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Economy

Oil Bullish on Investors Confidence Amid Surging COVID Cases

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crude oil market

By Adedapo Adesanya

Oil prices opened the week stronger as investors continued to bet on tight supply and rising vaccination rates and overlooking surging COVID-19 cases worldwide.

Brent crude gained 39 cents or 0.52 per cent on Monday to settle at $74.89, while the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude moved up by 28 cents or 0.39 per cent to $72.19 per barrel.

Investors continue to show support for the black gold as strong US demand and expectations of tight supplies prevail despite the surrounding factors.

These factors helped both contracts to recover from a 7 per cent slump last week to mark their first gains in almost three weeks last week.

Global oil markets are expected to remain in deficit despite a decision by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and allies, collectively known as OPEC+, to raise their production through the rest of the year by a total of 2.1 million barrels.

Market analysts noted that pandemic-fuelled demand fears have not completely lost their grip on market sentiment.

Over the weekend, coronavirus cases continued to rise with some countries reporting record daily increases and extending lockdown measures that could slow oil demand.

In addition, China, the world’s largest crude importer, has also seen a rise in COVID-19 cases. The Asian giant has been the global oil demand driver for the last decade, accounting for more than 40 per cent of worldwide growth in oil imports for the past six years.

The US issued travel warnings to Spain and Portugal due to rising COVID-19 cases and said that wider travel curbs will not be lifted due to the highly infectious delta variant and rising domestic infections.

Yet, demand can count on increasing vaccinations rate to guard against strict new lockdowns.

There is also a new threat to growth as China has begun to crack down on the misuse of import quotas. This, in addition to higher prices, could send Chinese oil imports to their lowest in two decades this year.

Investors are awaiting inventory data from the American Petroleum Institute industry (API) group on Tuesday and the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) on Wednesday for further evidence that demand is holding up.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

Economy

NGX Investors Gain 0.34% on Interest in Consumer Goods Stocks

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domestic investors NGX

By Dipo Olowookere

The portfolios of investors at the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited increased by 0.34 per cent on Monday on the back of buying interest in consumer goods stocks and others.

Business Post observed bargain-hunting activities across the key sectors of the bourse, though the industrial goods index came under profit-taking, causing it to close lower by 0.57 per cent.

However, this did not affect the general outcome of Customs like it did last Friday.

The consumer goods industry went up by 1.31 per cent, the commodity space rose by 0.84 per cent, the energy counter appreciated by 0.69 per cent, the insurance sector grew by 0.52 per cent, and the banking index improved by 0.04 per cent.

As a result, the All-Share Index (ASI) was up by 363.13 points to 106,116.18 points from 105,753.05 points and the market capitalisation increased by N229 billion to N66.694 trillion from N66.465 trillion.

Investor sentiment was bullish yesterday as the bourse ended with 47 price gainers and 16 price losers, indicating a positive market breadth index.

International Breweries soared by 10.00 per cent to close at N8.47, Legend Internet appreciated by 9.97 per cent to N7.50, Cadbury Nigeria advanced by 9.96 pr cent to N29.25, Fidson grew by 9.95 per cent to N20.45, and Eterna chalked up 9.90 per cent to sell for N43.85.

Conversely, Livestock Feeds lost 10.00 per cent to settle at N8.55, Aradel declined y 9.86 per cent to N448.00, Tripple Gee fell by 9.60 per cent to N1.79, John Holt depreciated by 7.94 per cent to N5.80, and Linkage Assurance slumped by 6.15 per cent to N1.22.

During the session, the market participants traded 500.6 million stocks valued at N12.1 billion in 17,637 deals versus the 428.1 million stocks worth N20.2 billion in 14,284 deals, representing a shortfall in the trading value by 40.10 per cent, and a surge in the trading volume and number of deals by 16.94 per cent and 23.47 per cent, respectively.

