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Economy

Oil Adds $1 Per Barrel as Iraq Exports Deal Stall

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OPEC Global Oil Demand

By Adedapo Adesanya

Oil went up by more than $1 a barrel on Tuesday after a deal to resume exports from Iraq’s Kurdistan stalled, easing oversupply worries that had given investors some concerns.

Brent crude futures gained $1.06 or 1.6 per cent to trade at $67.63 a barrel and the US West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose by $1.13 or 1.8 per cent to end at $63.41 a barrel.

Pipeline oil exports from Iraq’s Kurdistan region to Turkiye had yet to restart on Tuesday despite hopes of a deal to end the deadlock, as two key producers asked for debt repayment guarantees.

The deal between Iraq’s federal and Kurdish regional governments and oil firms aims to resume exports of about 230,000 barrels per day of oil from Kurdistan to the global market via Turkey, halted since March 2023. The restart would exacerbate worries about global oversupply.

However, Turkiye, which holds the final decision, had not implement the move.

Turkiye shut the Iraq-Turkey pipeline after an international arbitration ruling ordered it to pay $1.5 billion to Baghdad for past unauthorized Kurdish shipments. The loss of export revenue has battered the KRG’s finances and complicated budget transfers from the federal government in Iraq.

Analysts noted that the market sold off on reports of a Kurdistan deal, and the lack of a deal has now taken those barrels out of the market.

Overall, the global oil market is bracing for elevated supply and slowing demand, hampered by the take-up of electric vehicles and economic pressures fueled by tariffs by the Donald Trump administration.

In its latest monthly report, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said world oil supply would rise more rapidly this year and a surplus could expand in 2026 as the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) members increase output and supply from outside the producer group grows.

Traders continue to monitor the European Union’s consideration of stricter sanctions on Russian oil exports, as well as any escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

The American Petroleum Institute (API) estimated that crude oil inventories in the United States fell by 3.821 million barrels in the week ending September 19. So far this year, crude oil inventories are up just 1.5 million barrels.

Petroleum (gasoline) inventories fell by 1.05 million barrels, while distillate inventories rose by 518,000 barrels from last week.

Official data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) will be released later on Wednesday.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

Customs Street Rallies 1.06% on Improved Market Activity, Investor Sentiment

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Customs Street

By Dipo Olowookere

The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited rallied by 1.06 per cent on renewed investor confidence after surviving a run of losing streaks.

Yesterday, some performance indicators were better compared with the previous session, with the All-Share Index (ASI) chalking up 2,540.08 points to settle at 240,743.19 points versus Monday’s 238,203.11 points, and the market capitalisation gained N1.649 trillion to close at N154.484 trillion, in contrast to the preceding day’s N152.835 trillion.

As for the sectoral performance, the energy sector was down by 0.09 per cent, but the loss was offset by the gains recorded by the others.

The insurance counter grew by 2.84 per cent, the banking and the consumer goods indices rose by 0.18 per cent each, and the industrial goods segment expanded by 0.07 per cent.

Unlike on Monday, the market breadth index was positive on Tuesday, with Customs Street closing with 33 price gainers and 23 price losers, indicating bullish investor sentiment.

Guinea Insurance improved by 10.00 per cent to N1.10, International Energy Insurance advanced by 9.89 per cent to N6.11, Tripple Gee soared by 9.82 per cent to N3.69, Cornerstone Insurance climbed 9.76 per cent to N6.75, and Sovereign Trust Insurance surged by 8.63 per cent to N2.14.

On the flip side, Red Star Express dropped 9.96 per cent to trade at N24.85, Premier Paints depreciated by 9.93 per cent to N6.43, Trans-Nationwide Express declined by 9.82 per cent to N4.04, Royal Exchange shrank by 9.38 per cent to N1.45, and Abbey Mortgage Bank crashed by 9.29 per cent to N28.12.

Market activity improved during the trading day, with market participants transacting 564.9 million shares valued at N39.4 billion in 49,230 deals compared with the 475.8 million shares worth N36.5 billion traded in 63,567 deals a day earlier, implying a shortfall in the number of deals by 22.55 per cent, and a rise in the trading volume and value by 18.73 per cent and 7.95 per cent, respectively.

Fidelity Bank led the activity chart after a turnover of 59.4 million units worth N1.1 billion, Zenith Bank traded 49.5 million units valued at N5.9 billion, Dangote Sugar exchanged 43.1 million units for N3.1 billion, Chams sold 39.5 million units worth N156.5 million, and Access Holdings transacted 30.7 million units valued at N703.6 million.

