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Stock Market: New Pricing Rule Favours Domestic Investors—Experts

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African Stock Markets

By Dipo Olowookere

The recently introduced pricing methodology by the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) has been described by experts as a tool that has favoured domestic investors by increased their participation in the stock market.

According to the Head of Banking and Finance Department at the Nasarawa State University Keffi, Dr Uche Uwaleke, has given local investors the opportunity to be more involved in the capital market because they can now pull volume with penny stocks trading below the former 50 kobo per share threshold.

“Unlike foreign investors who show more interest in high-cap stocks, a good number of domestic investors take positions in penny stocks given their affordability,” Mr Uwaleke told the News Agency of Nigeria (NAN) n Lagos.

The university don was reacting to the price depreciation posted by many penny stocks last month which had Consolidated Hallmark emerging the worst performing stock in percentage terms.

The stock opened trading in February at 50k, but lost 48 percent to close for the month at 26k per share, due to exchange new pricing method.

Mr Uwaleke said the new pricing methodology led to losses posted by most penny stocks.

“It is the new pricing methodology that has injected liquidity into those penny stocks which allowed their prices to fall below 50k,” he said.

The lecturer further said the new method was aimed at improving liquidity, narrowing spreads and ensuring that all price-improving transactions had impact.

He said that the new rule would effectively remove the previous rule which placed minimum allowable price for any stock to trade at its nominal value, irrespective of the market forces.

According to him, it specifies that stock prices will be determined by market forces of demand and supply, as prices can fall below the initial price.

On his part, Mr Ambrose Omordion, the Chief Operating Officer of InvestData Ltd, also attributed the development to the new pricing rule.

Omordion added that the losses posted by some second tier banking stocks were due to profit-taking following rally posted at the beginning of the year.

Data obtained from the NSE showed that Unic Diversified Holdings, another penny stock, came second last month after dropping by 47.83 percent to close at 24k per share against opening price of 46k.

Courtville Business Solutions dipped 46 percent to close at 27k against 50k, while Multiverse Resources lost 37.5 percent to close the month at 30k per share compared with the opening price of 48k.

Other top losers were Skye Bank, which dipped by 34.01 percent to close at 97k against N1.47k in January, while Wema Bank lost 32.65 percent, having closed at 99k in contrast with N1.47k.

Diamond Bank dropped 26.10 percent to close at N2.35k against N3.18k, while Unitykap lost 26 percent to close at 37k against the opening price of 50k.

Lasaco Insurance declined by 21.43 percent to close at 33k against 43k in January, while Royal Exchange lost 21.43 percent to close at 33k per share against 42k opening price.

Conversely, Linkage Assurance was the best performing stock in percentage terms, appreciating by 24.64 percent to close at 86k per share against the opening price of 69k.

Unity Bank trailed with a growth of 17.11 percent to close at N1.78k in contrast with N1.52k in January, while NEM Insurance rose by 16.02 percent to close at N2.10k per share against N1.81k.

Other top gainers were Beta Glass, 15.64 percent; Unilever,15.06 percent; CCNN, 11.27 percent; Transnation Express, 11.11 percent; Prestige Assurance, 10.87 percent; GSK, 10.53 percent; and AIICO Insurance, 10.29 percent.

During the month, the NSE All-Share Index lost 1,013.11 points or 2.28 percent to close at 43,330.54 against 44,343.65 achieved in January.

Also, the market capitalisation which opened at N15.895 trillion shed N146 billion or 2.18 percent to close the month at N15.549 trillion.

The volume of shares traded dipped by 44.96 percent as investors bought and sold 11.95 billion shares worth N106. 08 billion achieved in 112,255 deals.

This was in contrast with January turnover of 21.71 billion shares valued at N197.22 billion traded in 168.649 deals.

Dipo Olowookere is a journalist based in Nigeria that has passion for reporting business news stories. At his leisure time, he watches football and supports 3SC of Ibadan. Mr Olowookere can be reached via [email protected]

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Economy

Again, OPEC Cuts 2024, 2025 Oil Demand Forecasts

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OPEC output cut

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has once again trimmed its 2024 and 2025 oil demand growth forecasts.

The bloc made this in its latest monthly oil market report for December 2024.

The 2024 world oil demand growth forecast is now put at 1.61 million barrels per day from the previous 1.82 million barrels per day.

For 2025, OPEC says the world oil demand growth forecast is now at 1.45 million barrels per day, which is 900,000 barrels per day lower than the 1.54 million barrels per day earlier quoted.

On the changes, the group said that the downgrade for this year owes to more bearish data received in the third quarter of 2024 while the projections for next year relate to the potential impact that will arise from US tariffs.