Access Holdings was the most active equity for the day with a turnover of 60.9 million units valued at N1.2 billion, Fidelity Bank traded 56.1 million units worth N1.1 billion, UBA exchanged 34.5 million units for N1.2 billion, GTCO transacted 33.5 million units valued at N2.2 billion, and Nigerian Breweries sold 28.3 million units worth N1.2 billion.

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Economy

Brent Trades $65 Per Barrel on Mounting Economic Worries

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Brent Price

By Adedapo Adesanya

The price of the Brent crude oil grade declined by $1.01, or 1.5 per cent on Monday to $65.86 per barrel as economic worries from the US-China trade war pressured demand.

Also, the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was sold at $62.05 a barrel after it went down by 97 cents or 1.5 per cent amid conflicting signals from US President Donald Trump and the Chinese government over what progress was being made to de-escalate a trade war that could weaken global growth.

According to market analysts, the US-China trade war is dominating investor sentiment in moving oil prices, and has overshadowed other developments, including nuclear talks between the US and Iran and possible friction within the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+).

On Monday, China lashed out at the US’ negotiating tactics, with Zhao Chenxin, deputy director of the National Development and Reform Commission, saying: “They make up bargaining chips out of thin air, bully and go back on their words.”

The Chinese official was responding to President Trump’s statement earlier in the day that the US would not lower tariffs on China unless it offered up “something substantial”.

This came as US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on Sunday did not back President Trump’s assertion that negotiations with China were underway.

Amid this, crude oil inventories in China rose to the highest in almost three years in March, suggesting demand growth was lagging behind refinery processing rates, which hit a one-year high last month as Chinese oil processors took advantage of cheap Iranian and Russian crude.

It was reported that 1.74 million barrels daily went into storage last month in China, citing official data from China, making this the highest rate of storage inflows since June 2023.

Some OPEC+ members are expected to suggest that the group accelerate oil output hikes for a second consecutive month when they meet on May 5.

Earlier this month, there was an unexpected decision by OPEC+ to increase output by 411,000 barrels per day of oil in May, which was three times more than the group originally planned.

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Economy

Nigeria’s Non-Oil Exports Grow 24.75% to $1.791bn in Q1 2025

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Non-Oil Exports

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Nigerian Export Promotion Council (NEPC) has announced a 24.75 per cent increase in the value of the country’s non-oil exports, reaching a total of $1.791 billion in the first quarter of 2025.

It stated that the amount surpassed the $1.436 billion generated in the first quarter of 2024.

The Executive Director of the council, Mrs Nonye Ayeni, disclosed the figures while addressing the journalists in Abuja on Monday.

She said the significant growth reflects the resilience and diversification of Nigeria’s export sector beyond crude oil, a shift aimed at reducing the country’s reliance on oil revenue.

According to her, the surge in non-oil exports was driven by increased economic activity in the Agriculture, Manufacturing, and Solid Minerals sectors.

On the US 14 per cent trade tariff, the council says it was positive for the country, adding that it was an opportunity to focus on value addition and increased competitiveness in the global market.

Recall that Nigeria has reiterated plans to boost its non-oil revenues with the Minister of Industry, Trade and Investment, Mrs Jumoke Oduwole, saying the country was stepping up its diversification efforts.

Earlier this month, the Trade Minister said the nation would tackle this challenge with pragmatism, aiming to boost non-oil exports and strengthen economic resilience under President Bola Tinubu’s Renewed Hope Agenda.

Mrs Oduwole had said the US remains a key partner, with bilateral trade reaching N31.1 trillion from 2015 to 2024.

The measures taken by the US presents destabilising challenges to price competitiveness and market access, especially in emerging and value-added sectors vital to our diversification agenda,” the minister explained.

“Government is implementing a range of interventions in policy, financing, infrastructure, and diplomacy to help Nigerian businesses remain competitive amidst regional and global tariff hikes,” Mrs Oduwole said as she outlined Nigeria’s response.

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