Economy

Okomu Oil: Great Finish to Epic Year

Published

9 years ago

20/04/2017

By ARM Securities

Over FY 16, The Okomu Oil Palm Company Plc (Okomu) reported a nearly two-fold YoY jump in earnings buoyed by an upsurge in commodity prices (CPO and rubber) and the company’s focus on containing cost.

In view of the buoyant operating performance, the company raised its dividend per share to N1.50 (FY 15: N0.10) yet still had sufficient capital to pursue its expansion plans.

Going forward, the still favourable price regime as well as management’s cost containment efforts leave scope for sustained earnings growth over 2017.

Okomu reported its fastest pace of revenue growth in five years as favourable pricing environment drove sales at the Crude Palm Oil (CPO) segment to record high even as rubber turnover recovered from the 2015 trough despite weaker volumes (-8% YoY to 7,140MT).

Pertinently, the robust CPO sales in the review period was buoyed by higher domestic CPO prices—which reflected combined impact of naira depreciation and bullish global CPO prices (+13% YoY) that deterred imports (29% of total supply).

At the other end, cartel like cuts by major rubber producers bolstered impact of weaker currency on rubber sales, which are entirely exported.

Management linked the decline in rubber volume to the combined impact of wind damage and fire outbreaks on some portion of the company’s rubber plantation which forced some rejuvenation exercises on a section of the company’s rubber farmland.

Given the price induced revenue growth, Okomu reported a moderate rise in input (+5% YoY) and operating (+22% YoY) costs despite rising energy expenses.

According to Management, the benign cost is a fall-out of deliberate increase in import substitution—with imported raw materials now reduced to about 10% of COGS—and tight control on labour costs (65% of overall cost).

Particularly, over the period, the company reduced its full-time employees by 5% to 534 with the knock-down effect applying downward pressure on salaries and wages (-4.4% YoY to N2.4 billion). Consequently, operating margin rose to a record high of 48% (operating profit: +112% YoY). Further down, despite FX loss of N1.0 billion1 which underpinned a nearly three-fold YoY jump in net finance cost, strong operating performance ensured a nearly two-fold YoY jump in earnings to a record high of N4.9 billion.

Over 2017, we expect revenue growth to be tempered by recent retracement in domestic CPO prices from January 2017 peak of N732/kg2 which management linked to the sharp appreciation of the naira (incentivising cheaper imports), declining demand, and onset of the harvest season.

Nonetheless, reflecting the lower base in 2016, we project mean CPO prices to be 38% higher YoY at N423/kg.

The foregoing combined with higher volume (+7% YoY to 38,853MT), informs our forecasted CPO sales to N16.7 billion (+37% YoY). With regards to rubber, management’s guidance of sustained rejuvenation exercise over the financial year underpins our flat volume projection of 7,140MT.

However, reflecting recovery in global rubber prices (Q1 17: +94% YoY, 2017E: +44% YoY), we project a 44% YoY jump in rubber sales to N3.2 billion which brings overall turnover to N19.8 billion (+38% YoY), sustaining its double-digit growth for the third consecutive year, albeit at a slower pace.

On costs, as with 2016, we expect both input and operating cost to rise modestly, given the largely price induced growth in top-line.

In addition, management intends to increasingly substitute its biggest remaining raw material import (fertiliser) with domestic alternatives if available, or cheaper imports. Furthermore, the company intends to connect to the national grid over the year, which could reduce power cost by as much as 60%.

Given that significant progress on this front is not expected until towards the end of the year, we believe the company’s expanded plantation of 21,798 hectares3 should drive a 10% and 21% YoY rise in COGS and OPEX respectively.

Given the company’s sizable external debt of N1.2 billion (43% of total borrowings), we expect vagaries in the FX rate, which we forecast at N360/$ at the year end to induce a N300 million FX loss (-72% YoY) with the reverberating effect expected to drive net finance cost 57% lower YoY to N451 million. Bringing it altogether, we project FY 17 earnings to climb 80% YoY to N8.8 billion.

