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Economy

Nigeria’s GDP Slows to 3.10% in 2022 Despite 3.52% Growth in Q4

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0.51% GDP Growth

By Adedapo Adesanya

In 2022, the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of Nigeria slowed to 3.10 per cent from 3.40 per cent recorded in the preceding year, 2021.

Data released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) on Wednesday evening showed that this occurred amid a 3.52 per cent (year-on-year) growth in the economy in real terms in the fourth quarter of 2022.

Business Post reports that in the preceding quarter, Q3 of 2022, the country posted economic growth of 2.25 per cent, but when compared with the same quarter of 2021, it moderated from 3.98 per cent.

The performance of the GDP in the fourth quarter of 2022 was driven by the services sector, which recorded a growth of 5.69 per cent and contributed 56.27 per cent to the aggregate GDP.

Although the agriculture sector grew by 2.05 per cent in the reference period, its performance was significantly hampered by severe incidences of flood experienced across the country, accounting for lesser growth relative to the fourth quarter of 2021, which was 3.58 per cent.

Recall that Nigeria faced an unprecedented devastating flood disaster in the second half of the year, which saw 662 persons lose their lives, with 3,174 others suffering injuries and 2,430,445 individuals displaced, according to the National Emergency Management Agency (NEMA).

Moreover, the industry sector was yet challenged in the period under review, recording -0.94 per cent growth and contributing less to the aggregate GDP relative to the third quarter of 2022 and the fourth quarter of 2021.

This means that the performance of the agriculture and industry sectors reduced in 2022 relative to 2021, while the performance of the services sector improved in 2022.

According to the report, in the quarter under review, aggregate GDP stood at N56.7 trillion in nominal terms.

This performance is higher when compared to the fourth quarter of 2021, which recorded aggregate GDP of N49.2 trillion, indicating a year-on-year nominal growth of 15.18 per cent.

The NBS noted that the nation in the fourth quarter of 2022 recorded an average daily oil production of 1.34 million barrels per day, lower than the daily average production of 1.50 million barrels per day recorded in the same quarter of 2021 by 0.16 million barrels per day and higher than the third quarter of 2022 production volume of 1.20 million barrels per day.

It said the real growth of the oil sector was –13.38 per cent (year-on-year) in Q4 2022, indicating a decrease of 5.33 per cent points relative to the rate recorded in the corresponding quarter of 2021.

It explained that growth increased by 9.29 per cent points when compared to Q3 2022, which was –22.67 per cent.

On a quarter-on-quarter basis, the oil sector recorded a growth rate of -14.93 per cent in Q4 2022.

“However, the annual growth rate of oil stood at -19.22 per cent compared to the -8.30 per cent recorded in 2021.

“The Oil sector contributed 4.34 per cent to the total real GDP in Q4 2022, down from the figures recorded in the corresponding period of 2021 and the preceding quarter, where it contributed 5.19 per cent and 5.66 per cent, respectively. The total annual contribution of oil to aggregate GDP in 2022 was 5.67 per cent,” the report said.

The non-oil sector grew by 4.44 per cent in real terms during the quarter, the NBS said, noting that this rate was lower by 0.29 per cent points compared to the rate recorded in the same quarter of 2021.

This sector was driven in the fourth quarter of 2022 mainly by information and communication (telecommunication), trade, agriculture (crop production), financial and insurance (financial institutions), manufacturing (food, beverage & tobacco), real estate and construction, accounting for positive GDP growth.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

Economy

Trans Niger Oil Pipeline Now Fully Operational

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Trans-Niger Pipeline

By Adedapo Adesanya

Trans Niger oil pipeline has returned to normal operations after it was fully restored following a blast that ruptured the structure last week in Rivers State.

This was disclosed by Renaissance spokesperson, Mr Tony Okonedo, on Tuesday.

The Trans Niger Pipeline (TNP), with a capacity of around 450,000 barrels per day, is one of two conduits that export Bonny Light crude from Nigeria, Africa’s biggest oil producer.

Oil output through the TNP was rerouted to an alternative line after blasts ruptured the main link on March 19, according to Nigerian oil consortium Renaissance Group, which now owns Shell’s former onshore subsidiary that operates the pipeline.

Last week, the Trans-Niger Pipeline, which is one of Nigeria’s biggest pipelines and crucial for oil transportation in the Niger Delta, one of the country’s biggest sources of oil, exploded.

It carries the 450,000 barrels’ worth of oil per day mostly to the Bonny Terminal in the federal state of Rivers.

