Economy
Oil Rises on Partial Lifting of Russia Fuel Export Ban
By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil rose on Friday as another partial lifting of Russia’s fuel export ban compounded demand fears due to macroeconomic headwinds.
On Friday, Brent futures grew by 51 cents to trade at $84.58 per barrel and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures expanded by 48 cents to $82.79 per barrel.
For the week, Brent posted a decline of about 11 per cent and WTI recorded an over 8 per cent drop. This was caused by worries that persistently high interest rates will slow global growth and hammer fuel demand, even if supplies are depressed by Saudi Arabia and Russia, who said they will continue supply cuts to year-end.
Russia announced it had lifted its ban on diesel exports for supplies delivered to ports by pipeline, though the restrictions for petrol exports are still in place.
Diesel is Russia’s biggest oil product export, at about 35 million tonnes last year, of which almost three-quarters were shipped via pipelines. Russia also exported 4.8 million tonnes of petrol in 2022, according to Reuters.
The government, however, said companies still must sell at least 50 per cent of their diesel production to the domestic market.
Support also came as job growth in the US rose by 336,000 in September according to Labor Department statistics.
This is mixed for oil prices as it points to a robust US economy which could buoy sentiment for near-term oil demand.
However, analysts said the statistics resulted in a stronger US Dollar and increased bets on another interest rate hike in 2023.
The US Federal Reserve started raising interest rates in 2022 to cool demand and there are suggestions that monetary policy could remain tight for some time.
A strong US Dollar is typically negative for oil demand, making the commodity relatively more expensive for holders of other currencies. It continued to remain near 11-month highs.
Data from China also lent support as mid-autumn and National Day holiday travel rose 71.3 per cent on the year and 4.1 per cent compared with 2019 to 826 million trips.
In an indication of future US supply, oil rigs fell five to 497 this week, their lowest number since February 2022, according to energy services firm, Baker Hughes.
A ministerial panel of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies led by Russia (OPEC+) during the week made no changes to the group’s oil output policy.
Saudi Arabia said it would maintain a voluntary cut of 1 million barrels per day until the end of 2023, while Russia would keep a 300,000 barrels per day voluntary export curb until the end of December.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Naira almost traded flat against the United States Dollar in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Monday, July 20. It gained 7 Kobo during the session to sell at N1,380.11/$1, in contrast to last Friday’s value of N1,380.18/$1.
It also appreciated against the Euro in the same market window during the session by N1.64 to close at N1,575.95/€1 versus the preceding session’s N1,576.99/€1, but depreciated against the Pound Sterling by N2.93 to trade at N1,857.35/£1 compared with the previous trading day’s N1,854.42/£1.
At the GTBank forex desk, the Nigerian Naira lost N1 against the US Dollar to quote at N1,389/$1 versus N1,388/$1, and at the black market, it traded flat at N1,405/$1.
Data from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) showed that interbank FX turnover settled at $266.2 million, 7.5 per cent lower than the previous close of $287.8 million. Also, the number of deals at the interbank FX market declined to 68 from 106.
Despite this, there are signals that the Naira has pillars that can prop up its stability. Updated data from the apex bank showed Nigeria’s gross foreign exchange reserves increased to $51.92 billion as of July 16, 2026, reflecting continued improvements in the country’s external position.
A slew of analysts predict further increases will lift the gross balance above $52 billion this week, the highest seen since 2009.
Also, there are expectations that the country will be able to boost remittances into the country to $1 billion on a monthly basis by the end of the year; this will help ease pressure on the FX markets.
Meanwhile, in the crypto market, Bitcoin (BTC) climbed to about $65,500, reaching a two-week high, as the semiconductor selloff that dragged crypto lower last week reversed and Asian chip stocks led a broad risk rally. It rose by 2.4 per cent to $65,676.01.
There was also support from five straight days of inflows into US spot Bitcoin ETFs totalling more than $600 million, marking the strongest stretch of institutional buying since mid-July.
Cardano (ADA) jumped by 8.3 per cent to $0.1756, Ethereum (ETH) grew by 4.0 per cent to $1,930.33, Ripple (XRP) improved by 3.9 per cent to $1.13, Solana (SOL) appreciated by 3.2 per cent to $78.34, Binance Coin (BNB) added 1.9 per cent to sell for $575.34, and Dogecoin (DOGE) expanded by 1.7 per cent rise to $0.0729.
