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Nigeria’s 10 Year Yield Records New High: Approaches 17%

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By Quantative Financial Analytics

Nigeria’s generic Government bond, the 10 Year yield (measured by the FGN_12.50 22-JAN-2026) hit a new high on January 19 as it settled at 16.97 percent sending bond prices tumbling across maturities.

Historically, the 10 Y yield reached an all-time high in February 2015 when it hit 17.31 percent with a historical low of 5.9 recoded in March 2010.

Rates across maturities have been exploding slowly over the last few days but the climax seems to have come on January 19 following the latest bond auction where the Debt Management Office (DMO) sold bonds of different maturities at significantly higher marginal rates than previously.

No Surprise

The spike in yield is not surprising given the slow economic growth, increased government borrowing and persistently high and increasing rate of inflation that has come to characterize Africa’s largest economy.

Just very recently, the minister of finance opined that “we have no choice than to borrow $30b). With high interest rate and high inflation, the Naira can only fall further to compensate for those economic ills, thanks to “professor” Fisher and his Fisher effect as well as Gustav Cassel’s Purchasing Power Parity.

It is quite concerning, however, that while some countries are experiencing negative yields, yield in Nigeria is heading for the sky.

For a country that is dependent on debt, the attendant increase in borrowing costs will further exacerbate the current economic woes of the country. Pray for Nigeria.

Modupe Gbadeyanka is a fast-rising journalist with Business Post Nigeria. Her passion for journalism is amazing. She is willing to learn more with a view to becoming one of the best pen-pushers in Nigeria. Her role models are the duo of CNN's Richard Quest and Christiane Amanpour.

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Economy

Dangote Refinery Crude Intake Hits 635,000b/d in April, Receives 21 Cargoes

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Dangote Refinery Crude Supply to Local Refineries

By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigeria’s 650,000 barrels-per-day Dangote Refinery hit its highest-ever monthly crude intake in April 2026, taking in about 635,000 barrels per day of crude oil, according to Argus tracking data.

Deliveries in the review month rose from 565,000 barrels per day in March, bringing the refinery close to its full installed capacity.

The increase followed the completion of maintenance work on one of the refinery’s crude distillation units earlier this year.

This indicates that the Dangote Refinery is steadily ramping up operations toward full capacity after a gradual start since late 2023.

The refinery received 21 separate crude cargoes in April — a record since operations began.

All supplies came from West Africa, mainly Nigerian crude grades, with one cargo from Cameroon.

Nigerian grades delivered included Bonny Light, Escravos, Qua Iboe, Bonga, Forcados, Brass River, Amenam, and others.

Cameroon’s Ebome crude was supplied to the refinery for the first time.

April receipts comprised 160,000 barrels per day of Bonny Light, 65,000 barrels per day each of Escravos, Qua Iboe and Bonga, 50,000 barrels per day of CJ Blend, then 25,000-35,000 barrels per day each of Nigerian Utapate, EA, Jones Creek, Amenam, Forcados, Brass River, plus 25,000 barrels per day of Cameroon’s Ebome.

The strong rise in local and regional crude supply could also reduce the refinery’s dependence on imported crude grades and strengthen Nigeria’s domestic fuel production capacity.

The Argus report said that no US crude was delivered in April, despite the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude previously being a major feedstock for the plant in 2025.

The refinery relied heavily on Suezmax tankers, with some vessels making multiple shuttle trips between offshore terminals and the refinery.

Average crude receipts in the first four months of 2026 climbed to 495,000 barrels per day, significantly above last year’s average of 375,000 barrels per day.

The data assessed Dangote’s April receipts at a weighted average of 35.1°API and 0.2 per cent sulphur content, compared with 37.2°API and 0.2 per cent sulphur in March. Receipts averaged 37.1°API and 0.15 per cent sulphur in January-April, compared with 36.8°API and 0.2 per cent sulphur across 2025.

The report also added receipts for May appear good as the refinery should get a cargo each of Qua Iboe and Odudu this week.

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Economy

Customs Area 11 Command Seizes N2bn Containers of Illicit Items

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Aliyu Mohammed Alkali Onne Port

By Bon Peters

About 17 containers containing illicit items worth over N2 billion have been seized by the Area 11 Command of the Nigeria Customs Service (NCS) in Onne, Port Harcourt, Rivers State, between January and April 2026.

