Economy
Oil Remains Mixed on Demand Concerns
By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil prices, for another day, settled mixed as the market continues to face the prospects of a higher supply in coming months and concerns over rising coronavirus cases in Europe.
Yesterday, the Brent Crude traded at $82.43 per barrel after it gained 38 cents or 0.5 per cent, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) lost 12 cents or 0.2 per cent to trade at $80.76 per barrel.
While the oil market will remain tight in the short term, which would lend support to prices, the global energy watchdog, the International Energy Agency (IEA), said the rally may ease as high prices could provide a strong incentive to boost production, particularly in the United States.
The Paris-based agency said on Tuesday that much of the uptick in supply will come from the world’s largest oil producer.
A hurricane had weakened the main US production and export hub in the Gulf Coast in late August, but the country’s output made up for half the increase in global oil production last month.
However, the IEA said in its monthly report that US production, despite climbing, would not return to pre-pandemic levels until the end of next year. It is due to account for 60 per cent of non-OPEC+ supply gains in 2022.
The agency then noted that Brent Crude prices are expected to average $79.40 next year, indicating a rise in its oil price assumptions for 2021 and 2022. This year, Brent crude prices are set to average $71.50 per barrel.
This is after the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) last week cut its world oil demand forecast for the fourth quarter by 330,000 barrels per day from last month’s forecast, as high energy prices hampered economic recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic.
Meanwhile, the American Petroleum Institute (API) reported a small inventory build in crude oil that was just enough to keep the market from panicking over dwindling inventories.
This week, the API estimated the inventory build for crude oil to be 655,000 barrels, meaning crude inventories are now 60 million barrels below where they were at the beginning of the year.
Analyst expectations for the week were for a build of 1.550-million barrels for the week.
In the previous week, the API reported a draw in oil inventories of 2.485-million barrels, compared to the 1.90-million-barrel build that analysts had predicted.
The market awaits the official data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) on Wednesday.
COVID-19 cases are on the rise again in various parts of Europe as the cold weather has affected the spread of the virus.
Countries on the continent are attempting to curb the spike through various means — from introducing lockdowns for the unvaccinated to limiting access to certain services, or pushing for an increase in vaccination rates, moves that could impact prices.
Economy
Meta Contributes $820m Annually to Nigerian Economy—Research
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
New independent research has revealed that the parent company of Facebook, WhatsApp, and Instagram, Meta, contributes about $820 million to the Nigerian economy every year.
In the new report titled Nigeria’s Digital Economy, conducted by Public First, it was discovered that about 14 million Nigerian small and medium enterprises (SMEs) used Meta’s apps like Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, Messenger, Meta AI, and Threads, to start and grow their businesses in 2025, contributing $2 billion to the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) and delivering an estimated $640 million in productivity gains through more efficient instant messaging.
Business Post gathered from the study released in Abuja on Thursday that the adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) is set to add about $22 billion to Nigeria’s DGP by 2035.
It was observed that virtually all Nigerian businesses surveyed confessed that Meta’s platforms have expanded their customer reach, with the company’s platforms functioning as essential digital infrastructure connecting Nigerian entrepreneurs to customers, markets, and new economic opportunities.
WhatsApp is Nigeria’s gateway to AI
WhatsApp is playing a central role in connecting Nigerians to AI and new economic opportunities across the region. The platform serves as Nigerians’ primary AI surface — reflecting the wider regional pattern where 93 per cent of Meta AI prompts in Sub-Saharan Africa are made via WhatsApp — demonstrating how AI adoption in Nigeria is happening through the tools people already use every day.
“Nigeria is one of the most dynamic, entrepreneurial and digitally engaged markets in the world — and this research makes clear the scale of what is possible when Nigerian ambition meets the right digital tools.
“From a tailor in Lagos reaching customers across the country through Instagram, to a small business owner in Kano taking orders on WhatsApp, to a creator in Abuja building a global audience on Facebook — Meta’s platforms are removing the traditional barriers to growth and unlocking real economic opportunity,” the Director of Public Policy for Sub-Saharan Africa at Meta, Balkissa Ide Siddo, said.
The fact that 80 per cent of Nigerians say access to reliable internet has improved compared to a decade ago speaks to the progress already made, and with continued investment in connectivity, smart policy that supports innovation, and the rise of open-source AI built for and by Africans, Nigeria is exceptionally well positioned to lead the continent’s next decade of digital growth. We are proud to be a long-term partner in that journey,” Ide Siddo added.
