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Nigeria Records N8.4trn Foreign Trades in Q3 2020

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Nigeria's Foreign Trade

By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigeria’s total foreign trade for the third quarter of 2020 rose by 34.2 per cent to stand at N8.4 trillion compared to N6.2 trillion recorded in the previous quarter.

This was contained in the recently released foreign trade report by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), which also said in the first nine months of this year, the total trades stood at N23.2 trillion.

According to the report, total imports stood at N5.4 trillion in Q3 2020, 33.8 per cent higher than the N4.02 trillion recorded in Q2 2020. On a year-on-year basis, it increased by 38.0 per cent from N3.9 trillion recorded in the corresponding period of 2019.

In terms of export, the country recorded N2.99 trillion, 34.9 per cent higher than the N2.2 trillion recorded in Q2 2020, but 43.4 per cent lower than the N5.3 trillion recorded in Q3 2019.

Due to lower exports and higher imports, the trade balance recorded a deficit of N2.4 trillion between July and September 2020. Between April and June 2020, the country had a trade deficit of N1.8 trillion recorded in Q2.

It was disclosed in the NBS report that crude oil exports increased by 56.0 per cent to N2.4 trillion in the review period as against N1.6 trillion recorded in Q2 2020.

Meanwhile, non-crude oil exports, on the other hand, dropped by 14.6 per cent in the same period at N568.2 billion from N665.6 billion in the previous quarter. In the corresponding period of last year, the non-oil exports stood at N1.54 trillion.

In the third quarter of the year, Nigeria’s major export trading partners were India, Spain, Netherlands, South Africa, Turkey, while import trading partners were China, United States, Netherlands, India, and Belgium.

India accounted for 16.7 per cent (N500.6 billion) of the total value of exported goods, followed by Spain with N328.5 billion (10.9 per cent) and the Netherlands with N227.8 billion (7.6 per cent).

Others included South Africa with N203.9 billion (6.8 per cent) and Turkey N150.01 billion (5.0 per cent ).

On the other hand, China accounted for 30.5 per cent (N1.64 trillion) of Nigeria’s total import followed by the United States with N482.3 billion (8.9 per cent). The Netherlands, India, and Belgium made up the rest of the list with N443.5 billion (8.2 per cent), N354.1 billion (6.5 per cent ), and N212.3 billion (3.9 per cent).

Import by region showed that Asia is the largest destination with N2.6 trillion followed by Europe N1.8 trillion. Others include America – N746.4 billion, Africa – N175.4 billion and Oceania – N67.3 billion.

Nigeria’s export by region showed Europe as the lead destination N1.24 trillion trailed by Asia with N1.1 trillion, Africa amounted to N442.3 billion while America, N150.8 billion and Oceania – N44.7 billion.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

Naira Loses Against Dollar Official, Black Markets

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money supply naira

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Naira opened the new trading week on a negative note on Monday at the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) and the black market.

At the parallel market, the Nigerian currency weakened against the US Dollar by N5 to sell for N1,380/$1 compared with the preceding session’s rate of N1,375/$1, and at the GTBank FX desk, it shed N1 to trade at N1,373/$1 versus N1,372/$1.

At the official market, it lost 63 Kobo or 0.05 per cent against the Dollar during the session to close at N1,362.84/$1, in contrast to last Friday’s value of N1,362.21/$1.

However, the Nigerian Naira gained N2.30 against the Pound Sterling at the spot market yesterday, quoting at N1,821.29/£1 compared with the previous rate of N1,823.59/£1, and improved against the Euro by 23 Kobo to settle at N1,574.35/€1 versus N1,574.58/€1.

Data from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) showed that interbank forex turnover increased to $92.248 million across 90 deals, from $73.565 million last Friday.

On the policy front, participants believed that the application of the fourth edition of the Foreign Exchange Manual of the central bank, which introduces updated guidelines for foreign exchange transactions and tightening compliance requirements for authorised dealers and market participants, will enhance market flexibility and ease previous restrictions.

Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market snapped from recent declines, jolted by Strategy’s purchase of 1,550 Bitcoin for approximately $101 million, increasing its total holdings to 845,256 BTC. The company raised $181 million through common stock sales, using the proceeds to fund the bitcoin purchase and increase its cash reserves to $1 billion, pushing the price of the coin higher by 3.2 per cent to $63,731.69.

