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Economy

Oil at $85 Could Boost Nigeria’s External Balance Account—Bloomberg

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oil production rig

By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigeria has been identified as one of the winners of an oil windfall following the US and Israel’s war on Iran.

According to Bloomberg Economics, the rise in prices will improve the current account balance of just three sub-Saharan African economies.

Bloomberg Economics’ Ms Yvonne Mhango wrote in a report on Thursday that if oil stays at about $85 a barrel, Angola, Nigeria and Ghana will see their current account balance improve, while the Democratic Republic of Congo, South Africa and Kenya will be among the worst-hit.

“For most African economies, higher oil prices mean weaker currencies and renewed inflationary pressure, which could put rate hikes back on the table,” she said.

According to the analyst, Nigeria, which is Africa’s largest oil producer, will not only gain from crude sales but from fuel exports.

Bloomberg Economics data showed that Nigeria’s current account balance could benefit by as much as 2.3 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP), second only to Angola’s 3.3 per cent and Ghana’s 0.2 per cent.

Already, the 650,000-barrel-a-day Dangote oil refinery has raised the prospect of sending more product to Europe if the price is right.

Dangote is ​offering up to 44,000 ​metric tons of jet fuel for loading March 20-22, ​as well as ​at least 40,000 tons of ‌gasoil ⁠with a maximum sulphur content of 50 parts per million ​for ​loading ⁠March 15-30.

However, countries like Africa’s largest economy – South Africa – may face challenges if India and Oman, two of its biggest fuel suppliers, cut down on exports. It may see a -1.0 per cent hit to its current account balance.

South African consumers are bracing for fuel costs to increase in April, according to Central Energy Fund data, while traders moved to price in a chance of an interest-rate hike later this month.

Following US and Israeli strikes on Iran over the weekend and retaliatory moves by the Islamic Republic, global crude prices have adjusted sharply.

The Strait of Hormuz, a narrow shipping lane between Iran and Oman, through which roughly a fifth of global oil supply normally passes, has been blocked completely by Iran.

As of press time, Brent crude, which Nigeria prices its crudes is trading up at 2.3 per cent at $83.23. Nigerian crude grades, Brass River and Qua Iboe, are selling at $87 per barrel.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

Confusion as Dangote Refinery Reverses ex-Depot Petrol N75 Hike

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dangote refinery trucks

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

Dangote Refinery has reversed a N75 ex-depot price increase of premium motor spirit (PMS), also known as petrol, on Wednesday.

On Wednesday, the private crude oil refinery raised the price of the product to N1,350 per litre, but this was quickly reversed to N1,275 per litre.

The company had carried out a second increment in less than two weeks, amid renewed attacks in the Middle East, though the crude oil price went down on Tuesday to $109 per barrel.

According to a report by pricing platform Petroleumprice.ng, the upward price adjustment was suspended shortly after it was raised, restoring the previous pricing structure at the loading gantry and easing immediate concerns among downstream marketers.

Industry operators say the move has helped calm nerves across the market, where traders had already begun repositioning on expectations of a higher pricing cycle.

Before the previous price hike, the gantry price was N1,200 per litre, but the organisation pushed it higher by N75.

As of the time of filing this report, Business Post observed that Brent crude futures were traded at $101.00 per barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were sold for $93.01 per barrel.

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Economy

Unlisted Stocks Gain 0.85% as FrieslandCampina, NASD, Two Others Rally

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unlisted stocks Nigeria

By Adedapo Adesanya

Four securities lifted the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange by 0.85 per cent on Tuesday, May 5, with the market capitalisation growing by N20.52 billion to N2.429 trillion from N2.409 trillion, and the Unlisted Security Index (NSI) advancing by 34.30 points to 4,060.94 points from 4,026.64 points.

