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Nigeria’s Manufacturing Output Rises 1.7% to N7.78trn Amid Challenges

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By Adedapo Adesanya

The Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN) has revealed that real manufacturing output in the country increased modestly by 1.7 per cent year-on-year to N7.78 trillion amid prevailing challenges.

The Director-General of MAN, Mr Segun Ajayi-Kadir, in a report titled MAN Economic Review- Second Half 2024, said the focus manufacturing indicators included capacity utilisation, production value, inventory, local raw materials utilisation levels, investment, expenditure on alternative energy sources among others.

MAN also said capacity utilisation improved marginally to 57.0 per cent in the second half of 2024, up from 55.1 per cent in the same period of 2023.

A half-on-half analysis showed a 1.2 percentage point increase in H2 2024 compared to H1 2024.

According to him, the development is buoyed by increased activity in motor vehicles and miscellaneous assembly, non-metallic mineral products, and electrical and electronics.

He, however, noted a half-on-half decline of 3.1 per cent in real production reflected rising costs and weak consumer demand.

“Nominal manufacturing output rose sharply by 34.9 per cent to N33.43 trillion, primarily due to inflationary pressures and rising domestic prices,” he said.

The MAN DG said the manufacturing sector’s local raw material sourcing increased to 57.1 per cent in 2024, up from 52.0 per cent in 2023.

This shift, he stated, was largely driven by foreign exchange scarcity, high import costs, and government incentives promoting local content.

Mr Ajayi-Kadir declared improvements observed in wood and wood products, textiles, apparel and footwear, and chemical and pharmaceuticals.

He said the electrical and electronics sector continued to lag due to dependency on imported components.

On the downside, the manufacturing expert noted that inventory of unsold finished goods surged by 87.5 per cent to N2.14 trillion in 2024.

He attributed the drive to weakened consumer demand, escalating production costs, and declining purchasing power.

He, however, said that a half-on-half decrease of 27.9 per cent in H2 2024 suggested improved clearance efforts and price adjustments.

He added that the country’s real manufacturing investment fell by 35.3 per cent year-on-year to N658.81 billion in 2024, reflecting economic uncertainty and reduced expansion plans.

“However, H2 2024 witnessed a 19.4 per cent increase compared to H1 2024, as manufacturers cautiously resumed capital expenditures.

“The employment situation in Nigeria’s manufacturing sector remained relatively stable in 2024, with 34,769 jobs added, a 1.8 per cent increase from 34,163 jobs in 2023.

“However, the number of employees leaving manufacturing companies also increased from 17,364 in 2023 to 17,949 in 2024, indicating ongoing labour mobility due to economic uncertainties, skill migration, and company restructuring,” he said.

Mr Ajayi-Kadir also said that electricity supply situation for industries improved in 2024, with the average daily supply increasing to 13.3 hours per day, up from 10.6 hours in 2023.

He stated that on a half-on-half basis, electricity supply rose from 11.4 hours per day in H1 2024 to 15.2 hours in H2 2024.

The MAN DG, however, noted that electricity tariffs surged by over 200 per cent for Band A consumers, significantly increasing manufacturing costs.

“In response to unreliable grid power and increases in prices of diesel and fuel manufacturers’ total expenditure on alternative energy sources surged to N1.11 trillion, a 42.3 per cent increase from N781.68 billion in 2023.

“On a half-on-half basis, manufacturers spent N404.80 billion in H1 2024, which increased by 75.0 per cent to N708.07 billion in H2 2024,” he said.

Mr Ajayi-Kadir added that rising interest rates posed a major financial burden, with commercial bank lending rates to manufacturers surging to 35.5 per cent in 2024 from 28.06 per cent in 2023.

“Consequently, manufacturers’ finance costs totalled N1.3 trillion, constraining investment and expansion plans,” he said.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

Oil Slumps 11% as Trump Signals Resolution of Iran War

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Opumami oil field

By Adedapo Adesanya

Oil plunged by more than 11 per cent on Tuesday after the market held onto comments by US President Donald Trump about a quick end to the war with Iran that has disrupted global crude flows.

Brent futures fell $11.16 or 11 per cent to $87.80 a barrel, and the US West Texas ‌Intermediate (WTI) crude settled at $83.45 a barrel, down $11.32 or 11.9 per cent. This was the steepest percentage drop of any session since ​2022.

The American president, in an interview on Monday, said he thought the war against Iran was “very complete” and the US was “very far ahead” of his initial four- to five-week estimated time frame.

The market also followed US Energy Secretary Chris Wright, who wrote on X that the American military had facilitated a shipment of oil out of the Strait of Hormuz.

However, it was reported later that Iran has begun laying naval mines in the strategically vital strait, through which 20 per cent of crude flows pass.

Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), now sharing control of the strait with the regular navy, has a range of asymmetric capabilities, including scattered mine-laying craft, explosive-laden boats and shore-based missile batteries, giving it the ability to create a complex array of threats to passing vessels.

Disruptions in Hormuz have already had significant ripple effects as tanker traffic through the strait has plummeted with shipping companies avoiding the area and insurers hiking premiums amid risk, and analysts warn that prolonged disruption could trigger one of the largest energy shocks in decades.