AI and Nigeria’s next growth frontier
The research highlights the transformative potential of artificial intelligence for Nigeria’s economy and innovation ecosystem.
SMEs are reaching new customers across Nigeria
For Nigerian small businesses, Meta’s platforms have become a primary sales and discovery channel. 81 per cent of online businesses surveyed said Facebook, Instagram, and WhatsApp have expanded their customer base beyond their local geography — reducing customer acquisition costs and giving a business in Kano access to the same advertising and commerce tools available to businesses in Lagos, London or New York.
“Nigeria’s digital transformation is creating new opportunities for businesses, creators and consumers alike. The findings show that Meta’s platforms are helping Nigerian firms grow across formal and informal sectors, supporting entrepreneurship and strengthening participation in one of the world’s most rapidly expanding digital economies.
“With the right combination of infrastructure, platform access and open-source AI, the upside for Nigeria is significant,” a Director at Public First, Alison Neyle, stated.
Economy
Oando Reports Windfall as Buyers Shift from Middle East Oil
By Adedapo Adesanya
Nigerian energy giant, Oando Plc, says it is reporting rising revenues as global crude buyers increasingly turn away from the volatile Middle East in search of safer supply sources.
According to the chief executive of Oando, Mr Wale Tinubu, the crisis around the Strait of Hormuz has damaged the Gulf region’s long-standing reputation as the world’s safest and most reliable oil-producing hub, leading to demand elsewhere.
Speaking in a recent interview on the sidelines of the Africa CEO Forum in Kigali, Rwanda, Mr Tinubu disclosed that Oando is already benefiting financially from the geopolitical tensions.
“We are certainly getting a windfall increase in our revenues,” Mr Tinubu said.
According to him, mounting security concerns around the Strait of Hormuz have forced buyers to reconsider their dependence on Middle Eastern crude. The waterway accounts for around 20 per cent of global crude and liquified natural gas (LNG) flows, mostly to Asian markets.
“The Middle Eastern premium you got from being a stable environment to produce hydrocarbons has been shattered,” he added.
The conflict is rapidly reshaping global energy trade flows, with African producers, particularly Nigeria, emerging as alternative suppliers at a time of heightened uncertainty in the Gulf.
Indonesia recently took in some Nigeria crude to cushion against the impact that disruptions are having on fuel supplies.
Mr Tinubu said Oando is rolling out a seven-well drilling campaign aiming to add 10,000 barrels per day by the end of the year.
Oando is also looking to raise up to $750 million to execute a 100-well onshore drilling campaign, aiming to triple its oil and gas output from 32,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day to nearly 100,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day.
According to Mr Tinubu, global supply shocks have created highly favourable conditions for securing financing and expanding operations to meet supply gaps.
Economy
Otedola Plans $100m Stake in Dangote Refinery Private Placement
By Adedapo Adesanya
Nigerian billionaire investor, Mr Femi Otedola, has announced plans to invest $100 million in the Dangote Refinery, which plans to list later this year.
Mr Otedola disclosed this on Wednesday after leading a delegation of top executives from First HoldCo on a visit to the Dangote refinery.
“On a personal note, I’ve appealed to him (Aliko Dangote). I’ve been here with him 25 times, so my compensation is he’s going to allocate to me shares worth $100 million in the private placement,” the billionaire said.
Mr Otedola had previously denied that he had any stake or funded the construction of a 650,000 barrels per day facility.
The announcement marks his next big move after increasing his stake in First Holdco as well as buying a $10 million property in London.
Mr Dangote last year said the refinery could sell up to 10 per cent stake in the listing, which is valued at about $5 billion. It is aiming for a valuation of up to $50 billion for Dangote refinery.
The billionaire is planning to make the IPO a cross-border listing to enable the refinery to draw investments from domestic and international investors.
Mr Dangote, this week, said the IPO is designed to democratise wealth creation and give Africans direct access to participate in the continent’s industrial transformation.
On his part, Mr Dangote, president of the Dangote Group, says the company is targeting a private placement of about $2 billion for the refinery.
While the actual date for the IPO is yet to be announced, Mr Otedola’s early investment indicates value and could spur other high-net-worth individuals to show interest.
Mr Otedola, an ally of Mr Dangote, led top executives of First HoldCo on a tour of the refinery and the fertiliser plants in the Lekki free trade zone area.
The team also visited key project sites such as the jetty, a facility built by Dangote industries to receive large vessels.
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