Largely reflecting strong earnings growth thus far, Okomu has rallied 30.7% YTD, as with peer Presco (+17.2% YTD) outperforming the broader NSEASI (-6.2% YTD).

The stock trades at current P/E of 10.20x (forward: 5.6x) vs. 11.61x (forward: 8.46x) for Bloomberg Middle East & Africa peers with last trading price of N52.51 at a discount to our FVE of N63.10.

We maintain our BUY rating on the stock.

Source: www.armsecurities.com.ng.

Economy

Naira Trades N1,354 Per Dollar at NAFEX

Published

12 minutes ago

10/02/2026

Adedapo Adesanya

By Adedapo Adesanya

The first trading of the week at the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) ended bullish for the Naira as it gained N11.93 or 0.87 per cent against the US Dollar on Monday, February 9, to trade at N1,354.26/$1 compared with the previous day’s N1,366.19/$1.

It also appreciated against the Pound Sterling in the official market during the session by N12.03 to settle at N1,845.72/£1 versus last Friday’s closing price of N1,857.75/£1, but depreciated against the Euro by 69 Kobo to quote at N1,613.19/€1, in contrast to the N1,612.52/€1 it was exchanged last Friday.

At the GTBank forex desk, the Nigerian Naira appreciated against the Dollar yesterday by N4 to close at N1,379/$1 versus the previous rate of N1,383/$1, and at the parallel market, it was flat at N1,450/$1.

The fortification of the Nigerian currency in the currency market on Monday was driven by forex liquidity, strong oil receipts, and flows from foreign investors attracted by the high yields on the country’s debt market.

Speaking at a forum on Monday, the Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Mr Yemi Cardoso, declared that the bank’s reforms have established economic stability, evidenced by a significant reduction in inflation and growing external reserves, which he stated stood at $49 billion as of February 5, 2026.

He also highlighted the stability of the FX market, noting that the CBN is now accumulating foreign exchange from the market to enhance sustainability.

“By that, I mean that we now allow the market to generally find its level; many times, the Central Bank itself goes in to buy foreign exchange. The premium between the official and parallel market rates has collapsed to under 2 per cent,” Mr Cardoso stated.

The CBN chief said the reforms of the monetary authority—anchored on disinflation, FX market normalisation, and financial-system resilience—are already strengthening real-sector confidence.

As for the cryptocurrency market, it was in a recovery mode as investors took advantage of the drop in prices to add to their portfolios.

The pullback followed a turbulent few days in which Bitcoin (BTC) plunged to as low as $60,000 before rebounding. It rose 0.5 per cent on Monday to $70,415.57, as Ethereum (ETH) gained 0.9 per cent to trade at $2,116.42.

Further, Ripple (XRP) improved by 1.4 per cent to $1.44, Litecoin (LTC) expanded by 0.8 per cent to $54.66, Solana (SOL) grew by 0.5 per cent to $87.11, and Cardano (ADA) added 0.2 per cent to settle at $0.2704.

On the flip side, Binance Coin (BNB) slumped 0.6 per cent to $638.34, and Dogecoin (DOGE) weakened by 0.3 per cent to $0.0963, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 apiece.

Economy

Crude Oil Soars as US Cautions Vessels Near Iran

Published

41 minutes ago

10/02/2026

Adedapo Adesanya

By Adedapo Adesanya

Crude oil gained more than 1 per cent on Monday after the United States issued an advisory to US-flagged vessels to stay as far as possible from Iranian territory while passing through the Strait of Hormuz and Gulf of Oman.

The price of Brent crude was up 99 cents or 1.5 per cent during the session to $69.04 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose 81 cents or 1.3 per cent to settle at $64.36 per barrel.

The US Department of Transportation (DOT) Maritime Administration yesterday noted that vessels going through the Strait of Hormuz and Gulf of Oman have historically faced the risk of being boarded by Iranian forces, including as recently as February 3.
The agency advised U.S.-flagged ships to stay close to Oman while eastbound in the Strait of Hormuz.