However, TRON (TRX) declined by 0.1 per cent to $0.3261, and the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) traded flat at $1.00 each
By Dipo Olowookere
Sustained bargain-hunting in local stocks further lifted the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited by 1.12 per cent on Monday.
The buying pressure was across the major sectors of Customs Street, though the consumer goods space came under profit-taking, closing flat.
But the banking counter expanded by 3.14 per cent, the industrial goods index gained 2.82 per cent, the insurance sector increased by 0.25 per cent, and the energy segment soared by 0.08 per cent.
Consequently, the All-Share Index (ASI) surged by 2,721.83 points to 246,183.96 points from 243,462.13 points, and the market capitalisation went up by N1.755 trillion to N158.812 trillion from N157.057 trillion.
Custodian Investment and NEM Insurance chalked up 10.00 per cent each to sell for N75.90 and N30.80, respectively, BUA Cement rose by 9.98 per cent to N303.10, First Holdco improved by 9.95 per cent to N105.50, and FTN Cocoa advanced by 9.94 per cent to N9.29.
On the flip side, SUNU Assurances shrank by 10.00 per cent to N3.60, Tripple Gee slipped by 9.77 per cent to N3.51, ABC Transport tumbled by 9.62 per cent to N7.05 per cent, Abbey Bank crashed by 9.00 per cent to N9.10, and Coronation Insurance dipped by 7.69 per cent to N2.40.
The market breadth index was flat yesterday, as there were 31 price gainers and 31 price losers.
First Holdco led the activity chart during the session, with a turnover of 203.9 million shares valued at N21.5 billion. Access Holdings sold 190.7 million equities worth N4.8 billion, UBA traded 29.2 million stocks for N1.4 billion, Zenith Bank transacted 24.7 million shares valued at N2.9 billion, and Sterling Holdings exchanged 23.6 million equities worth N187.4 million.
When trading activities ended at 4 pm, investors traded 851.6 million stocks for N49.6 billion in 56,873 deals compared with the 685.9 million stocks valued at N42.7 billion transacted in 44,134 deals last Friday, representing a rise in the trading volume, value, and number of deals by 24.16 per cent, 16.16 per cent, and 28.86 per cent, respectively.
By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil prices settled over 1 per cent higher on Monday as the market weighed the prospect of renewed US-Iran negotiations against escalating supply risks following escalations in the Middle East.
Brent crude futures gained $1.12 or 1.3 per cent to trade at $89.22 per barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude soared by 74 cents or 0.9 per cent to $83.23 a barrel.
The Middle East conflict escalated over the weekend, with the US conducting a ninth straight night of attacks against Iran, while American allies Kuwait and Bahrain reported more Iranian strikes.
Traders weighed hopes of renewed US-Iran negotiations against Yemen’s Houthis’ imposition of a naval blockade against Saudi Arabia. The group said the “maritime embargo” was retaliation for what it described as a Saudi siege of Yemen.
This development brings the US-Iran war officially to the southern entrance of the Red Sea and threatens an export route used by Saudi Arabia to bypass disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. About 20 per cent of global oil supplies flowed through the waterway.
Iran had previously instructed the Houthis to prepare to close the Bab el-Mandeb Strait if the US continued attacking Iranian power infrastructure. A full closure could disrupt oil shipments equivalent to about 7 per cent of global supply.
Meanwhile, Iran has received a proposal for a 10-day ceasefire, and both Iran and the US have left open the possibility of renewed negotiations.
Market analysts noted that if a ceasefire does not materialise and the Strait of Hormuz remains largely closed while the Houthi threat to Red Sea shipping intensifies, the risk of a significant rebound in oil prices would be substantial.
Kpler analysts said in a note that there is also the possibility that a record amount of crude oil on water, estimated at around 1.35 billion barrels, could limit the next leg of oil price increases.
A drone struck a tanker loading crude oil at the Caspian Pipeline Consortium’s (CPC) Black Sea export terminal on Monday, forcing the suspension of exports for the second time in less than 24 hours.
The CPC system accounts for roughly 1 per cent of global oil supply, carrying crude primarily from Kazakhstan’s giant Tengiz, Kashagan and Karachaganak fields, with additional volumes from Russian producers in the Caspian region.
