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Oil Dips as Nigeria, Angola Aim to Meet Cuts After OPEC+ Delay

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crude oil market

By Adedapo Adesanya

Oil dipped on Thursday, extending losses on expectations that the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) might not deepen output cuts next year after the producer group postponed its policy meeting.

Brent crude futures were down 68 cents or 0.8 per cent to quote at $81.28 a barrel, and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures slid by 75 cents or 1 per cent to settle at $76.35 per barrel.

Trading activity was muted because of the US Thanksgiving public holiday, but the preceding development was able to tell on the market.

On Wednesday, OPEC+ delayed a ministerial meeting at which they were expected to discuss oil output cuts to November 30.

Although no official reason was given, it was widely speculated that it is because producers were struggling to agree on output levels ahead of the meeting originally set for November 26, OPEC+ sources said, suggesting that the disagreement was largely linked to African nations.

Reuters reported that top African members of the OPEC+ producer group, primarily Nigeria and Angola are aiming for higher oil output.

Nigeria was producing 1.7 million barrels per day of crude and condensates as of November 17 and expects to hit 1.8 million barrels per day by the end of the year.

Nigeria’s governor to OPEC, Mr Gabriel Tanimu Aduda on Thursday said he was not aware of any disagreements with other members of OPEC+ about the country’s production targets.

“We are not aware of any disagreements, it is more a matter of seeking alignments,” Mr Aduda said.

As for Angola, it is pumping less than its quota for 2024, according to separate OPEC figures.

This move could help Saudi Arabia, Russia and other OPEC+ members which have already pledged oil output cuts of about 5 million barrels per day (bpd), or about 5 per cent of daily global demand, in a series of steps that started in late 2022.

This figure includes a 1 million barrels per day voluntary reduction by Saudi Arabia and a 300,000 barrels per day cut in Russian oil exports, both of which last until the end of 2023.

Analysts said they did not expect any surprises from the OPEC meeting, with Saudi Arabia most likely to extend its voluntary cuts of 1 million bpd for another month while the rest of OPEC would probably stick to their current quotas.

Fears that OPEC+ will further deepen cuts at its next meeting put downward pressure on oil prices earlier this week, but the postponement of the meeting has added further concerns over the intensifying spat among the cartel’s members.

Ahead of the delayed meeting, most analysts had expected the Saudis to extend the voluntary production cuts into 2024.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

Unlisted OTC Securities Slide Further by 0.35%

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NASD OTC securities exchange

By Adedapo Adesanya

The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange further dropped 0.35 per cent on Tuesday, March 17, with the market capitalisation down by N8.80 billion to N2.471 trillion from the preceding day’s N2.480 trillion, and the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) dipping by 14.71 points to 4,130.89 points from 4,145.60 points.

The loss recorded during the session was influenced by three securities, which overpowered the gains recorded by four stocks.

Okitipupa Plc lost N15.00 to sell at N215.00 per unit compared with the previous day’s N230.00 per unit, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc depreciated by N1.23 to trade at N122.32 per share versus Monday’s closing price of N123.55 per share, and Afriland Plc declined by 90 Kobo to quote at N17.05 per unit versus N17.95 per unit.

On the flip side, Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) gained 36 Kobo to close at N75.43 per share versus the preceding session’s N75.07 per share, Geo-Fluids Plc added 6 Kobo to trade at N3.11 per unit compared with the previous day’s N3.05 per unit, Lighthouse Financial Service Plc improved by 5 Kobo to 60 Kobo per share from 55 Kobo per share, and Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc rose by 1 Kobo to 55 Kobo per unit from 54 Kobo per unit.

Yesterday, the volume of securities surged by 97.5 per cent to 921,265 units from 265,610 units, the value of securities advanced by 64.6 per cent to N54.7 million from N33.2 million, and the number of deals went up by 46.2 per cent to 38 deals from 26 deals.

The most active stock by value (year-to-date) was CSCS Plc with 38.7 million units worth N2.4 billion, trailed by Okitipupa Plc with 6.4 million units valued at N1.2 billion, and FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc traded 6.8 million units for N649.1 million.

The most traded stock by volume (year-to-date) was Resourcery Plc with 1.1 billion units sold for N415.6 million, followed by Geo-Fluids Plc with 130.9 million units exchanged for N505.1 million, and CSCS Plc with 38.6 million units worth N2.4 billion.

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Economy

Nigeria’s Stock Market Now N130trn After 0.54% Surge

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alternative stock market

By Dipo Olowookere

A 0.54 per cent surge was witnessed by the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited on Tuesday as a result of strong investor demand and broad-based gains in the banking and industrial goods sectors.

