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Oil Prices Slightly Rise as OPEC+ Pauses Output Increase from Next Quarter

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By Adedapo Adesanya

Oil prices were marginally up on Monday as the market balanced the latest Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) supply increase with plans to pause output increases in the first quarter of 2026, along with fears of an oil supply glut and weak factory data in Asia.

Brent crude futures rose by 12 cents or 0.2 per cent to settle at $64.89 per barrel and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude expanded by 7 cents or 0.1 per cent to trade at $61.05 a barrel.

OPEC and its allied producers agreed on Sunday to raise output by a small 137,000 barrels per day in December but noted that there will be no hike in the first quarter of next year.The eight OPEC+ members taking part in the group’s monthly meeting, Saudi Arabia, Russia, the United Arab Emirates, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Kazakhstan, and Algeria, agreed to increase December output targets by the same as for October and November.

“Beyond December, due to seasonality, the eight countries also decided to pause the production increments in January, February, and March 2026,” the group said in a statement.

The development followed its moderating plans to regain market share due to rising fears of a supply glut.

The alliance has raised output targets by around 2.9 million barrels per day or around 2.7 per cent of global supply since April, but slowed the pace from October amid predictions of a looming oversupply.

The group had been reducing output for several years until April, and cuts had peaked in March, amounting to 5.85 million barrels per day in total.

Market analysts noted that any negative price implications from OPEC’s furtherance of this quarter’s 137,000 barrels per day production increase were offset by the cartel’s suggested pause in output advances after the end of this year.

Morgan Stanley analysts raised its Brent crude forecast for the first half of 2026 to $60 a barrel from $57.50, citing the decision by OPEC+ to pause quota hikes in the first quarter of next year and recent on Russian oil assets.

Last month, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said the global oil market faces a surplus next year of as much as 4 million barrels per day. OPEC expects global oil supply and demand to balance next year.

Pressure also came from a strong US Dollar which weighed on oil prices by making crude more expensive for buyers using other currencies. The greenback hovered at a three-month high against a basket of peers.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

Economy

Naira Slips to N1,343/$ at NAFEX

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Naira-Dollar exchange rate gap

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Naira sold at N1,343.64/$1 Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Friday, April 17, after shedding N1.34 or 0.10 per cent against the greenback from the previous day’s rate of N1,342.30/$1.

In the same vein, the Nigerian currency depreciated against the Pound Sterling in the same market window during the session by N5.03 to quote at N1,824.39/£1 versus the previous rate of N1,819.36/£1, and lost N10.05 against the Euro to sell at N1,591.14/€1 versus N1,581.09/€1.

At the GTBank FX desk, the exchange rate of the Naira to the Dollar remained unchanged at N1,355/$1, and it also maintained stability in the parallel market at N1,375/$1.

Interbank liquidity increased to N124.34 million from N74.255 million the previous day, data from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) showed.

Meanwhile, external reserves remain at $48.70 billion, down from the 2009 peak of $50 billion amidst uncertainties in the global commodities market.

Global oil prices dropped sharply on Friday after Iran signalled that the Strait of Hormuz would remain open to commercial shipping during a temporary ceasefire in the Middle East.

Crypt assets also gained on the news from Iran’s foreign minister, who declared the Strait of Hormuz open, drawing a positive response from President Donald Trump. The development helped ease worry around risky assets like crypto.

Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market was bullish, as traders weighed possible scenarios ahead of next week’s US-Iran cease-fire deadline.

Ethereum (ETH) appreciated by 3.2 per cent to $2,410.53, Bitcoin (BTC) jumped by 2.8 per cent to $77,124.22, Ripple (XRP) rose by 2.7 per cent to $1.47, Binance Coin (BNB) expanded by 2.5 per cent to $643.97, Dogecoin (DOGE) added 1.0 per cent to close at $0.0988, Cardano (ADA) improved by 0.9 per cent to $0.2578, Solana (SOL) soared by 0.4 per cent to $88.53, and TRON (TRX) gained 0.4 per cent to sell at $0.3275, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) traded flat at $1.00 apiece.

