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Economy

Russia-Ukraine Peace Talks, Trim in Expected Surplus Weaken Oil Prices

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oil prices fall

By Adedapo Adesanya

Oil prices fell on Thursday as investors focused on Russia-Ukraine peace talks and trimming in the projected 2026 oil surplus, with Brent crude trading at $61.28 a barrel after losing 93 cents or 1.49 per cent and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude at $57.60 a barrel, down by 86 cents or 1.47 per cent.

The prospect of a possible peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine also appeared to be driving the market lower. Such a deal would likely increase the supply of Russian oil that is currently off the market for most of the world.

Despite attacks, market analysts noted that there seems to be some movement on a possible path to peace between Russia and Ukraine.

The leaders of Britain, France and Germany held a call on Wednesday with US President Donald Trump to discuss the US’ latest peace efforts to end the war in Ukraine, in what they said was a “critical moment” in the process.

Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said on Thursday that a recent visit to Moscow by US envoy Steve Witkoff had resolved misunderstandings between the two countries.

Ukraine’s security services (SBU) executed a long-range drone strike on the Vladimir Filanovsky offshore oil field in the Caspian Sea, a key Lukoil facility, forcing a suspension of oil and gas production.

The attack is significant as it marks the first time Kyiv has targeted hydrocarbon extraction assets in the distant Caspian region, demonstrating a growing capability to hit critical upstream assets far from the frontline.

On Wednesday, the US said it seized an oil tanker off the coast of Venezuela, as escalating tensions between the two countries raised concerns about supply disruptions.

The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) in its latest monthly report maintained a firm demand outlook for 2025-2026, pointing to resilient consumption in China, India, and the Middle East while reiterating that non-OPEC supply growth is set to moderate after 2025.

The group also noted that OPEC+ supply management continues to anchor market stability, a markedly more optimistic stance than the International Energy Agency (IEA’s) earlier glut-heavy narrative.

In its latest update, the agency trimmed the projected 2026 surplus for the first time since May, cutting its glut forecast from 4.09 million barrels per day to 3.84 million barrels per day as sanctions on Russia and Venezuela curb supply and as global demand proves stronger than previously assumed. Improved macro conditions and easing tariff concerns also prompted the IEA to revise 2026 demand growth upward by 90,000 barrels per day.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

Economy

Naira Crashes to N1,456/$1 at NAFEM, Remains N1,470/$1 at Parallel Market

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Naira parallel market

By Adedapo Adesanya

The seasonal foreign exchange (FX) demand pressure further dealt a blow on the Naira in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEM) on Thursday, December 11, weakening its value against the US Dollar by 69 Kobo or 0.05 per cent to N1,456.07/$1 from the N1,455.38/$1 it ended a day earlier.

The Nigerian currency also performed poorly against the Pound Sterling and the Euro in the same market window during the trading session.

It lost N12.85 against the British currency to close at N1,950.11/£1 versus the preceding session’s N1,937.26/£1 and declined against the European nation’s currency by N13.60 to settle at N1,692.76/€1 compared with the previous day’s N1,706.36/€1.

At the GTBank forex counter, the domestic currency crashed against the US Dollar by N3 yesterday to sell at N1,463/$1 versus the N1,460/$1 it was exchanged a day earlier,  and closed flat in the parallel market at N1,470/$1.

The local currency facing pressures defied the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) FX interventions amidst rising foreign payments, reflecting the absence of significant inflows from foreign investors, exporters and non-bank corporate players. This suggests that the FX market is trading at the band caused by seasonal pressures.

Yet, the Naira is expected to trade within a range, with increased Dollar sales by the central bank and steady remittance inflows offsetting seasonal demand for imports.

“All indicators point to range-bound trading for the week ahead, with the Naira likely within the range of between 1,445 and 1,460 to the dollar,” a trader told Reuters.

In the cryptocurrency market, benchmarked currencies appreciated as traders digested the Federal Reserve’s decision to trim its fed funds rate range by 25 basis points.

