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Okomu Oil: Great Finish to Epic Year

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By ARM Securities

Over FY 16, The Okomu Oil Palm Company Plc (Okomu) reported a nearly two-fold YoY jump in earnings buoyed by an upsurge in commodity prices (CPO and rubber) and the company’s focus on containing cost.

In view of the buoyant operating performance, the company raised its dividend per share to N1.50 (FY 15: N0.10) yet still had sufficient capital to pursue its expansion plans.

Going forward, the still favourable price regime as well as management’s cost containment efforts leave scope for sustained earnings growth over 2017.

Okomu reported its fastest pace of revenue growth in five years as favourable pricing environment drove sales at the Crude Palm Oil (CPO) segment to record high even as rubber turnover recovered from the 2015 trough despite weaker volumes (-8% YoY to 7,140MT).

Pertinently, the robust CPO sales in the review period was buoyed by higher domestic CPO prices—which reflected combined impact of naira depreciation and bullish global CPO prices (+13% YoY) that deterred imports (29% of total supply).

At the other end, cartel like cuts by major rubber producers bolstered impact of weaker currency on rubber sales, which are entirely exported.

Management linked the decline in rubber volume to the combined impact of wind damage and fire outbreaks on some portion of the company’s rubber plantation which forced some rejuvenation exercises on a section of the company’s rubber farmland.

Given the price induced revenue growth, Okomu reported a moderate rise in input (+5% YoY) and operating (+22% YoY) costs despite rising energy expenses.

According to Management, the benign cost is a fall-out of deliberate increase in import substitution—with imported raw materials now reduced to about 10% of COGS—and tight control on labour costs (65% of overall cost).

Particularly, over the period, the company reduced its full-time employees by 5% to 534 with the knock-down effect applying downward pressure on salaries and wages (-4.4% YoY to N2.4 billion). Consequently, operating margin rose to a record high of 48% (operating profit: +112% YoY). Further down, despite FX loss of N1.0 billion1 which underpinned a nearly three-fold YoY jump in net finance cost, strong operating performance ensured a nearly two-fold YoY jump in earnings to a record high of N4.9 billion.

Over 2017, we expect revenue growth to be tempered by recent retracement in domestic CPO prices from January 2017 peak of N732/kg2 which management linked to the sharp appreciation of the naira (incentivising cheaper imports), declining demand, and onset of the harvest season.

Nonetheless, reflecting the lower base in 2016, we project mean CPO prices to be 38% higher YoY at N423/kg.

The foregoing combined with higher volume (+7% YoY to 38,853MT), informs our forecasted CPO sales to N16.7 billion (+37% YoY). With regards to rubber, management’s guidance of sustained rejuvenation exercise over the financial year underpins our flat volume projection of 7,140MT.

However, reflecting recovery in global rubber prices (Q1 17: +94% YoY, 2017E: +44% YoY), we project a 44% YoY jump in rubber sales to N3.2 billion which brings overall turnover to N19.8 billion (+38% YoY), sustaining its double-digit growth for the third consecutive year, albeit at a slower pace.

On costs, as with 2016, we expect both input and operating cost to rise modestly, given the largely price induced growth in top-line.

In addition, management intends to increasingly substitute its biggest remaining raw material import (fertiliser) with domestic alternatives if available, or cheaper imports. Furthermore, the company intends to connect to the national grid over the year, which could reduce power cost by as much as 60%.

Given that significant progress on this front is not expected until towards the end of the year, we believe the company’s expanded plantation of 21,798 hectares3 should drive a 10% and 21% YoY rise in COGS and OPEX respectively.

Given the company’s sizable external debt of N1.2 billion (43% of total borrowings), we expect vagaries in the FX rate, which we forecast at N360/$ at the year end to induce a N300 million FX loss (-72% YoY) with the reverberating effect expected to drive net finance cost 57% lower YoY to N451 million. Bringing it altogether, we project FY 17 earnings to climb 80% YoY to N8.8 billion.

Largely reflecting strong earnings growth thus far, Okomu has rallied 30.7% YTD, as with peer Presco (+17.2% YTD) outperforming the broader NSEASI (-6.2% YTD).

