 2.54 per cent.

The performance of the GDP in the fourth quarter of 2023 was driven mainly by the Services sector, which recorded a growth of 3.98 per cent and contributed 56.6  per cent to the aggregate GDP.

The agriculture sector grew by 2.1 per cent, from the growth of 2.05 per cent recorded in the fourth quarter of 2022. The growth of the industry sector was 3.9 per cent, an improvement from -0.94 per cent recorded in the fourth quarter of 2022.

In terms of share of the GDP, industry, and the services sectors contributed more to the aggregate GDP in the fourth quarter of 2023 compared to the fourth quarter of 2022.

In the quarter under review, aggregate GDP stood at N65.9 trillion in nominal terms.

This is higher by 16.1 per cent when compared to the fourth quarter of 2022 which recorded aggregate GDP of N56.8 trillion.

The Nigerian economy is based on growth in the oil sector and the non-oil sector. For the oil sector, Nigeria’s oil sector growth stood at -2.22 per cent in 2023 compared to -19.2 per cent in 2022 while the non-oil sector growth stood at 3.0 per cent relative to 4.8 per cent recorded in the previous year.

The nation in the fourth quarter of 2023 recorded an average daily oil production of 1.55 million barrels per day, higher than the daily average production of 1.34 million barrels per day recorded in the same quarter of 2022 by 0.21 million barrels per day and higher than the third quarter of 2023 production volume of 1.45 million barrels per day by 0.10 million barrels per day.

The oil sector contributed 4.7 per cent to the total real GDP in Q4 2023, up from the figure recorded in the corresponding period of 2022 and down from the preceding quarter, where it contributed 4.3 per cent and 5.5 per cent respectively.

The real growth of the oil sector was 12.1 per cent (year-on-year) in Q4 2023, indicating an increase of 25.5 per cent points relative to the rate recorded in the corresponding quarter of 2022 (-13.4 per cent).

Growth also increased by 12.9 per cent points when compared to Q3 2023 which was –0.9 per cent. On a quarter-on-quarter basis, the oil sector recorded a growth rate of -3.8 per cent in Q4 2023.

On its part, the non-oil sector grew by 3.1 per cent in real terms during the reference quarter (Q4 2023). This rate was lower by 1.4 per cent points compared to the rate recorded in the same quarter of 2022 and 0.3 per cent points higher than the third quarter of 2023.

In real terms, the non-oil sector contributed 95.3 per cent to the nation’s GDP in the fourth quarter of 2023, lower than the share recorded in the fourth quarter of 2022 which was 95.7 per cent and higher than the third quarter of 2023 recorded as 94.5 per cent.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

Coronation Sees February 2026 Inflation Cooling to 14.12%

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inflation-nigeria

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

Analysts at Coronation Research are projecting the inflation rate for February 2026 to moderate by 0.98 per cent to 14.12 per cent from the 15.10 per cent recorded in the preceding month.

The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) is expected to release the inflation numbers today, Monday, March 16, 2026.

In a note released over the weekend, Coronation Research disclosed that the fall in the average prices of goods and services for last month would be impacted by a decline in the prices of food items.

“Our projection is supported by favourable base effects, easing food price pressures, and slight appreciation of the Naira,” a part of the report sighted by Business Post read.

The organisation revealed that the ongoing government interventions in the agricultural sector to improve food supply conditions are beginning to ease pressures within the food component of the consumer basket.

It further stated that “appreciation of the Naira to N1,363.40/1$ from N1,386.55/1$ in January is expected to reduce the cost of imported food items.”

However, it stressed that the ongoing US/Israel-Iran war was capable of reversing the deflationary trends because of the rising global energy prices.

“Also, the $200 million financing approved by the African Development Bank (AfDB) Group to scale up priority agricultural investments is expected to be disbursed in March, but its impact is likely to materialise in the medium to long term, with limited immediate effects on food supply and prices,” it said.