According to data from the bourse, the industrial goods space expanded by 4.44 per cent, and the banking index chalked up 4.30 per cent, offsetting the losses recorded by the three other indices due to profit-taking.

Business Post reports that the consumer goods sector depreciated by 1.30 per cent, the insurance counter shrank by 0.41 per cent, and the energy landscape lost 0.13 per cent.

At the close of business, the market capitalisation soared by N696 billion to N130.026 trillion from N129.330 trillion, and the All-Share Index (ASI) surged by 1,084.52 points to 202,559.41 points from 201,474.89 points.

BUA Cement ended the day as the best-performing equity after it jumped 10.00 per cent to N326.70, Premier Paints appreciated by 9.86 per cent to N23.40, Zenith Bank expanded by 7.91 per cent to N111.15, NAHCO moved up by 7.14 per cent to N175.60, and RT Briscoe grew by 6.67 per cent to N11.20.

Conversely, Presco was the worst-performing equity, with a decline of 10.00 per cent to quote at N1,875.60. Caverton dropped 8.70 per cent to N6.30, Secure Electronic Technology lost 7.69 per cent to trade at N1.20, Guinea Insurance shed 6.43 per cent to quote at N1.31, and International Breweries crashed by 6.35 per cent to N14.00.

During the session, 1.8 billion shares worth N88.1 billion exchanged hands in 62,654 deals compared with the 948.2 million shares valued at N49.2 billion traded in 72,735 deals a day earlier, implying a contraction in the number of deals by 13.72 per cent, and an expansion in the trading volume and value by 89.83 per cent and 79.07 per cent, respectively.

Dominating the activity chart was FCMB with a turnover of 516.2 million equities valued at N6.6 billion, Wema Bank transacted 213.4 million shares for N5.6 billion, Zenith Bank traded 163.1 million stocks worth N18.1 billion, Access Holdings sold 123.9 million equities valued at N3.2 billion, and GTCO exchanged 100.0 million shares worth N12.4 billion.

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Economy

Naira Strengthens to N1,344/$ at Official FX Market

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reject old Naira notes

By Adedapo Adesanya

It was another outstanding performance for the Nigerian Naira in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Tuesday, March 17, as it further appreciated against the US Dollar by N8.46 or 0.62 per cent to trade at N1,344.04/$1, in contrast to Monday’s closing rate of N1,357.77/$1.

It also gained N6.85 against the Euro in the official FX market during the session to sell at N1,551.46/€1 compared with the previous day’s N1,558.31/€1, but weakened against the Pound Sterling by N6.33 to close at N1,795.87/£1 versus Monday’s value of N1,789.54/£1.

At the GTBank forex counter, the Naira improved its value against the Dollar yesterday by N20 to settle at N1,365/$1 compared with the preceding session’s N1,385/$1, and in the black market, it remained unchanged at N1,395/$1.

With over $50 billion in foreign reserves, analysts assert that the outlook for the Naira is positive, powered by expectations of increased forex receipts from Nigeria’s hydrocarbon sales, as potential disruptions to global oil supply have increased volatility in energy markets.

The pressure that has piled on the local currency appeared to ease, buoyed by higher oil prices that have continued to bolster market sentiment.

Call for allies to help reopen the Strait of Hormuz was ignored, prompting traders to speculate that a continued closure is likely, which means oil prices will remain higher.

Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market was in green ahead of a Federal Reserve meeting. There are no expectations that the US central bank will move rates at its Wednesday meeting, but Chairman Jerome Powell’s tone regarding the inflation outlook could prove a catalyst.

Analysts noted that a hawkish tone alongside hot February Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation data could weigh on equities and crypto, but Mr Powell’s signal that the Federal Reserve is treating rising oil prices as a temporary shock could extend the crypto rally.

Cardano (ADA) appreciated by 2.6 per cent to $0.2905, TRON (TRX) grew by 2.3 per cent to $0.3033, Ripple (XRP) jumped 1.2 per cent to $1.52, Ethereum (ETH) rose 0.9 per cent to $2,320.83, Dogecoin (DOGE) increased by 0.8 per cent to $0.1005, Solana (SOL) gained 0.6 per cent to sell at $94.11, and Bitcoin (BTC) went up by 0.3 per cent to $74,073.07.

However, Binance Coin (BNB) lost 0.3 per cent to close at $672.27, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) traded flat at $1.00 apiece.

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