Economy
Trade Talks Uncertainty Weigh on Wall Street
Investors Hub
The major U.S. index futures are currently pointing to a lower opening on Monday, with stocks likely to give back ground following the rally seen last Friday.
Lingering concerns about the ongoing U.S.-China trade war may weigh on the markets ahead of the next round of high-level trade talks in Washington later this week.
Ahead of the talks, scheduled to begin on Thursday, a report from Bloomberg News said Chinese officials are signaling they?re increasingly reluctant to agree to the broad trade deal being pursued by President Donald Trump.
Citing people familiar with the discussions, Bloomberg said senior Chinese officials have indicated the range of topics they?re willing to discuss has narrowed considerably.
An offer from Chinese Vice Premier Liu He would purportedly not include reforming Chinese industrial policy or government subsidies.
The upcoming negotiations come as the trade war continues to hang over the economy, with a survey by the National Association for Business Economics showing 53 percent of economists see trade policy as the key downside risk to the economy.
The NABE said four out of five panelists believe that risks to the economic outlook are weighted to the downside, an increase from the 60 percent who held this view in June.
?The panel turned decidedly more pessimistic about the outlook over the summer, with 80% of participants viewing risks to the outlook as tilted to the downside,? said Survey Chair Gregory Daco, chief U.S. economist at Oxford Economics.
He added, ?The rise in protectionism, pervasive trade policy uncertainty, and slower global growth are considered key downside risks to U.S. economic activity.?
Following the significant rebound seen over the course of the trading day last Thursday, stocks showed another substantial move to the upside during trading last Friday. With the rally, the major averages further offset the steep losses posted last Tuesday and Wednesday.
The major averages finished the session just off their best levels of the day. The Dow soared 372.68 points or 1.4 percent to 26,573.72, the Nasdaq surged up 110.21 points or 1.4 percent to 7,982.47 and the S&P 500 spiked 41.38 points or 1.4 percent to 2,952.01.
For the week, the major averages turned in a mixed performance. While the Nasdaq rose by 0.5 percent, the S&P 500 fell by 0.3 percent and the Dow slid by 0.9 percent.
The rally on Wall Street came following the release of a closely watched Labor Department report showing weaker than expected job growth but an unexpected drop in the unemployment rate to a nearly 50-year low.
The mixed data seemed to serve the dual purpose of reinforcing expectations the Federal Reserve will continue cutting interest rates while at the same offsetting concerns about a potential recession.
The report said non-farm payroll employment rose by 136,000 jobs in September compared to economist estimates for an increase of about 145,000 jobs.
Meanwhile, the increases in employment in July and August were upwardly revised to 166,000 jobs and 168,000 jobs, respectively, reflecting the addition of 45,000 more jobs than previously reported.
The average monthly job growth has still slowed from 223,000 jobs per month in 2018 to 161,000 jobs per month so far in 2019.
The Labor Department also said the unemployment rate fell to 3.5 percent in September from 3.7 percent in August. Economists had expected to unemployment rate to remain unchanged.
With the unexpected decrease, the unemployment rate dropped to its lowest level since hitting a matching rate in December of 1969.
The unexpected drop in the unemployment rate came as a 391,000-person jump in the household survey measure of employment more than offset an 117,000-person increase in the size of the labor force.
Even with the unemployment rate hitting a nearly 50-year low, the report said average hourly employee earnings edged down by a penny to $28.09 in September after rising by 11 cents in August.
Compared to the same month a year ago, average hourly earnings were up by 2.9 percent in September, reflecting a notable slowdown from the 3.2 percent increase in August.
Citing headwinds from weaker global growth, trade uncertainty and the strong U.S. dollar, ING Chief International Economist James Knightley expects job growth to average closer to 120,000 for the rest of the year.
“This suggests pay growth is unlikely to accelerate markedly from here and with inflation picking up, the real wage growth story may not be as positive for spending power,” Knightley said. “All in all, it looks as though the Fed will need to step in with more policy easing to support the economy.”
Stocks saw further upside in afternoon trading after Fed Chairman Jerome Powell described the U.S. economy as “in a good place,” and said it is the central bank’s job to “keep it there as long as possible.”
Gold stocks moved sharply higher over the course of the trading session, driving the NYSE Arca Gold Bugs Index up by 2.1 percent. The rally by gold stocks came despite a modest decrease by the price of the precious metal.
Significant strength also emerged among semiconductor stocks, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index surging up by 1.9 percent.
Financial, housing, software, and healthcare stocks also saw considerable strength amid broad based buying interest on Wall Street.
Economy
Oil Prices Jump as Iran Shuts Down Strait of Hormuz
By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil prices jumped early on Thursday as Iran declared the critical energy chokepoint, the Strait of Hormuz, closed after the US launched additional strikes against the Middle East oil producer.
Brent futures rose $1.48 or 1.59 per cent to $94.58 per barrel, and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude climbed $1.71 or 1.90 per cent to $91.74 a barrel.
Iran’s top joint military command announced the closure of the Strait of Hormuz on Thursday, including oil tankers and commercial ships, saying any vessel attempting passage will be shot at.
Market analysts noted that the renewed escalation in fighting prompted oil prices to rally in early morning trading.
On Wednesday, the US military said on X that commercial ships continue to transit in and out of the strait. It also said no US warships have been struck in the strait, after Iran’s state media reported US ships near the waterway were targeted by missiles and drones.
US forces began launching additional strikes against multiple targets in Iran on Wednesday, the latest in an escalating exchange of attacks that threaten to reignite a full-scale war, which was paused in early April when the two sides agreed to a fragile ceasefire.
Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth held a press briefing announcing further attacks on Iran, saying, “If we need to negotiate with bombs, we’ll negotiate with bombs.” US Central Command later described those attacks as targeting “Iranian military surveillance capabilities, communication systems, and air defence sites across Iran.”
In response to the attacks, Iran’s top joint military command then announced that the Strait was closed to all shipping.
President Donald Trump said the strikes would stop shortly, but that they would continue if Iran’s leaders did not sign an agreement with the US immediately.
Iran’s months-long blockade of the strait, which normally carries a fifth of global oil and gas shipments, has kept oil prices elevated.
The latest exchange of strikes between the US and Iran marks the most significant escalation in the conflict since both countries agreed to a fragile ceasefire in April. Since then, oil inventories have drained dramatically, and no tangible breakthroughs have been announced.
Crude oil inventories in the US decreased by 7.2 million barrels during the week ending June 5, according to new data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA). The EIA’s data release follows figures that were released by the American Petroleum Institute (API) a day earlier, which reported that crude oil inventories saw a draw of 9.119 million barrels in the period.
Economy
Customs Street Rallies 0.06% Amid Weak Investor Sentiment
By Dipo Olowookere
A marginal 0.06 per cent was recorded by Customs Street at the close of business on Wednesday, extending the dominance of the bulls for another trading session.
The uptick printed by the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited was despite weak investor sentiment after reporting 30 price gainers and 36 price losers, representing a positive market breadth index.
Livestock Feeds gained 10.00 per cent to close at N9.35, Deap Capital expanded by 9.86 per cent to N5.35, Abbey Mortgage Bank appreciated by 9.78 per cent to N12.35, Vitafoam grew by 8.25 per cent to N210.00, and FTN Cocoa chalked up 6.54 per cent to finish at N9.45.
On the flip side, Neimeth lost 10.00 per cent to trade at N9.00, International Energy Insurance slipped by 9.92 per cent to N7.90, John Holt shrank by 9.73 per cent to N13.45, Union Homes REIT declined by 8.56 per cent to N70.00, and eTranzact went down by 8.06 per cent to N16.55.
Though activity level contracted yesterday, it remained on the high side, as market participants transacted 1.2 billion equities worth N38.8 billion in 54,193 deals compared with the 1.3 billion equities valued at N57.9 billion traded in 59,956 deals on Tuesday, indicating a shortfall in the trading volume, value, and number of deals by 7.69 per cent, 32.99 per cent, and 9.61 per cent, respectively.
Sterling Holdings sold 565.3 million shares valued at N4.5 billion to emerge as the busiest during the session. FCMB transacted 122.1 million equities for N1.5 billion, Access Holdings sold 49.5 million stocks worth N1.3 billion, Jaiz Bank exchanged 34.9 million shares valued at N313.8 million, and Universal Insurance traded 32.4 million stocks worth N35.6 million.
Business Post reports that the banking and industrial goods sectors respectively lost 0.79 per cent and 0.09 per cent yesterday as a result of profit-taking.
However, the consumer goods index rose 0.42 per cent, the energy counter increased by 0.14 per cent, and the insurance segment improved by 0.03 per cent due to bargain-hunting.
As a result, the All-Share Index (ASI) went up by 154.59 points to 244,852.21 points from 244,697.62 points, and the market capitalisation soared by N99 billion to N157.043 trillion from N156.944 trillion.
Economy
Chilla Entertainment Injects N2bn into Zichis Agro Allied Industries
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
A strategic non-equity capital of N2 billion has been pumped into one of Nigeria’s emerging integrated agribusiness companies, Zichis Agro Allied Industries Plc.
Chilla Entertainment is one of the promoters of Zichis. The capital injection reaffirms the investor’s confidence in the company’s vision, growth prospects, and long-term value creation strategy.
In a note to the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited, the funds will be a long-term liability in the company’s balance sheet to be redeemed at a future date in terms of debt conversion to equity during a public offer or rights issues.
It is designed to transform Zichis into one of Nigeria’s leading agro-industrial enterprises with a fully integrated value chain spanning feed production, poultry farming, palm cultivation, and agro-processing.
The newly injected capital will primarily be deployed towards expanding the firm’s operational capacity and strengthening its working capital position.
Key areas of investment include a significant increase in poultry production capacity, strengthening of the company’s integrated livestock value chain, and enhancement of operational efficiency and output levels.
In addition, the N2 billion would be used to increase the procurement of raw materials to support higher production volumes, grow the supply chain for the organisation’s feed mill operations, and position the business to meet growing demand within Nigeria’s livestock and poultry sectors.
Also, Zichis will accelerate the cultivation of its newly acquired 2,000-acre agricultural land in Ogun State to significantly increase its agricultural asset base and future revenue-generating capacity.
Zichis is strategically positioning itself to capitalise on these opportunities through its diversified agribusiness model, expanding production footprint, and disciplined execution strategy.
The endgame is to enhance shareholder value, expand operational capacity, build sustainable competitive advantages, and deliver long-term returns to investors.
Recently, the board and management visited the Nigerian Institute for Oil Palm Research (NIFOR) in Edo State for a strategic partnership on the acquisition of high-yield oil palm seedlings and the implementation of modern cultivation techniques across its expanding palm estate.
This collaboration is expected to enhance productivity, improve long-term yields, and support the company’s objective of becoming a major participant in Nigeria’s growing palm oil value chain.
Zichis reaffirmed its commitment to maintaining the highest standards of corporate governance, transparency, accountability, and regulatory compliance.
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