It was also reported that President Trump was considering easing oil sanctions on Russia related to its war in Ukraine, and releasing emergency crude stockpiles to help curb spiking prices.

Market analysts noted that nearly 1.9 million barrels per day of crude refining capacity in the Gulf has been shut in due to the US-Israeli war on Iran.

Seeking to calm down soaring oil prices, G7 finance ministers have discussed a possible joint release of strategic petroleum reserves, up to potentially 400 million barrels. This will be facilitated by the International Energy Agency (IEA).

The American Petroleum Institute (API) estimated that crude oil inventories in the United States fell by 1.7 million barrels in the week ending March 6, after adding 5.6 million barrels in the week prior. Official data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) will be released later on Wednesday.

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Economy

NNPC Gets Approval for $20bn Final Investment Decision on Bonga Deepwater Project

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NNPC Bayo Ojulari

By Modupe Gbadeyanka

A targeted fiscal incentive designed to unlock the long-awaited Final Investment Decision (FID) on the Bonga Southwest Aparo (BSWA) deepwater project has been approved by President Bola Tinubu.

The approval followed months of intensive technical and commercial negotiations involving the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited as the concessionaire, the Nigeria Revenue Service (NRS), the Special Adviser to the President on Energy, Olu Verheijen, and the chief executive of Shell, Mr Wael Sawan.

In a statement signed on Tuesday by the Chief Corporate Communications Officer of NNPC, Mr Andy Odeh, it was disclosed that the project is estimated to attract about $20 billion in Foreign Direct Investment and position Nigeria for a new era of deepwater production.

It was said that it has the potential to attract strategic investments and accelerate sustainable economic growth, adding that it signals renewed confidence in Nigeria’s policy direction and its resolve to translate reform momentum into tangible investment outcomes.

The chief executive of NNPC, Mr Bashir Bayo Ojulari, said, “This approval is a testament to the President’s leadership, NNPC’s disciplined execution and our ability to structure complex, bankable transactions that deliver value for Nigeria.

“For nearly two decades, the Bonga Southwest project remained stalled. Today, under President Tinubu’s reform-driven leadership and through NNPC’s sustained advocacy, we have broken that logjam. This is what partnership, persistence, and policy clarity can achieve.”

“This milestone further affirms NNPC’s commitment, under the President’s leadership, to unlocking Nigeria’s vast energy potential through partnerships, disciplined innovation and execution excellence,” he further stated.

The Bonga Southwest project will be the first FID on a Nigeria deepwater Production Sharing Contract asset since 2008, re-establishing Nigeria as a premier deepwater investment destination.

The fiscal package approved by President Tinubu includes an enhanced Production Tax Credit and resolution of the 2021 dispute settlement agreement, creating a competitive framework that balances national value with investor returns.

The Bonga Southwest Aparo project, operated by Shell with all IOCs in Nigeria as partners, will create over 5,000 direct and indirect jobs, and deliver 150,000 barrels per day of crude oil and 140 million standard cubic feet per day of gas upon completion.

NNPC Limited, as concessionaire, worked closely with SNEPCo and the broader contractor party to develop alternative fiscal solutions that address structural constraints while protecting Nigeria’s long-term interests.

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Economy

Nigeria Posts N5.17trn Surplus as Trade Value Falls to N36.02trn in Q1 2025

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value of trades

By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigeria recorded a trade surplus of N5.17 trillion in the first quarter of 2025, according to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) in its latest Foreign Trade in Goods Statistics report.

This affirmed that the country’s exports rose faster than imports for yet another quarter.

The report showed that the country’s total merchandise trade stood at N36.02 trillion in the period under review, higher than the N33.93 trillion recorded in the corresponding period of 2024 by 6.19 per cent, but lower than the N36.60 trillion achieved in the previous quarter by 1.58 per cent.

Total exports were valued at N20.60 trillion, accounting for 57.18 per cent of total trade. This represents a 7.42 per cent increase from ₦19.18 trillion recorded in the first quarter of 2024 and 2.92 per cent higher than the N20.01 trillion posted in the fourth quarter of 2024.

Meanwhile, imports came in at N15.43 trillion during the period, 4.59 per cent more than the N14.75 trillion recorded in the corresponding quarter of 2024, but 7.02 per cent lower than the N16.59 trillion of the preceding quarter.

The NBS report showed that Nigeria’s export trade continued to be dominated by crude oil, which was valued at N12.96 trillion and accounted for about 62.89 per cent of total exports, while non-crude oil exports were valued at N7.64 trillion, representing 37.11 per cent of total exports, and non-oil products contributed N3.17 trillion or 15.38 per cent of the export value.

The NBS noted that India, the Netherlands, the United States, France and Spain were Nigeria’s major export partners during the quarter.

On the import side, China remained Nigeria’s largest trading partner, followed by India, the United States, the Netherlands and the United Arab Emirates.

Major commodities exported during the period included crude oil, liquefied natural gas, petroleum gases, urea and cocoa beans, while key imports included gas oil, motor spirit, crude petroleum oils, cane sugar for refining and durum wheat.

The stats office added that the country’s positive trade balance rose by more than 50 per cent compared with the previous quarter, reflecting a stronger export performance

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