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Economy

NIPC Says Investment Announcements in Nigeria Plunge 44%

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Yewande Sadiku NIPC spend IGR

By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigeria’s economy recorded a sharp drop in foreign investments in 2020 as investors’ commitments declined by 44.1 per cent to $16.7 billion from $29.9 billion in 2019.

This is according to the investment announcements captured by the Nigeria Investment Promotion Council (NIPC).

Analysis of the data released by the NIPC showed that investments declined in the first three quarters of the year.

In the first quarter of the year, $4.8 billion was recorded compared to $12.7 billion in the same period of the preceding year, showing a 62 per cent decline.

Similarly, in the second quarter of the year under review, $250 million was recorded, 89.8 per cent lower than the $2.44 billion achieved in Q2 of 2019.

Also, in the third quarter of last year, there was a decline of 58.1 per cent in the investments to $3.9 billion from $9.3 billion in the same period of 2019.

However, investments in the fourth quarter of 2020 surpassed that of the same time of 2019 as announced investments stood at $7.76 billion in Q4 2020 versus $5.47 billion in Q4 2019.

According to NIPC, the $16.74 billion investments announced last year were committed to a total of 63 projects across 21 states of the federation, the FCT, and the Niger Delta region.

The manufacturing sector got the lion share of the investments as it received $8.4 billion, representing 50 per cent of the total investments announced last year.

The transportation sector got $4.61 billion, which is 28 per cent of the total investments announced. The Information and Communication Technology (ICT) sector was the third favourite sector for investors $1.81 billion, representing 11 per cent of the total sum, was committed to projects in the sector.

Mining and quarrying sector attracted $1.07 billion in investments in the period under review, thus accounted for six per cent of the total investments.

Other sectors of the economy such as Agriculture, Finance and Insurance, Health and Social Services shared the remaining $0.88 billion, which is five per cent of the investments. In terms of destinations, $6 billion, representing 36 per cent of the total investments went into projects in Rivers State.

In terms of state, Kaduna State got 2.81 billion, representing 17 per cent of the total investments. Projects in Kogi and Lagos states attracted $1 billion and $0.89 billion respectively, which is six per cent and five per cent of the total investments.

Other states of the federation attracted $6.05 billion, representing 36 per cent of the investments.

In terms of countries of destination, the NIPC report explained that $6 billion, representing 36 per cent of the total investments came from Singapore, while $3.71 billion, representing 22 per cent of the investments came from Chinese investors.

The report indicated that $2.44 billion, representing 15 per cent, was from the United States of America, while $1.6 billion, representing 10 per cent of the total announced investments came from South Africa.

A total of $2.99 billion (18 per cent) came from other sources including Nigerian investors.

The NIPC also said top 10 investing organisations in the Nigerian economy last year include, Indorama Petrochemicals and Fertilizer from Singapore; Bank of China and Sinosure; 328 Support Services GmbH from the USA; MTN South Africa; Sinoma CBMI from China; Torridon Investments from the UK; African Industries Group from Nigeria; Savannah Petroleum from the UK; Stripe from the USA; and NESBITT Investment Nigeria Limited.

Looking ahead, global Foreign Direct Investments (FDIs) has been projected to drop by 50 per cent this year, being the worst in the last 20 years.

The Executive Secretary of the NIPC, Ms Yewande Sadiku, explained that global FDI is expected to plummet from $1.54 trillion recorded in 2019 to $924 billion in 2020 and further slump to $831.6 billion in 2021.

She said the downturn in the global FDI flow, occasioned by COVID-19, was not expected to record recovery earlier than 2022.

The NIPC boss advised that Nigeria would need to formulate and implement bold and coherent policy changes and deep economic reforms to reverse the expected declines in FDI between 2020 and 2022.

She said, “Investment interest in Nigeria was under pressure before COVID-19; coherent investment-supporting policies are urgently required to reverse the trend.”

“A more proactive all-of-government approach to investor support, across federal and state governments, is required to convert more announcements to actual investments,” she added.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

Dangote Eyes New Investments, Acquisitions as Goldman Sachs Tours Refinery

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By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigerian businessman and chief executive of Dangote Industries Limited, Mr Aliko Dangote, has unveiled plans for a new phase of investments and acquisitions as the conglomerate pushes towards its target of generating $100 billion in annual revenue by 2030.

Mr Dangote disclosed this while receiving a delegation of senior executives from global investment banking and financial services firm Goldman Sachs, led by co-chief executive of Goldman Sachs International and Global Co-Head of Investment Banking, Mr Anthony Gutman, during a tour of the Dangote Petroleum Refinery & Petrochemicals and Dangote Fertiliser Limited complex in Lagos.

Speaking after the visit, Mr Dangote said the refinery and associated industrial facilities underscore the transformative impact of long-term investment in Africa, stressing that the group’s ambitions extend beyond its current strategic plan.

“No matter how we try to explain what we have built, you cannot fully appreciate it until you see it. But this is only the beginning. We need to look beyond 2030.

“The next phase of our journey will include new investments and acquisitions as we continue to scale the business,” he said.

He added that detailed internal modelling had reinforced management’s confidence that the Group’s target of generating $100 billion in annual revenue by 2030 was achievable.

According to him, the projections were based on conservative assumptions and had strengthened the company’s conviction to pursue an even more ambitious long-term growth strategy.

Mr Dangote also revealed that the strong participation of employees in the refinery’s recent private placement reflected growing internal confidence in the company’s long-term strategy and future prospects.

