Economy
Profit Taking May Contribute to Initial Weakness on Wall Street
By Investors Hub
The major U.S. index futures are pointing to a lower opening on Monday following the upward move seen last week. Profit taking may contribute to initial weakness on Wall Street.
Trading activity may be somewhat subdued, however, with some traders likely to stick to the sidelines ahead of the release of some key economic data and earnings news in the coming days.
After ending Thursday’s trading mixed, stocks moved mostly higher over the course of the trading day on Friday. With the upward move on the day, the tech-heavy Nasdaq and the S&P 500 climbed to new record closing highs.
The major averages all closed in positive territory, but the Nasdaq outperformed its counterparts by a wide margin. The Nasdaq spiked by 144.49 points or 2.2 percent to 6,701.26, while the S&P 500 climbed 20.67 points or 0.8 percent to 2,581.07 and the Dow inched up 33.33 points or 0.1 percent to 23,434.19.
For the week, the Nasdaq jumped by 1.1 percent, the Dow rose by 0.5 percent and the S&P 500 edged up by 0.2 percent.
The strength on Wall Street came in reaction to upbeat earnings news from several well known companies.
Amazon (AMZN), Microsoft (MSFT), Intel (INTC) and Alphabet (GOOGL) all moved notably higher after reporting quarterly earnings that beat analyst estimates after the close of trading on Thursday.
Additionally, Merck (MRK), Chevron (CVX) and Exxon Mobil (XOM) also reported quarterly earnings before the start of today’s trading that exceeded expectations.
Positive sentiment was also generated in reaction to a report from the Commerce Department showing stronger than expected economic growth in the third quarter.
The report said real gross domestic product jumped by 3.0 percent in third quarter after surging up by 3.1 percent in the second quarter. Economists had expected GDP to increase by 2.5 percent.
Meanwhile, a separate report from the University of Michigan showed consumer sentiment improved by slightly less than initially estimated in October.
The report said the consumer sentiment index for October was downwardly revised to 100.7 from 101.1 but is still up from 95.1 in September. Economists had expected the index to be downwardly revised to 100.9.
In other news, reports said President Donald Trump is leaning toward nominating Federal Reserve Governor Jerome Powell as the next Fed Chair.
People familiar with the matter told Bloomberg the decision is not yet final and cautioned that Trump could change his mind at any time.
With Microsoft leading the way higher, software stocks showed a substantial move to the upside on the day. Reflecting the strength in the sector, the Dow Jones Software Index jumped by 3.4 percent.
Microsoft surged up by 6.4 percent in reaction to its upbeat quarterly results, helping the software index reach a record closing high.
Significant strength was also visible among natural gas stocks, as reflected by the 2.5 percent gain posted by the NYSE Arca Natural Gas Index. Cabot Oil & Gas (COG), Chesapeake Energy (CHK), and QEP Resources (QEP) posted standout gains.
Retail, semiconductor, internet, and trucking stocks also saw considerable strength, while computer hardware stocks showed a notable move to the downside.
Within the hardware sector, Electronics for Imaging (EFII) posted a steep loss after reporting weaker than expected third quarter results.
Economy
NASD Market Falls 1.18% to Extend Losing Streak
By Adedapo Adesanya
The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange extended its stay in the south for the fourth consecutive session after it shed 1.18 per cent on Friday, March 13.
The unlisted securities market recorded a loss despite closing without a price decliner, and ending with two price gainers led by Geo Fluids Plc, which gained 1o Kobo to sell at N3.10 per share compared with the previous day’s N3.00 per share. Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc appreciated during the session by 2 Kobo to trade at 54 Kobo per unit versus Thursday’s closing price of 52 Kobo per unit.
When the market closed for the day, the market capitalisation lost N29.83 billion to close at N2.489 trillion compared with the N2.519 trillion it finished a day earlier, and the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) crashed by 49.84 points to 4,160.46 points from 4,210.31 points.
Market activity improved yesterday, as the volume of transactions rose 179.5 per cent to 10.4 million units from 3.7 million units, but the value of trades declined by 68.4 per cent to N29.9 million from N95.0 million, while the number of deals weakened by 11.5 per cent to 46 deals from 52 deals.
Central Securities Clearing Systems (CSCS) Plc remained the most active stock by value on a year-to-date basis with 38.4 million units worth N2.4 billion, Okitipupa Plc followed with 6.4 million units traded at N1.1 billion, and FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc transacted 6.3 million units for N584.3 million.
