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Trade War Concerns May Further Weigh on Wall Street

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By Investors Hub

The major U.S. index futures are pointing to a sharply lower opening on Friday, with stocks likely to extend the sell-off seen over the past few sessions.

The downward momentum on Wall Street comes as traders express concerns about the impact President Donald Trump?s plans to impose new tariffs on steel and aluminum imports will have on global trade.

Trump shrugged off the concerns in a post on Twitter early Friday morning, calling trade wars ?good? and ?easy to win?

?When a country (USA) is losing many billions of dollars on trade with virtually every country it does business with, trade wars are good, and easy to win,? Trump said.

He added, ?Example, when we are down $100 billion with a certain country and they get cute, don?t trade anymore-we win big. It?s easy!?

Following Trump?s announcement, several industry groups warned that the tariffs would lead to increased costs and hamper their ability to create jobs.

Stocks moved considerably lower during trading on Thursday, extending the sharp pullback seen over the two previous sessions. The major averages showed a lack of direction early in the day session but slid firmly into negative territory as the day progressed.

While the major averages climbed off their lows of the session, they still posted steep losses on the day. The Dow plummeted 420.22 points or 1.7 percent to 24,608.98, the Nasdaq tumbled 92.45 points or 1.3 percent to 7,180.56 and the S&P 500 slumped 36.16 points or 1.3 percent to 2,677.67.

The continued weakness on Wall Street came amid concerns about a potential trade war after President Donald Trump announced the U.S. will impose new tariffs on steel and aluminum imports.

Trump told metals industry executives at a White House meeting that he would sign an order formally imposing the new sanctions next week.

“Sometime next week we’ll be signing it in,” Trump said. “And you’re going to have protection for the first time in a long time.”

Trump indicated that he plans to impose a 25 percent tariff on steel imports and a 10 percent tariff on aluminum imports.

The tariffs are likely to benefit U.S. steel and aluminum producers, although some officials have warned of retaliation by the European Union and China.

Earlier in the day, traders kept a close eye on Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s second day of testimony on Capitol Hill.

Powell testified before the Senate Banking Committee after his remarks before the House Financial Services Committee on Tuesday sparked fears the Fed may raise interest rates more than previously estimated.

The Fed chief added to uncertainty about the outlook for interest rates after telling the Senate committee there has not yet been strong evidence of a decisive increase in wages.

“We see wages by a couple of measures trending up a little bit, but most of them continuing to grow at two and a half percent,” Powell said.

“Nothing is suggesting to me that wage inflation is at a point of accelerating,” he added. “I would expect that some continued strengthening in the labor market can take place without causing inflation.”

On the U.S. economic front, the Labor Department released a report showing first-time claims for U.S. unemployment benefits unexpectedly fell to a nearly fifty-year low.

The report said initial jobless claims fell to 210,000 in the week ended February 24th, a decrease of 10,000 from the previous week’s revised level of 220,000. Economists had expected jobless claims to inch up to 226,000.

With the unexpected decrease, initial jobless claims fell to their lowest level since hitting 202,000 in December of 1969.

A separate report from the Commerce Department showed personal income increased by slightly more than expected in the month of January, while personal spending rose in line with estimates.

The Commerce Department said personal income climbed by 0.4 percent in January, matching the increase seen in December. Economists had expected income to rise by 0.3 percent.

Additionally, the report said personal spending edged up by 0.2 percent in January after climbing by an upwardly revised 0.4 percent in December.

Personal spending had been expected to rise by 0.2 percent compared to the 0.3 percent increase originally reported for the previous month.

The Institute for Supply Management also released a report showing an unexpected acceleration in the pace of growth in the manufacturing sector in the month of February.

The ISM said its purchasing managers index climbed to 60.8 in February from 59.1 in January, with a reading above 50 indicating growth in the manufacturing sector. Economists had expected the index to edge down to 58.7.

With the unexpected increase, the purchasing managers index reached its highest level since hitting 61.4 in May of 2004.

