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Economy

PwC Projects 4.3% GDP Growth for Nigeria in 2026

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GDP Nigeria growth

By Adedapo Adesanya

PwC Nigeria has projected that Nigeria’s real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) would grow at about 4.3 per cent this year, supported by higher crude oil production and stronger performance in dominant sectors.

The consultancy firm gave this projection in its Economic Outlook 2026 released on Wednesday.

It also said the Naira is expected to remain broadly stable through 2026, underpinned by ongoing reforms by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and improved portfolio inflows.

Headline inflation is also projected to moderately ease, supported by the CBN’s tight monetary policy stance, rebasing effects, and improved stability in the foreign exchange market.

With regards to interest rate, the PwC report said with inflation trending down, the apex bank may cautiously ease its monetary policy stance this year.

The report, however, said fiscal sustainability risks are expected to persist, driven by low revenue to GDP, fiscal leakages, higher spending and elevated debt service obligations.

PwC Nigeria said with fiscal constraints persisting, they reinforce the importance of capital efficiency and balance-sheet discipline.

Against this backdrop, PwC Nigeria highlights practical imperatives for business leaders in 2026: making selective investment bets in attractive sectors and regions, and scenario-planning for macroeconomic and geopolitical shocks.

Other imperatives for business leaders include adapting business models and cost structures for resilience, accelerating digital transformation and responsible AI adoption, and strengthening regulatory and tax compliance as reforms move from design to execution.

The firm noted that Nigeria recorded improvements in macroeconomic stability in 2025 following key monetary and foreign-exchange reforms, with inflation easing, exchange-rate conditions stabilising, and external reserves strengthening.

Speaking on this, the Country Senior Partner, PwC Nigeria, Mr Sam Abu, said: “PwC Nigeria’s Economic Outlook 2026 provides forward-looking analysis of key macroeconomic indicators and what they signal for the economy and for business leaders.

“Nigeria has achieved improved macroeconomic stability over the past year. The focus now is how that stability is translated into sustainable economic growth, and how businesses position for 2026. For companies, this stability provides a more predictable operating environment for planning, investment, and growth decisions.”

On his part, the Partner and Chief Economist, PwC Nigeria, Mr Olusegun Zaccheaus, said, “Globally, growth is projected at around 3.1 per cent, while merchandise trade growth slows to about 0.5 per cent, keeping oil prices, capital flows, and access to foreign inflows as key channels influencing Nigeria’s growth and FX liquidity.

“Domestically, improved monetary effectiveness has reduced volatility and clarified pricing, cost, and funding signals, even as fiscal pressures, security challenges, and weak household purchasing power continue to shape sector outcomes.”

According to Mr Zaccheaus, “growth is more likely to remain concentrated in services and selected capital-intensive sectors, placing a premium on disciplined capital allocation and sector selection.”

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

Economy

NASD Exchange Gains 0.88% as CSCS, FrieslandCampina Lead Advancers

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NASD securities exchange

By Adedapo Adesanya

Four price gainers extended kept the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange in the green territory by 0.88 per cent on Wednesday, April 22.

The advancers were led by Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc, which went up by N3.33 to close at N66.48 per share compared with the preceding day’s N63.15 per share. FrieslandCampina Wamco Plc added N1.79 to sell at N99.00 per unit versus N97.21 per unit, Afriland Properties Plc appreciated by 16 Kobo to N16.00 per share from N15.84 per share, and UBN Property Plc rose by 7 Kobo to N2.25 per unit from N2.18 per unit.

Consequently, the market capitalisation chalked up N12.99 billion to close at N2.375 trillion compared with Tuesday’s N2.354 trillion, and the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) increased by 34.69 points to 3,969.96 points from 3,935.27 points.

At midweek, the value of securities traded by investors surged by 11,468.9 per cent to N21.5 million from N5.7 million, the volume of securities ballooned by 708.1 per cent to 49.5 million units from 185,420 units, and the number of deals soared by 21.7 per cent to 28 deals from 23 deals.

At the close of business, Great Nigeria Insurance (GNI) Plc was the most traded stock by value on a year-to-date basis with 3.4 billion units sold for N8.4 billion, trailed by CSCS Plc with 58.9 million units exchanged for N3.9 billion, and Okitipupa Plc with 27.8 million units traded for N1.9 billion.

GNI Plc also ended the trading session as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 3.4 billion units worth N8.4 billion, followed by Resourcery Plc with 1.1 billion units transacted for N415.7 million, and Infrastructure Guarantee Credit Plc with 400 million units valued at N1.2 billion.

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Economy

Naira Rebounds to N1,348/$ at Official Market

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Official FX Market

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Naira halted its recent depreciations against the US Dollar in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Wednesday, April 22.

According to data, the domestic currency chalked up 0.17 per cent or N2.29 against the greenback at midweek to exchange for N1,348.45/$1 compared with the previous day’s rate of N1,350.74/$1 despite concerns over liquidity pressures, policy transparency, and confidence in Nigeria’s FX market, especially as the country’s foreign reserves are expected to decline further amid fluctuations in crude oil prices in the global commodity market.