Resourcery Plc ended the trading session as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 1.1 billion units valued at N415.6 million, trailed by Geo-Fluids Plc with 130.8 million units valued at N504.5 million, and CSCS Plc with 38.4 million units worth N2.4 billion.
Economy
Naira Trades N1,366/$1 at Official Market, N1,400/$1 at Black Market
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Naira continued to claw back some gains against the Dollar in the different segments of the foreign exchange (FX) market, as its value was strengthened on Friday.
In the black market, it gained N10 against the United States Dollar yesterday to close at N1,400/$1 compared with the preceding day’s rate of N1,410/$1, and at the GTBank forex counter, it chalked up N6 to close at N1,385/$1, in contrast to the N1,391/$1 it was traded a day earlier.
Similarly, in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX), it appreciated against the greenback during the session by N5.28 or 0.38 per cent to quote at N1,366.23/$1 versus Thursday’s closing price of N1,371.51/$1.
It also improved its value against the Pound Sterling in the official market on Friday by N21.81 to settle at N1,812.99/£1 compared with the previous day’s N1,834.80/£1, and gained N13.86 against the Euro to sell at N1,568.03/€1 versus N1,581.89/€1.
Pressure eased further on the FX market as the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) continued interventionist operations this week, selling Dollars to banks to boost liquidity after a $500 million boost last week.
This was complemented by inflows from foreign investors, exporters and non-bank corporates, among others, while Nigeria’s gross external reserves remained above $50 billion, the highest since 2009.
The Governor of the apex bank, Mr Yemi Cardoso, also eased fears of a Naira devaluation, saying the country’s financial system has been strengthened by reforms.
Regardless, external pressure looms as the US Dollar strengthened globally due to its war with Iran, now ongoing for three weeks.
Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market was largely down as traders and investors continue to align with current realities.
The market is adapting to the conflict in real time. Early in the war, every headline produced an outsized reaction because nobody could price the tail risk. Now, traders have a framework where strikes happen, oil spikes and bitcoin dips only to recover again.
Cardano (ADA) depreciated by 3.8 per cent to $0.2623, Dogecoin (DOGE) lost 1.7 per cent to finish at $0.0948, Ripple (XRP) slumped 1.5 per cent to $1.39, Solana (SOL) dropped 1.4 per cent to sell for $87.33, Binance Coin (BNB) went down by 1.3 per cent to $653.58, Bitcoin (BTC) declined by 1.1 per cent to $70,670.63, and Ethereum (ETH) decreased by 0.9 per cent to $2,078.78.
However, TRON (TRX) appreciated by 1.7 per cent to $0.2941, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 apiece.
Economy
Oil Stays Above $100 as Strait of Hormuz Traffic Stalls
By Adedapo Adesanya
The price of the major crude oil grade, Brent crude oil, closed above $100 on Friday for the second consecutive session, as the Iran war heads toward its third week, with oil tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz still effectively at a standstill.
It gained 2.67 per cent or $2.68 during the trading day to close at $103.14 per barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil grade appreciated by 3.11 per cent or $2.98 to settle at $98.71 per barrel.
Brent futures were up about 10 per cent for the week following the 27 per cent rise seen last week, which marked the biggest weekly gain in oil prices since the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. WTI futures, which saw their best week since 1983 last week, ended the week more than 8 per cent higher.
US President Donald Trump said American forces launched a major bombing raid on Iran’s strategic Kharg Island, targeting military facilities on the key Persian Gulf outpost while warning Iran that its vital oil infrastructure could be destroyed if shipping in the Strait of Hormuz is disrupted.
The terminal accounts for roughly 90 per cent of Iranian crude shipments, loading millions of barrels per day onto tankers bound largely for Asian markets.
The US and Israel’s strikes in the conflict have largely targeted Iranian military and nuclear infrastructure. Oil facilities elsewhere in Iran have been hit, but Kharg’s massive storage tanks, jetties, and pipelines had remained untouched until the latest strike.
Iran’s new supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, vowed to keep fighting in a message delivered via state television.
There have been a number of attacks on foreign ships in or near the Strait, feeding into concerns that a prolonged war could translate to a global economic shock.
Prices are rising despite the US and its allies rolling out some measures to keep a lid on energy costs.
The International Energy Agency (IEA) has agreed to release 400 million stockpiled barrels, the largest such action in history.
The US has issued a 30-day waiver for India to purchase sanctioned oil from Russia. President Donald Trump is considering loosening rules under the Jones Act that require American ships to transport goods between domestic ports, including oil and gas, in an effort to lower costs.
Traders are continuing to monitor developments in the Middle East.
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