Most of the major sectors moved to the downside on the day, although particular weakness was visible among semiconductor stocks.

Reflecting the weakness in the semiconductor, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index tumbled by 1.6 percent. The index continued to give back ground after reaching a record intraday high on Tuesday.

Healthcare stocks also moved significantly lower, dragging the Dow Jones U.S. Health Care Index down by 1.5 percent.

Biotechnology, financial, and chemical stocks also saw notable weakness, while some strength was visible among natural gas, steel and gold stocks.

Dipo Olowookere is a journalist based in Nigeria that has passion for reporting business news stories. At his leisure time, he watches football and supports 3SC of Ibadan. Mr Olowookere can be reached via [email protected]

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Economy

Popoola Seeks Innovative Market Solutions to Unlock Africa’s Economic Potential

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Ethiopian Securities Exchange

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The chief executive of the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited, Mr Temi Popoola, has called for regional collaboration among African nations for a stronger capital market.

Speaking at the launch of the Ethiopian Securities Exchange (ESX) recently, he stated that working together would unlock the continent’s economic potential, especially with innovative market solutions.

He disclosed that strategic investment of the Nigerian bourse in ESX underscores its leadership in advancing Africa’s capital market infrastructure.

“The launch of ESX represents a pivotal moment for Ethiopia and the broader African financial landscape.

“ESX will serve as a crucial mechanism for capital formation and market liquidity, driving sustainable economic growth,” Mr Popoola said.

Expounding on NGX Group’s investment rationale, he highlighted Ethiopia’s immense market potential and the shared vision of fostering economic growth through innovation.

“Our partnership transcends traditional investment parameters.

“It is about ensuring that ESX evolves into a key player in Africa’s financial ecosystem, enabling cross-border investments and setting benchmarks for market development,” he said.

Mr Popoola also drew parallels with global success stories like India, which has leveraged its capital markets to achieve significant economic transformation.

He emphasized the importance of responsible market opening to attract local and continental capital, noting, “By following this path, Ethiopia can become a financial hub in Africa.”

Drawing from NGX Group’s six decades of experience, Mr Popoola shared insights on diversifying financial instruments and expanding access to investment opportunities.

“With the right mix of innovation, policy support, and regional collaboration, Ethiopia’s capital market can play a transformative role in driving economic development and establish itself as a leader in Africa’s financial ecosystem,” he concluded.

On his part, the Prime Minister of Ethiopia, Mr Abiy Ahmed, lauded the launch of ESX as a transformative milestone in the country’s journey toward economic modernization.

“Today, we have officially rung the bell to launch the Ethiopian Securities Exchange, our nation’s first stock exchange,” the Prime Minister announced on X.

“This is a call to global investors: Ethiopia offers immense potential, a fast-growing economy, and a clear trajectory toward shared prosperity,” he added.

The chief executive of ESX, Mr Tilahun Esmael Kassahun, expressed confidence in the partnership with NGX Group.

“We are pleased to welcome NGX Group as a strategic partner, building upon the existing support we continue to receive from them,” he said, emphasising the value of NGX Group’s expertise in shaping ESX’s growth and success.

With the ESX poised to redefine Ethiopia’s financial landscape, NGX Group’s involvement highlights the critical role of partnerships and shared expertise in advancing Africa’s economic narrative.

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Economy

Nigeria’s Oil Production Rises 152,000b/d in November 2024—OPEC

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Nigeria's oil production

By Adedapo Adesanya

Daily average oil production in Nigeria rose by 152, 000 barrels per day in November 2024, according to the latest data by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).

According to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR) for December 2024, the country’s production, including condensates rose by 11 per cent from 1.333 million barrels in October to 1.486 million in November 2024.

The analysis puts the daily increase to 152,000 barrels per day and about one million barrels increase between October and November last year.

This is as the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) in its latest oil production data indicated that on a month-on-month basis, daily average oil output in December 2024 declined by 1.35 per cent from 1.690 million barrels per day recorded in November 2024 to 1.667 million barrels per day.

