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Economy

Nigeria Records 5.01% GDP Growth in Q2 2021

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GDP growth forecast

By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigeria’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew by 5.01 per cent (year-on-year) in real terms in the second quarter of 2021, marking three consecutive quarters of growth.

This is coming after the country, which is Africa’s largest economy, recorded negative growth rates in the second and third quarters of 2020.

According to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), in its Gross Domestic Report for Q2 2021 released on Thursday, the growth rate witnessed in the period was higher than the -6.10 per cent recorded in the same quarter of last year and the 0.51 per cent printed in the preceding quarter of the year.

With this growth, it shows that the country is getting back on its feet as businesses return and economic activity near levels seen prior to the nationwide implementation of COVID-19 related restrictions a year ago.

According to the NBS, the steady recovery observed since the end of 2020 was a result of the gradual return of commercial activities as well as local and international travel.

The stats office stated that this accounted for the significant increase in growth performance relative to the second quarter of 2020 when nationwide restrictions took effect.

On a year-to-date basis, the real GDP grew 2.76 per cent in 2021 compared to -2.18 per cent for the first half of 2020, Business Post observed.

However, on a quarter-on-quarter basis, the real GDP grew at -0.79 per cent in Q2 2021 compared to Q1 2021, reflecting slightly slower economic activity than the preceding quarter due largely to seasonality.

In nominal terms, Nigeria aggregate GDP stood at N39.1 trillion, higher than N34.0 trillion achieved in the same period of last year, indicating a year-on-year nominal growth rate of 14.9 per cent.

The nominal GDP growth rate in Q2 2021 was higher than -2.80 per cent growth recorded in the second quarter last year when economic activities slowed sharply at the outset of the pandemic.

The Q2 2021 nominal growth rate was also higher than the 12.25 per cent growth recorded in Q1 2021.

In the report, the NBS said the oil sector, which is one of the two broader Nigerian sectors, saw real growth of –12.65 per cent (year-on-year) in the review period, indicating a decrease of –6.02 per cent compared to the corresponding quarter of 2020.

The report also showed that growth decreased by -10.44 per cent when compared to Q1 2021 which was –2.21 per cent.

On the other end, the non-oil sector witnessed a growth of 6.74 per cent in real terms during the quarter, higher by 12.8 per cent compared to the rate recorded in the same quarter of 2020 and 5.95 per cent higher than the first quarter of 2021.

During the quarter, the sector was driven mainly by growth in Trade, Information and Communication (Telecommunication), Transportation (Road Transport), Electricity, Agriculture (Crop Production) and Manufacturing (Food, Beverage & Tobacco).

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

Naira Gains 0.03% Against Dollar at NAFEX, Bitcoin Drops Below $60,000

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yuan-naira $10bn

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Naira recorded a marginal gain of 43 Kobo or 0.03 per cent against the United States Dollar on Wednesday, June 25, in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) to sell for N1,380.11/$1 compared with the previous day’s N1,380.54/$1.

However, the Nigerian currency lost N3.21 against the Pound Sterling in the official market during the session to close at N1,818.84/£1, in contrast to Wednesday’s exchange rate of N1,815.63/£1, and against the Euro, it fell by N3.21 to trade at N1,566.84/€1 versus midweek’s value of N1,563.63/€1.

In the same vein, the Nigerian Naira depreciated against the Dollar at the GTBank FX deck yesterday by N3 to sell for N1,383/$1 compared with the preceding session’s value of N1,380/$1, and at the black market window, it remained unchanged at N1,395/$1.

Interbank FX turnover at the NFEM window surged by about 56 per cent day-on-day to close at $195.371 million from $125.588 million reported on Wednesday, according to data from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).

The Naira continues to feel the impact of rising FX payments and a strong US Dollar amid a sharp slowdown in forex market interventions by the central bank, with more than six weeks of no support for the local currency.

Nigeria’s foreign reserves increased further to $51.142 billion, while oil prices continue to be held in the $70 range by developments in the geopolitical scene.

