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Economy

Soaring COVID-19 Cases, Strong US Dollar Weaken Oil Prices

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oil prices fall

By Adedapo Adesanya

The start of the new week on Monday was met with weaker oil prices as a stronger US Dollar and a rising confirmed cases of COVID-19 in many countries weighed on market sentiment.

This brought down the price of the Brent crude by 0.58 per cent or 32 cents to $54.78 per barrel and weakened the West Texas Intermediate by 0.52 per cent or 29 cents to $52.09 a barrel.

The main problem currently faced is weakened demand brought about by the coronavirus but soaring cases especially in major economies keep holding back progress.

Prices had rallied in the past few weeks, buoyed by COVID-19 vaccine rollouts and a surprise cut in output by Saudi Arabia but the slow pace of vaccination has raised doubts over how soon economies would recover.

The lockdowns in Europe and the fairly slow start to vaccination programs in many countries also continue to drag down the vaccine angle of the market.

Britain’s vaccine rollout was limited by an unsmooth manufacturing process and Pfizer said it was distributing fewer doses of its vaccine in Europe in January than originally contracted. These are letting the expected recovery time seem impossible.

Also weakening oil prices on Monday was the US Dollar, which strengthening for a third consecutive day on Monday to a four-week high, weighing on crude prices. Oil is usually priced in dollars, so a stronger dollar makes crude more expensive for buyers with other currencies.

Another factor that depressed prices was the growing concerns for investors ahead of this week’s US presidential inauguration of Mr Joe Biden.

Security is reportedly tight in Washington D.C. ahead of Inauguration Day on Wednesday after the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) warned of threats to the city and the possibility of armed groups demonstrating in support of outgoing President Donald Trump.

Mr Biden and Vice President-elect, Kamala Harris will take their oaths of office two weeks after a mob of angry Trump supporters stormed the Capitol in a chaotic protest aimed at thwarting a peaceful transfer of power in which five people died.

The bad market environment outweighed positive good economic data out of China, which beat analyst estimates to post 6.5 per cent annual growth in its economy in the fourth quarter, compared to 6.1 per cent growth expected by analysts.

China is also the only major economy to have posted economic growth last year, of 2.3 per cent. All other major economies in the world are expected to have contracted in 2020, hit by the pandemic.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

NECA DG Warns of Growing Pressure on Businesses, Households

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NECA Adewale Smatt-Oyerinde

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The Director General of the Nigeria Employers’ Consultative Association (NECA), Mr Adewale-Smatt Oyerinde, has run to the rooftop to warn of the negative impact of rising crude oil prices on businesses and households in the country.

In a statement on Monday, he said the Middle East crisis was pushing up domestic energy costs, placing pressure on businesses and eroding the purchasing power of citizens, warning that without urgent intervention, the situation could escalate.

According to him, fuel prices have risen sharply in recent days, with petrol exceeding N1,300 per litre in some locations and diesel approaching N1,800 per litre, reflecting the impact of global oil price movements.

He stressed that energy costs sit at the heart of Nigeria’s economy, and energy is the engine of production and distribution, noting that businesses, particularly in manufacturing, agriculture, and logistics, are already under significant pressure. “What we are witnessing is Nigeria’s oil paradox. Rising crude oil prices are pushing up domestic energy costs, squeezing businesses and worsening the cost of living for citizens.

“Once fuel prices rise, the effects are immediate and widespread: transport costs increase, food prices rise, and the overall cost of doing business escalates.

“For many firms that rely on diesel for operations, current price levels are becoming increasingly difficult to sustain. Profit margins are shrinking, and businesses are being forced to either pass on costs or scale down operations,” Mr Oyerinde stated.

The NECA DG further noted that global oil prices have surged amid geopolitical tensions, with Brent crude rising above $110 per barrel, intensifying cost pressures across energy markets.

He clarified that while the Middle East conflict has contributed to the rise in oil prices, the impact is exposing deeper structural weaknesses, underinvestment, weak infrastructure, and inefficiencies in Nigeria’s energy value chain.

“This situation is not only driven by external factors, but it is also reflecting ongoing constraints within the energy value chain, including supply inefficiencies and infrastructure limitations,” he disclosed.

“The government must act swiftly to ease supply constraints, stabilise prices, and provide targeted relief to critical sectors, he declared, emphasising that, “If this trend continues unchecked, we risk business closures, job losses, and a deeper cost-of-living crisis.”

On the long-term outlook, Mr Oyerinde emphasised the need for structural reforms. Nigeria’s resilience will not be determined by oil prices, but by how effectively we manage them. This is a moment to strengthen institutions, improve transparency, and invest in sustainable energy solutions.

He concluded with a caution that if properly managed, “this could strengthen our economy. If not, the gains from rising oil prices will be completely eroded by inflation and economic hardship.”

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Economy

NAICOM Rules Out Extension of July 31 Recapitalisation Deadline

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By Adedapo Adesanya

The National Insurance Commission (NAICOM) has stressed that it has no intention of extending the deadline of the ongoing insurance recapitalisation exercise fixed for July 31, 2026.

