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States Pressured us to Borrow from CBN for March Allocation—FG

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Borrow from CBN

By Modupe Gbadeyanka

The last is definitely not heard concerning the revelation by the Governor of Edo State, Mr Godwin Obaseki, that in March 2021, the federal government allegedly printed N50 to N60 billion to augment the allocation shared among the federal, state and local governments.

The Minister of Finance, Budget and National Planning, Mrs Zainab Ahmed, who had earlier denied the claims by Mr Obaseki last Wednesday, admitted on Monday that last month, the country had a shortfall of N50 billion from the revenues generated in February 2021 and shared last month.

Mrs Ahmed, in an interview on Good Morning Nigeria programme on the FG-owned Nigerian Television Authority (NTA), stated that, “In the month of March, we had a shortfall of FAAC that was about N50 billion; we didn’t have enough accrued in any of those accounts other than some N8.5 billion that we took from the exchange rate differential account so we added that and we ended up with the FAAC of N605 billion.

“An average FAAC that is healthy for us is N650 billion. So, it means we had a shortfall of about N50 billion. The states, to be honest, wanted us to go and borrow from the Central Bank (of Nigeria) to augment FAAC but we didn’t do that.

“And we would make sure we don’t have to do that because it’s time for all of us to go back and do more. A lot of states are trying to do that in terms of increasing the performance of their internally generated revenues, but it is difficult to do that at a time when growth is very, very slow,” she said.

“So, it was a surprise when we heard a sitting governor saying that the CBN had printed money for FAAC. That was very unfortunate because it was not true. The FAAC information is published so you can see the revenue contributed by each of the agency; that is what we shared,” she added.

The Minister agreed with Governor Obaseki that the country was facing a difficult fiscal problem as a result of low revenue but she blamed this on the COVID-19 pandemic.

“These are very difficult challenging times because revenues are low and the demand for expenditures is very high understandably because we have to keep intervening to make sure the pandemic is contained as well as the economic impact it has caused.

“In our case in Nigeria, the crash of the crude oil prices really hit us very hard in terms of revenue. We have very low revenues, we have very high expenditures.

“What we have done so far is just to provide some stability to make sure salaries are paid, pensions are received every month; that we send funds to the judiciary and the legislature; that we meet our debt service obligations.

“That’s what we are doing. It also means we have had to borrow more than we had planned before the COVID-19 started because we need to still continue to invest in infrastructure using our capital budget.

“We borrowed to invest in key projects such as roads, rail, airports, seaports and several other investments that are required in health and in education and upgrading the social standards and quality of life of our people and Nigeria is not unique as several countries of the world went into recession.

“Almost every other country has had to borrow more than it planned. It means we expanded our deficit very fast in 2020. 2021 is a year that we see as the year of recovery,” she said.

Speaking further, the Minister said, “It is a very difficult time. I can explain to you how difficult it is, not just for the federal government but also for the states.

“We see increasing reductions in our FAAC revenues; FAAC revenues are the revenues that we put together every month, that are collected from both oil and non-oil sectors from the collection of the NNPC (Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation) the FIRS (the Federal Inland Revenue Service) and all other revenues collection agencies.

“So, FAAC reduces and whenever FAAC reduces, it is a very difficult situation and in the past one year, we have tried to fall back on some specific accounts that are meant to be saved; savings that when you have such a situation, you fall back on the resources and augment.

“So, we take funds based on Mr President’s approval either from Excess Crude or Stabilisation Account or in some cases, President approved for us to take funds from LNG (Liquefied Natural Gas) dividends.”

However, she expressed optimism that the country would bounce back, noting that the government hopes to achieve a growth of 3 per cent in 2021, adding that some of the multilateral institutions are putting it at 2.5 per cent.

Modupe Gbadeyanka is a fast-rising journalist with Business Post Nigeria. Her passion for journalism is amazing. She is willing to learn more with a view to becoming one of the best pen-pushers in Nigeria. Her role models are the duo of CNN's Richard Quest and Christiane Amanpour.

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Economy

NGX Trading Volume Surges 127%, as Investors Trade 12.2bn Stocks in One Week

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Trading Volume

By Dipo Olowookere

A total of 12.153 billion shares worth N176.058 billion exchanged hands in 224,146 deals last week on the floor of the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited compared with the 5.359 billion shares valued at N139.053 billion traded in 261,869 deals in the preceding week.

The surge in activity level was triggered by large-ticket transactions in Fortis Global Insurance, Cornerstone Insurance, and Consolidated Hallmark, accounting for 9.488 billion shares worth N36.219 billion in 1,781 deals, contributing 78.07 per cent and 20.57 per cent to the total equity turnover volume and value, respectively.

Analysis showed that the Financial Services space accounted for 11.212 billion shares valued at N88.991 billion in 102,246 deals, contributing 92.25 per cent and 50.55 per cent to the total trading volume and value, respectively.

The ICT sector traded 246.127 million shares worth N51.605 billion in 27,169 deals, and the Services industry transacted 198.195 million shares worth N1.995 billion in 13,747 deals.

