Economy

How the Nigerian Economy is Reacting to the Global Crisis

Published

6 years ago

13/05/2020

The COVID-19 pandemic is still in full swing. Since the early months of 2020, it has been affecting countries on all continents.

Nigeria is no exception, despite the relatively low death toll. Here is how the global crisis has influenced the national economy so far.

Current Statistics on COVID-19

As of this writing, Nigeria has 4,399 confirmed cases and 143 deaths. This is incomparable to the six-digit figures observed in the US, but the numbers are still growing. Developing countries, in general, have seen relatively few cases, although the danger is still very real.

Declaring of the pandemic sent shock waves across financial markets in early March. However, it is not the only cause of downtrends. In fact, negative dynamics began even before the outbreak. Forecasts of global GDP in 2020 were quite dismal, with only 2.5% growth. The outlook for the emerging markets was especially gloomy.

Covid nigerian economy

The Preceding Troubles

Even before the crisis, the local government had a lot to grapple with. The country was still recovering from the oil shock of 2014, and GDP growth was limited — just 2.3% in 2019. The figure was later changed to just 2% by the International Monetary Fund, as a result of oil price collapse and fiscal restrictions.

The debt profile was yet another reason for alarm. According to recent estimates, the debt service-to-revenue ratio stands at 60%. The dismal situation with oil prices is likely to send the figures further down. All these factors should be considered when evaluating the nation’s response to the pandemic.

Key Policy Changes

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has implemented a fiscal stimulus package. The support scheme provides a credit of 50 billion naira for small and medium-sized businesses, as well as households affected by the crisis. The healthcare industry has been provided with a loan of 100 billion naira. The manufacturing segment has received 1 trillion naira.

Secondly, the institution revised its interest in interventions. The rate has been almost halved, now fixed at 5%. Since March 1, all intervention facilities are put on hold by a one-year moratorium.

Another major issue is the collapse of global demand for crude. Oil is one of the country’s key sources of revenue and foreign exchange. The sharp decline has caused significant damage. Officially, the rate was adjusted from 306 to 360 naira.

Household Consumption: Looming Decrease

Experts predict households to reduce consumption due to several reasons. Spending will be mostly limited to the most essential goods and services. This is inevitable because:

The population are restricted in movement, either partially or fully;
Predictions of future income are discouraging, especially for workers in the gig and informal economy;
The gradual erosion of wealth, but actual and expected, is observed due to downtrends on the stock market and in home equity.

In such desperate times, the population will be looking for alternative sources of income. Online trading, which has recently been embraced by the nation, may see significant growth. For many consumers, it may offer the only source of profit.

FXTM, an international MetaTrader 5 broker, expects more accounts to be opened by residents of Nigeria. The range of instruments includes currency pairs, stocks, CFDs, and other derivatives. Through a licensed broker, these may be traded in Nigeria legally.

Covid nigerian economy1

Investments by Firms

These are expected to shrink due to the pandemic. It is not yet clear how long it will last, what effect the policies will have, and how economic players will react. The overall turmoil in the finance markets reflects unfavourable market sentiments.

In the realm of stocks, the country has seen a dramatic collapse. The Nigerian Stock Exchange has recorded the deepest fall since 2008. Investors have been hit hard. Given the general uncertainty surrounding the pandemic, and the joyless profit outlook, firms are unlikely to pursue any long-term investment schemes.

Government Expenditure: Projections of Growth

Government spending is predicted to expand as more stimulus packages are released. The measures should compensate for the drop in consumer spending. At the same time, fiscal deficits may soar. This will be exacerbated by the oil prices.

Nigeria is heavily dependent on oil. The commodity accounts for 90% of the country’s exports. The national budget for 2020 was built around predictions of $57 per barrel. However, the price of Brent has been fluctuating around $29 since early April. Since March, the government has already cut its planned expenditure.

A Wake-Up Call?

Overall, Nigeria is bound to experience the dramatic effects of the pandemic and lockdown measures. Despite the government’s efforts to help key industries, its resources are limited. The crash of oil prices is detrimental to the health of the national economy. It remains to be seen whether policymakers can learn from their mistakes and diversify the country’s revenue in the future.

Economy

NASD Exchange Extends Bearish Run After 0.56% Drop

Published

2 days ago

03/04/2026

Adedapo Adesanya

By Adedapo Adesanya

The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange extended its stay in the south territory with a decline of 0.56 per cent on Wednesday, April 2.

This brought down the market capitalisation by N13 billion to N2.417 trillion from N2.430 trillion, and downed the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) by 22.57 points to 4,062.87 points from the previous session’s 4,062.87 points.

It was observed that the NASD exchange ended with three price gainers and three price losers during the trading day.

MRS Oil Plc depreciated by N19.00 to close at N171.00 per unit compared with the previous price of N190.00 per unit, NASD Plc lost N4.14 to trade at N37.36 per share compared with Wednesday’s N41.50 per share, and Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc gave up N2.00 to sell at N78.00 per unit versus N80.00 per unit.

On the flip side, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc appreciated by 19 Kobo to N93.00 per share from N92.81 per share, Food Concepts Plc expanded by 15 Kobo to N2.87 per unit from N2.72 per unit, and Great Nigeria Insurance (GNI) Plc improved by 2 Kobo to 52 Kobo per share from 50 Kobo per share.

