Economy
PwC Projects 4.3% GDP Growth for Nigeria in 2026
By Adedapo Adesanya
PwC Nigeria has projected that Nigeria’s real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) would grow at about 4.3 per cent this year, supported by higher crude oil production and stronger performance in dominant sectors.
The consultancy firm gave this projection in its Economic Outlook 2026 released on Wednesday.
It also said the Naira is expected to remain broadly stable through 2026, underpinned by ongoing reforms by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and improved portfolio inflows.
Headline inflation is also projected to moderately ease, supported by the CBN’s tight monetary policy stance, rebasing effects, and improved stability in the foreign exchange market.
With regards to interest rate, the PwC report said with inflation trending down, the apex bank may cautiously ease its monetary policy stance this year.
The report, however, said fiscal sustainability risks are expected to persist, driven by low revenue to GDP, fiscal leakages, higher spending and elevated debt service obligations.
PwC Nigeria said with fiscal constraints persisting, they reinforce the importance of capital efficiency and balance-sheet discipline.
Against this backdrop, PwC Nigeria highlights practical imperatives for business leaders in 2026: making selective investment bets in attractive sectors and regions, and scenario-planning for macroeconomic and geopolitical shocks.
Other imperatives for business leaders include adapting business models and cost structures for resilience, accelerating digital transformation and responsible AI adoption, and strengthening regulatory and tax compliance as reforms move from design to execution.
The firm noted that Nigeria recorded improvements in macroeconomic stability in 2025 following key monetary and foreign-exchange reforms, with inflation easing, exchange-rate conditions stabilising, and external reserves strengthening.
Speaking on this, the Country Senior Partner, PwC Nigeria, Mr Sam Abu, said: “PwC Nigeria’s Economic Outlook 2026 provides forward-looking analysis of key macroeconomic indicators and what they signal for the economy and for business leaders.
“Nigeria has achieved improved macroeconomic stability over the past year. The focus now is how that stability is translated into sustainable economic growth, and how businesses position for 2026. For companies, this stability provides a more predictable operating environment for planning, investment, and growth decisions.”
On his part, the Partner and Chief Economist, PwC Nigeria, Mr Olusegun Zaccheaus, said, “Globally, growth is projected at around 3.1 per cent, while merchandise trade growth slows to about 0.5 per cent, keeping oil prices, capital flows, and access to foreign inflows as key channels influencing Nigeria’s growth and FX liquidity.
“Domestically, improved monetary effectiveness has reduced volatility and clarified pricing, cost, and funding signals, even as fiscal pressures, security challenges, and weak household purchasing power continue to shape sector outcomes.”
According to Mr Zaccheaus, “growth is more likely to remain concentrated in services and selected capital-intensive sectors, placing a premium on disciplined capital allocation and sector selection.”
Economy
Naira Rebounds to N1,348/$ at Official Market
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Naira halted its recent depreciations against the US Dollar in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Wednesday, April 22.
According to data, the domestic currency chalked up 0.17 per cent or N2.29 against the greenback at midweek to exchange for N1,348.45/$1 compared with the previous day’s rate of N1,350.74/$1 despite concerns over liquidity pressures, policy transparency, and confidence in Nigeria’s FX market, especially as the country’s foreign reserves are expected to decline further amid fluctuations in crude oil prices in the global commodity market.
However, the Naira appreciated against the Pound Sterling yesterday in the official market by N4.72 to trade at N1,821.75/£1 versus Tuesday’s price of N1,826.47/£1, and gained N7.42 against the Euro to sell at N1,582.00/€1 versus N1,589.12/€1.
The Nigerian currency maintained stability against the Dollar in the parallel market during the session at N1,375/$1, but depreciated by N9 at the GTBank forex counter to N1,363/$1 from N1,354/$1.
The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) announced a decline in interbank liquidity to N66.084 million across 87 deals from N91.866 million across 106 deals the previous day, a signal that FX payment requests eased on Wednesday.
Traders say weak fiscal discipline and budget overlaps are key drivers of pressure on the Naira in the black market. They raised worries, including excessive spending, delayed budgets, and the running of overlapping budget cycles.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin briefly touched $79,388 the cryptocurrency market on Wednesday before easing back to about $78,201.31.
The rally’s concentration in BTC, alongside negative funding rates that have persisted for roughly 47 days, suggests a narrow, derivatives-sceptical bid rather than broad-based enthusiasm across digital assets.
Geopolitical tensions, including a U.S. naval blockade near Iran, Iranian gunboat fire in the Strait and stalled cease-fire diplomacy, are feeding market uncertainty, with Cardano (ADA) down by 3.2 per cent to $0.2474.
Further, Solana (SOL) fell by 2.5 per cent to $85.97, Ripple (XRP) slipped by 2.3 per cent to $1.42, Ethereum (ETH) shrank by 1.7 per cent to $2,352.18, TRON (TRX) slid by 1.4 per cent to $0.3281, Dogecoin (DOGE) tumbled by 1.1 per cent to $0.0961, and Binance Coin (BNB) dropped 0.8 per cent to sell for $637.46, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) traded flat at $1.00 each.