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Economy

Brent, WTI Tumble Over 9% on Hormuz Reopening Signal

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Brent crude futures

By Adedapo Adesanya

Oil prices plunged by 9 per cent on Friday after Iran said passage for all ​commercial vessels through the Strait of Hormuz was open for the remaining ceasefire period.

Brent crude futures lost $9.01 or 9.07 per cent to trade at $90.38 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures depreciated by $10.48 or 11.45 per cent to finish at $83.85 a barrel.

Iran said Friday that the Strait of Hormuz is “completely open” for the remainder of the Israel-Lebanon ceasefire, bolstering hopes of a breakthrough in the weeks-long crisis over the crucial oil route.

Iran had maintained its blockade of the strait despite a two-week ceasefire with the US, which expires on Tuesday, and previously said it would not open the key waterway while Israel continued to strike Lebanon.

Business Post had reported that oil prices weakened to around $88 per barrel after Iranian Foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Araghchi posted on X that “all commercial vessels” would be allowed to pass through the strait throughout the remainder of the ten-day ceasefire in Lebanon.

US President Donald Trump thanked Iran on Truth Social, but stressed that the US naval blockade of the regime’s ports would remain “in full force and effect” until a peace deal was completed. “This process should go very quickly in that most of the points are already negotiated,” he added.

A second round of truce talks between the US and Iran is expected to take place as oil tankers are beginning to test the waters at the Strait of Hormuz.

Despite the fact that all ships can sail through the Strait of Hormuz, this passage needs to be coordinated with Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC).

Market analysts noted that if these initial tankers make it through, flows will begin to partially normalise. However, a handful of vessels does not equal restored capacity. The backlog alone will take significant time to clear, and producers across the region are still dealing with disrupted output and logistics.

Prices had already fallen earlier in the Friday session as possible ​further talks between the US and Iran over the weekend and a 10-day ceasefire between Lebanon and Israel raised investors’ hopes that the war in the Middle East could be ‌nearing an ⁠end.

The American President also said on Friday that the US has banned Israel from further bombing in Lebanon, using a harsher tone than usual with the ​longtime US ally.

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Nigerian Exchange Extends Stock Trading Hours to 4:00 pm

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exposure to Nigerian stocks

By Dipo Olowookere

The daily stock trading hours on the floor of the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) have been expanded by an hour to 4.00 pm after extensive stakeholder engagement, ensuring alignment and operational readiness ahead of the go-live date.

A statement from the bourse on Friday said the extension was approved by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

Before now, trading activity on Customs Street resumed from 9.30 am to 2:30 pm, but from Monday, April 27, 2026, the resumption time would be 9.00 am, and the closing gong would be struck by 4.00 pm from Monday to Friday.

It was explained that this action was taken “to deepen market liquidity, enhance price discovery, and broaden investor access.”

The NGX has witnessed renewed investor interest due to increased awareness of equities lately, especially as the nation and the global community await the much-anticipated listing of Dangote Refinery shares later in the year, all things being equal.

The statement also noted that this extended trading window would provide greater flexibility for investors, improve responsiveness to market-moving information, and support broader participation across the market.

The development builds on the momentum of Nigeria’s recent reclassification to Frontier Market status by FTSE Russell, reinforcing NGX’s global positioning and enhancing its attractiveness to a broader pool of domestic and international investors.

It further stated that this reform reflects strong regulatory collaboration and underscores the SEC’s continued commitment to advancing market development initiatives. Alongside Nigeria’s Frontier Market reclassification, it signals a deliberate shift towards a more accessible, liquid, and globally competitive market.

With this development, NGX reinforces its position as a leading multi-asset exchange, deepening liquidity, improving market access, and supporting efficient capital formation within Nigeria’s financial markets.

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