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Economy

Nigeria-US Trade Value Hits $13bn

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improve trade relations

Trade between Nigeria and the United States in goods and services in 2024 stood at approximately $13 billion, according to the US Ambassador to Nigeria, Mr David Greene Mills.

He made the disclosure yesterday in his address at the Lagos Business School, where he disclosed that US’ foreign direct investment also climbed to $6.5 billion, a 5.5 per cent increase from the previous year, which highlighted renewed investor confidence and a shared commitment to long-term economic engagement.

At the event themed Toward a Robust US-Nigeria Commercial and Investment Partnership, Mr Mills articulated a forward-looking vision built on private sector dynamism, regulatory reform, and strategic cooperation.

The Ambassador praised the Lagos Business School for its role in advancing intellectual and entrepreneurial excellence, highlighting its strategic relocation from Victoria Island to the Lekki corridor—a move he described as visionary.

With his recent visits to the Lagos Free Zone and American companies in Alaro City, Mr Mills pointed to the growing footprint of US enterprises in Nigeria with firms such as Kellogg’s, Colgate-Palmolive, and Caterpillar driving industrial innovation and bilateral trade.

At the heart of his message was the US State Department’s Commercial Diplomacy Strategy for Sub-Saharan Africa, launched earlier this year at the Africa CEO Forum in Abidjan. This bold strategy marks a pivot from aid-based models to trade-led development, placing economic growth and private sector partnerships at the core of US foreign policy on the continent.

Mr Mills emphasized that Nigeria, as Africa’s most populous nation and the second-largest U.S. trading partner in the region, stands at the center of this strategic shift.

He further highlighted the vibrant people-to-people connections between the two countries, noting that over 20,000 Nigerian students are currently studying in the US—more than from any other African country.

In addition, the Nigerian diaspora in the United States, numbering over 750,000, represents the largest African immigrant community and plays a key role in strengthening cross-border economic and cultural bonds.

To consolidate these ties, Mr Mills announced the upcoming formal launch of the US-Nigeria Commercial and Investment Partnership (CIP)—a five-year bilateral agreement focused on agriculture, digital innovation, and infrastructure development.

The initiative will bring together policymakers and business leaders from both countries to resolve longstanding trade bottlenecks and promote a more predictable regulatory environment.

The Ambassador also praised the efforts of the interagency US Mission team, which includes officials from the Departments of Commerce and Agriculture, the Development Finance Corporation, and other key institutions. In 2024 alone, this team facilitated over 7,000 business-to-business meetings and organized high-level trade missions aimed at unlocking new market opportunities and advancing U.S. commercial interests in Nigeria.

With more than 80 American companies already operating in Nigeria and U.S. venture capital responsible for over 60 percent of all startup funding in the country, the impact of American investment is increasingly visible. Ambassador Mills pointed to successful ventures like Flutterwave, Andela, and Esusu as powerful examples of how education, innovation, and transnational collaboration are shaping a new narrative for African entrepreneurship.

Concluding his remarks, Mr Mills called on American businesses to explore new opportunities in Nigeria and urged Nigerian policymakers to enact reforms that encourage investment and innovation. He challenged young Nigerians to embrace their role in driving economic transformation with bold thinking and a global mindset.

“The United States is committed to strengthening our trade relationship,” he said, “and continuing to work with Nigeria to unlock the full potential of our commercial partnership for the benefit of the people of both our nations.”

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

Stronger Taxpayer Confidence, Others Should Determine Tax Reform Success—Tegbe

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By Modupe Gbadeyanka

The chairman of the National Tax Policy Implementation Committee (NTPIC), Mr Joseph Tegbe, has tasked the Nigeria Revenue Service (NRS) to measure the success of the new tax laws by higher voluntary compliance rates, lower administrative costs, fewer disputes, faster resolution cycles, and stronger taxpayer confidence.