Economy
IGR of N1.3trn Accounts for 60% of Lagos Budget—Governor
By Dipo Olowookere
Governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu of Lagos State has revealed that the annual budget of the state is now being funded largely by Internally Generated Revenue (IGR).
Speaking on Wednesday at the State House in Marina, Lagos, the Governor said revenue generated in the state from taxes specifically accounts for over 60 per cent of the appropriation act.
He also disclosed that in 2024, Lagos State earned over N1.3 trillion from IGR, allowing the government to provide basic amenities and others to residents.
Governor Sanwo-Olu attributed this achievement to the stable leadership at the Lagos State Inland Revenue Service (LIRS), charging his colleagues to emulate this.
“Governors need to give revenue agencies clear space to work. They need to give them that independence. They need to give them full tenure to do their work.
“It should not be a situation where a governor comes and wants to disrupt the tenure of the chairman. It is only when they do all of this that the confidence of taxpayers, the confidence of workers and subordinates in the system will be enhanced.
“I will be pushing my brother governors again for them to understand and appreciate that it is only when they give you what you need to work that they can get the benefits of the expertise that you all have,” Mr Sanwo-Olu said at the 159th meeting of the Joint Revenue Board (JRB) in the state.
The JRB, formerly known as the Joint Tax Board (JTB), is made up of the chairman of the Nigeria Revenue Service (NRS), chairmen of the 36 State Internal Revenue Services and the Chairman of the Federal Capital Territory (FCT), as well as representatives of key agencies including the Federal Ministry of Finance, National Identity Management Commission, Revenue Mobilisation, Allocation and Fiscal Commission, Nigeria Customs Service, Nigeria Immigration Service and the Federal Road Safety Corps.
Speaking further, the Governor said the 45 per cent increase in the IGR for 2024 was driven by reforms spearheaded by the LIRS, sustained investment in digital tax systems, expansion of the tax base, and improved engagement with taxpayers.
“We can say that our internally generated revenues now account for well over 60 per cent of our budget. It has not happened by sheer luck. It is the result of years of investment in digital tax systems, a push to expand our tax net, and building trust with our taxpayers,” he stated.
“For us, it is really about our citizens. It is about the people who have given us the trust to believe in us and to pay these taxes. My deputy and I are consistently committed to ensuring that we leave this place a lot better than we met it,” he added.
The chairman of LIRS, Mr Ayodele Subair, noted that Lagos’ hosting of the meeting again after five years reflected its economic importance.
“After a five-year interval, Lagos State is once again honoured to host this important gathering. This reflects the state’s leadership as Nigeria’s economic nerve centre,” he said.
On his part, the chairman of JRB, Mr Zacch Adedeji, represented by the Executive Secretary of JRB, Mr Olusegun Adesokan, commended Lagos for its revenue performance and governance reforms, noting that, “Prior to this, the state’s annual internal revenue was less than N94 billion. But today, Lagos generates over N1.7 trillion annually.”
“These achievements clearly demonstrate how strong revenue performance, when effectively managed, translates into tangible development outcomes for citizens,” he added.
Economy
Brent Returns to $100 Per Barrel Amid Fresh Hormuz Attacks
By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil prices increased by more than $3 on Wednesday on fresh attacks on at least three container ships in the Strait of Hormuz amid a lack of progress in peace talks between the US and Iran.
Brent crude futures gained $3.43 or 3.48 per cent to trade at $101.91 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures appreciated by $3.29 or 3.67 per cent to $92.96 per barrel.
At least three container ships were hit by gunfire in the Strait of Hormuz on Wednesday.
Iran’s Revolutionary Guards Navy (IGRC) seized two vessels for what it described as maritime violations and transferred them to Iranian shores. The two ships – the Panama-flagged MSC Francesca and Liberia-flagged Epaminondas – were seized for “attempting to exit the Strait of Hormuz covertly”.
Iran and the US have imposed restrictions on ships using the strait, which carried about 20 per cent of global oil and liquefied natural gas supplies until the war began at the end of February. The standoff over the strait has raised doubts about whether stalled peace negotiations will resume.
The seizures mark the first time Iran has taken control of ships since the beginning of the war, which started on February 28, and come after the US fired on and seized an Iranian cargo vessel and boarded an Iranian oil tanker in the Indian Ocean.
In the latest in a series of about-turns, President Donald Trump threatened violence on Tuesday, hours before announcing he was unilaterally extending a ceasefire.
Previously, the American President Trump said he would indefinitely extend the ceasefire with Iran, hours before it was due to expire. Neither side showed up for peace talks in Pakistan.
Countries in Asia that are dependent on Gulf oil have been badly hit, with shortages of fuel, fertiliser and other raw materials that pass through the strait. While the West is better insulated, it is not immune, with Germany, Europe’s largest economy, slashing its 2026 growth forecast to 0.5 per cent on Wednesday, while Greece announced €500 million in extra aid for households and farmers.
Crude oil inventories in the US increased by 1.9 million barrels during the week ending April 17, according to new data from the U.S Energy Information Administration (EIA) released on Wednesday. The increase brings commercial stockpiles to 465.7 million barrels according to government data.
The EIA’s data release follows figures by the American Petroleum Institute (API) that were released on Tuesday, which reported that crude oil inventories saw a draw of 4.4 million barrels in the period.
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