Although the cause of the explosion is unknown at this time, local media suggested it could be related to threats by militant groups to damage oil production facilities.

Later that evening, President Bola Tinubu, during a broadcast, declared a state of emergency in the south-south state.

He also removed the Governor of the state, Mr Similanya Fubara and his deputy, Mrs Ngozi Odu, and replaced them with a sole administrator.

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Economy

Dangote Refinery Issues Tender to Sell Residual Fuel Oil

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Residual Fuel Oil

By Adedapo Adesanya

Dangote Refinery reportedly issued a tender on Tuesday to sell 128,000 metric tons of residual fuel oil in April 2025.

Reuters reported that this is according to a summary of the tender document.

The 650,000 barrel per day Dangote refinery will close the tender today — Wednesday, March 26 by 1 pm (Nigerian time)— as it seeks buyers for 88,000 tons of low sulphur straight run fuel oil and 40,000 tons of slurry oil for loading on April 10-12, the summary showed.

Straight run fuel oil is a feedstock processed through secondary refining units and turned into products like petrol and diesel.

Meanwhile, industry monitor firm, IIR noted that Dangote will shut its current 204,000 barrels per day petrol producing unit for 30 days for maintenance tentatively expected to start on June 1.

Dangote’s fuel oil exports averaged 75,000 barrels per day over the period from March to August 2024, but dropped to 20,000 barrels per day from September, according to shipping data analytics firm Kpler, when its petrol making residue fluidized catalytic cracking unit started production.

The refinery has been buying feedstock from across the world— including from the US, Angola, and Algeria— to add to its domestic deliveries as it looks to meet its full capacity target by end of the month.

In February, Mr Edwin Devakumar, vice-president of Dangote Industries Limited (DIL), said the refinery could begin operating at full capacity in 30 days.

The Lagos-based oil facility received above 24 million barrels of Nigerian supply in October and November last year.

The major shareholder in the structure and chairman, Mr Aliko Dangote assured Nigerians that his refinery has over N600 billion worth of premium motor spirit (PMS) in storage that can sufficiently meet Nigeria’s needs.

The buying spree comes as the Naira-for-crude deal with the Dangote Refinery and other local refineries was suspended by the Nigeria National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited.

Nigeria’s decision to cancel the Naira-for-crude deal with the refinery has since created panic in the hearts of marketers and consumers alike.

The 650, 000 barrels per day refinery has also suspended selling petrol in Naira to marketers.

It lamented that there was a mismatch between its sales proceeds and its crude oil purchase obligations, which it said are currently denominated in US Dollars.

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Economy

Our Strategies to Stabilize FX Market, Curb Inflation Working—Cardoso

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cardoso MPC meeting FX obligations

By Modupe Gbadeyanka

The Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Mr Olayemi Cardoso, has lauded the reforms being carried out by his team to restore confidence in the Nigerian economy.

Speaking when a delegation of scholars from the Harvard Kennedy School visited him at the CBN headquarters in Abuja, he said the strategies put in place by the apex bank to stabilize the foreign exchange (FX) market and curb inflation in the country were already yielding positive results.

“Mr Cardoso acknowledged recent challenges but highlighted progress in stabilizing the foreign exchange market and curbing inflation,” a statement from  the CBN on Tuesday disclosed.

He expressed the impact of the educational institution in his leadership skill, saying it is an honour to be associated with the Harvard Kennedy School.

“As we reset the bank, we are committed to being a hub for thought leadership. The exposure you gain from institutions like Harvard is invaluable, and we see this as an opportunity to build long-term alliances,” he was quoted to have said.

The CBN chief is an alumnus of the Harvard Kennedy School and the first African elected to the global HKS Alumni Board of Directors.

The visit was part of the scholars’ Africa Trek, which also included stops in Ghana. It is the first time a Harvard Africa Trek delegation would visit the CBN.

The delegation comprised 50 students from 19 countries, including representatives from the Harvard Business School, Massachusetts Institute of Technology and Stanford University.

President of the Harvard Kennedy School Alumni Association of Nigeria, Adaora Ndukwe and the HKS Nigeria Trek Delegation Lead, Ms Sheffy Kolade, thanked the central bank for hosting the students.

The Africa Trek initiative is designed to foster direct interactions between emerging global leaders and key policymakers on the continent.

It provides a platform for in-depth discussions around governance, innovation, economic development and the role of central banking in national progress.

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