Speaking at the 2026 Leadership Retreat of the agency, Mr Tegbe said, “Sustainable revenue performance is built on trust and efficiency, not enforcement intensity,” emphasising that the legitimacy and predictability of the system are more critical than punitive measures.

He underscored that the country’s tax reform journey is at a critical juncture where effective implementation will determine long-term fiscal outcomes.

The NTPIC chief stressed that tax policy must serve as an enabler of governance, and should embody simplicity, equity, predictability, and administrability at scale.

These principles, he explained, foster voluntary compliance, reduce operational friction, and strengthen investor confidence. He warned that ad-hoc adjustments or policy drift could undermine reform momentum, unsettle businesses, and deter investment, which thrives on predictable rules rather than shifting announcements. Structured sequencing, clear transition mechanisms, and continuous feedback between policymakers and administrators are therefore critical to sustaining reform credibility.

Mr Tegbe further argued that revenue reform cannot succeed in isolation. Achieving sustainable gains requires a whole-of-government approach, leveraging robust taxpayer identification systems, integrated financial data, efficient dispute resolution, and harmonised coordination across federal and sub-national levels. This approach, he said, reduces leakages, eliminates multiple taxation, and reinforces confidence in the system.

He noted that the passage of four new tax laws marks only the beginning of a broader reform agenda, describing the initiative as a systemic recalibration of Nigeria’s fiscal architecture, rather than a routine policy update.

He further asserted that the true measure of success will be the credibility of implementation, not the design of the laws themselves.

The NRS, he noted, functions as the nation’s “Revenue System Integrator,” with outcomes reflecting the strength of an interconnected ecosystem that encompasses policy clarity, enforcement consistency, digital infrastructure, dispute resolution efficiency, and intergovernmental coordination.

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Economy

NUPENG Seeks Clarity on New Oil, Gas Executive Order

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By Adedapo Adesanya

The National Union of Natural and Gas Workers (NUPENG) has expressed deep concern over the Executive Order by President Bola Tinubu mandating the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited to remit directly to the federation account.

In a statement signed by its president, Mr William Akporeha, over the weekend in Lagos, the union noted that the absence of detailed public engagement had naturally generated tension within the sector and heightened restiveness among workers, who are anxious to know how the new directive may affect their employment, welfare and job security, especially as it affects NNPC and other major operations in the oil and gas sector.

It pointed out that the industry remained the backbone of Nigeria’s economy, contributing significantly to national revenue, foreign exchange earnings, and employment.

The NUPENG president affirmed that any policy shift, particularly one introduced through an Executive Order, has far-reaching consequences for regulatory frameworks, Investment decisions, operational standards, and labour relations within the sector.

According to him, “there is an urgent need for clarity on the scope and objectives of the Executive Order -What precise reforms or adjustments does it introduce? “Its implications for the Petroleum Industry Act -Does the Order amend, interpret, or expand existing provisions under PIA?

“Impact on workers and existing labour agreements-Will it affect job security, conditions of service, Collective Bargaining agreements or ongoing restructuring processes within the industry? “Effects on indigenous participation and local content development -How will it affect Nigerian companies and employment opportunities for citizens?”

He warned that without proper consultation and explanation, misinterpretations of the Executive Order may spread across the industry, potentially destabilising operations and undermining industrial harmony that stakeholders have worked hard to sustain.

“Though our union remains committed to constructive engagement, national development and stability of the oil and gas sector, however, we are duty-bound and constitutionally bound to protect the rights and welfare and job security of our members whose livelihoods depend on a clear, fair and predictable policy framework,” Mr Akporeha further stated.

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Economy

Uzoka-Anite Warns Against Inflation Risks from Oil, Gas Earnings Surge

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Nigeria’s Headline Inflation

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Minister of State for Finance and chairman of the Federation Account Allocation Committee (FAAC), Mrs Doris Uzoka-Anite, has cautioned that a projected surge in oil and gas revenues following President Bola Tinubu’s latest executive order could trigger inflationary pressures and exchange rate volatility if not carefully managed.