Coronation Research also disclosed that the recent energy market developments could keep core inflation sticky in the near term, as average Bonny Light crude oil prices rose to $72.33 per barrel in February 2026 from $68.04 per barrel in January.

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Economy

SERAP Calls for Investigation into NNPC’s N5.9bn Rebranding

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NNPC Crude Cargoes pricing

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Socio-Economic Rights and Accountability Project (SERAP) has called on President Bola Tinubu to order an investigation into the alleged N5.9 billion rebranding cost of the old Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation into the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited.

In a Sunday statement, SERAP urged Mr Tinubu to direct the Attorney General of the Federation and Minister of Justice, Mr Lateef Fagbemi, alongside anti-corruption agencies, to look into the matter.

The group further urged the President to direct the panel to identify and invite officials who authorised the payment and contractors who handled the project for questioning.

“We’ve urged President Bola Tinubu to urgently direct the Attorney General of the Federation and Minister of Justice, Mr Lateef Fagbemi, SAN, and appropriate anti-corruption agencies to promptly investigate the alleged expenditure of about ₦5.9 billion reportedly spent on the rebranding of the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) to the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPCL).

“We also urged him to direct the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) and the Independent Corrupt Practices and Other Related Offences Commission (ICPC) to identify the officials who approved and paid the amount, and the contractor(s) who collected the money, and to invite them for questioning,” the organisation stated.

SERAP further alleged that the NNPC reportedly paid N2.9 billion for incorporation expenses from petroleum product proceeds, while the National Petroleum Investment Management Services (NAPIMS) also charged N2.9 billion against crude oil revenue for the same purpose.

The group argued that the total cost was valued at about N5.9 billion, which was spent by the NNPCL for the rebranding.

“There ought to be full transparency and accountability regarding the reported ₦5.9 billion spent on rebranding NNPC to NNPCL.”

SERAP emphasised that Nigerians have the right to know who approved the expenditure, who received the money, and whether due process was followed.

“Any investigation into the rebranding project should determine whether the N5.9 billion represents value for money, lawful spending of public funds, and compliance with transparency and accountability requirements,” the statement concluded.

Business Post reports that NNPC became a limited liability company on July 1, 2022, under the Companies and Allied Matters Act (CAMA) in line with the implementation of the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA), which was signed into law on August 16, 2021, by late President Muhammadu Buhari.

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Economy

NASD Market Falls 1.18% to Extend Losing Streak

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NASD OTC exchange

By Adedapo Adesanya

The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange extended its stay in the south for the fourth consecutive session after it shed 1.18 per cent on Friday, March 13.

The unlisted securities market recorded a loss despite closing without a price decliner, and ending with two price gainers led by Geo Fluids Plc, which gained 1o Kobo to sell at N3.10 per share compared with the previous day’s N3.00 per share. Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc appreciated during the session by 2 Kobo to trade at 54 Kobo per unit versus Thursday’s closing price of 52 Kobo per unit.

When the market closed for the day, the market capitalisation lost N29.83 billion to close at N2.489 trillion compared with the N2.519 trillion it finished a day earlier, and the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) crashed by 49.84 points to 4,160.46 points from 4,210.31 points.

Market activity improved yesterday, as the volume of transactions rose 179.5 per cent to 10.4 million units from 3.7 million units, but the value of trades declined by 68.4 per cent to N29.9 million from N95.0 million, while the number of deals weakened by 11.5 per cent to 46 deals from 52 deals.

Central Securities Clearing Systems (CSCS) Plc remained the most active stock by value on a year-to-date basis with 38.4 million units worth N2.4 billion, Okitipupa Plc followed with 6.4 million units traded at N1.1 billion, and FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc transacted 6.3 million units for N584.3 million.

Resourcery Plc ended the trading session as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 1.1 billion units valued at N415.6 million, trailed by Geo-Fluids Plc with 130.8 million units valued at N504.5 million, and CSCS Plc with 38.4 million units worth N2.4 billion.

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