In the period under review, the agency generated about N258 billion as revenue, a statement signed by the command’s acting spokesman, Mr Paul Istifanus Gimba, an Assistant Superintendent of Customs 1, disclosed on Thursday.

The Customs Area Controller for the Command, Comptroller Aliyu Mohammed Alkali, said last month, more than N77 billion was generated, noting that this reflects the command’s unwavering commitment to revenue generation, trade facilitation, and the enforcement of extant government fiscal policies.

He stated that in the second month of this month, his men intercepted an attempt to smuggle one 40-foot container declared to contain plumbing materials, with a Duty Paid Value (DPV) of N185.2 million.

According to him, upon examination, it was discovered that the perpetrators had concealed the original container number and replaced it with a fake one in an attempt to unlawfully remove the container from the port without payment of duty.

Furthermore, he hinted that in April 2026, the command intercepted six 20-foot containers carrying a total of 1,100 jerricans of Super Delicieux Vegetable Oil with a DPV of N494.0 million, in contravention of section 55 of the Nigeria Customs Service Act, 2023, which prohibited the importation of refined vegetable oils and fats in order to protect and promote local industries, particularly domestic vegetable oil producers and agro-allied businesses.

The senior customs officer highlighted other items seized by his men during the period under review, including cartons of chilli cutters, ceiling fans, and food packs.

The Comptroller reminded all mischievous importers and their agents that the command remained unwavering in its resolve to combat smuggling and all forms of illegal trade practices at the port, even as he strongly encouraged all law-abiding traders to remain compliant and resist the temptation to engage in activities that contravene the law.

Mr Alkali praised the professionalism of the officers and men of the command as well as their vigilance and dedication to duty.

He also thanked members of the press for their continued partnership and commitment to disseminating accurate and reliable information about the activities of the agency to the public.

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Economy

Indonesia Buys Nigerian Crude Oil to Reduce Exposure to Hormuz Disruptions

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crude oil in gongola

By Adedapo Adesanya

Indonesia has imported crude oil from Nigeria as Southeast Asia’s largest economy moves to reduce its dependence on Middle Eastern supplies amid rising geopolitical tensions involving the United States, Israel, and Iran.

Indonesia’s Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources confirmed that Nigerian crude cargoes have already arrived in the country as part of efforts to diversify supply routes away from the volatile Strait of Hormuz, a key global oil transit chokepoint that handles about 20 per cent of world oil shipments.

The development positions Nigeria as an increasingly strategic alternative supplier in the global energy market as buyers seek more stable and flexible crude sources outside the Middle East.

Nigeria, which is Africa’s largest crude producer, has always sold some of its crude grades via joint ventures with international oil companies as well as to Dangote Refinery, to boost domestic production.

Indonesia’s Director General of Oil and Gas, Mr Laode Sulaeman, said the country was prioritising crude imports from suppliers whose shipping routes do not pass through the Strait of Hormuz, which has faced heightened security concerns following the ongoing conflict involving Iran, Israel, and the United States.

Apart from Nigeria, Indonesia is also considering crude supplies from Russia and the US.

The move could strengthen Nigeria’s crude export market at a time the country is seeking to boost production levels and attract new long-term buyers for its oil grades.

Speaking in March, the chief executive of the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited, Mr Bayo Ojulari, said that Nigeria could increase oil production by about 100,000 barrels per day ‌over the next few months to realistically help the global shortfall.

Before the latest geopolitical tensions, around 20 per cent of Indonesia’s crude imports came from the Middle East. However, the country has now accelerated plans to diversify supply sources, naming Nigeria among key replacement suppliers alongside Angola, Brazil, Russia, and the US.

The development comes as Nigeria continues to gain attention in global oil markets, with its crude grades increasingly sought after because of their relatively low sulphur content and suitability for modern refineries.

Indonesia also recently opened talks with Russia for long-term crude and liquefied petroleum gas supplies, including a proposed purchase of 150 million barrels of Russian crude scheduled for delivery from late 2026.

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