Economy
Operating Conditions Better in July amid Strong Client Demand
By Modupe Gbadeyanka
Operating conditions in the Nigerian private sector were better in July 2022 as businesses increased their purchasing activity at the strongest rate for five months while stocks increased sharply.
According to the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) of Stanbic IBTC Bank, in the month under consideration, the headline point was 53.2, higher than the 50.9 recorded in June, signalling an improvement in business conditions in Nigeria’s private sector. The latest figure rose from June’s 17-month low but was still muted compared to the historical average.
This improvement was boosted by a return to growth in output and stronger inflows of new orders amid stronger inflows of new work, employment growth eased and marginal elevated costs.
A renewed increase in output supported the latest improvement in business conditions in July. Output rose solidly, albeit, at a rate that was weak by historical standards, the report said.
Agriculture recorded the strongest uplift in output during July, followed closely by manufacturing. Services and wholesale & retail followed, where rates of growth quickened from those seen in June. Stronger client demand was behind the uplift in output with new orders rising sharply across all four sectors in July, the report added.
To support higher output, companies increased their purchasing activity for the twenty-fifth month in a row. Consequently, stocks of purchases rose markedly as firms intensified efforts to build up their inventories. Moreover, the rate of growth was the steepest in seven months.
Vendor performance improved in July, but to the least extent for over two years amid reports of busier road conditions.
Outstanding business fell at the softest rate since August 2020 in July. Sufficient capacity combined with rising costs led firms to raise their headcounts at the slowest pace for seven months.
Turning to prices, overall input price inflation was robust amid a quicker uptick in purchase costs. Staff costs rose only marginally, however. Firms passed on a large part of the burden by lifting their selling prices at the quickest rate in four months.
Finally, firms remained optimistic about output growth in the year ahead amid hopes of acquiring greater investment and expanding business operations.
Economy
Financial Stocks Further Bleeds Customs Street by 0.49%
By Dipo Olowookere
Customs Street further depleted by 0.49 per cent on Wednesday as a result of sustained profit-taking in the financial services industry.
Data showed that the insurance space lost 2.29 per cent, and the banking counter depreciated by 1.04 per cent. However, the energy index gained 0.03 per cent, and the consumer goods segment grew by 0.01 per cent, while the industrial goods sector remained unchanged.
When the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited closed for business at 4 pm yesterday, the All-Share Index (ASI) was down by 1,182.08 points to 240,802.72 points from 241,984.80 points, and the market capitalisation decreased by N759 billion to N154.445 trillion from N155.204 trillion.
Business Post reports that the market breadth index was negative after finishing with 13 price gainers and 51 price losers, indicating weak investor sentiment as a result of the sell-offs.
Geregu Power lost 10.00 per cent to trade at N1,019.30, Okomu Oil declined by 9.97 per cent to N1,418.00, Red Star Express shed 9.95 per cent to close at N27.60, International Energy Insurance dropped 9.90 per cent to quote at N5.19, and Legend Internet slipped by 9.48 per cent to N5.25.
Conversely, Neimeth gained 9.47 per cent to settle at N9.25, Cornerstone Insurance appreciated by 9.26 per cent to N5.90, SUNU Assurances expanded by 3.91 per cent to N3.72, UPDC grew by 2.82 per cent to N3.65, and GTCO chalked up 2.38 per cent to close at N129.00.
A total of 663.0 million equities valued at N40.0 billion exchanged hands in 51,143 deals during the session compared with the 535.5 million equities worth N36.8 billion traded in 55,123 deals a day earlier, representing a shortfall in the number of deals by 7.22 per cent, and a surge in the trading volume and value by 23.81 per cent and 8.70 per cent, respectively.
Yesterday, Access Holdings led the activity chart after transacting 130.3 million shares for N3.1 billion, Jaiz Bank traded 114.9 million stocks valued at N1.1 billion, Sterling Holdings exchanged 31.1 million equities worth N237.2 million, International Breweries sold 22.1 million shares for N247.6 million, and Linkage Assurance traded 17.0 million stocks for N27.7 million.