The Goldman Sachs delegation, after an extensive tour of the 700,000 barrels-per-day refinery, described the project as an extraordinary achievement.

“It is extraordinary what Mr Dangote and the whole organisation have achieved. The ambition, the scale of the project, the quality of the project and the culture of the people is very impressive,” the executives said.

According to a statement issued by Dangote Group on Friday, the delegation was led by Mr Anthony Gutman and included Mr Adib N. Zouein, Co-Head of EMEA Emerging Markets Regional Sales and Head of the Middle East and North Africa region for Global Banking & Markets Public; Mr Ryad Yousuf, Global Head of FICC Sales Strats and Structuring; and Mr Jimi Adesanya, Head of Sub-Saharan Africa Sales (excluding South Africa).

The visitors were received by Dangote; Group Vice President, Oil & Gas, Mr Devakumar Edwin; Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of Dangote Petroleum Refinery & Petrochemicals, Mr David Bird; Group Executive Director, Oil & Gas, Ms Fatima Aliko Dangote; Chief of Staff to the President/CEO, Ibrahim Dikko; Group Chief Branding and Communication Officer, Mr Anthony Chiejina; Group Chief Economist, Mr Hassan Mahmud; Group Chief Strategy Officer, Mr Aliyu Suleiman; and Head of Administration, Dangote Petroleum Refinery & Petrochemicals, Mr Musa Bala, among other senior executives.

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Economy

Senate Probes N1.2trn Fuel Subsidy Deductions as NEITI Claims N1.16tn Spent in 2021

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NEITI

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Senate Public Accounts Committee has heard that Nigeria spent N1.16 trillion on fuel subsidy in 2021, while N1.20 trillion was deducted from federation crude oil sales proceeds during the same period.

The disclosure came from the Chairman of the Revenue Mobilisation Allocation and Fiscal Commission (RMAFC), Mr Mohammed Bello Shehu, during the committee’s ongoing investigation into the 2021 to 2023 Nigeria Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative (NEITI) audit reports on the oil and gas sector.

According to the commission, crude and petroleum product losses cost N16.2 billion, pipeline repairs accounted for N22.05 billion, while strategic stock holding attracted N6.75 billion.

The revelations come against the backdrop of Nigeria’s long-running fuel subsidy regime, which successive governments maintained to keep the pump price of petrol artificially low despite mounting fiscal pressures.

Over the years, subsidy payments consumed trillions of Naira, significantly reducing revenues available to the three tiers of government and contributing to widening budget deficits.

The issue reached a turning point in May 2023 when President Bola Tinubu announced the removal of fuel subsidy during his inauguration speech, declaring that “fuel subsidy is gone.” The decision followed years of concerns over the rising cost of the programme, allegations of fraud, and repeated recommendations by fiscal authorities and international financial institutions that the subsidy had become unsustainable.

The removal triggered a sharp increase in the pump price of Premium Motor Spirit (petrol), leading to higher transportation and living costs across the country. In response, the federal government introduced a series of palliative measures, including cash transfers, support for mass transit, and wage-related interventions, while arguing that savings from the subsidy would be redirected to infrastructure, education, healthcare, and other critical sectors of the economy.

The commission also argued that the current method of calculating the 13 per cent derivation fund undermines the constitutional intention of the policy.

Meanwhile, the committee stood down the Niger Delta Development Commission’s presentation until next Wednesday to allow lawmakers review its submission.

The committee also expressed displeasure over the absence of the Auditor-General of the Federation, warning that he must appear before lawmakers next Tuesday or face compulsory appearance through the constitutional powers of the National Assembly.

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Economy

Nigerian Businesses Expect Naira to Appreciate on Dollar Till January 2027

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Naira 4 Dollar

By Adedapo Adesanya

Businesses in the country expect the Naira to gradually appreciate against the US Dollar between now and January 2027, according to the Central Bank of Nigeria’s (CBN) July 2026 Business Expectations Survey Report released on Thursday.

The report showed that the Business Confidence Index (BCI) remained positive throughout the review period despite perceived macroeconomic challenges. It noted that all sectors expressed optimism about the economy, with the electricity, gas and water sector posting the highest Business Confidence Index of 59.4 points and the strongest expansion prospects for August 2026.

According to the report, “In July 2026, the Business Confidence Index was 5.7 points, reflecting continued optimistic sentiment among formal businesses.”

It attributed the positive sentiment mainly to increased demand (22.3 per cent), economic diversification (21.4 per cent), and improved access to finance (15.0 per cent). However, respondents identified inflation (27.7 per cent), energy-related challenges (23.4 per cent), insecurity (22.4 per cent), and heightened geopolitical uncertainties (16.5 per cent) as the major factors weighing on business confidence.

On the outlook by broad sector, the central bank said confidence remained positive across all sectors in July. The Industry sector recorded a modest improvement, with its index rising to 11.5 points from 10.5 points, while the Services sector increased to 3.6 points from 2.9 points.

By contrast, the Agriculture sector recorded a significant moderation, with its index falling to 3.4 points from 12.2 points.

Despite this, the apex bank said the six-month outlook remained upbeat, with confidence indices across all sectors indicating positive expectations over the review period.

On the macroeconomic outlook by region, the report noted a divergence in sentiment, with businesses in Northern Nigeria expressing stronger confidence than their Southern counterparts in July. Nevertheless, respondents across all regions maintained positive expectations for August.

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