Data from the commission also indicated that daily peak oil production in December 2024 was 1.79 million barrels per day while the lowest daily production was 1.57 million barrels per day

Cumulatively, oil output in December 2024, was 51.69 million barrels, a marginal increase of 1.9 per cent when compared to 50.71 million barrels produced in November 2024.

Further analysis of the data showed that the highest oil output in December 2024 was recorded at Forcados Terminal at 8.49 million barrels followed by Bonny Terminal, 7.78 million barrels and Qua Iboe, 4.15 million barrels.

The data showed without condensate, daily oil production was 1.484 million, indicating that Nigeria, again, failed to meet its oil production quota of 1.5 million barrels per day allotted to it by OPEC.

A recent survey by Reuters, however, shows that Nigeria crossed the 1.5 million barrels per day target in December.

The December 2024 average daily oil output also means that Nigeria failed to meet the 1.7 million barrels per day benchmark set for the 2024 budget all through the year.

NUPRC data on daily average production showed that oil production including condensate in January 2024 was 1.64 million barrels per day; February, 1.53 million barrels per day; March, 1.44 million barrels per day; April, 1.45 million barrels per day; May, 1.47 million barrels per day; June, 1.50 million barrels per day; July, 1.53 million barrels per day; August, 1.57 million barrels per day; September, 1.54 million barrels per day, October, 1.54 million barrels per day November, 1.69 million barrels per day and December, 1.67 million barrels per day.

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Economy

Wema Bank, Others Top Activity Chart as Investors Trade 4.698 billion Shares

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Wema Bank stocks

By Dipo Olowookere

The trio of Wema Bank, FBN Holdings, and Universal Insurance topped the activity chart of the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited last week with a turnover of 1.679 billion shares worth N20.838 billion transacted in 4,922 deals, contributing 35.74 per cent and 24.50 per cent to the total trading volume and value, respectively.

Data from Customs Street showed that in the five-day trading week, investors bought and sold 4.698 billion stocks valued at N85.043 billion in 72,562 deals versus the 2.618 billion stocks sold for N69.742 billion in 47,953 deals in the preceding week.

The financial services industry attracted the attention of the market participants with 3.470 billion equities worth N40.791 billion traded in 34,364 deals, contributing 73.86 per cent and 47.97 per cent to the total trading volume and value, respectively.

The services sector followed with 407.032 million shares worth N2.226 billion in 4,996 deals, and the ICT space transacted 237.680 million stocks valued at N3.628 billion in 5,280 deals.

Business Post reports that 51 shares appreciated in the week versus 82 shares in the previous week, 39 equities depreciated compared with 18 equities a week earlier, and 62 stocks closed flat versus 52 stocks in the preceding week.

Multiverse was the best-performing stock with a a price appreciation of 53.42 per cent to N12.35, Honeywell Flour gained 31.67 per cent to close at N10.02, DAAR Communication expanded by 25.71 per cent to 88 Kobo, MTN Nigeria leapt by 21.00 per cent to N242.00, and NCR Nigeria soared by 20.66 per cent to N7.30.

On the flip side, Sunu Assurances was the worst-performing stock after it went down by 36.52 per cent to N7.30, Caverton shed 15.00 per cent to N2.38, Consolidated Hallmark slumped by 15.00 per cent to N3.40, RT Briscoe slipped by 14.33 per cent to N2.57, and Jaiz Bank depreciated by 10.77 per cent to N2.90.

At the close of business, the All-Share Index (ASI) and the market capitalisation gained 1.80 per cent to close the week at 105,451.06 points and N64.303 trillion, respectively.

Also, all other indices closed higher apart from the insurance, AFR Bank Value, AFR Div Yield, MERI Value, consumer goods, energy, and industrial goods, which depreciated by 6.91 per cent, 0.08 per cent, 1.11 per cent, 0.17 per cent, 0.34 per cent, 0.34 per cent and 0.26 per cent, respectively, as the ASeM closed flat.

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