However, the Naira appreciated against the Pound Sterling yesterday in the official market by N4.72 to trade at N1,821.75/£1 versus Tuesday’s price of N1,826.47/£1, and gained N7.42 against the Euro to sell at N1,582.00/€1 versus N1,589.12/€1.

The Nigerian currency maintained stability against the Dollar in the parallel market during the session at N1,375/$1, but depreciated by N9 at the GTBank forex counter to N1,363/$1 from N1,354/$1.

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) announced a decline in interbank liquidity to N66.084 million across 87 deals from N91.866 million across 106 deals the previous day, a signal that FX payment requests eased on Wednesday.

Traders say weak fiscal discipline and budget overlaps are key drivers of pressure on the Naira in the black market. They raised worries, including excessive spending, delayed budgets, and the running of overlapping budget cycles.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin briefly touched $79,388 the cryptocurrency market on Wednesday before easing back to about $78,201.31.

The rally’s concentration in BTC, alongside negative funding rates that have persisted for roughly 47 days, suggests a narrow, derivatives-sceptical bid rather than broad-based enthusiasm across digital assets.

Geopolitical tensions, including a U.S. naval blockade near Iran, Iranian gunboat fire in the Strait and stalled cease-fire diplomacy, are feeding market uncertainty, with Cardano (ADA) down by 3.2 per cent to $0.2474.

Further, Solana (SOL) fell by 2.5 per cent to $85.97, Ripple (XRP) slipped by 2.3 per cent to $1.42, Ethereum (ETH) shrank by 1.7 per cent to $2,352.18, TRON (TRX) slid by 1.4 per cent to $0.3281, Dogecoin (DOGE) tumbled by 1.1 per cent to $0.0961, and Binance Coin (BNB) dropped 0.8 per cent to sell for $637.46, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) traded flat at $1.00 each.

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Economy

IGR of N1.3trn Accounts for 60% of Lagos Budget—Governor

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Lagos N1.3trn IGR budget

By Dipo Olowookere

Governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu of Lagos State has revealed that the annual budget of the state is now being funded largely by Internally Generated Revenue (IGR).

Speaking on Wednesday at the State House in Marina, Lagos, the Governor said revenue generated in the state from taxes specifically accounts for over 60 per cent of the appropriation act.

He also disclosed that in 2024, Lagos State earned over N1.3 trillion from IGR, allowing the government to provide basic amenities and others to residents.

Governor Sanwo-Olu attributed this achievement to the stable leadership at the Lagos State Inland Revenue Service (LIRS), charging his colleagues to emulate this.

“Governors need to give revenue agencies clear space to work. They need to give them that independence. They need to give them full tenure to do their work.

“It should not be a situation where a governor comes and wants to disrupt the tenure of the chairman. It is only when they do all of this that the confidence of taxpayers, the confidence of workers and subordinates in the system will be enhanced.

“I will be pushing my brother governors again for them to understand and appreciate that it is only when they give you what you need to work that they can get the benefits of the expertise that you all have,” Mr Sanwo-Olu said at the 159th meeting of the Joint Revenue Board (JRB) in the state.

The JRB, formerly known as the Joint Tax Board (JTB), is made up of the chairman of the Nigeria Revenue Service (NRS), chairmen of the 36 State Internal Revenue Services and the Chairman of the Federal Capital Territory (FCT), as well as representatives of key agencies including the Federal Ministry of Finance, National Identity Management Commission, Revenue Mobilisation, Allocation and Fiscal Commission, Nigeria Customs Service, Nigeria Immigration Service and the Federal Road Safety Corps.

Speaking further, the Governor said the 45 per cent increase in the IGR for 2024 was driven by reforms spearheaded by the LIRS, sustained investment in digital tax systems, expansion of the tax base, and improved engagement with taxpayers.

“We can say that our internally generated revenues now account for well over 60 per cent of our budget. It has not happened by sheer luck. It is the result of years of investment in digital tax systems, a push to expand our tax net, and building trust with our taxpayers,” he stated.

“For us, it is really about our citizens. It is about the people who have given us the trust to believe in us and to pay these taxes. My deputy and I are consistently committed to ensuring that we leave this place a lot better than we met it,” he added.

The chairman of LIRS, Mr Ayodele Subair, noted that Lagos’ hosting of the meeting again after five years reflected its economic importance.

“After a five-year interval, Lagos State is once again honoured to host this important gathering. This reflects the state’s leadership as Nigeria’s economic nerve centre,” he said.

On his part, the chairman of JRB, Mr Zacch Adedeji, represented by the Executive Secretary of JRB, Mr Olusegun Adesokan, commended Lagos for its revenue performance and governance reforms, noting that, “Prior to this, the state’s annual internal revenue was less than N94 billion. But today, Lagos generates over N1.7 trillion annually.”

“These achievements clearly demonstrate how strong revenue performance, when effectively managed, translates into tangible development outcomes for citizens,” he added.

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