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Economy

Brent, WTI Further Loses as Middle East Tensions Ease

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West Texas Intermediate WTI

By Adedapo Adesanya

The prices of the two major crude oil grades further declined on Tuesday as investors kept a close watch on crude flows through the Strait of Hormuz following signs of ​progress in US-Iran peace talks.

Brent futures lost 82 cents or 1.1 per cent to trade at $77.08 per barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures gave up 65 ‌cents or 0.9 per cent to sell for $73.21 a barrel.

The market continued to edge lower after the US granted Iran a 60-day sanctions waiver following initial peace talks, while hostilities in Lebanon eased under a broader agreement.

Investors are cautiously watching how quickly Middle Eastern producers can resume oil production and exports following damage from the war, and whether more ships will enter the region.

After US Vice President JD Vance left Switzerland on June 22 after a round of talks over the weekend, President Donald Trump issued a warning to Iran that “I will do what I have to do” if it does not stick to its agreement with the US.

Mr Vance had noted movement on a framework toward reaching a final peace deal within 60 days, including the guarantee of safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz, an end to fighting in Lebanon, and Iran’s acceptance of visits by international nuclear inspectors.

On Tuesday, Oman and Iran agreed to press on with discussions about ​the future administration of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz, through which 20 per cent of crude and liquified natural gas (LNG) passes.

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio said on Tuesday that Iran would not be ​able to charge tolls in the key waterway as part of any final agreement with the United States, saying such ⁠an arrangement would violate international law.

According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), the world has lost millions of barrels of oil and gas supply since the Iran war closed the strait, putting the shut-in data at more than 14 million barrels per day of oil output or about 14 per cent of world demand.

Meanwhile, President Trump claimed that 19 million barrels of oil flowed out of the strait on Monday, and pointed to falling oil prices in a social media post on Tuesday.

The American Petroleum Institute (API) estimated that crude oil inventories in the US fell by 765,000 barrels in the week ending June 19. Official data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) will be released later on Wednesday.

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Economy

SEC Bans Marketing, Promotion of Dangote Refinery’s IPO by Stockbrokers

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Dangote Refinery Crude Supply to Local Refineries

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The marketing and promotion of the planned initial public offering (IPO) by Dangote Petroleum Refinery & Petrochemicals FZE has been banned by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

A statement from the apex capital market regulator on Tuesday emphasised that it had yet to receive any application for such an offer or approve the purported IPO.

SEC noted that it had become aware of advertisements, flyers, digital banners and targeted electronic mails circulating on social media platforms and investment channels concerning a supposed securities offering by the refinery.

It expressed concern over the involvement of some Registered Capital Market Operators (CMOs) in what it described as an “unwholesome and manipulative exercise” of actively soliciting advance subscriptions for an offering that has not been presented to the commission.

“No application for the registration of an IPO or public offer of shares of the Refinery has been filed with or approved by the commission,” the agency noted, adding that the ongoing pre-marketing activities were “capable of misleading investors, distorting market expectations, creating information asymmetry and generally undermining the integrity of the capital market.”

It further stated that the marketing campaign and invitations to “create accounts”, “pre-fund,” or “secure guaranteed allocations” amounted to market manipulation and constituted “serious violation of the Investments and Securities Act.”

Consequently, the SEC directed all Registered Capital Market Operators, particularly stockbrokers and digital platform promoters, to immediately stop all promotional activities.

It also directed them to “cease with immediate effect from publishing, reposting, or distributing any promotional material, flyer, or commentary relating to the acquisition or allocation of shares in the Refinery.”

The commission further ordered operators to “remove or take down all such unauthorised marketing materials from websites, social media handles (including X, LinkedIn, Instagram, Facebook etc.), and messaging groups within twenty-four (24) hours of this notice.”

The regulator further instructed operators to desist from accepting deposits, commitments, account openings or expressions of interest from investors for the purported public offering and to “reverse and refund all funds already collected in connection with this purported offering to clients within twenty-four (24) hours of this notice.”

The organisation warned that defaulters would face sanctions as non-compliance would attract penalties under the Investments and Securities Act, 2025 and the SEC Rules and Regulations.

Advising investors to exercise caution, the SEC said members of the public should “rely only on formal, official pronouncements issued directly by the commission through its official channels.”

It warned that “all such high-pressure marketing tactics, or transfer of funds to any operator for ‘pre-IPO’ placement should be ignored as they did not receive the commission’s approval.”

SEC assured that if it eventually receives and clears an application for a public offering by the refinery, an approved prospectus would be made available to investors in line with the provisions of the Investments and Securities Act, 2025.

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