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Economy

Nigeria’s Petroleum Industry Earnings Rise 53.2% in August

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Petroleum Products

By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigeria’s earnings from the petroleum industry rose by 53.2 per cent to N401.9 billion from N262.4 billion recorded in the previous month, according to the latest data obtained from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).

The amount is, however, 17.1 per cent lower than the N484.8 billion gross oil revenue recorded in August 2019.

The CBN, in its Economic Report for August 2020, further stated that oil revenue accounted for 52.4 per cent of total federation revenue compared to 35.1 per cent of total revenue in July 2020 and 52.9 per cent in August 2019.

The country earned N296.2 billion from Petroleum Profit Tax (PPT) and Royalties, accounting for 73.7 per cent of total oil revenue, while domestic crude oil and gas sales accounted for 17.5 per cent of total oil revenue, with N70.2 billion.

Crude oil and gas exports fetched the country N24.3 billion, representing 6.0 per cent of total oil earnings, while other oil earnings stood at N11.4 billion.

In comparison, in July 2020, the country earned N40.1 billion from crude oil and gas exports; N145.2 billion and N68.4 billion from PPT and Royalties and domestic crude oil and gas sales, respectively, while other oil earnings stood at N8.6 billion.

In August 2019, the country earned N28.4 billion, N321.4 billion, N130.5 billion and N4.4 billion from crude oil and gas exports, PPT and Royalties, domestic crude oil and gas and other oil earnings, respectively.

In general, the CBN stated that total federally collected revenue in August 2020 rose by 2.7 per cent to N767.55 billion compared with its level in July 2020, but was below the budget benchmark by 9.4 per cent.

The CBN attributed the increase to improved receipts from oil revenue sources, noting that retained revenue of the federal government in August 2020 was N290.3 billion, while total expenditure stood at N699.7 billion, resulting in a deficit of N409.4 billion.

The CBN noted that total FGN debt outstanding at end-June 2020, stood at N31.01 trillion, with the domestic and external components accounting for 63.4 per cent and 36.6 per cent, respectively.

The CBN disclosed that the price of Nigeria’s reference crude, Bonny Light, averaged $45.06 per barrel in August 2020, compared with $44.10 per barrel in July 2020, as global energy demand inched up, due to the easing of lockdown measures across countries.

It said: “In the same vein, crude oil production increased to 1.75 million barrels per day, mbpd, in the review period, compared with 1.55 mbpd in July 2020. Gas exports, on the other hand, decreased by 2.0 per cent to US$0.30 billion in August 2020, relative to $0.31 billion in July 2020. The crude oil and gas component remained dominant and accounted for 85.1 per cent of total exports.”

In addition, the CBN projected that: “Considering the gradual easing of restrictions, improved revenue collection, due to an uptick in economic activities in some advanced economies, and a gradual recovery in oil price, oil exports are expected to rebound with an attendant boost in government revenue.”

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

Dangote Eyes New Investments, Acquisitions as Goldman Sachs Tours Refinery

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Dangote monopoly Political Economy of Failure

By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigerian businessman and chief executive of Dangote Industries Limited, Mr Aliko Dangote, has unveiled plans for a new phase of investments and acquisitions as the conglomerate pushes towards its target of generating $100 billion in annual revenue by 2030.

Mr Dangote disclosed this while receiving a delegation of senior executives from global investment banking and financial services firm Goldman Sachs, led by co-chief executive of Goldman Sachs International and Global Co-Head of Investment Banking, Mr Anthony Gutman, during a tour of the Dangote Petroleum Refinery & Petrochemicals and Dangote Fertiliser Limited complex in Lagos.

Speaking after the visit, Mr Dangote said the refinery and associated industrial facilities underscore the transformative impact of long-term investment in Africa, stressing that the group’s ambitions extend beyond its current strategic plan.

“No matter how we try to explain what we have built, you cannot fully appreciate it until you see it. But this is only the beginning. We need to look beyond 2030.

“The next phase of our journey will include new investments and acquisitions as we continue to scale the business,” he said.

He added that detailed internal modelling had reinforced management’s confidence that the Group’s target of generating $100 billion in annual revenue by 2030 was achievable.

According to him, the projections were based on conservative assumptions and had strengthened the company’s conviction to pursue an even more ambitious long-term growth strategy.

Mr Dangote also revealed that the strong participation of employees in the refinery’s recent private placement reflected growing internal confidence in the company’s long-term strategy and future prospects.

The Goldman Sachs delegation, after an extensive tour of the 700,000 barrels-per-day refinery, described the project as an extraordinary achievement.

“It is extraordinary what Mr Dangote and the whole organisation have achieved. The ambition, the scale of the project, the quality of the project and the culture of the people is very impressive,” the executives said.