She said that the recent executive order mandating the direct remittance of certain oil sector revenues to the federation account would provide regulatory clarity and significantly strengthen revenues accruing to the federation account, but warned that sudden liquidity injections into the economy may complicate monetary policy coordination with the Central Bank of Nigeria and erode the real value of allocations to federal, state and local governments.

While addressing members of FAAC in Abuja, Mrs Uzoka-Anite commended President Tinubu on the order, describing the development as a structural fiscal correction aimed at restoring constitutional discipline to petroleum revenue management and enhancing distributable income across the three tiers of government.

She said that the revenue outlook was improving due to ongoing structural reforms introduced by the Federal Government.

According to her, the newly implemented tax reform measures are broadening the tax base, improving compliance and enhancing administrative efficiency.

“Also, the executive order signed by Mr President on February 13 is reinforcing revenue discipline in the oil and gas sector and reducing leakages,” she said.

The minister said that the order suspends the 30 per cent allocation to the Frontier Exploration Fund (FEF) and suspends the 30 per cent management fee on oil and gas profit payable to NNPC Limited.

She said that the order also directed that gas flare penalties be paid into the federation account, and mandated full remittance of petroleum revenues without unconstitutional deductions.

Mrs Uzoka-Anite said that the reform marks a shift from a retention-based oil revenue model to a gross remittance, federation-first model.

“The implications for FAAC are very significant; more oil and gas profit will now flow directly into the federation account.

“Gas flare penalties will become distributable revenue, and previously retained management fees will no longer reduce remittable inflows,” she said.

She said that the reforms were expected to result in higher monthly gross inflows into the federation account, and increased allocations to federal, state and local governments.

The minister said that a retrospective audit of the FFF, the Midstream and Downstream Gas Infrastructure, was due, and NNPC management fee deductions could lead to recoveries that may provide a one-off fiscal boost.

She welcomed the improved revenue outlook and cautioned against the risks associated with sudden liquidity injections.

“Experience shows that when revenues rise sharply and are distributed fully and immediately, large liquidity injections can increase inflationary pressures, complicate monetary management and reduce the real purchasing power of allocations,” she said.

She said that excess aggregate demand, exchange rate pressure, asset price distortions and inflationary risks could arise if increased inflows were not carefully managed.

Mrs Uzoka-Anite said that to mitigate such risks, she proposed phased disbursement of one-off recoveries.

She suggested that retrospective recoveries be staggered rather than injected into the economy in bulk, with a portion temporarily warehoused in a stabilisation buffer.

She also recommended strengthening the excess crude and stabilisation buffer mechanism to channel part of incremental inflows into a fiscal stabilisation window.

“This could offset revenue shortfalls in weaker months and reduce procyclicality in spending.

According to her, enhanced coordination with the CBN would be pursued to align fiscal injections with liquidity management tools and support open market operations where necessary.

Mrs Uzoka-Anite urged states and federal Ministries, Departments and Agencies (MDAs) to prioritise capital expenditure over recurrent expenditure.

She called for investment in infrastructure, agriculture, energy and other productive sectors, and avoid unsustainable wage or consumption spikes.

“Productive spending expands supply capacity and mitigates inflation,” she said.

She also announced plans to introduce monthly revenue transparency dashboards, production-to-remittance reconciliation reporting, and clear reporting of incremental inflows arising from tax reforms and the executive order.

The junior finance minister said that the reforms presented an opportunity to deepen fiscal federalism, enhance distributable revenue, restore constitutional clarity and strengthen trust among tiers of government.

She also advised that increased revenue must not translate into fiscal complacency.

“We must resist the temptation to treat incremental inflows as permanent windfalls. We should reduce debt burdens, clear arrears responsibly, build buffers and invest in growth-enhancing sectors,” she said.

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