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Nigeria’s Crude Production Drops to 1.45b/d in March 2024

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Crude Oil Production

By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigeria’s crude production dropped by 20,000 barrels per day to 1.45 million barrels per day in March 2024, according to the latest survey by S&P Global Commodity Insights.

This showed that the country, for yet another month, underperformed its expected quota of 1.5 million barrels per day as it recorded 1.47 million barrels per day in February.

The drop in Nigeria’s crude production happened as the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) output in March was up slightly month on month, as several producers continued to exceed their quotas.

Overall, the group produced 41.25 million barrels per day of crude in March, up 40,000 barrels per day on February levels despite efforts made by Saudi Arabia to enforce compliance.

This included an 80,000 barrels per day increase in OPEC production to 26.66 million barrels per day, offset by a drop in output by its allies of 40,000 barrels per day. March was the third month of the group’s latest voluntary production cuts, which were supposed to take approximately 700,000 barrels per day off the market in the first quarter of 2024.

The additional OPEC+ production has come ahead of crude prices breaking above the $90 per barrel level.

Several countries produced above target in March, including Iraq and Kazakhstan, which said they would compensate for overproduction in early 2024.

The survey showed that OPEC+ countries implementing cuts produced 165,000 barrels per day above quota in March, representing a compliance rate of 97.9 per cent, driven primarily by OPEC members rather than their Russia-led allies. The alliance also produced above target in January and February, with compliance rates of 96.5 per cent and 97.8 per cent respectively.

The nine OPEC nations subject to quotas produced 320,000 barrels per day over their targets in March, including excess output of 280,000 barrels per day in Iraq, 40,000 barrels per day in the UAE and 50,000 barrels per day in Gabon.

Meanwhile, non-OPEC countries produced 165,000 barrels per day below their collective quota, even with excess output in Kazakhstan of 92,000 barrels per day.

Also, OPEC+ plans to continue with its current policy of aggressive cuts until at least the end of the first half of 2024.

Last month, producers with voluntary cuts announced plans to extend them until the end of June.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

Oil Gains Over 3% Amid Escalating Middle East Conflict

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Oil License Bidders

By Adedapo Adesanya

Oil was up more than 3 per cent on Tuesday as renewed Iranian attacks on the ​United Arab Emirates (UAE) heightened concerns about the worsening outlook for global supply.

Brent crude futures appreciated by $3.21 or 3.2 per cent to $103.42 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures gained $2.71 or 2.9 per cent to trade at $96.21 per barrel.

Prices had fallen previously after some vessels sailed through the critical ​Strait of Hormuz, a vital gateway for ​about 20 per cent of the world’s oil and liquefied natural gas trade

The Iran war shows no signs of abating as it renewed attacks on the United Arab Emirates (UAE) on ​Tuesday, causing oil loading at the port of Fujairah to be at least partly halted after the third attack in four days ignited a fire at the export terminal.

Fujairah, located on the Gulf of Oman just outside the Strait of Hormuz, is a critical exit point for oil volumes equivalent to roughly 1 per cent of global ​demand.

The ​attacks on oil installations by Iran and the ongoing disruption to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz have traders worried for long-term impairment to ⁠supply that could keep prices elevated.

The effective closure of the strait has forced the UAE, which is the third-largest producer in the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), to reduce its output by more ​than half.

Several allies of the US rebuffed President Donald Trump’s call on Monday to send warships to escort shipping through the strait.

On Tuesday, French President Emmanuel Macron said France would never take part in operations to unblock the strait, and would only participate ​in a coalition that could provide ​freedom of navigation once hostilities ⁠ended.

Meanwhile, the Trump administration reiterated its position that they see the Iran conflict lasting weeks, not months.

The head of the International Energy Agency (IEA), Mr Fatih Birol, has suggested member countries could release more oil, in addition to the 400 million barrels they have ​already agreed to draw from strategic reserves.