According to a statement issued by Dangote Group on Friday, the delegation was led by Mr Anthony Gutman and included Mr Adib N. Zouein, Co-Head of EMEA Emerging Markets Regional Sales and Head of the Middle East and North Africa region for Global Banking & Markets Public; Mr Ryad Yousuf, Global Head of FICC Sales Strats and Structuring; and Mr Jimi Adesanya, Head of Sub-Saharan Africa Sales (excluding South Africa).

The visitors were received by Dangote; Group Vice President, Oil & Gas, Mr Devakumar Edwin; Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of Dangote Petroleum Refinery & Petrochemicals, Mr David Bird; Group Executive Director, Oil & Gas, Ms Fatima Aliko Dangote; Chief of Staff to the President/CEO, Ibrahim Dikko; Group Chief Branding and Communication Officer, Mr Anthony Chiejina; Group Chief Economist, Mr Hassan Mahmud; Group Chief Strategy Officer, Mr Aliyu Suleiman; and Head of Administration, Dangote Petroleum Refinery & Petrochemicals, Mr Musa Bala, among other senior executives.

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Economy

Senate Probes N1.2trn Fuel Subsidy Deductions as NEITI Claims N1.16tn Spent in 2021

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NEITI

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Senate Public Accounts Committee has heard that Nigeria spent N1.16 trillion on fuel subsidy in 2021, while N1.20 trillion was deducted from federation crude oil sales proceeds during the same period.

The disclosure came from the Chairman of the Revenue Mobilisation Allocation and Fiscal Commission (RMAFC), Mr Mohammed Bello Shehu, during the committee’s ongoing investigation into the 2021 to 2023 Nigeria Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative (NEITI) audit reports on the oil and gas sector.

According to the commission, crude and petroleum product losses cost N16.2 billion, pipeline repairs accounted for N22.05 billion, while strategic stock holding attracted N6.75 billion.

The revelations come against the backdrop of Nigeria’s long-running fuel subsidy regime, which successive governments maintained to keep the pump price of petrol artificially low despite mounting fiscal pressures.

Over the years, subsidy payments consumed trillions of Naira, significantly reducing revenues available to the three tiers of government and contributing to widening budget deficits.

The issue reached a turning point in May 2023 when President Bola Tinubu announced the removal of fuel subsidy during his inauguration speech, declaring that “fuel subsidy is gone.” The decision followed years of concerns over the rising cost of the programme, allegations of fraud, and repeated recommendations by fiscal authorities and international financial institutions that the subsidy had become unsustainable.

The removal triggered a sharp increase in the pump price of Premium Motor Spirit (petrol), leading to higher transportation and living costs across the country. In response, the federal government introduced a series of palliative measures, including cash transfers, support for mass transit, and wage-related interventions, while arguing that savings from the subsidy would be redirected to infrastructure, education, healthcare, and other critical sectors of the economy.

The commission also argued that the current method of calculating the 13 per cent derivation fund undermines the constitutional intention of the policy.

Meanwhile, the committee stood down the Niger Delta Development Commission’s presentation until next Wednesday to allow lawmakers review its submission.

The committee also expressed displeasure over the absence of the Auditor-General of the Federation, warning that he must appear before lawmakers next Tuesday or face compulsory appearance through the constitutional powers of the National Assembly.

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Economy

Nigerian Businesses Expect Naira to Appreciate on Dollar Till January 2027

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Naira 4 Dollar

By Adedapo Adesanya

Businesses in the country expect the Naira to gradually appreciate against the US Dollar between now and January 2027, according to the Central Bank of Nigeria’s (CBN) July 2026 Business Expectations Survey Report released on Thursday.

The report showed that the Business Confidence Index (BCI) remained positive throughout the review period despite perceived macroeconomic challenges. It noted that all sectors expressed optimism about the economy, with the electricity, gas and water sector posting the highest Business Confidence Index of 59.4 points and the strongest expansion prospects for August 2026.

According to the report, “In July 2026, the Business Confidence Index was 5.7 points, reflecting continued optimistic sentiment among formal businesses.”

It attributed the positive sentiment mainly to increased demand (22.3 per cent), economic diversification (21.4 per cent), and improved access to finance (15.0 per cent). However, respondents identified inflation (27.7 per cent), energy-related challenges (23.4 per cent), insecurity (22.4 per cent), and heightened geopolitical uncertainties (16.5 per cent) as the major factors weighing on business confidence.

On the outlook by broad sector, the central bank said confidence remained positive across all sectors in July. The Industry sector recorded a modest improvement, with its index rising to 11.5 points from 10.5 points, while the Services sector increased to 3.6 points from 2.9 points.

By contrast, the Agriculture sector recorded a significant moderation, with its index falling to 3.4 points from 12.2 points.

Despite this, the apex bank said the six-month outlook remained upbeat, with confidence indices across all sectors indicating positive expectations over the review period.

On the macroeconomic outlook by region, the report noted a divergence in sentiment, with businesses in Northern Nigeria expressing stronger confidence than their Southern counterparts in July. Nevertheless, respondents across all regions maintained positive expectations for August.

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