Yesterday, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc, the parent company of popular milk brands like Peak Milk and Three Crowns, appreciated by N8.72 to N106.90 per share from N98.14 per share, NASD Plc increased its value by N6.13 to N37.36 per unit from N31.23 per unit, Lagos Building Investment Company (LBIC) Plc gained 35 Kobo to close at N3.82 per share versus N3.47 per share, and Geo-Fluids Plc jumped by 10 Kobo to N3.10 per unit versus N3.00 per unit.

However, the price of Food Concepts Plc, which has the popular Chicken Republic under its belt, lost  5 Kobo during the session to trade at N2.36 per share versus N2.41 per share.

The volume of securities traded fell by 9.5 per cent to 679,768 units from 751,518 units, and the value of securities dropped 12.6 per cent to N30.9 million from N35.4 million, while the number of deals surged by 41.9 per cent to 44 deals from 31 deals.

Great Nigeria Insurance (GNI) Plc remained the most traded stock by value on a year-to-date basis with 3.4 billion units transacted for N8.4 billion, followed by CSCS Plc with 60.3 million units traded for N4.1 billion, and Okitipupa Plc with 27.8 million units valued at N1.9 billion.

GNI Plc also closed the day as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 3.4 billion units sold for N8.4 billion, trailed by Resourcery Plc with 1.1 billion units worth N415.7 million, and Infrastructure Guarantee Credit Plc with 400 million units exchanged for N1.2 billion.

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Economy

Q1 2026: Dangote Cement Capacity Hits 55MTA, Completes 10 Clinker Shipments

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Dangote Cement Stocks

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

Dangote Cement Plc has cemented its position as Africa’s leading cement exporter by growing its cement and clinker exports from Nigeria by 71.6 per cent in the first quarter of 2026.

In its unaudited results released to the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited, the cement manufacturer said its total installed production capacity has reached 55 million tonnes per annum (MTA) across Africa.

The company operates 35.25MTA capacity in Nigeria, where its Obajana plant in Kogi State—the largest in Africa—has 16.25MTA capacity across five lines. The Ibese plant in Ogun State has 12MTA, the Gboko plant in Benue State has 4MTA, while the Okpella plant in Edo State has 3MTA.

It was revealed that 10 clinker shipments were taken from Nigeria to neighbouring markets in the period under review, boosting the total sales volumes by 13.8 per cent year-on-year, driven by growth of 11.5 per cent in Nigeria and 19.5 per cent across its pan‑African operations.

It was observed that revenue was up by 20.4 per cent year‑on‑year to N1.198 trillion, driven by a strong rebound in volumes, which grew 13.8 per cent across our markets, while EBITDA increased by 22.8 per cent to N567.1 billion, demonstrating the strength of our operating model, disciplined cost control, and our ability to convert growth into superior profitability.

Between January and March 2026, the cement maker posted a profit before tax of N421.1 billion, representing a 35 per cent increase from N311.9 billion recorded in the corresponding period of 2025, while earnings per share rose to N19.14, up from N12.29, underscoring sustained value creation for shareholders.

In his remarks, the chief executive of Dangote Cement, Mr Arvind Pathak, said the results reflected the strength of the company’s operating model and its disciplined execution across markets.

“Our export business continues to scale rapidly, with volumes from Nigeria up 71.6 per cent and 10 clinker shipments completed in the quarter. This performance reinforces our strategic position as Africa’s leading cement exporter,” he said.

“Following the commissioning of our 3Mta grinding plant in Côte d’Ivoire, we are progressing well with our expansion projects in Itori and Ethiopia, alongside other growth initiatives across the continent. These investments will further strengthen our footprint and keep us firmly on track to reach 80Mt of production capacity by 2030,” he added.

Looking ahead to the rest of the year, Mr Pathak expressed confidence in the company’s growth outlook.

“We have entered the year with strong momentum and a clear strategic focus. Demand across our markets remains resilient, our expansion pipeline is delivering, and our operational discipline continues to drive margin improvement. We remain confident in sustaining this growth trajectory and in consistently delivering long‑term value to our shareholders,” he stated.

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