Solana (SOL) jumped by 6.0 per cent to $131.06, Litecoin (LTC) increased by 2.6 per cent to $83.45, Bitcoin (BTC) gained 2.4 per cent to close at $92,539.49, Binance Coin (BNB) also improved by 2.4 per cent to $892.03, Dogecoin (DOGE) expanded by 1.6 per cent to $0.1408, Ethereum (ETH) rose by 1.6 per cent to $3,254.61, and Ripple (XRP) grew by 1.4 per cent to $2.03.

However, Cardano (ADA) depreciated by 1.1 per cent to $0.4262, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 apiece.

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Economy

NNPC Confirms Explosion at Escravos–Lagos Pipeline in Delta

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Escravos–Lagos Pipeline

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited has confirmed that the Escravos–Lagos pipeline experienced an explosion on Wednesday evening.

It was gathered that an explosion happened on the oil facility at a few minutes before 6pm on Wednesday, December 10, 2025.

It precisely occurred near Tebijor, Okpele, and Ikpopo communities in Gbaramatu Kingdom, Delta State.

The Chief Corporate Communications Officer of the NNPC, Mr Andy Odeh, in a statement on Thursday, disclosed that, “Initial observations indicate a pressure drop consistent with a loss of containment on an NNPC Gas Infrastructure Company (NGIC) pipeline.

“The cause of the explosion is still unknown but would be confirmed after a detailed investigation has been concluded. Our priority at this time is the safety of nearby communities and the protection of the environment.”

He noted that, “Emergency response procedures have been activated, and we are working closely with relevant authorities and community leaders to ensure a coordinated approach to mitigate impact.”

“NNPC Limited remains committed to the highest safety and environmental standards.

“Further updates will be provided as more confirmed information becomes available,” he added.

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Economy

31 Stocks Lift Nigerian Exchange by 0.74% as Bulls Take Charge

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Customs Street Nigerian Stock Exchange

By Dipo Olowookere

The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited bounced back into the green zone on Thursday after it closed higher by 0.74 per cent.

This growth was triggered by the gains recorded in three of the six key sectors of the local stock market, after the banking and the energy indices shed 0.35 per cent and 0.03 per cent apiece, with the commodity space closing flat.

Business Post reports that the insurance counter expanded by 2.99 per cent, the consumer goods index appreciated by 1.15 per cent, and the industrial goods counter marginal grew by 0.01 per cent.

At the close of business, the All-Share Index (ASI) was up by 1,088.58 points to 147,950.59 points from 146,862.01 points and the market capitalisation jumped by N694 billion to N94.319 trillion from N93.625 trillion.

During the trading day, 31 stocks ended on the advancers’ chart  and 24 stocks finished on the laggards’ log, showing a positive market breadth index and bullish investor sentiment.

Japaul gained 9.88 per cent to sell for N2.78, Berger Paints also appreciated by 9.88 per cent to N40.05, Morison improved by 9.77 per cent to N4.27, PZ Cussons advanced by 9.36 per cent to N45.00, and Legend Internet soared by 8.91 per cent to N5.50.

Conversely, John Holt lost 9.26 per cent to trade at N4.90, Champion Breweries depreciated by 7.86 per cent to N12.90, Eterna dipped by 5.48 per cent to N30.20, VFD Group shed 5.07 per cent to N10.30, and The Initiates contracted by 4.80 per cent to N11.90.

Yesterday, the trading volume, value, and number of deals went down by 29.10 per cent, 0.81 per cent, and 5.23 per cent, respectively.

This was because traders traded 529.7 million equities for N12.3 billion in 18,159 deals compared with the 747.1 million equities worth N12.4 billion transacted in 19,161 deals on Wednesday.

On top of the activity chart was Access Holdings with a turnover of 156.3 million units worth N3.2 billion, FCMB exchanged 74.5 million units valued at N819.5 million, Fidelity Bank sold 42.9 million units for N812.7 million, Japaul transacted 41.2 million units worth N106.0 million, and Zenith Bank traded 20.3 million units valued at N1.3 billion.

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