Cardano (ADA) appreciated by 8.4 per cent to $0.1738, Ethereum (ETH) rose by 5.2 per cent to $1,711.54, Solana (SOL) expanded by 5.1 per cent to $67.82, and Ripple (XRP) improved by 4.9 per cent to $1.18.

Further, Dogecoin (DOGE) jumped by 4.3 per cent to $0.0873, Binance Coin (BNB) soared by 2.7 per cent to $609.50, and TRON (TRX) increased by 0.7 per cent to $0.3274, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $0.9997 and $0.9998, respectively.

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Economy

Economist Tasks FG to Explore Alternative Funding Sources

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Aliyu Ilias

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The federal government has been advised to consider exploring other funding sources to finance its budget deficits.

Speaking with Punch recently, the chief executive of CSA Advisory, Mr Aliyu Ilias, said the current appetite for borrowing by the government cannot be sustained because it elevates debt-servicing costs.

The economist suggested the sale of some public assets and the involvement of the private sector in infrastructure financing for economic growth.

According to him, running to the debt markets to raise funds for the government is not the best route to take, as the reliance on borrowing always leads to higher debt-servicing obligations.

“The more you borrow, the more you are also incurring more debt services,” he said, tasking the government to also capitalise on increased oil revenues stemming from ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

“The government can actually sell off some of their assets to raise more money. The government can also, if you look at the revenue we are getting from oil, it’s getting more, especially with this war. It’s another opportunity for us to actually not borrow again,” Mr Ilias submitted.

He also pointed to ongoing tax reforms as another avenue to improve government finances and narrow the fiscal gap.

“The government can also look at tax reform. The fact is that the government does not have money. The only chance for getting more money is to address the financial deficit,” he added.

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Economy

Crude Oil Gains Over $1 Despite Easing Iran-Israel Tensions

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Cawthorne crude oil

By Adedapo Adesanya

Crude oil was up by $1 on Monday as Iran and Israel said they had halted attacks on each other following an ‌appeal from US President Donald Trump.

Brent crude futures gained $1.16 or 1.3 per cent to trade at $94.25 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were up 76 cents or 0.8 per cent to $91.30 per barrel.

Iran’s military said Monday it halted attacks on Israel after the two countries exchanged their most intense strikes in months, further straining an already shaky ceasefire as well as the US-Israeli relationship. Iran, however, said it would resume strikes if Israel continued to hit Hezbollah in Lebanon.

Israel also halted attacks on Iran, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said, stopping short of acknowledging a ceasefire that US President Donald Trump said the countries were aiming for.

President Trump said earlier that the US blockade, which was introduced in April, would remain in place “in full force” until a final peace agreement between the two warring nations is reached.

Prices gained more than 5 per cent earlier on Monday after renewed Israeli strikes ​on Iran and attacks on Lebanon had reduced hopes of an imminent end to the wider war.

Market analysts noted that because of the strikes, investors were concerned that flows through the Strait of Hormuz might remain restricted for longer. Roughly ​a fifth of the world’s daily supply of oil and liquefied natural gas passed through the waterway before US-Israeli airstrikes at the end of February ‌unleashed the ⁠latest escalation of the Middle Eastern conflict.

Yemen’s Iran-aligned Houthis said on Monday they would ban ships linked to Israel from the Red Sea after Israel renewed its military ​attacks on Iran, adding to concerns about global shipping and energy flows.

In the face of ​the supply crisis, a sub-group under the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) on ⁠Sunday agreed on its fourth oil output target increase in four months. The seven members decided to increase ​targets by 188,000 barrels per day from July, the same as the June hike, which was adjusted down from monthly increases of 206,000 barrels per day in May and April to take into account the exit of the United Arab Emirates (UAE).

On paper, the sub-group has increased its output quotas from April ⁠to June by almost 600,000 barrels per day, but in reality, the group’s production has collapsed due to export cuts by Gulf members, averaging 33.19 million ​barrels per day in April compared with 42.77 million barrels per day in February.

Saudi Arabia has cut its official selling prices for crude oil to Asia ​in July for a second month.

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