In the week, 26 equities gained weight as in the previous week, while 59 equities shed weight versus 63 equities a week earlier, and 62 equities remained unchanged versus 58 equities in the previous week.

Trans-Nationwide Express chalked up 32.09 per cent to trade at N2.84, International Energy Insurance rose by 31.68 per cent to N5.32, Sovereign Trust Insurance expanded by 13.77 per cent to N1.90, Chams grew by 12.25 per cent to N4.58, and CWG increased by 9.74 per cent to N21.40.

On the flip side, AVA Capital lost 34.55 per cent to close at N7.20, Unilever Nigeria declined by 18.94 per cent to N118.30, Zichis depreciated by 15.08 per cent to N18.30, Thomas Wyatt slipped by 14.33 per cent to N2.75, and Dangote Sugar weakened by 11.58 per cent to N64.55.

Business Post reports that Customs Street was under selling pressure last week, depleting the All-Share Index (ASI) by 1.20 per cent to 242,619.20 points and cutting the market capitalisation by 1.19 per cent to N156.624 trillion.

In the same vein, all other indices finished lower while the sovereign bond index was flat.

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Economy

DMO to Sell N1.1trn FGN Bonds Today

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FGN Bond Sale

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

FGN bonds worth N1.1 trillion would be offered for sale to investors by the Debt Management Office (DMO) today, Monday, August 17, 2026.

The debt instruments would be sold through a primary market auction in three tenors: 10, 15, and 20 years. They are all re-opening notes, meaning they have been issued before and do not have the full term.

According to a circular from the debt office,

Business Post reports that the DMO is selling N250 billion worth of the 10-year note with a coupon of 22.60 per cent, while the N750 billion worth of the 15-year paper with a coupon of 15.45 per cent is to be auctioned, and N100 billion worth of the 20-year instrument with a coupon of 16.2499 per cent is on sale today.

To subscribe to the bonds, investors are required to pay N1,000 per unit, subject to a minimum subscription of N50 million and in multiples of N1,000 thereafter. The notes can be purchased through primary dealer market makers, which are the main commercial banks and others.

It was stated that successful bidders will pay a price corresponding to the yield-to-maturity bid that clears the volume being auctioned, plus any accrued interest on the instrument because the papers are reopening, as their coupons (interest) are already set.

Bondholders will receive their interest payment twice a year, with the bullet repayment on the maturity date.

The FGN bond qualifies as securities in which trustees can invest under the Trustee Investment Act. It also qualifies as government securities for tax exemption and can be used as liquid assets for liquidity ratio calculation for banks.

After the exercise today, the bond will be listed on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited and the FMDQ Securities Exchange to allow for trading in the secondary market, where it can be liquidated before maturity.

The FGN bonds are backed by the full faith and credit of the Federal Government of Nigeria and are charged upon the general assets of Nigeria.

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Economy

Coronation Projects July 2026 Inflation Rate at 15.80%

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inflation food prices

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

Analysts at Coronation Asset Management have predicted that the July 2026 inflation rate should come at 15.80 per cent, lower than the 15.91 per cent recorded in June 2026.

The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) is expected to release the actual rate today, Monday, August 17.

Coronation explained that it projected a pullback in the rate because of “three primary forces: a fresh energy price shock stemming from renewed Strait of Hormuz hostilities and a domestic refinery pricing disruption, seasonal harvest-related relief on food prices, and continued relative exchange rate stability.”

The organisation noted that the disinflation trend in the first half of the year remained last month, with the fuel price shock denting the pace of improvement rather than reversing it.

Regarding energy prices, Coronation reported that prices were stable in July, although this coincided with Dangote Refinery’s brief switch to dollar-denominated PMS pricing between July 13 and 22, which sharply reset ex-depot prices higher before naira-based sales resumed at N1,215 per litre following government intervention.

As for the exchange rate, it was also stable last month between N1,362/$1 and N1,383/$1 at the official market.

However, Coronation stressed that the month-on-month inflation may stay marginally firmer into August as the fuel price shock continues to pass through transport, logistics and services pricing, before the year-on-year rate resumes a steadier easing bias in September–October, conditional on Hormuz tensions not escalating further and Dangote Refinery maintaining naira-based pricing.

But it warned that a renewed dollar-pricing episode or a sustained Brent move above $95 per barrel would risk pushing the year-on-year print back toward 16.5 per cent to 17.0 per cent, while a durable de-escalation could see it drift toward 15.0 per cent to 15.3 per cent by October.

“For policy determination, this reinforces our view that the resumption of MPC rate cuts is unlikely before Q4 2026 at the earliest. The MPR has held at 26.50 per cent since February, and we expect the committee to maintain that stance through its next meeting, with any easing conditional on both core inflation turning over and energy-driven cost pressures visibly fading.

“We continue to favour the front end of the curve (1Y T-Bills) over 5–10-year bond instruments, where investors positioning for an early start to a sustained easing cycle may need to defer that thesis further,” their analysts stated.

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