The Commissioner for Insurance, Mr Olusegun Omosehin, at a high-level media briefing in Lagos, emphasised that “The 31 July deadline is sacrosanct.”

Mr Omosehin rationalised that NAICOM said it was not worried by the sluggishness of some underwriting companies towards the exercise.

“It is embedded in the law, and as a regulator, we do not have the powers to alter a date set by an Act of the National Assembly,” he explained, noting that the timeline is a statutory requirement under the Nigeria Insurance Industry Reform Act of 2025.

“We would not be drawn into a last-minute rush or entertain pleas for extensions,” Mr Omosehin warned, adding that any adjustment to the schedule would require a formal amendment of the Act by the National Assembly and subsequent presidential assent, a path he stated the commission is not prepared to take.

He further noted that while 20 insurance companies have officially stepped forward to begin their capital verification process, the level of urgency across the board does not match the requirements of the law.

“We want a stronger, more resilient industry that can support Nigeria’s target of a $1tn economy,” the Commissioner added, stressing that the ultimate goal is not just capital but the capability to underwrite large risks and protect policyholders.

“Capital alone is not the goal; it is about the capability to underwrite large risks,” he reiterated, while urging operators who may lack the “stand-alone stamina” to meet the new requirements to consider mergers and acquisitions immediately rather than waiting.

“We warn against ‘emergency marriages’ concluded at the eleventh hour, as such ad hoc arrangements often lead to lingering liabilities and post-merger integration crises,” Mr Omosehin said.

The NAICOM chief also confirmed that the regulator is currently scanning all operating firms and will soon make the results of this regulatory assessment public.

While re-emphasising the July 31 deadline, he warned that all funds raised must be deposited in designated escrow accounts.

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Economy

BudgIT Raises Alarm Over Poor Transparency in Nigeria’s Local Government Budgets

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BudgIT 40-year bonds

By Adedapo Adesanya

Governance transparency platform, BudgIT, has expressed worry that only 10 states provided publicly accessible budget information for their Local Government Areas (LGAs).

The report, titled The Missing Tier: Mapping Local Government Budget Transparency in Nigeria, found that while six states offer partial or outdated disclosures, as many as 18 states do not publish any LGA budget data at all.

Despite the existence of these budgets at council secretariats nationwide, BudgIT noted that access remains largely restricted, particularly online.

“For most of Nigeria’s 774 local governments, those budgets are not publicly accessible online,” the report stated.

Among the states assessed, Ekiti emerged as the top performer, with a comprehensive system that includes detailed, up-to-date budget documentation for its councils.

Other states identified as making LGA budget information available include Ebonyi, Osun, Kebbi, Kogi, Enugu, Kaduna and Yobe.

However, the report cautioned that even among these states, data quality remains inconsistent, with several budgets either incomplete, outdated, or poorly structured.

BudgIT highlighted notable examples of improved accountability practices.

Ekiti State, for instance, publishes individual 2026 budgets for all its LGAs and LCDAs, accompanied by signed documents, consultation records, and standardised financial templates.

Cross River State also stood out for releasing individual council budgets, audited accounts, and quarterly performance reports.

Similarly, Borno State was commended for maintaining a consolidated 2025 budget alongside supporting financial documents, suggesting a structured and functional reporting system.

The report identified six states with limited transparency, providing only fragmented or outdated information.

Kano State, for example, publishes quarterly performance reports but lacks full-year approved budgets.

In Imo State, no LGA budgets were found, although a financial statement from the Accountant-General was available.

Ondo State reportedly released documents for only a portion of its LGAs, while Anambra published an appropriation law without detailed breakdowns. Ogun State, meanwhile, only provided data for 2024.

BudgIT further disclosed that a large number of states fail entirely to make LGA budgets public.

These include Abia, Adamawa, Akwa Ibom, Bauchi, Bayelsa, Benue, Delta, Edo, Gombe, Jigawa, Katsina, Lagos, Nasarawa, Niger, Oyo, Plateau, Rivers, Sokoto, Taraba, and Zamfara.

According to the organisation, the issue is not the absence of budget documents but the lack of public access to them.

“Yet for most of Nigeria’s 774 local governments, those budgets are not publicly accessible online,” the civic tech firm said.

BudgIT stressed that improving transparency at the local government level does not require complex reforms but rather a deliberate policy decision.

“Since state governments already publish their own budgets online, extending the same standard to local councils is neither complex nor costly; it is a matter of institutional choice,” the organisation said.

It added, “This choice is a critical one; Nigeria’s post-1999 experience with democracy has not had Local Governments with significant autonomy. Be that as it may, LGAs still have the opportunity to make public what they budget, what they spend and what they earn.”

Highlighting the benefits of openness, the report noted that transparency enables citizens to track public spending and hold officials accountable.

“Where they are withheld, accountability stops at the state level, leaving the tier closest to citizens financially opaque,” BudgIT said.

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