The stock trades at current P/E of 10.20x (forward: 5.6x) vs. 11.61x (forward: 8.46x) for Bloomberg Middle East & Africa peers with last trading price of N52.51 at a discount to our FVE of N63.10.

We maintain our BUY rating on the stock.

Source: www.armsecurities.com.ng.

All rights reserved. This publication or any portion thereof may not be reproduced or used in any manner whatsoever without the express written permission of ARM Securities Limited

Modupe Gbadeyanka is a fast-rising journalist with Business Post Nigeria. Her passion for journalism is amazing. She is willing to learn more with a view to becoming one of the best pen-pushers in Nigeria. Her role models are the duo of CNN's Richard Quest and Christiane Amanpour.

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Economy

Beta Glass Rejigs Board to Drive Next Phase of Innovation, Growth

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beta glass

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The board of Beta Glass Plc has been reorganised, with the addition of four new executives, who will help to drive the company’s next phase of innovation and growth.

In a statement, Beta Glass announced the appointments of four non-executive directors, who are Mr Nitin Kaul, Ms Olusola Carrena, Mr Bolaji Olatunbosun Osunsanya, and Mr Boye Olusanya.

They are replacing the departing Mr Emmanouil Metaxakis, Mr Vassilis Kararizos, Mr Serge Joris, and Mr Gagik Apkarian from the board.

Their appointments, however, are subject to the ratification of the shareholders of the organisation at the next Annual General Meeting (AGM) on June 26, 2026.

Mr Kaul brings to the team over 25 years of global experience in strategy, mergers and acquisitions, restructuring, and business transformation across developed and emerging markets. He is a Partner, Portfolio Operations and member of the Executive Committee at Helios Investment Partners. Prior to joining Helios, he co-founded a boutique advisory firm focused on M&A and operational improvement for private businesses. He previously served as President of diversified industrial and aftermarket businesses at Gates Corporation, where he

was part of the executive team that led its sale to Blackstone in 2014. Earlier in his career, he held senior leadership roles at Tomkins and began his professional journey at Arthur Andersen. He currently serves on the boards of several companies across emerging markets.

As for Ms Carrena, she is a highly respected financial services leader with over 23 years of experience across investment banking, private equity, and corporate finance in Africa. She serves as Managing Director (Nigeria) on the Investment Team at Helios Investment Partners, where she oversees deal origination, execution, exits, and portfolio management across sectors. Before this, she spent a decade at Stanbic IBTC Capital Limited, rising to Executive Director and Head of Corporate Finance. During her tenure, she led and closed over 30 transactions valued at more than $4 billion across diverse industries, including oil and gas, FMCG, financial services, infrastructure, and healthcare. A CFA Charterholder, she holds a Master’s degree from the University of Alberta and a First-Class degree from the University of Lagos.

For Mr Osunsanya, he is an accomplished CEO, investor, and governance leader with more than 35 years of experience spanning energy, finance, and infrastructure. He previously served as Group CEO of Axxela Ltd., where he led strategic restructuring and significant value growth initiatives. Earlier, he held executive leadership roles at Oando PLC and Access Bank Plc, contributing to business transformation, governance strengthening, and sustainable expansion. He has served on the boards of several publicly listed and private companies, providing oversight in areas of strategy, audit, risk, and corporate governance, and remains an influential voice in Nigeria’s energy and financial sectors.

On the part of Mr Olusanya, he is a transformative business leader with over three decades of cross-industry experience spanning engineering, telecommunications, manufacturing, and agribusiness. He currently serves as chief executive of Flour Mills of Nigeria Plc, where he is leading a strategic transformation agenda focused on value chain integration, sustainability, and digital innovation. He previously served as Chief Executive Officer of 9mobile and as Chief Transformation Officer at Dangote Industries Limited, driving enterprise-wide restructuring and operational efficiency programs. He also served as Group Operating Partner at Helios Investment Partners, overseeing performance optimisation across portfolio companies. In addition, he is Vice Chairman of the Nigerian Economic Summit Group, contributing to national economic policy dialogue and private-sector development.

