Economy
Nigeria to Lose Africa’s Largest Economy Status, Drop to Fourth—IMF
By Adedapo Adesanya
Nigeria is likely to lose its status as Africa’s largest economy and drop to fourth place this year after a series of Naira devaluations, International Monetary Fund (IMF) forecast show.
According to the IMF’s World Economic Outlook as reported by Bloomberg, Nigeria’s estimated gross domestic product stands at $253 billion based on current prices this year.
This means Nigeria is behind North African powerhouses Algeria (3rd) at $267 billion, Egypt at $348 billion (2nd), and South Africa at $373 billion (1st).
The report added that South Africa would remain the continent’s largest economy until Egypt reclaims the mantle in 2027. Nigeria however is expected to remain in fourth place for years to come, the data released this week shows.
Nigeria has been battling economic challenges since President Bola Tinubu announced significant policy reforms including the end of the subsidy regime and the devaluation of the Naira. Despite a recent rebound, the currency is still 50 per cent weaker against the greenback than it was before taking office after two currency devaluations.
Egypt, one of the emerging world’s most-indebted countries and the IMF’s second-biggest borrower after Argentina, has also allowed its currency to float, triggering an almost 40 per cent plunge in the pound’s value against the dollar last month to attract investment.
Unlike Nigeria’s Naira and Egypt’s Pound, the value of South Africa’s Rand has long been set in the financial markets and it has lost about 4 per cent of its value against the dollar this year. Its economy is expected to benefit from improvements to its energy supply and plans to tackle logistic bottlenecks.
The lender reviewed upwards Nigeria’s economic growth forecast for 2024 from three per cent to 3.3 per cent. However, for 2025, the IMF reduced Nigeria’s economic growth forecast to 3.0 per cent, a slight decrease from the 3.1 per cent projected earlier in January.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Nigerian Shippers Council (NSC) has reiterated its commitment to prioritising shipping activities and promoting importers and exporters in the country.
The Executive Secretary of the Council, Mr Pius Akutah, in a statement on Wednesday, said this after a familiarisation visit to the North East Zonal Directorate in Bauchi State.
The visit marked a strategic step in assessing the activities of the council in the region and reinforcing its role in trade facilitation and port economic regulation.
“The purpose of the visit was to promote regional integration in shipping activities and support exportation.
“This aligns with the current administration’s goal of enhancing the nation’s resources through the blue economy.
“We have had interactive meeting with stakeholders aimed at advancing shipping activities in the region and the role of shippers’ association in representing the interests of importers and exporters.
“The NSC is committed to improving ease of doing business,” he said.
On the Inland Dry Ports project in Bauchi, an initiative by the state government, Mr Akutah said it was laudable as it would attract both import and export activities to the area.
By Adedapo Adesanya
UBN Property Plc further sank the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange in the red territory by 0.48 per cent on Wednesday, April 23.
The property investment company lost 7 Kobo of its share value to settle at N2.10 per unit compared with the preceding day’s price of N2.17 per unit.
As a result, the market capitalisation of the bourse went down by N9.19 billion to N1.908 trillion from N1.917 trillion and the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) slumped by 105.70 points to 3,259.08 points from the previous session’s 3,274.78 points.
There was a 500.5 per cent rise in the volume of securities transacted in the midweek session to 1.05 million units from the 174,634 units traded in the previous trading day.
However, the value of transactions decreased by 9.1 per cent to N2.6 million from N2.86 million and the number of deals dropped by 31.3 per cent to 11 deals from 16 deals.
At the close of business, Impresit Bakolori Plc remained the most active stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 533.9 million units worth N520.9 million, trailed by Okitipupa Plc with 153.6 million units sold for N4.9 billion, and Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc with 71.2 million units valued at N24.2 million.
Okitipupa Plc remained the most traded stock by value on a year-to-date basis with 153.6 million valued at N4.9 billion, followed by FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc with the sale of 14.8 million units for N572.0 million, and Impresit Bakolori Plc with a turnover of 533.9 million units worth N520.9 million.
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
Between April and June 2025, the federal government intends to sell bonds between N900 billion and N1.2 trillion to investors.
This information was revealed by the Debt Management Office (DMO) in its Bond Issuance Calendar for Q2 2025
The sales will take place once in a month, precisely on April 28, May 26, and June 23, according to the data released by the DMO.
It was stated that the debt office will offer the debt instrument in two maturities, with N300 billion and N400 billion offered for sale at each auction.
In April and May, the DMO will reopen the 19.30 per cent FGN APR 2029 and 19.89 per cent FGN MAY 2033 bonds, and in June, it will introduce the FGN JAN 2030 and FGN JAN 2032 and five and seven-year, respectively.
In April, the APR 2029 bond will have a remaining tenor of four years, while the MAY 2033 bond will have six years and one month left.
By May, those terms shorten to three years and eleven months, and six years, respectively. Both bonds retain their original coupon rates of 19.30 per cent and 19.89 per cent.
The DMO has also released details for its April auction. The Federal Government plans to raise N350bn through the reopening of the APR 2029 and MAY 2033 bonds.
According to the circular, N200bn will be offered in the APR 2029 and N150bn in the MAY 2033. The auction will be held on Monday, April 28, with settlement on Wednesday, April 30.
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