The oil cartel had kept the 2024 outlook unchanged until August, a view it had first taken in July 2023.

OPEC and its wider group of allies known as OPEC+ earlier this month delayed its plan to start raising output until April 2025 against a backdrop of falling prices.

Eight OPEC+ member countries – Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, and Oman – decided to extend additional crude oil production cuts adopted in April 2023 and November 2023, due to weak demand and booming production outside the group.

In April 2023, these OPEC+ countries decided to reduce their oil production by over 1.65 million barrels per day as of May 2023 until the end of 2023. These production cuts were later extended to the end of 2024 and will now be extended until the end of December 2026.

In addition, in November 2023, these producers had agreed to voluntary output cuts totalling about 2.2 million barrels per day for the first quarter of 2024, in order to support prices and stabilise the market.

These additional production cuts were extended to the end of 2024 and will now be extended to the end of March 2025; they will then be gradually phased out on a monthly basis until the end of September 2026.

Members have made a series of deep output cuts since late 2022.

They are currently cutting output by a total of 5.86 million barrels per day, or about 5.7 per cent of global demand. Russia also announced plans to reduce its production by an extra 471,000 barrels per day in June 2024.

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Economy

Aradel Holdings Acquires Equity Stake in Chappal Energies

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Aradel Holdings

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

A minority equity stake in Chappal Energies Mauritius Limited has been acquired by a Nigerian energy firm, Aradel Holdings Plc.

This deal came a few days after Chappal Energies purchased a 53.85 per cent equity stake in Equinor Nigeria Energy Company Limited (ENEC).

Chappal Energies went into the deal with Equinor to take part in the oil and gas lease OML 128, including the unitised 20.21 per cent stake in the Agbami oil field, operated by Chevron.

Since production started in 2008, the Agbami field has produced more than one billion barrels of oil, creating value for Nigerian society and various stakeholders.

As part of the deal, Chappal will assume the operatorship of OML 129, which includes several significant prospects and undeveloped discoveries (Nnwa, Bilah and Sehki).

The Nnwa discovery is part of the giant Nnwa-Doro field, a major gas resource with significant potential to deliver value for Nigeria.

In a separate transaction, on July 17, 2024, Chappal and Total Energies sealed an SPA for the acquisition by Chappal of 10 per cent of the SPDC JV.

The relevant parties to this transaction are working towards closing out this transaction and Ministerial Approval and NNPC consent to accede to the Joint Operating Agreement have been obtained.

“This acquisition is in line with diversifying our asset base, deepening our gas competencies and gaining access to offshore basins using low-risk approaches.

“We recognise the strategic role of gas in Nigeria’s energy future and are happy to expand our equity holding in this critical resource.

“We are committed to the cause of developing the significant value inherent in the assets, which will be extremely beneficial to the country.

“Aradel hopes to bring its proven execution competencies to bear in supporting Chappal’s development of these opportunities,” the chief executive of Aradel Holdings, Mr Adegbite Falade, stated.

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Economy

Afriland Properties Lifts NASD OTC Securities Exchange by 0.04%

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Afriland Properties

By Adedapo Adesanya

Afriland Properties Plc helped the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange record a 0.04 per cent gain on Tuesday, December 10 as the share price of the property investment rose by 34 Kobo to N16.94 per unit from the preceding day’s N16.60 per unit.

As a result of this, the market capitalisation of the bourse went up by N380 million to remain relatively unchanged at N1.056 trillion like the previous trading day.

But the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) closed higher at 3,014.36 points after it recorded an addition of 1.09 points to Monday’s closing value of 3,013.27 points.

The NASD OTC securities exchange recorded a price loser and it was Geo-Fluids Plc, which went down by 2 Kobo to close at N3.93 per share, in contrast to the preceding day’s N3.95 per share.

During the trading session, the volume of securities bought and sold by investors increased by 95.8 per cent to 2.4 million units from the 1.2 million securities traded in the preceding session.

However, the value of shares traded yesterday slumped by 3.7 per cent to N4.9 million from the N5.07 million recorded a day earlier, as the number of deals surged by 27.3 per cent to 14 deals from 11 deals.

Geo-Fluids Plc remained the most active stock by volume (year-to-date) with 1.7 billion units sold for N3.9 billion, trailed by Okitipupa Plc with 752.2 million units valued at N7.8 billion, and Afriland Properties Plc with 297.5 million units worth N5.3 million.

Also, Aradel Holdings Plc remained the most active stock by value (year-to-date) with 108.7 million units worth N89.2 billion, followed by Okitipupa Plc with 752.2 million units valued at N7.8 billion, and Afriland Properties Plc with 297.5 million units sold for N5.3 billion.

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