Economy
Nigerian Bourse Shrinks 6.67% as Investors Panic Over Scary Economic Forecast
By Dipo Olowookere
The Nigerian bourse fell by 6.67 per cent week-on-week last week after 29 equities came under heavy selling pressure caused by macroeconomic uncertainty.
Last week, investors were faced with a scary economic forecast from Moody’s, which raised doubts over the ability of Nigerian banks to meet their obligations due to the foreign exchange (forex) crisis in the country.
The global rating agency later downgraded the rating of Nigeria over concerns that the government would find it difficult to boost its earnings despite the price of crude oil rising in the global market.
Traders of stocks at the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited reacted to these fears last week, as they quickly trimmed their exposure in the asset class so as not to get their fingers burnt.
Data showed that the All-Share Index (ASI) and the market capitalisation depreciated by 6.67 per cent to 44,396.73 points and N24.182 trillion, respectively.
Similarly, all other indices finished lower except NGX CG, banking, pension, NGX AFR bank, NGX AFR Div Yield, NGX MERI growth, NGX MERI Value, and industrial indices, which appreciated by 0.17 per cent, 0.15 per cent, 0.58 per cent, 2.10 per cent, 2.45 per cent, 1.22 per cent, 3.12 per cent, and 3.22 per cent, apiece, as the ASeM, growth and sovereign bond indices closed flat.
Business Post reports that Customs Street printed 33 price gainers, 29 price losers, and 95 price flatters in the week, in contrast to the 25 price gainers, 24 price losers and 108 price flatters recorded the earlier week.
Airtel Africa was the worst-performing stock as its value went down by 27.10 per cent to N1,312.20, NEM Insurance lost 9.98 per cent to trade at N4.42, Beta Glass also depreciated by 9.98 per cent to N41.50, Royal Exchange fell by 9.78 per cent to 83 Kobo, and MRS Oil lost 9.76 per cent to close at N12.95.
The best-performing stock for the week was Academy Press, which rose by 11.45 per cent to N1.46, Fidelity Bank gained 10.14 per cent to sell for N3.80, United Capital appreciated by 10.13 per cent to N12.50, BUA Cement improved by 9.73 per cent to N62.00, and PZ Cussons stretched by 9.52 per cent to N9.20 per cent.
In the five-day trading week, traders bought and sold 938.020 million shares worth N16.701 billion in 15,700 deals as against the 491.815 million shares worth N11.922 billion transacted in 14,350 deals a week earlier.
Financial equities dominated the activity chart with 501.278 million units valued at N5.080 billion carried out in 8,279 deals, accounting for 53.44 per cent and 30.42 per cent of the total trading volume and value, respectively.
ICT stocks trailed with 316.347 million units valued at N8.729 billion executed in 1,249 deals, while energy shares recorded the sale of 28.244 million units worth N983.561 million in 846 deals.
A breakdown indicated that CWG, GTCO and Fidelity Bank attracted most of the transactions, with 490.324 million units worth N2.905 billion traded in 2,860 deals, contributing 52.27 per cent and 17.39 per cent to the total trading volume and value, respectively.
Economy
Nigeria Halts Petrol Import Licences for Second Month
By Adedapo Adesanya
Nigeria has suspended the issuance of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) or petrol import licenses for a second straight month in a move that signals a win for Dangote Refinery.
This development comes as regulators begin enforcing provisions of the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA) that allow imports only when domestic supply falls short.
Data from the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) indicated that no import licenses were issued in February, while the Crude Oil Refineries Association of Nigeria (CORAN) confirmed to Reuters that none have been issued so far in March, signalling a shift towards prioritising local output.
According to Bloomberg, oil marketing firms, including a unit of TotalEnergies SE, Conoil Plc and MRS Nigeria Plc, which imported around one-quarter of the nation’s petroleum in January, had their licenses suspended.
The shift highlights a stronger intent by the federal government to protect domestic refining and marks a win for the Dangote Refinery and other local refineries, which last year sued the NMDPRA and the state oil company, the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited, to force a halt to imports.
Under the PIA, the regulator may grant import permits only when domestic production is not enough to meet national demand.
There have been previous arguments that issuing licenses was necessary to maintain competition and prevent market dominance.
Fuel pump prices have surged by more than 50 per cent since the United States and Israel began strikes on Iran last week, pushing global oil markets higher.
NMDPRA Spokesperson, Mr George Ene‑Ita, blamed the sharp rise in prices on escalating conflict in the Middle East.
Nigeria’s average daily petrol consumption fell to 56.9 million litres per day in February 2026, down from 60.2 million litres in January.
In February, the Dangote Refinery supplied 36.5 million litres of petrol and 8 million litres of diesel to the local market, leaving a daily deficit of 20 million litres that was covered by previously imported stock.
According to NMDPRA, these volumes were sufficient, leading to its decision to withhold import licenses.
Mr Eche Idoko, spokesperson for the Crude Oil Refiners Association of Nigeria (CORAN), which has long urged the government to stop issuing import licenses that undermine local refiners’ margins, welcomed the regulator’s stance.
“For us, anything that protects local production is a good move. The challenge now is to sustain the momentum,” Mr Idoko said.
Economy
Nigeria’s Economy Strong Enough to Absorb Oil Market Shocks—Edun
By Adedapo Adesanya
The federal government has begun assessing the potential economic implications of the escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and adjusting policies to shield Nigeria from possible disruptions.