Economy
Oil Market Gains as Trump Casts Doubt on Iran Ceasefire
By Adedapo Adesanya
The oil market gained nearly 1 per cent on Wednesday after US President Donald Trump said the new ceasefire agreement with Iran was not final and the Iran war could resume.
Brent crude futures appreciated by 59 cents or 0.75 per cent to trade at $79.55 a barrel, and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures rose 74 cents or 0.97 per cent to $76.79 per barrel.
President Trump said yesterday that a memorandum of understanding with Iran was not final, and that he could resume a bombing campaign if he did not like it or if Iran did not “behave”.
The US and Iran on Sunday said they had agreed on terms to end the war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Though not officially published, the widely reported draft grants the Islamic Republic the right to sell its oil on global markets immediately, alongside the prospect of significant further economic relief, indicating “Iran has emerged from the conflict in a stronger strategic position.
The provision for waiving sanctions on Iranian oil sales takes effect once the agreement is signed this week and also covers services including banking, transportation and insurance to facilitate the sales.
The details of the interim deal to end the war began to emerge on Tuesday, with US President Donald Trump saying it will rule out a nuclear weapon for Iran.
The deal would extend a tenuous ceasefire announced in April by another 60 days and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, which Iran has effectively blocked since the US and Israel first attacked Iran.
Iran effectively shut the Strait after the US and Israel launched attacks on Iran on February 28. The US military blockaded Iranian oil from coming out of the Strait of Hormuz, through which 20 per cent of the world’s oil and liquefied natural gas normally flows.
The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Wednesday that US crude oil inventories fell for a 10th straight week last week as demand surged, pushing total stockpiles to their lowest level since 1985, as the Iran war continued to upend global energy markets.
In its first look at 2027, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said the oil market will enter a significant supply overhang, with global supply set to surge by 8 million barrels per day and demand rising by just 2 million.
In the near term, the agency said the Iran-US deal should provide an opportunity to replenish depleted inventories or build new strategic reserves.
Economy
FG Denies Considering Telecom, Fuel Taxes
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Nigerian government on Wednesday dismissed reports suggesting that it has adopted or is considering new taxes on telecommunications services and petroleum products following the publication of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) Article IV Consultation Report on Nigeria.
The clarification followed reports that the IMF recommended that Nigeria may need to extend VAT to fuel products and introduce excise duties on telecommunications services to raise revenue, fund development, and social spending, a development that sparked outrage from Nigerians.
In a statement by the Head of Information and Public Relations Unit of the Ministry of Finance, Mr Efe Ovuakporie, it was clarified that the reports misrepresented the content of the IMF report and did not reflect its policy direction.
“The IMF Article IV Consultation Report contains the Fund’s assessment of Nigeria’s economy as well as recommendations for consideration by the authorities.
“Those recommendations do not amount to government policy and are not binding on Nigeria. Decisions on tax matters are taken through established constitutional and legislative processes and are guided by national priorities and prevailing economic realities”.
The government clarified that the Value Added Tax (VAT) waiver on petroleum products remains in place and has not been withdrawn.
It also noted that although existing legislation provides for a fuel surcharge, such a measure can only take effect through a ministerial order and publication in the Official Gazette.
“No such process is under consideration.
“The continued suspension of these charges has helped cushion the effect of global energy price fluctuations on households and businesses while keeping domestic fuel prices relatively stable”.
The government further clarified that the telecommunications excise duty introduced before 2023 has been repealed under the new tax laws and is therefore no longer applicable.
Against this backdrop, the statement noted that reports claiming that new taxes are being planned for telecommunications services or petroleum products “are not factual and should be disregarded”.
The federal government said it remained focused on reforms that promote economic growth, improve revenue administration, and create a more competitive environment for investment and job creation.
“The emphasis remains on expanding economic activity, plugging leakages and improving efficiency rather than placing additional tax burdens on citizens.
“Any future tax measures will be announced through official channels and implemented in line with the law”, the statement added.
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