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Economy

Odu’a Investment Buys 10% Stake in FCMB Pensions

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FCMB Pensions

By Adedapo Adesanya

A 10 per cent equity stake has been acquired by Odu’a Investment Company Limited in a subsidiary of FCMB Group Plc, FCMB Pensions Limited.

The move is aimed at strengthening its presence in Nigeria’s growing pension industry.

The company disclosed that the transaction was completed after receiving all required regulatory approvals from the National Pension Commission (PenCom) and the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), while the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has also been duly notified.

Odu’a Investment said the acquisition represents a strategic investment in a resilient and steadily expanding segment of Nigeria’s financial services sector.

The company added that the deal also reinforces FCMB Pensions’ shareholder base through the entry of a long-term institutional investor.

Chairman of Odu’a Investment Company Limited, Mr Bimbo Ashiru, said the investment aligns with the organisation’s strategy of partnering with strong institutions operating in sectors critical to Nigeria’s long-term economic stability.

“This investment reflects Odu’a’s strategy of partnering with strong institutions operating in sectors that are central to Nigeria’s long-term economic stability and growth,” he said in a statement.

“The pension industry plays a critical role in mobilising long-term savings and strengthening the financial system. FCMB Pensions has built a solid platform serving contributors across Nigeria, and we see a significant opportunity to support its continued growth and impact,” he added.

Also commenting on the transaction, the Managing Director of Odu’a Investment Company Limited, Mr Abdulrahman Yinusa, described the deal as a vote of confidence in FCMB Pensions’ leadership and long-term prospects.

“Our partnership with FCMB Group Plc reflects confidence in FCMB Pensions’ strategy, leadership, and long-term potential. Together, we will work to expand its reach, support its strategic objectives, and deliver sustained value to contributors and other stakeholders,” Mr Yinusa said.

The investment brings together two established institutions with complementary strengths and a shared focus on long-term value creation. According to the company, the partnership positions FCMB Pensions to deepen market penetration and enhance service delivery within Nigeria’s contributory pension scheme.

Odu’a Investment Company Limited is an investment holding company jointly owned by the governments of the six South-West states of Nigeria.

The firm manages a diversified portfolio spanning real estate, financial services, hospitality, agriculture, and industrial investments, with a mandate to generate sustainable economic value and support regional development.

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Economy

Global Investors Now Interest in Nigeria Because of Reforms—Popoola

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temi popoola NGX

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The chief executive of the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Group Plc, Mr Temi Popoola, has said Nigeria’s capital market is undergoing a re-rating as global investors begin to reassess the country’s economic trajectory and investment potential.

“What we are seeing is a gradual re-rating of Nigeria. investors are beginning to look at the data more closely, the returns, the reforms, and the improving macroeconomic direction, and that is changing sentiment,” he said during a live interview on BBC Newsday in London.

He is in the United Kingdom as part of broader investor and stakeholder engagements during President Bola Tinubu’s state visit to Buckingham Palace.

Mr Popoola explained that Nigeria’s equity market has delivered strong returns in recent months, positioning it more competitively among emerging and frontier markets. According to him, this performance is helping to recalibrate long-held risk perceptions and attract renewed interest from international investors.

He added that improvements in Nigeria’s energy landscape, including increased domestic refining capacity and ongoing sector reforms, are helping to reduce the economy’s exposure to external oil price shocks, further strengthening investor confidence.

Mr Popoola emphasised that beyond short-term market movements, consistency in policy implementation will be critical in sustaining this shift in perception. “Global capital responds to clarity and consistency. As those elements become more evident, Nigeria naturally becomes more investable.”

He also highlighted the importance of sustained engagement with global financial centres, noting that platforms such as London play a key role in connecting Nigeria’s capital market to international pools of capital.

According to him, Nigeria’s evolving market structure, combined with ongoing reforms, is strengthening its position as a viable destination for long-term investment. “There is a broader recognition that Nigeria offers significant opportunities. The focus now is ensuring that this recognition translates into sustained capital flows.”

The NGX group chief concluded that Nigeria’s capital market is increasingly being viewed through a more balanced and data-driven lens, reflecting both its resilience and its long-term growth potential.

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