The move renewed concerns that tensions between the US and Iran could lead to oil supply disruptions. About a fifth of the oil consumed globally passes through the Strait of Hormuz between Oman and Iran.

US President Donald Trump has threatened to attack, citing possible executions of protesters, and saying “help is on its way.” He ordered the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier and a flotilla of accompanying ships to the region.

In June, the US attacked Iranian nuclear facilities at the end of a 12-day Israeli bombing campaign.

Iran’s foreign minister said on Saturday the country will strike US bases in the Middle East if attacked by American forces, which have built up their naval presence in the region.

Investors were also monitoring efforts by Western governments to curb Russia’s income from oil exports that support its war in Ukraine.

The European Commission has proposed a sweeping ban on any services that support Russia’s seaborne crude oil exports, in fresh efforts to reduce revenues that help Russia’s war against Ukraine.

Refiners in India, once the biggest buyer of Russian crude, are avoiding purchases for delivery in April. Market analysts noted that if India fully stopped purchasing this crude, it would boost oil prices.

Meanwhile, Tengiz oilfield in Kazakhstan has returned 60 per cent of its peak production and was pumping at a rate of 550,000 barrels per day as of Sunday, following a forced shutdown for half of January due to a fire.

Tengiz, which is operated by a consortium led by US supermajor Chevron, is expected to reach peak levels of oil output of about 950,000 barrels per day by February 23.

Economy

Investors Begin New Week on NGX With N1.424trn Rise in Wealth

Published

1 hour ago

10/02/2026

Dipo Olowookere

By Dipo Olowookere

It was a positive start to the week for stock investors in Nigeria as they grew their wealth by 1.29 per cent on Monday amid a hunt for dividend-paying equities.

Business Post reports that three of the five sectoral indices ended in green, with the industrial goods space leading with a 4.76 per cent appreciation, and the energy counter up by 1.29 per cent, while the consumer goods index gained 0.74 per cent.

However, due to profit-taking in the financial services ecosystem yesterday, the banking counter went down by 0.04 per cent, and the insurance sector lost 0.03 per cent.

When the closing gong was struck, the All-Share Index (ASI) soared by 2,218.73 points to 173,946.22 points from 171,727.49 points, and the market capitalisation surged by N1.424 trillion to N111.659 trillion from N110.235 trillion.

The trio of May and Baker, CAP, and DAAR Communications improved by 10.00 per cent during the session to close at N43.45, N90.20, and N2.09 apiece, while RT Briscoe gained 9.98 per cent to trade at N13.89, with Deap Capital growing by 9.97 per cent to N7.50.

Conversely, Eunisell lost 9.98 per cent to settle at N134.85, Tripple Gee slumped by 8.90 per cent to N6.65, Abbey Mortgage Bank crashed by 8.03 per cent to N13.75, Austin Laz declined by 7.41 per cent to N5.00, and Haldane McCall slipped by 6.56 per cent to N3.99.

On the first trading day of the week, 59 stocks ended on the advancers’ log, and 26 stocks finished on the laggards’ table, representing a positive market breadth index and strong investor sentiment.

Despite the gains, the activity level waned on Monday as the trading volume and value decreased by 18.73 per cent and 35.27 per cent, respectively, while the number of deals increased by 29.32 per cent.

A total of 775.2 million equities worth N27.9 billion exchanged hands in 65,960 deals yesterday compared with the 953.8 million equities valued at N43.1 billion traded in 51,005 deals last Friday.

Access Holdings was the busiest stock for the session with a turnover of 67.1 million units worth N1.6 billion, Zenith Bank sold 46.2 million units valued at N3.4 billion, Secure Electronic Technology traded 43.9 million units for N47.9 million, Veritas Kapital exchanged 39.4 million units worth N91.6 million, and Mutual Benefits transacted 33.9 million units valued at N145.7 million.