Yesterday, the volume of securities dipped by 91.8 per cent to 260.2 million units from 3.2 billion units, the value of securities went down by 98.1 per cent to N154.2 million from N8.3 billion, while the number of deals soared by 53.3 per cent to 46 deals from 30 deals.

GNI Plc was the most active stock by value on a year-to-date basis with 3.4 billion units worth N8.4 billion, followed by CSCS Plc with 56.9 million units valued at N3.9 billion, and Okitipupa Plc with 27.5 million units traded for N1.8 billion.

The most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis was also GNI Plc with 3.4 billion units sold for N8.2 billion, trailed by Resourcery Plc with 1.1 billion units exchanged for N415.7 million, and Infrastructure Guarantee Credit Plc with 400 million units transacted for N1.2 billion.

Economy

Naira Slips to N1,380/$1 at Official Market, Remains N1,405/$1 at Black Market

Published

2 days ago

03/04/2026

Adedapo Adesanya

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Naira dropped N2.09 or 0.15 per cent against the United States Dollar in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Thursday, April 2, to trade at N1,380.79/$1 compared with Wednesday’s rate of N1,378.70/$1.

However, it appreciated against the Pound Sterling in the official market by N2.77 to quote at N1,824.86/£1 versus the N1,836.57/£1 it was traded at midweek, and improved its value against the Euro by N10.54 to N1,591.92/€1 from N1,602.46/€1.

Yesterday was the last trading session of the week for the local currency in the spot market, as the market will be closed on Friday and Monday for the Easter Holiday.

At the black market, the Nigerian Naira maintained stability against the greenback yesterday at N1,405/$1, but gained N8 at the GTBank FX counter to settle at N1,388/$1, in contrast to the previous session’s N1,396/$1.

Pressure eased on the domestic currency as strong policy indicators have helped calm the majority of worries within the financial systems. Particularly in the remittance segment, the apex bank has directed all International Money Transfer Operators (IMTOs) to route remittance transactions through designated Naira settlement accounts in banks, a move aimed at boosting transparency and channelling more foreign exchange into the formal market.

This helps take off pressure from the foreign reserves, which have fallen below the $50 billion mark as they are gradually decreasing rather than falling sharply.

Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market was bullish on Thursday, as macro sentiment shifted against recent optimism after reports that Iran is drafting a protocol with Oman to manage traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, easing concerns about disruptions to a key global oil route.

The remarks came after U.S. President Trump on Wednesday night vowed to hit Iran “extremely hard” in the coming weeks and that the Strait of Hormuz would “open naturally” once the war ends.

Cardano (ADA) chalked up 1.9 per cent to trade at $0.2435, Dogecoin (DOGE) grew by 1.2 per cent to $0.0912, Ethereum (ETH) appreciated by 0.8 per cent to $2,066.37, Bitcoin (BTC) added 0.5 per cent to sell at $67,080.53, Solana (SOL) increased by 0.5 per cent to $79.91, and Ripple (XRP) jumped 0.2 per cent to $1.31.

Conversely, Binance Coin (BNB) dipped 0.7 per cent to $586.90, and TRON (TRX) depreciated by 0.3 per cent to $0.3147, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) closed flat at $1.00 each.

Economy

Bulls, Bears Share Customs Street’s Spoils Amid Bullish Investor Sentiment

Published

2 days ago

03/04/2026

Dipo Olowookere

By Dipo Olowookere

The local stock market was relatively flat on Friday, as the bears and the bulls shared the spoils of war, though investor sentiment turned bullish compared with the preceding session’s bearish posture.

Data from the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited showed that the All-Share Index (ASI) was marginally down by 4.66 points as it ended at 201,698.89 points versus Wednesday’s 201,703.55 points, and the market capitalisation slightly contracted by N3 billion to N129.806 trillion from N129.809 trillion.

Customs Street was shut on Friday because of the public holidays declared by the federal government today and next Monday.

Business Post reports that John Holt declined by 9.91 per cent to N15.45, Abbey Mortgage Bank shed 9.60 per cent to trade at N8.95, International Energy Insurance slipped by 6.48 per cent to N3.32, Chams shrank by 5.30 per cent to N3.75, and Tantalizers depreciated by 5.18 per cent to N4.03.

On the flip side, Unilever Nigeria improved by 10.00 per cent to N103.40, Fortis Global Insurance gained 9.82 per cent to trade at N1.23, Multiverse appreciated 9.81 per cent to N20.15, Legend Internet advanced by 9.38 per cent to N6.30, and Zichis grew by 9.02 per cent to N14.14.

The market breadth index was positive during the trading session, as there were 35 appreciating stocks and 24 depreciating stocks.

Yesterday, investors traded 560.0 million equities valued at N19.3 billion in 49,676 deals, in contrast to the 815.5 million equities worth N33.3 billion transacted in 52,641 deals in the preceding day, representing a drop in the trading volume, value, and number of deals by 31.33 per cent, 42.04 per cent, and 5.63 per cent, respectively.

Secure Electronic Technology dominated the activity log with 59.7 million shares valued at N61.1 million, Wema Bank exchanged 52.0 million equities worth N1.4 billion, VFD Group transacted 36.0 million stocks for N410.5 million, Access Holdings sold 35.3 million shares valued at N914.8 million, and Chams traded 31.0 million equities worth N115.0 million.