This was disclosed by the Minister of Finance, Mr Wale Edun, as the Economic Management Team (EMT) convened to evaluate the risks posed by the US-Israel-Iran standoff to global energy routes, such as the Strait of Hormuz.
He said Nigeria’s robust 4.07 per cent real GDP growth in Q4 2025 positions the country to weather looming oil market shocks from Iran tensions.
Mr Edun, who chairs the EMT, in a statement issued on Tuesday by the Assistant Director for Information and Public Relations in the ministry, Uloma Amadi, said the government was closely monitoring developments and remained committed to safeguarding Nigeria’s economic stability.
The EMT moved to review the potential impact of the unfolding crisis on the Nigerian economy.
Mr Edun also chaired a Naira-for-Crude policy coordination meeting to evaluate developments in the global energy market and their possible domestic implications.
The government noted that the situation remained fluid, with global markets already showing signs of uncertainty amid concerns about potential disruptions to critical energy supply routes, particularly the Strait of Hormuz.
Such disruptions, it said, could lead to volatility in crude oil prices and financial markets worldwide.
Given Nigeria’s integration into global commodity and financial markets, the government identified three major channels through which the crisis could affect the domestic economy.
These include crude oil and gas prices, capital flows and financial market conditions, as well as global logistics and supply costs.
The statement noted that volatility in global energy markets was already pushing up the prices of key commodities, with possible implications for domestic fuel, diesel, cooking gas, and fertiliser costs.
It added that heightened geopolitical risks could also lead to a shift by global investors toward safe-haven assets, potentially affecting capital inflows into emerging markets, including Nigeria.
In addition, disruptions to major shipping and energy supply routes could increase international freight and logistics costs, thereby exerting upward pressure on domestic prices.
The Minister of Finance noted that, beyond these immediate effects, sustained instability in the region could lead to higher prices for goods and services, further intensifying inflationary pressures and the cost of living.
During the EMT meeting, ministers provided sector-specific updates on the evolving situation, with discussions focusing on the likely scale of impact on Nigeria depending on the duration and intensity of the conflict.
Particular attention was placed on how developments in the global oil market could influence Nigeria’s fiscal outlook and external reserves.
The government said the Economic Management Team is closely monitoring key macroeconomic indicators, including global crude oil prices, exchange rate developments, and their potential impact on domestic prices.
It is also tracking capital flows, financial market conditions and broader implications for Nigeria’s fiscal position.
Despite global uncertainty, the Federal Government said Nigeria is entering the period from a position of strengthened economic fundamentals.
It cited recent economic data showing that the country recorded a real Gross Domestic Product growth of 4.07 per cent in the fourth quarter of 2025, one of the strongest quarterly performances in more than a decade.
According to the statement, the growth reflects the impact of ongoing economic reforms and improved macroeconomic coordination.
The government said it remains committed to protecting these gains and ensuring that recent progress in economic stabilisation and revenue mobilisation is not undermined by external shocks.
To achieve this, the Economic Management Team is maintaining close coordination across fiscal, monetary and energy policy institutions.
Policy options are also being kept under continuous review to mitigate potential volatility and protect households and businesses from the possible spillover effects of the global crisis.
Mr Edun emphasised that careful policy calibration would remain central to the government’s response to evolving global developments.
Economy
NASD Investors Lose N16.25bn
By Adedapo Adesanya
The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange faced south on Tuesday, March 10, by 0.64 per cent, with the market capitalisation dropping N16.25 billion to close at N2.540 trillion versus the preceding session’s N2.556 trillion, and the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) shrinking by 27.15 points to 4,245.97 points from 4,273.12 points.
The red team had more members than the green team yesterday, with the former comprising four and the latter three.
Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc depreciated by N2.43 to sell at N80.00 per share versus N83.78 per share, Afriland Properties Plc lost N1.90 to trade at N17.60 per unit versus N19.50 per unit, Geo-Fluids Plc declined by 30 Kobo to N3.00 per share from N3.30 per share, and Acorn Petroleum Plc declined by 2 Kobo to N1.33 per unit from N1.35 per unit.
Conversely, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc appreciated by N2.85 to N136.70 per share from N133.85 per share, Lagos Building Investment Company (LBIC) Plc added 25 Kobo to sell at N4.00 per unit compared with Monday’s price of N3.75 per unit, and First Trust Mortgage Bank Plc gained 1 Kobo to settle at N1.91 per share versus N1.90 per share.
The volume of securities surged during the session by 1,253.2 per cent to 14.9 million units from 1.1 million units, the value of securities jumped 180.7 per cent to N132.7 million from N47.3 million, and the number of deals increased by 61.1 per cent to 58 deals from 36 deals.
The most active stock by value (year-to-date) was CSCS Plc with 38.1 million units exchanged for N2.4 billion, Okitipupa Plc occupied the second spot with 6.3 million units worth N1.1 billion, and the third place was taken by MRS Oil Plc with 3.4 million units valued at N507.8 million.
The most traded stock by volume (year-to-date) was Resourcery Plc with 1.05 billion units sold for N408.7 million, followed by Geo-Fluids Plc with 130.6 million units transacted for N503.8 million, and CSCS Plc with 38.1 million units worth N2.4 billion.
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