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Economy

Dangote Refinery Cuts Ex-Depot Prices of Petrol, Diesel as Oil Tumbles

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Dangote refinery petrol

By Adedapo Adesanya

Dangote Petroleum Refinery has reduced its ex-depot prices for Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) and Automotive Gas Oil (AGO), marking the first downward adjustment after several sharp increases recorded in recent days.

According to the refinery’s latest pricing template released on March 10, 2026, the gantry price of petrol has been cut by N100 to N1,075 per litre, down from N1,175 per litre previously.

The 650,000 barrels per day capacity refinery also disclosed that PMS supplied through coastal distribution will now sell at N1,050 per litre, reflecting a marginal price differential for marine deliveries.

In addition, the gantry price of AGO, commonly known as diesel, has been reduced to N1,430 per litre, representing a N190 drop from the earlier price of N1,620 per litre.

The company noted that the quoted gantry prices exclude statutory charges imposed by the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA).

The price adjustment came amid a recent decline in global crude oil prices, which has started to ease cost pressures across the international petroleum market and is influencing pricing trends in the downstream sector.

US President Donald Trump reassured markets and claimed the war would end soon, but Iran on Tuesday vowed not to let “a litre” of oil be exported from the Middle East until the United States and Israel stop bombing it.

Brent crude price, which hit a high of $109 per barrel, has now dropped to $90 per barrel, as the largest oil producers in the Middle East Gulf have deepened production cuts and are already lowering output by a combined more than 5 million barrels per day, as the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has started to affect upstream production.

However, there are worries that, unlike the speed at which petrol stations hiked their cost at the pump, the revised ex-depot prices will not reflect through depot channels and translate into lower retail pump prices nationwide.

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Economy

Petrol Station Owners Urge NNPC to Expand Local Refining to Withstand Global Oil Shocks

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Petrol Station Owners

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Petroleum Products Retail Outlets Owners Association of Nigeria (PETROAN) has urged the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited to urgently strengthen domestic refining capacity to shield the country from global petroleum market shocks.

The National President, PETROAN, Billy Gillis-Harry, on Monday called on the Group Chief Executive Officer of the state oil company, Mr Bayo Ojulari, to facilitate the immediate commencement of production at Nigeria’s local refineries.

Mr Gillis-Harry said that production at the refineries was paramount, particularly the Area five Plant at Port Harcourt Refinery and the Warri Refinery, which previously operated briefly before shutdown for profit index evaluation.

He said that this had become imperative due to the ongoing conflict involving Israel, the United States and Iran, which was pushing global petroleum prices to alarming levels.

Projecting future trends, he warned that Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) could rise close to N2,000 per litre while Automotive Gas Oil (AGO) may approach N3,000 per litre if the situation persists.

He said that sustained drone and missile attacks now threaten critical oil routes and infrastructure, creating uncertainty in global supply chains.

“With no clear end to the conflict, petroleum product prices in both international and domestic markets are expected to rise sharply in the coming days.

“Before the crisis, PMS, known as fuel sold at N774 per litre, but now sells above N1,000 per litre, representing an increase of about 30 per cent.

“Diesel, previously sold at N950 per litre, has risen to N1,400 per litre and above, an increase of about 49 per cent,” he said.

Mr Gillis-Harry said that rehabilitating Nigeria’s refineries for immediate domestic production was critical.

On local refining, he said that it would reduce exposure to international market volatility, especially as Nigeria had abundant crude oil resources under the custody of NNPC Limited.

He said that government-owned refineries were less vulnerable to global supply disruptions compared to privately owned refineries dependent on imported crude.

The PETROAN president said that continued fuel price increases would worsen inflation, cause job losses, deepen economic hardship, increase transportation costs, and raise prices of goods and services nationwide.

“Fuel remains essential for daily mobility, while diesel is vital for manufacturing and industrial operations,” he said.

He commended President Bola Tinubu for the ongoing bold policies to reform the oil and gas sector, and called on Tinubu to direct the immediate rehabilitation and commencement of production at the government-owned refineries.

According to him, this will ultimately bring relief to citizens and stimulate economic growth.

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