Meanwhile, in the cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin sank below $60,000 as more than $1 billion in crypto positions were liquidated over the past 24 hours, with longs accounting for $842 million of the damage. About 148,500 traders were wiped out. The largest single position was a $38 million bitcoin-dollar bet on Hyperliquid. It led at $489 million in liquidations and dropped 2.8 per cent to sell at $59,862.61.

Ethereum (ETH) crashed by 5.5 per cent to $1,554.57, Ripple (XRP) declined by 4.8 per cent to $1.03, Cardano (ADA) fell by 4.3 per cent to $0.1433, Dogecoin (DOGE) dropped 3.4 per cent to sell at $0.0745, TRON (TRX) slid 2.2 per cent to $0.3215, Binance Coin (BNB) slumped by 1.8 per cent to $561.34, and Solana (SOL) dipped by 0.3 per cent to $62.94, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) sold flat at $1.00 each.

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Economy

Dangote Refinery Cuts PMS Gantry Price by N50 to N1,125 Per Litre

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By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The gantry price of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), commonly known as petrol, has been cut down by N50 to N1,125 per litre from N1,175 per litre by Dangote Petroleum Refinery.

The refinery confirmed this development via a statement on Thursday to newsmen.

Dangote Refinery described this downward review of the product’s price as a reflection of its ongoing commitment to ensuring price stability, improving affordability, and supporting Nigeria’s energy security objectives.

It further said it underscores its responsiveness to prevailing market conditions and its efforts to pass on cost efficiencies to downstream partners and consumers.

In the statement, the company said it remains focused on its broader mission of contributing to economic growth, enhancing fuel availability, and fostering a more competitive and sustainable petroleum sector in Nigeria.

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Economy

Crude Oil Jumps Over 2% After Vessel Hit Near Strait of Hormuz

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By Adedapo Adesanya

Crude oil prices rose more than 2 per cent on Thursday after a cargo vessel was hit ‌by an unknown projectile near Oman, putting an evacuation effort for ships from the key Strait of Hormuz on hold.

Brent futures gained $1.52 or 2.1 per cent to ​settle at $75.26 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude chalked up $1.58 or 2.3 per cent to trade at $71.92 per barrel.

The flow of oil and gas has been disrupted since the joint US-Israeli attacks on Iran at the end of February, but the agreement between the US and Iran to end the war has ​allowed the resumption of traffic through the crucial strait.

The United Nations International Maritime Organisation on Thursday paused its effort ​to shepherd ships and seafarers through the strait after the cargo ship reported a suspected attack. This reawakened concerns about the worldwide flow of oil.

Reuters reported that Iran fired on the cargo ship ​as it attempted to pass through the strait after Iranian authorities said the security of vessels passing outside designated Hormuz routes is not guaranteed.

Previously, crude shipments through the strait rose to their highest since the start of the war on Wednesday. Before the war, about 20 per cent of world oil supplies passed through the ​Strait, located between Iran and Oman.

Key fuel oil producers Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and Oman have moved to increase shipments from ports outside the Persian Gulf. Middle Eastern fuel oil exports are set to jump by 20 per cent from May to about 508,000 barrels per day in June.

US ‌Secretary of ⁠State Marco Rubio told Gulf allies on Thursday that any deal with Iran would take their interests into account, as he wrapped up a Middle East trip aimed at winning over regional partners with deep reservations about the preliminary accord.

The US and the six-member Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) said a lasting peace would mean addressing Iran’s ballistic missiles, drones and support for proxy groups. However, the US also threatened that if Iran threatens or blocks ships ​in the strait, there will be a “problem.”

The ​Wall Street Journal reported that Iran estimates charging for security, safety and environmental services in the strait, which would bring ​in $40 billion a year ⁠for the states involved.

In Venezuela, thousands were feared dead ⁠after two ​powerful earthquakes affected the capital, Caracas. The quakes could slow the ​increase in Venezuelan oil exports expected by US President Donald Trump’s administration after it captured Venezuela’s President Nicolas Maduro in January.

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